谷歌 2025 年超 2.3 万台的 OCS 采购订单背后，一场由光束编织的算力战争已悄然打响。 01 谷歌豪掷巨资押注光交换机 从金额来看，谷歌 2026 年 OCS 系统相关的整体投资预计达到 30 亿美元，其中仅 Polatis 一家就获得了 4600 台、价值 2.5 亿美元的订单， 单台价格约 6.5 万美 元。按不同端口配置计算， 平均每个端口约 500 美元。高端 576 端口的交换机价格更是 128 端口价格的 3~5 倍，后者均价约 6 万美元。 OCS 交换机原理图 市场研究机构 QYResearch 的统计显示， 2024 年全球 OCS 交换机市场规模已达 3.66 亿 美元，预计到 2031 年将激增至 20.22 亿美元（单 OCS 设备），年复合增 长率高达 17.1%，光交换机这一曾经边缘的技术正迅速成为 AI 算力集群的关键支撑。 02 重塑数据中心网络架构 传统电交换机需经历"光—电—光"转换 过程，而 OCS 直接在光域内完成信号切换，省去光电转换环节，理论效率可达传统电交换机的 1000 倍，功耗仅为其十分 之一（当前实际功耗降低在 40％左右）。对于谷歌数据中心而言， ...

Summary of OCS Switch Technology, Trends, and Market Potential Industry Overview - The OCS (Optical Circuit Switch) technology is applied in traditional and AI data centers, enabling low-power and efficient data transmission through optical channels. The market potential is projected to be 30-40 times larger than the current electrical switch market [1][6][26]. Key Insights and Arguments - **Market Growth**: Google has scaled up the deployment of OCS in its TPU network, purchasing approximately 12,000 units. If other potential clients like Microsoft, NVIDIA, Oracle, and Meta adopt OCS at scale, the market could expand significantly, with expectations of reaching 300,000 units in the coming years [1][6][26]. - **Technological Advancements**: Google’s OCS switch has achieved a thousand-fold increase in speed while reducing power consumption, showcasing significant progress in the switch technology sector [2][4]. - **Core Advantages**: OCS technology eliminates the need for optical-electrical conversion, directly interconnecting different cards through optical channels, which significantly reduces power consumption. For instance, a 51.2T electrical switch consumes about 3 kW, while OCS can save nearly half of that power [1][9]. - **Industry Initiatives**: The establishment of the Optical Switch Project Group by the Open Compute Project (OCP) indicates a growing recognition of OCS as a complement to traditional electrical switches and CPU switches [1][7]. Important Developments - **Domestic Collaborations**: In China, Xizhi Technology, in collaboration with ZTE and Biran Technology, launched a full-optical OCS supernode network, indicating a trend towards advanced optical interconnection solutions [1][8]. - **Application in AI Networks**: OCS is seen as a future trend in AI networks due to its low power and low latency characteristics, although current switching times may still favor electrical switches for frequent data exchanges [13][15]. - **Investment Returns**: NVIDIA has reported that by adding OCS devices, they can achieve automatic switching in case of hardware failures, reducing the risk of interruptions in large model training, with an investment payback period of about one to two years [4][14][16]. Market Dynamics - **Future Demand**: Google is expected to procure between 16,000 to 20,000 OCS switches by 2026, with a potential market value of around $1 billion based on a unit price of $50,000 [25]. - **Long-term Market Potential**: The OCS market is projected to exceed $2 billion by 2029, with significant interest from major players like Microsoft, Oracle, and NVIDIA, indicating a shift towards OCS solutions [26][30]. - **Competitive Landscape**: Traditional electrical switches currently dominate the market, with an estimated 800,000 to 1 million units. However, OCS is expected to capture a 30% market share in the next few years, potentially reaching over 300,000 units by 2030 [30]. Additional Insights - **Technological Variants**: OCS technology includes various solutions such as MEMS, silicon-based liquid crystal, and piezoelectric ceramics, each with unique advantages and challenges [5][28]. - **Supply Chain Dynamics**: Key suppliers for Google’s OCS switches include Lumentum, Claudeline, and Coherent, with significant contributions from domestic manufacturers like Saiwei Electronics and Guanghua Technology [19][32][33]. - **Adoption Trends**: While overseas data centers like Google have adopted OCS extensively, domestic centers are beginning to explore its use, indicating a gradual shift in the industry [29]. This comprehensive overview highlights the transformative potential of OCS technology in the data center industry, emphasizing its advantages, market dynamics, and future growth prospects.

Core Viewpoint - Optical Circuit Switches (OCS) differ from traditional switches by enabling direct optical switching without optical-electrical conversion, leading to reduced hardware costs and power consumption [1][2][5]. Group 1: Overview of Optical Switches - OCS operates by forwarding optical signals through wavelength division multiplexing and cross-connection, with optical-electrical conversion occurring at the server side [1][2]. - The main performance indicators of optical switches include switching speed, insertion loss, return loss, durability, and reliability [2][3]. Group 2: Current Development Status - OCS technology has gained attention due to Google's initiatives, with increasing applications in data centers [5][6]. - The rise of east-west traffic in large data centers has created bandwidth bottlenecks in traditional three-layer architectures, necessitating the adoption of the Spine-and-Leaf architecture for better scalability and reduced latency [6][8]. Group 3: Market Demand and Shipment Volume - Global shipments of optical switches reached 10,000 units in 2023, with an expected increase to approximately 13,000 units in 2024, driven by growing bandwidth demands in machine learning and cloud computing [16][19]. Group 4: R&D Directions - Despite the promising outlook for optical switch technology, challenges remain, including high initial capital expenditures and signal insertion loss [14][19]. - Continuous technological advancements are anticipated to enhance performance and reduce manufacturing and deployment costs, solidifying the foundation for large-scale applications [19].