Group 1: Market Overview - The market showed a volatile recovery trend last week. Most indices opened lower on Monday and gradually recovered, but still ended the week with losses. The ChiNext Index led the decline, with a weekly drop of 1.67%. The non - bank financial and computer sectors were weak, with weekly declines of about 3.98% and 3.43% respectively, while the non - ferrous metals sector was prominent, with a weekly gain of 2.78% [1] - The market focus remained on the geopolitical situation. The geopolitical situation was still tense, and the uncertainty in the Strait of Hormuz supported high - level volatile energy prices. Overseas, the US dollar index continued to fluctuate strongly, and the US March PMI indicators were divided, leading to a further decline in market expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates. Domestically, the RMB exchange rate remained in a strong - oscillating pattern [1] Group 2: Options Market - In the options market last week, the implied volatility (IV) of various financial options rebounded. The IV of the STAR 50 options (IV = 29%) and ChiNext ETF options (IV = 24%) rose above the median of the past year. The IV of 50 and 300 options was in the range of 15% - 17%, and that of CSI 500 and CSI 1000 options was in the range of 25% - 28%. The PCR of most financial options was in the range of 60% - 80%, slightly lower than the previous week [2] Group 3: Strategy Outlook - The market may continue the volatile pattern, and the implied volatility of financial options will continue to rise. It is advisable to hold indices with relatively reasonable valuations, such as the SSE 50 and CSI 300, and consider selling out - of - the - money put options on the corresponding indices. For the STAR 50 Index, which has large recent fluctuations and high static valuations, if holding the underlying assets, one can consider buying out - of - the - money put options or selling out - of - the - money call options. If there are substantial spot gains, one can consider taking profits on the spot and keeping a small amount of long - term call options. The CSI 1000 - 2606 index futures basis has converged, and one can consider rolling over to the 2609 contract with a higher basis to form a covered call strategy [3] Group 4: Market Data - The report provides detailed data on various financial options, including the closing price, price change, IV, ΔIV (daily), historical quantile, IV median in the past year, option trading volume, and PCR of multiple underlying assets such as the SSE 50ETF, SSE 50 Index, CSI 300ETF, CSI 500ETF, CSI 1000 Index, ChiNext ETF, STAR 50ETF, and Shenzhen 100ETF [5] - It also presents data on the price, price change, IV of different months, and related quantiles of various underlying assets over different time periods, as well as information on IV term structure, intraday IV trends, skew index, smile curve, and the relationship between IV and trading volume [7][10][15]

Core Viewpoint - The continuous net inflow into the CSI 300 ETF over the past seven trading days serves as a stabilizing signal amidst a declining A-share market, indicating institutional confidence in current valuations [2][3]. Group 1: Market Performance and ETF Inflows - Since March 16, 2026, the CSI 300 ETF has seen a net inflow of approximately 12.9 billion yuan over seven consecutive trading days, marking the first significant inflow this year after a period of net selling since January [2]. - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced a decline of over 4% on March 23, 2026, but the CSI 300 ETF and other major ETFs like the SSE 50 ETF and CSI 500 ETF attracted net purchases of around 4.2 billion yuan and 4.2 billion yuan, respectively [2]. - Historical data shows that during periods of significant net buying in the CSI 300 ETF, the market tends to respond positively, with an average return of 1.28% for the CSI All Share Index during these inflow periods [7]. Group 2: Regulatory Support and Institutional Behavior - The People's Bank of China emphasized the importance of maintaining stability in financial markets, prioritizing stocks, bonds, and foreign exchange, which reflects a strong commitment to market stability [3]. - The behavior of institutional investors, particularly the "national team" such as Central Huijin and the central bank, often correlates with net buying in broad-based ETFs during market downturns, indicating a strategic approach to stabilize the market [3]. Group 3: Historical Analysis of ETF Buying Patterns - An analysis of the CSI 300 ETF's inflow patterns from 2024 onwards identified nine distinct periods of continuous net buying lasting seven days or more, with an average net purchase of approximately 73.2 billion yuan per period [5]. - The longest recorded net buying period was from July 15 to August 9, 2024, lasting 19 days with a total net inflow of about 127 billion yuan [5]. - Following the end of net buying periods, historical data indicates a high probability of market recovery, with average returns of 5.77% after 20 trading days and 7.80% after 40 trading days [10]. Group 4: Investment Strategy Recommendations - Investors are advised to monitor the net inflow trends of major ETFs like the CSI 300 ETF as a key timing signal for entering the market, particularly during significant net buying periods [15]. - For clients holding long positions in subjective or quantitative strategies, maintaining patience is recommended, as historical data suggests favorable returns in the months following periods of substantial ETF inflows [15].

