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强势收复7.2整数关口+“反超”汇率中间价 人民币汇率缘何韧性十足
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-05-28 01:25
(原标题:强势收复7.2整数关口+"反超"汇率中间价 人民币汇率缘何韧性十足) 强势收复7.2整数关口+"反超"汇率中间价 人民币汇率缘何韧性十足 "这些海外投资基金认为5—7月中国企业对美商品出口量激增,有望带动5—7月中国外贸顺差维持在高 位,令人民币汇率获得额外的提振。"他告诉记者。 记者获悉,部分嗅觉敏锐的海外投资基金因此买入3个月期、执行价格在7—7.05附近的远期人民币看涨 期权,押注人民币汇率因外贸顺差表现优异而大幅上涨。 中国货币网显示,截至5月27日收盘时,3个月期美元兑人民币掉期点数(远期汇率与即期汇率之差)收 盘价为-504.99个基点,这意味着境内外汇市场预期3个月后美元兑人民币汇率将涨至7.14附近,明显低 于上述海外投资基金的预期。 经济观察报记者 陈植 上海报道 面对全球贸易争端不确定性犹存,人民币汇率正呈现极强的韧性。 截至5月28日9时,境内外美元兑人民币汇率徘徊在7.195与7.188附近,不但强势收复7.2整数关口,本周 还一度创下去年12月以来的最高值7.167与7.1608。 与此同时,境外离岸市场人民币汇率与人民币中间价还出现"大反转"。 此前,受中美贸易争端等因素 ...
【环球财经】2025年3月澳大利亚外贸顺差增加40.48亿澳元
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-05-01 14:26
Core Viewpoint - Australia's merchandise trade surplus reached approximately AUD 6.9 billion (about RMB 32.16 billion) in March 2025, significantly exceeding market expectations of around AUD 3.13 billion, marking an increase of approximately AUD 4.05 billion from the adjusted surplus of AUD 2.85 billion in February [1] Group 1: Trade Surplus and Exports - The seasonally adjusted merchandise exports in March increased by approximately 7.6% month-on-month, reaching about AUD 45.35 billion [1] - The imports decreased by approximately 2.2% month-on-month, totaling about AUD 38.45 billion [1] - Rural goods exports fell by approximately 8.5% month-on-month to about AUD 6.22 billion, while non-rural goods exports rose by approximately 8.6% to about AUD 33.77 billion [1] Group 2: Export Price Index - In Q1 2025, the export price index for Australia rose by 2.1% month-on-month but fell by 4.7% year-on-year [2] - The increase in the export price index was primarily driven by rising iron ore prices due to the positive development of the Chinese economy, with metal ores and scrap metal export price indicators increasing by 5.4% in Q1 [2] - The demand for non-monetary gold as a safe-haven asset remained strong, leading to a 12.4% increase in its export price index during the same quarter [2] Group 3: Import Price Index - The import price index rose by 3.3% month-on-month and increased by 3.2% year-on-year in Q1 2025 [2] - Factors contributing to the rise in import prices included the depreciation of the Australian dollar and U.S. sanctions on oil from Russia and Iran, which led to an 8.2% increase in the price index for oil and related products [3] - The import price index for non-monetary gold also increased by 11.7%, contributing to the overall rise in Australia's import price index [3]