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纯电转型不利,跨国车企竞相“押注”混合动力
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-08-01 07:40
Group 1 - The global automotive industry is shifting towards hybrid and plug-in hybrid technologies due to slowing growth in the pure electric vehicle (EV) market, prompting companies to adjust their product strategies [1][2][3] - Hyundai has introduced a new generation hybrid system based on a "P1+P2" dual-motor structure, which will debut in the new generation Palisade SUV and aims to expand its hybrid product lineup from three to five models by 2026 [1] - Honda plans to reduce its pure EV sales target to below 30% by 2030, focusing instead on hybrid models with a goal of selling 2.2 million hybrid vehicles by 2030 [1] Group 2 - Ford has adjusted its electric strategy due to ongoing losses in its EV division, deciding to offer hybrid versions of all gasoline models by 2030 and delaying some EV launches [2] - Volvo has unveiled a new SMA super hybrid platform, marking its entry into the super hybrid market with the launch of the new XC70 [2] - The Chinese market shows a high acceptance of plug-in hybrid technology, with significant growth in sales, while hybrid vehicles are becoming a key profit driver for multinational automakers [2][3] Group 3 - In Europe, the sales of pure electric vehicles are projected to decline by 1.3% in 2024, while hybrid vehicle sales are expected to grow by 20% to 4.06 million units [3] - In China, the production and sales of new energy vehicles reached 6.968 million and 6.937 million units in the first half of the year, with a year-on-year growth of 41.4% and 40.3% respectively [3] - The automotive industry's future competitiveness will depend on product updates, sales channel strength, and market share, highlighting the importance of balancing traditional and new energy strategies [3]
汽车巨头电气化“大撤退”
汽车商业评论· 2025-07-29 23:08
Core Viewpoint - The global automotive industry is experiencing a shift from aggressive electric vehicle (EV) strategies to a more cautious approach, with many companies now favoring hybrid models as a transitional solution amid market challenges [2][3][4]. Group 1: Company Strategies - Mazda has paused its pure electric push and is focusing on plug-in hybrid models, reflecting a cautious strategy in response to lower-than-expected EV demand [9][10]. - Lexus has postponed its goal of full electrification by 2035, extending the lifecycle of existing hybrid and fuel models due to consumer concerns over EV range anxiety [14][15][17]. - Audi has reversed its plan to stop developing internal combustion engine vehicles, indicating a continued commitment to hybrid technology [23]. - Mercedes-Benz has adjusted its strategy to allow for a coexistence of fuel and electric vehicles, relaxing its 2030 electrification target [24]. - BMW has restarted its development of range-extended hybrid technology and lowered its sales expectations for electric models by over 20% [25]. Group 2: Market Trends - There is a growing consumer preference for hybrid vehicles, as evidenced by Ford's report of a 30% increase in traditional hybrid sales, while EV sales have declined significantly [31][32]. - The automotive industry is in a transitional phase where traditional technologies remain crucial for competitiveness and profitability, with hybrid technology reaffirming its strategic value during this period [34].
中国品牌欧销大增85% 锂电本土布局见效
高工锂电· 2025-07-10 10:41
Core Insights - The European automotive market is experiencing a significant shift towards hybrid vehicles, with plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) leading the growth, marking 2025 as a pivotal year for the industry [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Trends - In May 2025, the market share of hybrid vehicles (including HEVs and PHEVs) reached 43.3%, surpassing traditional fuel vehicles for the first time [1] - PHEV sales saw a robust year-on-year growth of 46.9%, nearly double the growth rate of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) at 25% [1] - The market share of pure electric vehicles is slowly increasing to around 15%, indicating a preference for hybrid solutions among European consumers [1] Group 2: Chinese Automakers' Performance - Chinese automotive brands achieved total sales exceeding 60,000 units in Europe in May 2025, marking an 85% year-on-year increase and a market share rise to 5.4%-5.9% from 2.9% [2][3] - BYD's registrations in the EU and UK surged by 397% in May, leveraging a strategy that combines pure electric and hybrid models to navigate impending tariffs on pure electric vehicles [2] - The export volume of Chinese PHEVs grew by 240% year-on-year in May 2025, significantly outpacing pure electric vehicle exports [3] Group 3: Strategic Shifts - Leading Chinese automakers are shifting focus from product exports to local production and ecosystem development in Europe [4] - BYD announced the establishment of its European headquarters in Hungary, with plans for