科技制造产业月报（2025 年 8 月） 反内卷政策如何重塑制造业？ 产业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 （1）短期：低效产能退出，集中度提升，行业利润率回升。通过遏制低价竞 争和淘汰落后产能，迫使低效企业退出市场，加速行业洗牌。头部企业凭借技 术、规模和管理优势扩大市场份额，提升行业集中度。随着低端产能出清，市 场竞争趋于理性，企业定价能力增强，叠加政策对产能扩张的约束，行业利润 率有望持续回升。尽管可能伴随中小企业倒闭和短期就业压力，但这一调整为 后续的产能升级腾挪出市场空间。 （2）中期：反内卷政策正在重塑中国产业竞争的本质，即从"价格战"转向 "价值战"，技术替代成本成为核心竞争力。光伏 N 型电池、氢基炼钢等技术 突破印证了这一趋势，推动资源向高附加值领域集聚。制造业有望形成"研发 -创新-利润增长-再投入"的良性循环，带动高端装备、新材料等新兴产业溢价 能力提升，实现产业质量的系统性跃升。 （3）长期：全球竞争力重塑，推动价值链跃升。中国制造业的国际竞争优势 正经历结构性转变，凭借全球最完整的工业体系以及持续的技术突破和升级， 中国在供应链稳定性、产业配套效率和数字化转型等方面将逐渐构建起新壁 垒。 ...

Group 1: Global Economic Trends - China is effectively countering external uncertainties through institutional openness and the implementation of the "dual circulation" development strategy, aiming to address the bottleneck of insufficient domestic demand and inject new momentum for high-quality economic development [1][3] Group 2: Sino-US Trade Relations and Foreign Investment - Despite challenges posed by the tariff war, China remains an attractive market due to its large market size, stable political environment, rich human capital, and improving institutional openness, which collectively create a strong magnet for foreign investment [3][4] - Chinese companies are encouraged to diversify their markets and reduce reliance on a single market by embracing technological innovation, cost reduction, and expanding their networks [3] Group 3: Outbound Investment - Outbound investment is viewed as a crucial strategy for Chinese companies to enhance their capabilities and achieve global expansion, supported by national policies that encourage enterprises to "go global" [4] Group 4: Bay Area Financial Cooperation - The Greater Bay Area should focus on cross-border financial cooperation, intellectual property protection, and industrial ecosystem development to attract foreign R&D centers, leveraging its geographical and resource advantages [5] Group 5: Domestic Circulation Challenges - Local protectionism and factor barriers are identified as major obstacles to the advancement of domestic circulation, necessitating a unified national approach to facilitate the free flow of key elements such as personnel, capital, and data [6] - The private economy plays a significant role in domestic circulation, contributing over 50% of tax revenue, 60% of GDP, and 70% of technological innovations, highlighting the need for supportive measures to address financing challenges and improve the business environment [6] Group 6: Importance of Technological Innovation - Technological innovation is deemed essential for addressing the issue of insufficient domestic demand, with recommendations to enhance consumer spending through increased income levels, improved income distribution, and more consumption scenarios [7] - A well-developed financial system is crucial for supporting technological innovation, with suggestions to further open capital markets to attract foreign institutional investors and reduce financing costs [7] Group 7: Financial Market Opening - The current environment presents a favorable opportunity for further financial market opening, but it should be approached cautiously to avoid the pitfalls experienced by South American countries due to excessive openness [8] - Emphasis is placed on the importance of institutional development and risk prevention in the process of financial market opening, ensuring orderly progress while enhancing transparency and regulatory oversight [8]

Group 1: Fund Establishments and Focus Areas - Lian Asia's sixth fund has been established, becoming the largest biopharmaceutical VC fund in recent years, with a total subscription scale exceeding RMB 40 billion [3] - Zero One Venture Capital has completed the first close of a new RMB 500 million fund, focusing on intelligent manufacturing and cross-border expansion, targeting investments from angel to Series B rounds [4][5] - The Wuhan Optics Valley Talent Phase II Fund has been successfully established, focusing on strategic emerging industries in Hubei Province [7] - The Hangzhou Metro Industry Fund has been approved, focusing on the rail transit industry chain and related strategic areas [8][9] - The first ginseng industry fund in China has been established in Jilin, with a scale of RMB 1.2 billion, focusing on the ginseng industry chain [10] - The new RMB 200 million New Momentum Industry Fund has been established in Foshan, targeting strategic emerging industries [11] - Zhejiang Province is preparing a RMB 10 billion future industry fund and a RMB 10 billion merger mother fund [12] - The Suzhou University Technology Achievement Transformation Angel Fund has been launched, with a total scale of RMB 500 million, focusing on the commercialization of university research [13] Group 2: Investment Strategies and Goals - Lian Asia aims to leverage its expertise to accelerate the growth of innovative biopharmaceutical companies and respond to government industrial policies [3] - Zero One Venture Capital plans to balance fund DPI and investment returns through early-stage investments and post-investment commercialization empowerment [5] - The Hangzhou Metro Industry Fund aims to integrate resources and enhance the investment and management capabilities of projects in the rail transit sector [9] - The Jilin Ginseng Industry Fund is expected to activate over RMB 2.5 billion in funds through a "investment-loan linkage" mechanism [10] - The Wuhan government plans to create a RMB 300 billion mother-son fund cluster to support technology-driven private enterprises [14][15]

将投中网设为"星标⭐"，第一时间收获最新推送 零一创投将持续紧跟国家双循环的发展战略，精准锚定投资方向。 来源丨 投中网 4 月 21 日，零一创投（ 01VC ）宣布已于近期完成新一期 5 亿人民币基金首关。在募集过程中，该基金得到了多地国资、市场化母基金和上市公司 等的大力支持。这也是零一创投中生代管理合伙人募集的首支人民币基金。 据悉，新基金投资方向将继续专注于零一创投所擅长的智能制造与跨境出海领域。投资轮次上， 本期基金锚定天使轮到 B 轮之间的优质项目，单笔投 资金额在 500 至 5000 万人民币之间。 投资策略上，该基金将继续坚持投早投小原则，同时通过投后商业化赋能、多元退出的方式平衡基金的 DPI 和投资收益确定性。 在当前复杂多变的全球经济形势下，零一创投将持续紧跟国家双循环的发展战略，精准锚定投资方向。在智能制造板块，零一通过对机器人、具身智能 等硬科技赛道的前沿探索，助力推动国内产业链和供应链的数智化升级。在跨境出海板块，鉴于我国在众多领域已形成优势供应链，基金将着重推动智 能化产品和先进的运营经验向海外输出，借助跨境电商、新型服务贸易等模式，帮助企业拓展国际市场，助力国内国际双循环相 ...