Market Strategy - The report suggests that the recent market adjustments provide an upward space, with structural factors determining excess returns. The release of short-seller pressure has led to a broad market rebound, supported by a decline in domestic market risk evaluation amidst rising global risk assessments. This rebound reflects the attraction of long positions due to improved odds [7]. Sector Strategy - The report highlights the transition of the cycle towards manufacturing, with new energy leading the manufacturing market. The importance of energy independence has been emphasized due to geopolitical conflicts, suggesting that mid-cap blue-chip stocks will expand from a simple cyclical price increase logic to a broader focus on "safety" and "independence" [3][7]. - In the photovoltaic sector, the report anticipates a valuation recovery driven by the backdrop of energy independence. The current public fund holdings in the photovoltaic industry are only 1.16%, indicating significant room for growth compared to 5.69% in mid-2022. This under-allocation suggests a potential for valuation improvement as expectations become more favorable [4][7]. - The coal sector is expected to show upward elasticity due to geopolitical tensions. The report notes that the price of thermal coal, a vital resource, may face policy constraints, while coking coal demand could rise due to improved profitability in coking enterprises. This could lead to a rebound in coking coal prices driven by fundamental factors [5][7]. Thematic Strategy - The report identifies that the new energy sector, particularly photovoltaic power, is positioned to become a core focus within the manufacturing sector. The global demand for energy is expected to continue growing, and the development of new energy sources will be a necessary choice for fossil fuel-importing countries like China and European nations [7]. - Specific stocks such as Jiejia Weichuang, Foster, and Haiyou New Materials are mentioned as potential investment opportunities within the photovoltaic sector, while companies like Huaibei Mining, Pingmei Shenma, Shanxi Coking Coal, and Lu'an Environmental Energy are highlighted in the coal sector [7].

Market Pricing Status - The market trading activity has slightly decreased, with the profitability effect diminishing. The average daily trading volume for the entire A-share market has dropped to 22.11 trillion yuan, and the proportion of stocks rising has decreased to 10.6% [8][9] - The trading concentration in primary industries has decreased, while it has increased in secondary industries. The turnover rate for the petroleum and petrochemical industry is above 99% [8][16] A-Share Liquidity Tracking - Financing funds, foreign capital, and ETF funds have all seen slight outflows. The new issuance scale of equity funds has decreased to 24.54 billion yuan [8][27] - Foreign capital has flowed out of the A-share market by 5.32 million USD, with the northbound capital transaction proportion rising to 39.5% [8][44] A-Share Industry Allocation Tracking - Financing funds and ETF funds have both flowed out of the non-ferrous metals sector. The electronic and power equipment sectors have seen significant outflows of foreign capital [8][19] - The banking and non-bank financial sectors have experienced net inflows, while non-ferrous metals and basic chemicals have seen net outflows in ETF funds [8][19] Hong Kong and Global Liquidity Tracking - There has been a significant outflow of southbound funds, with global foreign capital marginally flowing into the US and Japanese markets. The Nasdaq index has decreased by 2.1% [8][22] - The net outflow of southbound funds has risen to 6.329 billion yuan, marking a significant level since 2022 [8][22]

