证券研究报告 2026 年 02 月 27 日 湘财证券研究所 行业研究 机器人行业深度 量产风口将至，聚焦灵巧手的技术演进与价值 相关研究： 1.《20251010湘财证券-机械行业 -Figure AI 发布第三代通用人形 机器人 Figure 03》2025.10.10 2.《20251024湘财证券-机器人行 业-"全会定调+量产元年"共振： 人形机器人跃升国家战略 》 2025.10.24 行业评级：增持（维持） 近十二个月行业表现 % 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 相对收益 -1.2 11.0 -30.5 绝对收益 -0.7 15.6 -11.1 -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 25/03 25/05 25/07 25/09 25/11 26/01 机器人(申万) 沪深300 注：相对收益与沪深 300 相比 分析师：汪炜 证书编号：S0500525070001 Tel：(8621)50299604 Email：ww07001@xcsc.com 地址：上海市浦东新区银城路88号 中国人寿金融中心10楼 核心要点： 当前灵巧手行业正经历一场自由度军备赛与技术方案快速迭代 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The humanoid robot sector has shown a consistent upward trend since September 24, 2024, with a slight correction, driven by catalysts such as Huawei's entry into robotics and the appearance of Yuzhu on the Spring Festival Gala[3] - The humanoid robot index has experienced four significant market waves since March 2021, with cumulative gains of approximately 30% in the first wave, 70% in the second, 50% in the third, and a recent upward trend since late 2024[9][13] Group 2: Industry Changes - The humanoid robot industry has undergone three core changes in 2025: cost reduction, mass production, and increased intelligence[26] - The price of key components, such as planetary roller screws, has dropped significantly from thousands of yuan to around one thousand yuan, while precision and lifespan still have room for improvement[27] Group 3: 2026 Strategy Outlook - The strategy for 2026 emphasizes "harmony and victory," focusing on the certainty of mass production and the potential of new technologies to enhance efficiency or significantly reduce costs[20] - Key investment directions include Tier 1 suppliers, screws, and reducers, with a focus on companies like Sanhua Intelligent Control and Top Group[76] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies for Tier 1 components include Sanhua Intelligent Control and Top Group, while for screws, companies like Hengli Hydraulic and Zhejiang Rongtai are suggested[76] - For technological innovation and cost reduction, companies such as Zhaowei Electromechanical and Hanwei Technology are highlighted[76] Group 5: Risk Factors - Risks include the potential underperformance of robot industrialization, technological iterations that may render existing components obsolete, and reliance on major clients amidst international trade tensions[78]

Industry Overview - The Chinese robotics industry has shown rapid growth during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with revenue expected to double from 106.1 billion yuan in 2020 to 237.89 billion yuan by 2024, and a year-on-year growth of 29.5% in the first three quarters of this year [1] - The export value of the robotics industry is projected to increase from 390 million USD in 2020 to 1.15 billion USD by 2024, with exports reaching 1.24 billion USD in the first three quarters of this year, a 56% increase compared to the previous year [1] - The market share of domestic industrial robots has risen from 31.4% in 2020 to 58.5% in 2024 [1] Technological Advancements - High-performance industrial robots for heavy loads, welding, and spraying have been successfully applied, with companies like Estun and Siasun leading the way in developing robots capable of handling significant weights and performing complex tasks [2][3] - The production of industrial robots in China reached 595,000 units in the first three quarters of this year, surpassing the total production for the previous year [4] Supply Chain Development - The self-sufficiency rate of core components in the robotics industry has improved significantly, with domestic manufacturers now holding over 40% of the market share for harmonic reducers, a critical component for robots [6] - Major enterprises in the industry have achieved over 80% self-sufficiency in the supply of complete robotic systems, indicating a robust domestic supply chain [7] Market Penetration - By the end of 2024, China's industrial robot stock is expected to exceed 2 million units, making it the largest in the world [8] - The sales of industrial robots in China are projected to reach 302,000 units in 2024, a 68.7% increase from 2020, accounting for 54% of global sales [9] Future Trends - The future focus of the robotics industry will be on intelligence and specialization, with a shift towards integrating artificial intelligence into robotic systems to enhance their capabilities [11] - New products, such as voice-interactive robots, are being developed to improve user interaction and operational efficiency [12]

