Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with operating income reaching 70.041 billion yuan, up 26.0% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 14.799 billion yuan, up 33.5% [2] - The company's new business value (NBV) showed remarkable growth of 58.4% year-on-year, reaching 6.182 billion yuan, driven by rapid growth in first-year premium income and improved business quality [3] - The total investment return rate has significantly improved, with total investment income of 45.288 billion yuan, up 43.3% year-on-year, and an annualized total investment return rate of 5.9%, up 1.1 percentage points [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 700.41 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.0%, and a net profit of 147.99 billion yuan, up 33.5% [2] - The company's net assets attributable to shareholders decreased by 13.3% year-on-year to 834.07 billion yuan, with a weighted average ROE of 15.93%, an increase of 4.72 percentage points year-on-year [2] New Business Value - The NBV reached 6.182 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 58.4%, primarily due to a rapid increase in first-year premium income [3] - The first-year premium income for long-term insurance was 39.622 billion yuan, up 113.1% year-on-year, with first-year regular premium income at 25.528 billion yuan, up 64.9% [3] Investment Returns - The company's investment assets totaled 1.71 trillion yuan, an increase of 5.1% from the previous year [4] - The annualized comprehensive investment return rate was 6.3%, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net investment return was 234.60 billion yuan, up 9.2% year-on-year [4] Profit Forecast - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting revenues of 132.6 billion yuan in 2025, with net profits of 26.238 billion yuan and EPS of 8.41 yuan [5] - The projected NBV for 2025 is 6.675 billion yuan, with corresponding PEV ratios of 0.76 for 2025 [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 77.49 CNY per share [6][13]. Core Insights - The company's net profit for the first half of 2025 increased by 33.5% year-on-year, primarily driven by improved investment returns [13]. - The net asset value decreased by 13.3% compared to the beginning of the year, mainly due to the impact of declining interest rates and negative effects from the assessment methods of insurance contract liabilities [13]. - The new business value (NBV) grew significantly by 58.4% in the first half of 2025, attributed to a rapid increase in new single premiums, which rose by 100.5% year-on-year [13]. - The company’s annualized net investment return rate was 3.0%, slightly down by 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the annualized total investment return rate improved to 5.9%, up by 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [13]. Financial Summary - For 2023, the company is projected to have a revenue of 71,547 million CNY, with a net profit of 8,712 million CNY [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 8.65 CNY, reflecting a growth trajectory [14]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 27% in 2024 and stabilize at 28% from 2025 to 2027 [4][14]. - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 1,861,048 million CNY by 2025, with total liabilities of 1,764,056 million CNY [14][15]. Investment Structure - The investment asset portfolio reached 1.71 trillion CNY in the first half of 2025, marking a 5.1% increase from the beginning of the year [13]. - The company’s investment structure includes 56.4% in debt-type investments and 15.2% in equity-type investments for 2023 [15].

8月29日开盘，A股三大主要股指持续走强，截至截稿,保险精选指数涨幅达3.51%,保险主题指数涨幅 2.64%,居涨幅榜前列。 消息面上,近期上市险企中报密集披露，保险企业资负共振，盈利能力亮眼。一般来说，保费收入以及 投资收益这两大指标是评估一家保险公司健康状况和经营能力的核心指标，通常被称为保险公司的"双 轮驱动"或"双引擎"。 图片来源：wind ,8月28日 风险提示：投研观点不代表公司立场，不构成投资建议，不代表基金实际持仓或未来投向保证。观点具 有时效性。文中个股不做推荐。 (责任编辑：叶景) 除了保费出现明显数据好转外，此前保险公司纷纷调低预定利率，引导负债成本逐渐下降，利差损压力 得以缓解。 投资端来看，受益于今年股市上行，保险公司投资收益率表现较好，资产端也出现贡献弹性。其中得益 于权益资产结构优化以及把握市场机会兑现投资收益，新华保险上半年年化总投资收益率 5.9%，同比 增加1.1%,中国平安综合投资收益率3.1%,同比增加0.3%,中国人寿在资产配置方面，降低了固定收益类资 产的配置比例，提升了权益类资产的配置比例，投资收益或受益于近期股市情绪提振。 Wind数据显示，截至8月28日， ...