Market Overview - As of March 20, 2026, the total market size of ETFs reached 5.10 trillion yuan, a decrease of 0.92 trillion yuan since the beginning of the year, with the number of listed ETFs increasing to 1,458, adding 55 new ones [2][26] - The stock-type ETFs accounted for 2.95 trillion yuan, while commodity-type ETFs saw a significant increase of 820.92 billion yuan to 3325.55 billion yuan, indicating sustained demand for hedging [2][26] - The top 20 fund companies experienced a general decline in ETF volumes, with significant pressure on equity sectors, leading to increased differentiation among leading institutions [2][8] Performance Analysis - The domestic equity market saw a substantial pullback, with the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices dropping by 6.00% and 5.29% respectively, while valuation levels remained historically high [11][12] - Defensive sectors did not perform well, with the power ETF declining by 2.97%, indicating that even traditionally safe investments were affected by market conditions [11][12] - The military and dividend ETFs had high PE ratios of 96.54 and 99.26 respectively, while the Hang Seng Technology ETF and pharmaceutical ETF remained at lower valuation levels, suggesting potential long-term investment appeal [11][18] Fund Flows - There was a marginal shift in fund flows, with broad-based ETFs seeing a net inflow of 126.08 billion yuan over the past five days, marking a return to positive territory for the first time recently [3][32] - However, over a 60-day period, broad-based ETFs still experienced a net outflow of 10,101.11 billion yuan, indicating ongoing mid-term pressure [3][32] - The recent inflow into the ChiNext index of 52.59 billion yuan suggests a notable shift of funds from safe-haven assets towards growth-oriented equities [21][32] Trading Activity - The trading volume of ETFs reached approximately 2.58 trillion yuan, reflecting a decrease from the previous week, with a notable shift of funds from bonds to equities and cross-border investments [39][41] - The trading activity of bond ETFs decreased significantly, while stock-type ETFs, particularly those related to the A500 index, remained highly active [41][45] - The turnover rate for bond ETFs showed a downward trend, indicating a shift in trading frequency and a potential move towards more stable asset allocations [42][45] Issuance Dynamics - A total of 10 ETFs were listed last week, with a combined share of 3.633 billion, indicating a recovery in supply [49][51] - The number of ETFs currently in issuance decreased to 49, while the number of newly established funds increased significantly to 47, suggesting a more robust supply side for the market [49][51] - Future listings are expected to be limited, with only three ETFs announced for the next two weeks, reflecting a potential contraction in supply [51]

ETF Market Overview - As of March 23, 2026, the total number of ETFs in the market reached 2,310, with a total scale of 1,234.5 billion yuan and a weekly trading volume of 123.4 billion yuan. The number of newly added funds this week was 13 [1][3]. - Equity funds dominate the market, with thematic equity funds accounting for 30.6% of the total number, and their scale reaching 1,234.5 billion yuan, representing 60.1% of the total scale. Bond ETFs had the highest weekly trading volume, accounting for 25.3% [1][4]. Fund Inflow and Outflow - The inflow of funds last week was primarily concentrated in broad-based indices and bond ETFs, with the top inflow being the Short-term Bond ETF from Hai Fu Tong, which saw an inflow of 1.2 billion yuan. The latest scale of this fund is 12.3 billion yuan [5][6]. - In contrast, resource and chemical ETFs experienced significant outflows, with the chemical ETF seeing an outflow of 1.2 billion yuan, and the non-ferrous metal ETF experiencing an outflow of 1.1 billion yuan [7][8]. Industry Sector Fund Flow - Only the financial real estate and pharmaceutical sectors saw a slight net inflow of funds, with the financial real estate sector receiving 1.2 billion yuan and the pharmaceutical sector 0.3 billion yuan. Other sectors, including consumption and technology, experienced net outflows [13][14]. New ETF Listings - Last week, a total of 13 new ETFs were listed, all of which were equity funds covering various sectors, themes, and cross-border categories. The largest new listing was the Agricultural and Fishery ETF from Invesco, with a scale of 1.2 billion yuan [16][17]. Core Broad-based Index and ETF Performance - The performance of core broad-based indices showed significant divergence, with the ChiNext index rising against the trend, achieving a weekly return of 3.5%. In contrast, the CSI 300 index saw the largest weekly decline of 2.3% [18][19].