Core Insights - Blue Dot Touch (Beijing) Technology Co., Ltd. has completed a Series C financing round exceeding 100 million RMB, led by Sequoia China with participation from Zhuhai Technology Industry Group [1] - The funds will be primarily allocated to product research and development, capacity enhancement, team building, and expansion into overseas markets, aiming to strengthen the company's technological moat in the robotics sector and reinforce its market leadership [1] Company Overview - Founded in 2019, Blue Dot Touch is a national high-tech enterprise focused on the research and application of cutting-edge force control technology for intelligent robots [1] - The company is led by Liu Wuyue, who holds a 57.55% stake and serves as both the chairman and manager [1] Product and Technology - Blue Dot Touch specializes in providing hardware for robotic force sensors, force control algorithms, and industry process algorithms [1] - The company has achieved full domestic production of its core components, which include humanoid robot six-dimensional force sensors, general six-dimensional force sensors, joint torque sensors, and tension and pressure sensors [1]

Core Insights - The article highlights the entrepreneurial journey of Xu Lin, a returnee entrepreneur who is leading the development of intelligent robots at Wuhan University of Technology, focusing on transforming laboratory results into market-ready products [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - Xu Lin's team has developed various robots, including "Shenxing Kui Niu," a six-legged robot designed for non-structured terrain heavy-load transportation, and "Shenxing Tengu," which is intended for urban emergency rescue and fire inspection [2]. - The "Shenxing Magic Cube" is a modular distributed drive unmanned vehicle platform that can be customized with various functional components, showcasing the versatility of the robots being developed [2]. Group 2: Industry Development - Hubei province is actively promoting the humanoid robot industry, with specific measures introduced in Wuhan to support platform development, complete machine leadership, component foundation, scenario demonstration, and ecological cultivation [2]. - The government is incentivizing research and development investments in related enterprises, particularly focusing on critical industries and public welfare sectors [2]. - Xu Lin emphasizes that the supportive policies provide unprecedented opportunities for returnee entrepreneurs, facilitating breakthroughs in core technologies and the practical application of robots [2].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the transition of the robotics industry from "automation" to "intelligence," highlighting the role of Professor Li Zhijun and his development of the insightOS, a domestically produced intelligent operating system for robots, aimed at enhancing their autonomous decision-making capabilities [1][4][19]. Group 1: InsightOS Development - The insightOS is designed to address the complexity and flexibility challenges in robot applications, integrating intelligence deeply into the system rather than treating it as an external module [4][5]. - The system aims to achieve robot autonomy by embedding AI capabilities such as perception, reasoning, and planning into the operating system's core services [4][5]. - A unified semantic understanding layer allows non-experts to command robots using natural language, significantly lowering deployment barriers and enabling large-scale collaboration among intelligent agents [5][8]. Group 2: Dynamic Adaptation and Flexibility - InsightOS features dynamic adaptability through built-in elastic scheduling and multi-model collaboration, enabling real-time resource allocation based on complex scene requirements [8]. - The system can autonomously identify anomalies and plan recovery strategies, ensuring stability in dynamic environments, thus addressing the critical challenge of making robots not just "usable" but "effective" [8][9]. Group 3: Ecosystem Construction - The company is building a comprehensive ecosystem that connects application scenarios, hardware adaptation, and algorithm integration, aiming to create a universal system tailored to domestic industry needs [9][10]. - InsightOS has achieved hardware decoupling and capability atomization, allowing compatibility with various robot types, including industrial arms and drones, by abstracting hardware differences into a unified "semantic behavior" [9][10]. - The insight Studio development platform supports rapid integration of third-party algorithm models, significantly reducing the barriers and costs for robot manufacturers in deploying and tuning algorithms [10][12]. Group 4: Vision and Mission - InsightOS aims to create a "self-controllable operating system" for Chinese robots, addressing the reliance on foreign platforms and mitigating data security risks [13][15]. - The system is built on decades of research from Harbin Institute of Technology, ensuring a strong foundation in both operating systems and robotics [15][18]. - The company plans to establish a complete product matrix and has already deployed insightOS in several domestic humanoid robots, receiving industry recognition [18][19].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that advancements in technology, such as real machine reinforcement learning and the transition of companies to joint-stock structures, are driving the evolution of the robotics industry and related materials [1][2][3] Group 2 - ZhiYuan Robotics has successfully implemented its real machine reinforcement learning technology in collaboration with Longqi Technology, marking a significant step from academic research to industrial application, enhancing flexible manufacturing efficiency and adaptability [1] - The name change of YunShenChu Technology from a limited liability company to a joint-stock company indicates a strategic shift towards capital operations, potentially paving the way for attracting strategic investors or preparing for an IPO [2] - Northern Rare Earth has identified humanoid robots as a new driving force for the demand for rare earth magnetic materials, highlighting the critical relationship between humanoid robotics and the supply chain of high-performance rare earth materials [3]

