中国证券报记者深入调研，对话多家头部基金投顾机构，梳理出行业共识：告别简单"股债搭配"，拥抱 多元、动态、全球化的科学配置；看准"科技+周期+消费"三大主线，并用"核心-卫星"策略严阵以待。 在他们眼中，2026年，没有"躺赢"的赛道，只有"精耕细作"后的收获。 在市场还在为年末涨跌反复纠结时，专业的 "基金买手" 已率先锚定2026年的投资机遇，紧锣密鼓地推 进三件大事：调仓、定策、选方向。 岁末调仓进行时 当2025年交易进入倒计时，专业的"基金买手"——基金投顾机构们，正进入一年中最繁忙、也最关键的 布局时节。 近日，记者实地走访多家头部基金投顾机构，从他们紧凑的日程、屏幕上不断刷新的数据和专注的讨论 中，深切地感受到岁末的调仓，绝非追逐短期排名的博弈，而是一场着眼于2026年，对投资组合进 行"精耕细作"的结构性优化。 在近期部分投顾组合的实际操作中，"结构性优化"的思路清晰可见。11月25日，华夏权益优选组合小幅 加仓处于周期和估值低位的地产链。这一动作与华夏财富投顾团队的宏观思路一脉相承。该团队负责人 向记者表示："我们认为，2026年科技股继续一枝独秀的概率不大，需要适当布局处于周期和估值低位 ...

市场演变：从"个体择券"到"工具化配置" 在张佳蕾看来，在整体平稳的表象之下，债市内部的结构性分化却更为精彩。信用利差持续收窄，短久 期、中高评级的信用债品种成为资金配置的"香饽饽"，这充分说明了投资者对稳健收益的渴求。 随着2026年投资布局渐次启动，债券市场正站在关键节点。回首2025年，"波澜不惊，结构为王"是主基 调，全年市场利率水平在窄幅区间内震荡运行。展望新的一年，如何在债市继续拥抱"稳稳的幸福"，是 每一位投资者的关切所在。 近期，鹏华基金现金投资部副总经理张佳蕾、基金经理王中兴深度解析了债券市场的演变脉络与未来机 遇，并阐述了鹏华固收指数投资团队如何通过工具化产品布局，帮助投资者在稳健与收益间找到平衡。 作为场内工具，科创债ETF鹏华流动性出色。据Wind数据，自2025年7月17日上市至12月9日，其日均成 交额达60.46亿元，日均换手率达36.79%。规模方面，截至2025年12月9日，该基金规模已达201.40亿 元，稳居沪市同类第一。 王中兴建议，成熟的投资者可以采用"核心-卫星"策略，将场外基金作为核心底仓获取稳定票息，同时 将场内ETF作为卫星配置以适时增厚收益，实现动态资产配置 ...

临近年末，资金风险偏好趋于平稳，均衡配置成为投资者心中的"定心丸"。而以行业与风格均衡为特征 的宽基指数ETF，恰好提供了践行这一方向的可行路径。其中，中证A500指数凭借其独特的编制方法， 正悄然架起一座连接投资者与中国经济未来的桥梁，让资产配置从混沌走向清晰。 回顾A股市场三十余年的发展历程，宽基指数始终是投资者捕捉市场平均收益"得力助手"。从早期的沪 深300指数（以下简称沪深300）到中证800指数（以下简称中证800），跟踪这类"市值加权"宽基指数的 ETF，为投资者打开了便捷的市场参与通道。然而，随着我国经济迈向高质量发展新阶段，新兴产业增 加值占GDP的比重已显著提升，传统市值加权指数的"时代适配性"开始褪色，金融、食品饮料等传统行 业因历史积累市值较大、权重偏高，而信息技术、医药卫生等新经济领域代表性不足，导致指数行业分 布与真实经济结构的"契合度"持续走低，如同旧地图难寻新航线，表征效能不断减弱。 市场永远在迭代进化，投资工具自然也要与时俱进，中证A500指数（以下简称中证A500）应运而生。 它借鉴标普500等国际主流指数的行业均衡理念，旨在更全面、精准地刻画A股市场整体面貌，也标志 着国 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the shift in investor consensus from "expected returns and star products" to "multi-asset and multi-strategy" approaches in the current uncertain market environment [4] - The A500 ETF and its connected funds are highlighted as key tools for this asset allocation transformation, providing a stable investment strategy amidst market volatility [5][6] Investment Strategies - The concept of "balance between stocks and bonds" is emphasized, rooted in Benjamin Graham's investment philosophy, advocating for a balanced allocation of equity and fixed-income assets [7][8] - A practical implementation of a 50-50 stock-bond strategy using the CSI A500 index and the CSI All Bond Index has shown significant historical performance, achieving a total return of 527.6% over the past two decades [13][15] - The strategy's annualized return of 9.2% outperformed a fully invested A500 strategy, demonstrating the effectiveness of dynamic rebalancing to mitigate risks and enhance returns [15][16] Performance Analysis - Various stock-bond allocation combinations were analyzed, revealing that a 50% A500 and 50% bond allocation yielded the highest total return and a manageable level of risk [16] - The article presents a detailed performance table showing the total returns, annualized returns, and minimum annual returns for different stock-bond allocation ratios, highlighting the benefits of a balanced approach [16] Core-Satellite Strategy - The core-satellite investment strategy is introduced as a method to simplify asset allocation, where core assets (70-80%) provide stability and satellite assets (20-30%) seek higher returns [17][19] - The CSI A500 index is positioned as a preferred choice for core assets due to its balanced representation of the market and long-term performance [19][21] Practical Application - For investors seeking to balance risk and return, a suggested allocation of 70% core assets in a combination of CSI A500 and CSI All Bond Index, with 30% in satellite assets, is recommended [22] - The article emphasizes the importance of tailoring asset allocation to individual risk tolerance and investment goals, rather than strictly adhering to historical ratios [17][22] Conclusion - The A500 ETF and its associated funds are positioned as effective tools for investors to build resilient portfolios that can adapt to market changes, reducing anxiety over daily market fluctuations [36][38] - The article concludes that constructing a well-balanced investment portfolio is crucial for long-term success, rather than attempting to predict short-term market movements [35]