Market Strategy - The report suggests that the market is currently in a "bottomed" state despite fluctuations, indicating a potential for recovery in the medium term. Investors are encouraged to focus on mid-cap blue-chip stocks during this period [2][6]. - The external shocks from geopolitical conflicts have largely been priced in by the market, leading to a decrease in risk perception within the domestic market, which supports a stable A-share market [2][6]. Sector Strategy - The report highlights that rising energy prices are positively impacting the agricultural sector, suggesting a strong investment opportunity due to the upward pressure on agricultural product prices caused by geopolitical disturbances [4][6]. - The agricultural sector is expected to benefit from increased production costs, which may lead to a consolidation of inefficient players and improve overall industry dynamics [4][6]. Thematic Strategy - The report emphasizes the importance of energy security, particularly in the photovoltaic sector, where new national standards are being developed to enhance safety and reliability. This shift is expected to benefit key manufacturers and core material suppliers in the solar industry [5][6]. - The report identifies specific investment opportunities in the agricultural sector, recommending stocks such as Hainan Rubber (601118), Longping High-Tech (000998), Muyuan Foods (002714), and Haida Group (002311) [4][6].

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a collective decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index narrowly holding above the 4000-point mark, closing down 1.39% at 4006.55 points. The Shenzhen Component Index fell 2.02% to 13901.57 points, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 1.11% to 3309.10 points. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 21.275 billion, an increase of 663 million from the previous day [3][4]. Market Dynamics - The market faced a dual decline in both indices and individual stocks, primarily due to two factors: the psychological impact of the 4000-point threshold prompting risk-averse behavior among investors, and escalating Middle East conflicts coupled with significant declines in U.S. stocks raising concerns over persistently high oil prices. This situation could lead to a stagflation scenario, negatively impacting the global economy and capital markets [5][6]. Sector Performance - The banking sector showed notable support for the market, while the "three major oil companies" benefited from expectations of rising oil prices, which also positively influenced the power and coal sectors. However, the overall support from these sectors was limited, failing to replicate the previous day's strong performance. The insurance and securities sectors were significant contributors to the market decline, with insurance stocks dropping 2.26% and securities stocks falling 1.06% [6][7]. Commodity Trends - Precious metals and various non-ferrous metal sectors were the main contributors to today's market pullback, with gold prices falling to around 4750, marking a daily decline of 2.94%. The relationship between gold and oil prices is noteworthy, as oil prices initially rose by 3.89% before retreating to near flat levels. This trend challenges the pricing logic for precious and non-ferrous metals, warranting close market attention [7]. Hong Kong Market Activity - Notably, there was a reverse inflow of funds into the Hong Kong stock market, with a total trading volume of approximately 25 billion Hong Kong dollars, indicating that some investors are taking advantage of lower prices to position themselves in Hong Kong stocks [8].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The overall trend in the ETF market last week was that domestic equities generally declined, with high - valuation broad - based indices under pressure. Bonds provided a hedge, and sectors with defensive or resource attributes such as electricity were relatively dominant. There was a clear migration of funds from equity broad - based ETFs to gold, fixed - income, and some thematic ETFs, showing an obvious defensive tendency [22][23][33]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Scale: Total Expansion and Structural Stratification (Market/Product/Institution) 3.1.1 Product Scale - As of March 13, 2026, the total number of ETFs in the whole market was 1,456, with a total scale of 52,528.30 billion yuan and 33,707.47 billion shares. Stock - type ETFs were the main force in terms of scale, with 1,131 funds, a scale of 30,551.01 billion yuan, and 21,147.17 billion shares. Compared with the previous week, the overall share increased by 400 million, but the scale decreased by 50.2 billion yuan. The number of stock - type ETFs remained unchanged, the share increased by 1.6 billion, but the scale decreased by 33.1 billion yuan [15][16]. 