Group 1 - The humanoid robot sector experienced fluctuations, with the Guozheng Robot Industry Index down by 1.9% as of 10:40 AM, while the ETF E Fund (159530) saw a net subscription of 18 million shares during the session. Notably, since September, this product has seen a net inflow exceeding 6 billion, doubling its scale [1] - The 25th China International Industrial Expo is currently underway, showcasing a variety of robotic products, including humanoid robots, industrial robots, and collaborative robots, with new products such as heavy-duty robots capable of carrying up to 5,000 kilograms, highlighting the trend towards intelligence and high-end development in robotics [1] - The largest humanoid robot training ground in China has recently opened in Beijing, covering over 10,000 square meters and generating more than 6 million data entries annually, providing crucial data support for industry research and facilitating the large-scale application of humanoid robots in sectors like automotive manufacturing and logistics [1] Group 2 - The Guozheng Robot Industry Index emphasizes humanoid robots and core components, with related stocks accounting for nearly 80% of the total weight, making the "humanoid content" the highest among the tracked indices in the ETF. As of yesterday, the index has increased by 45% year-to-date, outperforming other similar indices [1] - The E Fund ETF (159530) ranks first among products linked to this index, enabling investors to conveniently invest in leading companies within the humanoid robot industry chain [1]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced slight fluctuations today, with technology growth stocks performing well, particularly the Sci-Tech 50 index reaching a 3.5-year high [1] - The overall market turnover was 2.37 trillion yuan [1] Sector Performance - The leading sectors included robotics, e-commerce, Huawei's automotive sector, and liquid-cooled servers, while marine equipment, aquaculture, oil and gas extraction, and medical beauty sectors saw declines [2] - Major inflows of capital were observed in machinery, computers, and automotive sectors, each exceeding 10 billion yuan, with electronics receiving over 8.3 billion yuan and retail over 4.2 billion yuan [2] - The non-ferrous metals sector faced a net outflow of over 9.9 billion yuan, and the power equipment sector saw a net outflow of over 2.7 billion yuan [2] Market Sentiment and Predictions - Historical data indicates that the A-share market typically faces adjustments in the 10 days leading up to the National Day holiday, with a median decline of 1.24% and a win rate of only 26.7% [2] - Post-holiday, the market shows a higher probability of rising, with the win rate increasing from 66.7% on the first day to 80% within five days [2] Investment Strategies - Dazhong Securities suggests a "barbell strategy," recommending continued investment in strong concepts within the innovation and entrepreneurship sectors while considering defensive positions in non-ferrous metals and gold [3] - The robotics industry is experiencing significant strength, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit up, including Anpeilong and Hongchang Technology [3] Robotics and AI Developments - The Guangdong Province has launched an action plan to accelerate the integration of AI in the toy industry, promoting new products and applications in various sectors [4] - Yushutech announced the open-sourcing of its universal robot model, aimed at enhancing robot learning capabilities [4] - The humanoid robot sector is transitioning from thematic to growth investment, with expectations of reaching mass production levels by 2025 [4] Stock Market Movements - Hong Kong stock market saw a dramatic reversal for the stock Yaojie Ankang, which initially surged over 63% before closing down over 53% [5] - The stock's volatility was linked to the announcement of its core product's clinical trial approval, which had previously driven its price up significantly [5] ETF Performance - The Food and Beverage ETF saw a decline of 1.63% over the past five days, with a net outflow of 17.84 million yuan [7] - The Gaming ETF increased by 4.78%, but also experienced a net outflow of 44.87 million yuan [7] - The Cloud Computing ETF rose by 9.47%, with a slight net inflow of 3 million yuan [8]

Group 1 - The event "25th Investment Fair · Phoenix Network Wutong Night Talk" focused on investment opportunities and industry trends under the theme "Waves of the Future" [1] - He Jianjun, President of China Venture Capital Asset Management Co., emphasized that robot development should be closely tied to specific scenarios rather than grand concepts [1] - The robotics industry is still in its early development stage, with some concept speculation present; practical applications should drive technological iteration [1] Group 2 - The company has established a robot operation company that leases products to clients, collaborating with property management companies for various scenarios such as fire prevention, cleaning, and patrolling [2] - Different scenarios will mature at significantly different speeds; simple scenarios like patrolling and cleaning are expected to achieve unmanned operations within three years, while complex scenarios like home elderly care may take five years or longer [2] - The industry presents high technical and application barriers, making it difficult for ordinary individuals to directly participate; general investors are advised to engage indirectly through stocks [2]