manufacturing facilities to be operational by 2026-2027 [4] - A collaborative ecosystem for lithium battery production is emerging in Hungary, with major players like CATL and others establishing operations [4] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - European automakers are responding to the rise of hybrids by launching new generations of hybrid models, intensifying competition in the hybrid technology market [3] - Local manufacturers are introducing affordable pure electric models, with new entries priced between €15,000 and €30,000, which could stimulate consumer demand [6] - The market is transitioning into a post-subsidy era, presenting challenges in balancing production costs, supply chain resilience, and stringent carbon emission regulations [6]
路博润助力龙蟠混动润滑油成功上市,共创润滑新未来
Sou Hu Wang· 2025-06-27 06:35
Core Insights - Lubrizol has successfully launched a new hybrid system-specific lubricant product in collaboration with Jiangsu Longpan Technology Co., Ltd, a leading independent lubricant brand in China, showcasing its innovative technology's role in advancing the hybrid vehicle industry and low-carbon transition in China [1][3] - The new lubricant product is tailored to meet the unique requirements of hybrid systems, utilizing Lubrizol's latest PV1710 additive, which enhances core protection performance and overall product performance [3][4] - The partnership combines Lubrizol's innovation capabilities with Longpan Technology's market leadership, aiming to accelerate the transition of the automotive industry towards more efficient and low-carbon hybrid technologies [4] Company Overview - Lubrizol is a specialty chemicals company under Berkshire Hathaway, focused on providing sustainable solutions to improve mobility and enhance quality of life [5] - Established in 1928, Lubrizol operates globally with production facilities, sales, and technical offices, employing nearly 7,000 people and serving customers in over 100 countries [5]
跨国车企为何对混动“真香”了?
Core Viewpoint - Increasing number of multinational automakers are shifting their focus from pure electric vehicles to hybrid technology, following Toyota's lead, due to slowing growth in the electric vehicle market [2][3][6] Group 1: Company Strategies - Honda announced a shift in its electric vehicle strategy, reducing its investment from 10 trillion yen to 7 trillion yen and lowering its target for electric vehicle sales to below 30% by 2030 [3][10] - Ford plans to introduce hybrid versions of all its gasoline models by 2030 and has postponed the launch of some electric models due to ongoing losses in its electric vehicle division [4][5] - Mercedes-Benz and other automakers have also abandoned their aggressive electric-only strategies, opting for a diversified product lineup that includes hybrids [5][6] Group 2: Market Trends - In Q1 of this year, global sales of hybrid vehicles surpassed those of pure electric vehicles, with hybrids accounting for 16% of the market compared to 14.5% for pure electric [6][7] - In Europe, hybrid vehicle sales are projected to reach 4.06 million units in 2024, a 20% increase year-on-year, while sales of pure electric vehicles are expected to decline by 1.3% [7][8] - The U.S. market is also seeing a significant rise in hybrid vehicle sales, with a 36.7% increase year-on-year, contributing to overall new car sales growth [7][8] Group 3: Policy and Economic Factors - Changes in U.S. policy under the current administration have created uncertainty in the electric vehicle market, leading to a reassessment of electric vehicle strategies by automakers [8][9] - In Europe, the EU has softened its emissions targets and regulations, allowing for more flexibility in the transition to electric vehicles, which has influenced automakers' strategies [9][10] Group 4: Financial Performance - Ford's electric vehicle division reported a pre-tax loss of $5.1 billion in 2024, prompting a reevaluation of its electric vehicle strategy [11][12] - In contrast, Toyota's hybrid vehicle sales grew by 23.6% in the last fiscal year, contributing to a record net profit of 4.765 trillion yen [12][13] Group 5: Technological Developments - Hybrid technology is evolving, with companies like Toyota and Honda investing in new systems that improve fuel efficiency and reduce costs [14][15] - The rise of plug-in hybrids and range-extended vehicles is gaining traction, particularly in the Chinese market, as automakers adapt to changing consumer preferences [15][16]
对话王瑞平:混合动力技术将向智能化精细化持续演进 | 高端访谈