3.1.2 Institution Scale - Last week, the top 20 fund companies managed a total net asset value of 23 trillion yuan, accounting for 62% of the whole market, indicating significant industry concentration. E Fund and China Asset Management led in total scale with a more balanced structure. Tianhong was more focused on the money - market type. The scale fluctuations last week mainly came from the stock - type and ETF segments, with a "reduction" trend in the equity and ETF segments of the market, and more incremental funds concentrated in a few medium - sized institutions [18][19][20]. 3.2 Performance: Differentiated Gains and Losses and Valuation Positions 3.2.1 Major ETFs - Last week, the domestic equity market was generally weak, with broad - based indices generally retreating. The valuation quantiles of medium - and small - cap indices were at relatively high levels, indicating weakening market risk appetite. Structurally, there were obvious differences. The power ETF rose by 3.88%, showing defensive attributes, while the securities ETF fell by 1.68% due to systematic market adjustments rather than high valuations. Bonds strengthened slightly, and cross - border (QDII) ETFs were also weak, with the Hang Seng Tech Index ETF relatively resistant to decline and at a low historical valuation quantile [22][23]. 3.2.2 CITIC First - level Industry Index - Last week, industry performance showed obvious differentiation. Most industries had relatively high valuation quantiles but different trends. Strong industries were concentrated in the high - valuation range, while low - valuation sectors were generally weak [28]. 3.2.3 Representative ETF Products - As of March 13, 2026, in terms of scale, the Huatai - Peregrine SSE 300 ETF ranked first with 205.803 billion yuan. In terms of trading activity, bond - type ETFs were prominent, and in terms of valuation, some ETFs such as the military - leading ETF and the dividend ETF were at historical high levels, while the Hang Seng Tech ETF and the pharmaceutical ETF were at historical low levels, which were attractive for long - term investors [29]. 3.3 Funds: Sector Liquidity and Net Inflow Structure 3.3.1 Overall Market Overview: Scale and Net Redemption - As of March 13, 2026, the total scale of the whole - market ETFs reached 5.25 trillion yuan, slightly shrinking by 0.77 trillion yuan compared with the beginning of the year. The number of listed ETFs increased to 1,452, an increase of 52 compared with the beginning of the year. Stock - type ETFs were still the main force in scale, but their scale decreased by 0.78 trillion yuan compared with the beginning of the year. Commodity - type ETFs performed the best, with a significant increase of 109.841 billion yuan compared with the beginning of the year [36]. 3.3.2 Major Category of Funds: Stocks/Bonds/Commodities/Cross - border - Last week, funds generally showed a defensive tendency. Broad - based ETFs continued to have net outflows, while industry - thematic ETFs and commodity ETFs had net inflows. The SGE Gold 9999 had the largest net inflow, indicating a strong demand for hedging [4][32]. 3.3.3 Internal Equity: Broad - based vs. Industry/Theme vs. Strategy - As of March 13, 2026, the funds of major broad - based ETFs were generally weak, with continuous net outflows. Thematic ETFs and cyclical manufacturing ETFs were the main directions of fund inflows, while broad - based ETFs continued to be under pressure, indicating an obvious migration of existing funds from broad - based to thematic and cyclical directions [49]. 3.3.4 Top 20 Stock - type ETF Redemption Net Inflows - Last week, power and hedging assets were the main directions pursued by funds. The Grid Equipment ETF had the largest net inflow, followed by the Haifutong Short - term Financing ETF and the Free Cash Flow ETF. The Hang Seng Tech ETF did not appear in the top 10 list, indicating a weakening of short - term capital momentum for Hong Kong technology stocks [53]. 