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施罗德基金:中国居民资产配置需求或长期提振优质股权 看好港股及AI应用结构性机会
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-01 07:48
施罗德基金注意到,自2021年以来,中国居民的存款和贷款之间的差距不断拉大,这意味着巨大的居民 端资产配置需求。参考国内外及历史的情况,该机构认为优质股权或是一个很好的配置方向,估值有吸 引力的优质股票应成为很好的选择。 他认为,这个趋势可能在中长期持续。综合当前宏观环境和政策预期,流动性有望保持宽松水平,积极 的股市对于公众信心和消费有正面影响,且贸易关系的紧张态势也已经被充分预期,这些因素或有助于 缓解市场下行风险。 环球投资管理公司施罗德旗下施罗德基金称,4月初以来的中国内地和香港股市表现强势,随着关税对 经济的负面影响逐步减弱,巨大的中国居民端资产配置需求或将长期提振对优质股权的需求,积极的股 市对于公众信心和消费具有正面影响。 施罗德基金副总经理、首席投资官安昀指出,自美国特朗普政府在4月2日"解放日"宣布对等关税意向以 来,投资者开始关注全球经济增长,但是几个月以来的情况变化,使得金融市场对于关税的担忧总体上 是减弱的。 他表示,全球资本市场逐步好转,也在风险偏好和结构性行情上对于中国股市有所带动,以美国为主的 成熟资本市场过去数月的反弹对于全球其他区域的资本市场起到了带动的作用;特别是一些产业层 ...
今天为什么跳水?
表舅是养基大户· 2025-07-23 13:31
Group 1 - The article highlights the positive market sentiment driven by external factors, particularly the upcoming US-China trade negotiations and confirmed tariff agreements with Japan, Indonesia, and the Philippines, which have led to significant market gains in Asia [1][2] - The Japanese Nikkei 225 index surged by 3.5%, with major automotive companies like Mazda, Subaru, Toyota, Mitsubishi, and Honda seeing stock increases between 11% and 18% [1] - Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose approximately 1.6%, with tech stocks, particularly Tencent, experiencing a nearly 5% increase, reaching a market capitalization of over 5 trillion [2] Group 2 - The article discusses the contrasting performance of the A-share market, which experienced a drop after a brief rise, indicating a lack of foreign capital influence in A-shares compared to Hong Kong stocks [4][5] - It notes that the current valuation of small-cap stocks in A-shares is still high, with a dynamic price-to-earnings ratio of around 138, suggesting potential overvaluation compared to historical peaks [7] - The article emphasizes the importance of quality equity investments, recommending monopolistic high-dividend stocks and industry leaders with reasonable valuations as key investment strategies [11][12]
地产小作文破灭了么
表舅是养基大户· 2025-07-15 07:32
Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market's innovative drug sector has reached a new high, with a year-to-date increase of nearly 70%, doubling from last year's low of under 7200 points in July [1] - The optical module sector has shown explosive growth, with a leading company forecasting a net profit increase of 327.68%-385.47% year-on-year for the first half of the year, leading to significant stock price increases among major players [1] - During a recent market rally, only the communication sector saw substantial gains, while other sectors declined, indicating a clear industry divergence as earnings season begins [3] Group 2 - A significant real estate conference concluded, leading to a temporary decline in the real estate sector, with expectations for funding-intensive policies like shantytown renovations not being met [5][6] - A comparison of the 2025 and 2015 urban work conferences highlights a shift from expansion to quality improvement in urbanization, with a focus on sustainable development and community enhancement [7] - The real estate sector's stock prices have returned to levels seen before recent speculative rallies, suggesting a lack of confidence in the sector's recovery [7][8] Group 3 - The market sentiment towards real estate remains cautious, with a suggestion to "sell the rip" rather than invest heavily, reflecting skepticism about the effectiveness of recent policy changes [9] - The importance of understanding the motivations behind investments in real estate is emphasized, particularly in differentiating between long-term and speculative capital [11] - Current statistics indicate that real estate sales and prices are still declining, suggesting that the sector is in a transitional phase towards stabilization [16][17] Group 4 - The ongoing low interest rate environment is expected to persist due to declining financing needs in the real estate sector, which may positively influence bond markets [26][27] - A neutral investment strategy is recommended, focusing on regional diversification and balanced allocation, while maintaining a watchful approach to market developments [28]