Core Insights - The article draws a parallel between shopping for products during the Double Eleven sales and selecting investment funds, emphasizing the importance of a strategic approach in both scenarios Part 01: Fund Selection Guide - Step 1: Define the investment goal, similar to having a shopping objective, which helps in selecting suitable funds based on investment planning, risk tolerance, and time horizon [3] - Step 2: Evaluate historical performance and fund manager credibility, as past performance can indicate the manager's capability, even though it does not guarantee future results [3] - Step 3: Assess the cost-benefit ratio using the Sharpe ratio, which measures excess return per unit of risk, with a ratio above 1 indicating good performance and above 2 indicating excellent performance [3] - Step 4: Review the fund's holdings, focusing on industry distribution and top holdings to ensure alignment with investment intentions and avoid redundancy in the portfolio [4] Part 02: Rational Fund Management - Avoid impulsive purchases driven by market trends, akin to emotional shopping, to prevent poor investment decisions [6] - Refrain from frequent redemptions, as high transaction costs can disrupt long-term strategies and lead to a cycle of chasing market trends [7] Part 03: Optimizing the Investment Portfolio - Regular maintenance of the investment portfolio is essential, similar to periodically cleaning a shopping cart [9] - Implement a "core-satellite" strategy, allocating 60%-80% to core assets for stability and 20%-40% to satellite assets for higher returns [10][11] - Conduct periodic reviews of the fund portfolio to rebalance and maintain the intended asset allocation, ensuring alignment with market conditions [13]

Core Insights - The article discusses the growing popularity of the CSI 300 Index as a tool for investors to capture market opportunities, with the total scale of ETFs tracking this index reaching 1.25 trillion yuan as of October 24, 2025 [2]. Group 1: Investment Strategies - The CSI 300 Index, comprising high-quality blue-chip stocks, is suitable for low-positioning strategies based on valuation indicators such as price-to-earnings (PE) and dividend yield [3]. - A phased investment approach is recommended, where investors can gradually buy into index products when the CSI 300 Index is at historically low valuation levels, thus mitigating timing risks [6]. - The article highlights the size and style rotation strategy, indicating that large-cap and small-cap stocks in the A-share market exhibit significant performance divergence influenced by economic cycles [7][10]. Group 2: Portfolio Strategies - The "Dumbbell Strategy" is introduced, which focuses on allocating assets with low correlation to balance risk and return, emphasizing a concentrated investment in both ends of the risk-return spectrum [15]. - For conservative investors, the CSI 300 Index can serve as an offensive asset, while for aggressive investors, it can be paired with high-growth sectors to create a more offensive portfolio [19]. - The "Core-Satellite Strategy" is discussed, where the core portion of the portfolio is invested in the CSI 300 Index for stable returns, while the satellite portion is allocated to other assets for tactical gains [20][23].