3.3.5 Leveraged Funds: Top 20 Net Margin Purchases and the Relationship with Redemption - Last week, the Bosera Convertible Bond ETF had the largest net margin purchase, followed by the Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF and the E Fund Hong Kong Securities ETF. There were four typical relationships between margin trading and redemption, and the overall resonance of redemption and margin trading in the market was weak last week [55][56]. 3.4 ETF Trading Congestion 3.4.1 Changes in Trading Volume and Top 10 Turnover ETFs - As of March 13, 2026, the total trading volume of the ETF market was about 2.7 trillion yuan, with the increase mainly coming from bond - type ETFs, followed by stock - type ETFs. The trading volume of bond - type ETFs showed high turnover and high trading volume, and the trading congestion of bond - type ETFs was significantly differentiated. In stock - type ETFs, A500 - related ETFs were the most active in trading, and the trading of large - cap styles still dominated the market [60][63][66]. 3.5 Issuance Dynamics - Last week, the ETF issuance market declined. There were 66 funds being issued, a decrease of 14.29% compared with the previous week. 30 funds were established, an increase of 328.57% compared with the previous week, and 0 funds were listed, a decrease of 100% compared with the previous week. It is expected that 10 ETFs will be listed in the next two weeks, mainly stock - type, covering multiple themes. New products in some directions may be able to承接 existing capital enthusiasm, while the short - term trading activity of new products in some directions may be limited [76][78].

Market Overview - As of March 6, 2026, the total market size of ETFs reached 5.30 trillion yuan, a decrease of 0.72 trillion yuan since the beginning of the year, with the number of listed ETFs increasing to 1,445, adding 45 new listings [2][22] - The stock-type ETFs accounted for 3.09 trillion yuan, while bond-type ETFs totaled 737.49 billion yuan, and commodity-type ETFs increased by 106.15 billion yuan to 356.61 billion yuan, driven by strong demand for gold as a safe haven [2][22] Performance Disparity - Last week, leading military industry ETFs and dividend ETFs had PE percentiles close to 100, while the Hang Seng Technology ETF (15.57), pharmaceutical ETF (32.73), and electric power ETF (44.71) remained at historical low valuations, indicating potential investment opportunities [2][12][18] - The performance of various sectors showed significant divergence, with cyclical manufacturing ETFs like oil rising by 8.20%, while broader indices like the CSI 300 and CSI 500 experienced declines of 1.23% and 3.62%, respectively [12][16] Fund Flows - Overall, funds showed a defensive tendency last week, with broad-based ETFs experiencing net outflows, while commodity (gold) and fixed-income ETFs attracted capital, with SGE gold seeing a net inflow of 877.57 billion yuan year-to-date [3][20] - The main inflow channels were thematic ETFs (+2,016 billion yuan) and cyclical manufacturing ETFs (+1,443 billion yuan), indicating a clear trend of capital migrating from broad-based ETFs to thematic and cyclical sectors [3][33] Issuance Dynamics - The issuance of ETFs accelerated last week, with 77 ETFs in the process of being issued (up 48% week-on-week), and 12 new funds established (up 140%) [4][52] - New products primarily focused on energy sectors, with electric grid equipment, electric power, and photovoltaic ETFs dominating the new listings, reflecting current market trends [4][52] Trading Activity - The total trading volume of ETFs was approximately 2.9 trillion yuan last week, with bond-type ETFs leading the increase, followed by stock-type ETFs [39] - The short-term bond ETF from Hai Fu Tong had a weekly trading volume of 2,991.97 billion yuan, indicating high liquidity in the bond market [41] Valuation Insights - The valuation structure showed that core broad-based ETFs remained relatively stable, while growth and small-cap valuations were more volatile, reflecting a higher sensitivity to market fluctuations [12][18] - The Hang Seng Technology ETF and other low-valuation sectors like pharmaceuticals are attracting attention for potential long-term investments due to their historical low PE percentiles [18][20]