Core Viewpoint - Hybrid power technology has become a global automotive industry hotspot, with a consensus on the trends of intelligence and precision in the future development of hybrid power technology [1] Industry Position and Advantages - China's hybrid power technology has developed significantly, with domestic automakers possessing mature technical solutions. In 2022, China's hybrid vehicle sales reached 5.4 million, accounting for 45% of global hybrid sales, supported by a robust new energy industry chain [3][4] - The Chinese automotive market produces over 30 million vehicles annually, with more than 10 million being new energy vehicles, highlighting the substantial market demand for hybrid models [3] Global Market Adaptation - As Chinese automakers expand globally, understanding target market regulations and charging infrastructure is crucial. For instance, Germany's urban population density is 233 people per square kilometer, while China's is 670, facilitating faster charging station development [4] - User characteristics in different markets, such as the demand for towing in Europe, necessitate adjustments in vehicle power and torque, indicating the need for tailored approaches in hybrid vehicle development [4] Market Trends and Innovations - The Shanghai Auto Show showcased a variety of new hybrid models, primarily from domestic brands, indicating a shift towards advanced intelligent technologies in hybrid development [6] - The hybrid technology landscape is characterized by diversity and differentiation, with different vehicle types adopting various configurations to meet specific performance needs [6] Cost Efficiency and Performance Enhancement - Hybrid vehicles can achieve lower overall costs compared to pure electric vehicles by reducing battery capacity and integrating internal combustion engines with electric motors, addressing range anxiety while maintaining similar driving characteristics [8] - Future innovations in hybrid technology should focus on deep technical advancements to reduce costs and enhance performance through high-speed, high-pressure, and integrated designs [8] Methanol Fuel Development - Geely has invested over 20 years in methanol vehicle development, with nearly 40,000 methanol vehicles in the market, particularly in commercial and taxi sectors. The company has successfully integrated methanol fuel with hybrid technology [10][11] - The flexible fuel technology being developed will allow for a mix of methanol and gasoline, enhancing user choice and supporting the dual carbon goals [10][11] Policy Impact on Hybrid Technology - The transition from "dual credit" to "carbon credit" management is expected to benefit hybrid technology by highlighting its energy-saving advantages over the entire lifecycle, potentially increasing pressure on pure electric vehicles [13] - This policy shift could encourage the development of more energy-efficient fuel vehicles and improve the overall efficiency of hybrid systems [13] Future Development Directions - The hybrid technology market in China has matured, with significant cost advantages due to scale effects. Future developments will focus on enhancing engine thermal efficiency, aiming for 50% by 2030, and adapting to the needs of high-capacity, long-range hybrid vehicles [14][15] - The coexistence of plug-in hybrids and range-extended electric vehicles is anticipated, with new hybrid applications, such as off-road vehicles, expected to grow [14][15]
多元并举 融合创新 “混”出全球汽车动力系统协同创赢最优解
Core Viewpoint - The global automotive industry is actively contributing to the carbon neutrality goal through diverse technological innovations and collaborative efforts across the entire industry chain [2][29]. Group 1: Market Trends and Data - By 2024, electric vehicles will account for 14% of the global passenger car power market, while hybrid models (including HEV, PHEV, REEV) will represent 16%, surpassing the share of pure electric vehicles [2]. - The hybrid technology is increasingly recognized as a key direction for the transformation and upgrading of automotive power technologies [3][29]. - The penetration rate of electric vehicles in the Chinese market is expected to reach 75% by 2030, with a global forecast of 60% [34]. Group 2: Industry Collaboration and Innovation - The fifth International Forum on Automotive Power Systems emphasized the importance of collaboration among government, industry, academia, and enterprises to drive innovation in hybrid technology [3][10]. - The Shanghai government is enhancing the business environment to support the development of green innovation and multi-technology paths for enterprises [6][8]. - The integration of various technologies and collaborative innovation is essential for the rapid advancement of hybrid technology [14][33]. Group 3: Technological Development and Future Outlook - The development of hybrid technology is seen as a critical step towards achieving low-carbon transformation in the automotive industry, with a focus on improving engine thermal efficiency and integrating electric and internal combustion technologies [16][30]. - The hybrid power system is expected to play a significant role in the global transition to electric vehicles, with a projected market share distribution of 30% for pure electric, 30% for hybrid, and 40% for fuel vehicles by 2030 [34]. - The rise of methanol-hydrogen hybrid technology is highlighted as a successful practice in diversifying low-carbon technology routes for commercial vehicles in China [25][36].