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of strategic investment over mere effort, highlighting that choosing the right direction can lead to compounding effects on time and money [3] Investment Opportunities - Three key sectors are identified for investment over the next five years: - **Technology Independence Sector**: Focus on hard tech fields such as artificial intelligence, semiconductors, and biomedicine, which are expected to reshape various industries [4] - **Healthcare Industry**: With China's rapid aging population, areas like elderly care, medical services, and health management are projected to become significant markets [4] - **Green Energy Sector**: The theme of carbon neutrality is seen as a long-term investment opportunity, with substantial growth potential in electric vehicles, photovoltaics, and energy storage [4] Investment Strategies - A suggested investment strategy combines both money and time: - Allocate 60% of funds to stable index funds, 20% to growth sectors like technology, healthcare, and green energy, and keep 20% in cash for future opportunities [5] Personal Development - The article stresses the importance of investing in personal skills and adaptability, suggesting that enhancing one's learning capabilities may yield higher returns than traditional investments [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the role of gold in retirement investment, emphasizing that while gold can serve as a stabilizing asset, it should not be the primary investment for retirement funds due to its lack of cash flow and high volatility [1][2][4]. Group 1: Role of Gold in Retirement Investment - Gold acts as a "ballast" rather than a "main force" in retirement portfolios, providing a hedge against market volatility due to its low correlation with traditional assets like stocks and bonds [2]. - In 2023, while the overall equity market, represented by the CSI 300 index, fell by 11%, gold prices increased by 16%, showcasing its ability to generate returns during market turmoil [3]. - Gold does not generate interest or dividends, making it less suitable for providing the stable cash flow needed for retirement expenses compared to dividend-paying index funds and government bonds [4][6]. Group 2: Limitations of Gold - Gold's inherent volatility is a significant drawback for retirement investments, as it may lead to forced selling during market downturns, disrupting long-term retirement plans [4][6]. - Historical data shows that the annualized volatility of the Nanhua Gold Index is 16%, significantly higher than the 1.6% of the China Bond Index, indicating that gold is more volatile than bonds but less so than stocks [6]. - The maximum drawdown for gold in the past two decades reached 48%, highlighting the risks associated with heavy allocations to gold in retirement portfolios [6]. Group 3: Recommended Asset Allocation for Retirement - A diversified asset allocation strategy is recommended for retirement, focusing on a "core-satellite" approach that balances stability and growth [7][8]. - Core assets should provide stable returns and cash flow, such as dividend-focused index funds and broad market indices, while satellite assets can enhance long-term returns and hedge specific risks [8]. - Gold can be included as a satellite asset, with a suggested allocation of 5%-10% to mitigate risks and provide additional stability without replacing income-generating assets [6][11].

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the advantages of investing in ETFs as a simpler strategy compared to individual stock picking, highlighting the common struggles of retail investors such as difficulty in stock selection, unstable mindset, and lack of time [1][2] - ETFs provide risk diversification through a basket of stocks, reducing the impact of individual company failures, as exemplified by the CSI 300 ETF covering 300 leading companies [1][2] - The article points out the cost-effectiveness of ETFs, with management fees typically below 0.5%, compared to actively managed funds which average around 1.5% [1][2] Group 2 - The article discusses the compounding effect of ETFs, illustrating that a monthly investment of 1,000 yuan at an annual return of 8% can grow to approximately 1.45 million yuan over 30 years [2] - Historical data shows that the CSI 300 index has achieved an annualized return of 8.2% over the past 15 years, even during market downturns [2] - The CSI 300 ETF includes major companies across various sectors, with the top ten holdings accounting for less than 30% of the index, minimizing the impact of any single company's volatility [2] Group 3 - The Nasdaq 100 ETF focuses on 100 non-financial tech giants in the US, achieving an annualized return of 12% over the past 20 years despite market fluctuations [3] - The low correlation between the Nasdaq 100 and A-shares provides a risk diversification benefit, as evidenced by the Nasdaq's recovery in 2023 after a downturn in 2022 [3] Group 4 - The article mentions that investing in ETFs may involve currency risk, but this has a minimal long-term impact on compounding [4] - It suggests that the allocation to such ETFs should not exceed 30%, positioning them as an aggressive part of an investment portfolio [5] Group 5 - Dividend-focused ETFs are characterized by stable businesses and strong cash flows, providing consistent dividends even during market downturns [6] - The article highlights the valuation advantage of dividend assets, with the CSI Dividend Index trading at a price-to-book ratio of approximately 0.8, compared to 1.3 for the CSI 300 [6] - Reinvesting dividends can significantly enhance compounding, with a 10-year cumulative return potentially exceeding cash dividends by 62% [6] Group 6 - The article recommends a "core-satellite" strategy for asset allocation: 50% in CSI 300 ETF, 30% in Nasdaq 100 ETF, and 20% in CSI Dividend ETF, balancing growth and defensive positions while diversifying geographic risks [6] - It advises against emotional trading behaviors, such as chasing high-performing ETFs during market surges or panic selling during downturns [6] Group 7 - Dollar-cost averaging is presented as a practical method to mitigate volatility, with historical backtesting indicating that investing in the CSI 300 ETF for over 10 years can yield an annualized return close to 8% [7] - The article suggests using a grid strategy for idle funds, adjusting positions based on market fluctuations [7] - Caution is advised during high valuation phases, and investors should avoid illiquid ETFs with low trading volumes [7]

Group 1 - The article discusses the importance of financial education and the role of the fund industry in promoting financial rights and improving quality of life [1] - It emphasizes the need for professional and in-depth research when heavily investing in a single industry to withstand market fluctuations [6] - The article highlights the distinction between core assets and satellite assets in investment strategies, where core assets provide stability and satellite assets aim for higher returns [12][14] Group 2 - Core assets typically constitute a larger portion of an investment portfolio, serving as a stabilizer to provide relatively stable returns [12] - Satellite assets, which occupy a smaller share, are used to enhance portfolio returns and diversify risk, especially during market opportunities [14][16] - The article suggests that the allocation of core and satellite assets should be adjusted based on individual risk tolerance and market conditions [19][25]