2025年中国混合动力汽车行业科学研究现状 近年来研究热度有所下降【组图】
Qian Zhan Wang· 2025-04-27 10:00
Core Viewpoint - The research on hybrid vehicles in China has shown a declining trend in the number of related academic papers from 2016 to 2024, with a projected total of 272 papers in 2024, indicating a decrease in research interest in this field [3]. Group 1: Definition and Market Trends - Hybrid vehicles are defined as vehicles that utilize two or more power sources, specifically combining traditional internal combustion engines with electric power sources [1]. - The increasing environmental awareness and rising fuel prices have led to a growing consumer preference for hybrid vehicles, which are categorized into three main types: Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEV), Hybrid Electric Vehicles (HEV), and Range-Extended Electric Vehicles (REEV) [1]. Group 2: Research Output and Institutions - Higher education institutions are the primary contributors to the literature on hybrid vehicles, with Jilin University leading by publishing 410 related papers [5]. - The overall research output in the hybrid vehicle sector has been declining, with a notable drop in the number of papers published in recent years [3]. Group 3: Research Themes and Disciplines - Hybrid technology is identified as a popular research theme within the hybrid vehicle sector, alongside control strategies and HEV-related studies [8]. - The automotive industry is recognized as a key research discipline in the hybrid vehicle field, with significant contributions also coming from industrial economics and electric power industries [9].
专论 || 韩志玉:重卡低碳转型:混合动力与低碳燃料迭代发展
Core Insights - Heavy-duty trucks are significant contributors to carbon emissions in the transportation sector, with global transport accounting for approximately 22% of CO2 emissions, and China's heavy trucks contributing nearly 40% of the industry's emissions despite only representing 3.1% of total vehicles [2] - The transition to low-carbon solutions for heavy-duty trucks is a key focus for the automotive industry, with diverse pathways including pure electric, hybrid, and low-carbon fuels [2] Hybrid Technology: A Golden Solution for Efficiency - Hybrid systems in heavy-duty trucks combine diesel and electric power, offering advantages over traditional diesel engines in terms of energy efficiency, environmental impact, and total cost of ownership (TCO) [3][4] - In standard conditions, hybrid heavy-duty trucks can reduce fuel consumption by 15% compared to traditional diesel trucks, with potential savings of up to 20% in real-world scenarios [3][4] - The TCO for hybrid trucks is lower over a million-kilometer lifespan, saving approximately 270,000 yuan compared to diesel trucks, while also reducing CO2 emissions by 163 tons [4] Fuel Choices: Balancing Energy Consumption and Costs - LNG and methanol heavy-duty trucks have lower TCO compared to diesel and pure electric trucks, with LNG sales increasing significantly due to its economic advantages [6] - The energy consumption of LNG and methanol trucks is about 15% higher than diesel, while pure electric trucks have the highest efficiency [6][7] - The TCO for LNG trucks is less sensitive to energy price fluctuations, making them a more stable option in the current market [7] Carbon Emissions Overview: From Operation to Energy Cycle - The carbon emissions from heavy-duty trucks must consider both operational emissions and those from the energy production process, with hybrid technology reducing operational CO2 emissions by 14% to 19% [9][10] - The production methods for fuels like methanol and hydrogen significantly impact their overall carbon footprint, with coal-derived fuels resulting in higher emissions compared to diesel [10] - The transition to low-carbon fuels requires advancements in production processes to ensure that the overall carbon emissions are reduced [10][11] Policy Levers: Driving Technology Adoption - Government policies, such as carbon trading mechanisms, can incentivize the adoption of low-carbon technologies in the heavy-duty truck sector [12] - Subsidies for hydrogen trucks and exemptions from toll fees can significantly reduce TCO, encouraging more companies to adopt hydrogen technology [12] - The promotion of hybrid technology and green fuels through policy measures can facilitate a transition towards a more sustainable heavy-duty truck industry [12][13] Conclusion: Collaborative Advancement of Green Transition - A comprehensive evaluation of new powertrains and fuels is essential for the heavy-duty truck sector, with hybrid technology emerging as a leading solution for energy efficiency and carbon reduction [13] - The industry must balance the economic benefits of LNG and methanol with the need for improved engine efficiency and lower emissions [13] - The path to a greener heavy-duty truck industry will involve a combination of hybridization and low-carbon fuel adoption, tailored to specific transportation scenarios [13]