保险板块14日盘中大幅拉升，截至发稿，中国太保、新华保险涨超5%，中国平安、中国人保涨逾3%， 中国人寿涨超2%。 港股方面，阳光保险大涨超8%，中国太保涨近7%，新华保险、中国人寿、中国太平等涨逾5%。 消息面上，今年以来，险资举牌不断。港交所股权披露信息显示，中国平安于8月11日以每股均价 32.0655港元买入中国太保H股，合计买入174.14万股，共耗资超5583万港元。本次买入后，中国平安持 有中国太保H股股份占其已发行的有投票权股份的比例为5.04%，触发举牌。据悉，这是时隔六年再现 险企举牌险企。 行业方面，近期保险行业负债端再迎利好，人身险预定利率进一步下调，传统人身险从2.5%直接降到 2%。东莞证券指出，短期内，预定利率下调可能会引起阶段性产品停售潮，随着预定利率正式下调、 产品价格上涨，普通型人身险产品吸引力下降，新单保费增长面临一定压力。从长期看，有助于推动保 险公司优化产品结构，加大分红险、万能险等浮动收益型产品的开发与销售力度，通过投资收益分享满 足消费者一定弹性收益需求，有效缓解负债端刚性成本压力。资产端，险资入市政策持续松绑，今年以 来险企频频举牌银行股，银行板块今年以来强势的 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the insurance sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry in the coming months [7]. Core Insights - The insurance industry has shown signs of recovery, with total premium income reaching 30,602 billion yuan from January to May 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.8%. The premium income for May alone was 4,647 billion yuan, up 13.2% year-on-year [4]. - Life insurance continues to recover, with premium income of 18,735 billion yuan from January to May 2025, a 3.9% increase year-on-year. The premium income for May was particularly strong at 2,674 billion yuan, marking a 24.1% increase year-on-year [4]. - The health insurance sector experienced a slight decline in premium income, totaling 3,879 billion yuan from January to May 2025, a 0.9% increase year-on-year, with May showing a decrease of 6.3% [5]. - The property insurance sector saw premium income of 7,805 billion yuan from January to May 2025, a 5.2% increase year-on-year, with May's income at 1,319 billion yuan, up 5.3% [4]. - The report highlights the potential for life insurance products, particularly participating insurance, to gain market share due to their dual benefits of protection and investment returns, especially in a low-interest-rate environment [4][9]. - The automotive insurance segment benefited from increased vehicle sales, with premium income reaching 3,720 billion yuan, a 4.4% increase year-on-year, while non-auto insurance premiums were 4,085 billion yuan, up 6.0% [8]. Summary by Sections Life Insurance - Life insurance premium income from January to May 2025 was 18,735 billion yuan, up 3.9% year-on-year, with a significant increase in May of 24.1% [4]. - The demand for life insurance products is expected to recover due to the declining bank deposit rates, enhancing the attractiveness of long-term insurance products [4]. Health Insurance - Health insurance premium income was 3,879 billion yuan from January to May 2025, reflecting a modest growth of 0.9% year-on-year, with a notable decline in May [5]. - The report suggests that the health insurance sector is undergoing a transformation, with potential for growth in mid-to-high-end medical insurance products [5]. Property Insurance - Property insurance premium income reached 7,805 billion yuan from January to May 2025, a 5.2% increase year-on-year, with steady growth in both auto and non-auto segments [4][8]. - The report anticipates a continued focus on professionalization and refinement in the property insurance sector, particularly among leading companies [9]. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests that the insurance sector is poised for growth, with a focus on improving product structures and increasing the share of participating insurance products [9]. - The macroeconomic recovery is expected to support long-term interest rates, which could positively impact the insurance sector's performance [9].

Group 1: Banking Sector - The banking sector has shown strong performance recently, with a two-week increase of 5.48%, ranking second among 31 industries [14][17] - Major banks like Jiangsu Bank, Hangzhou Bank, and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China have reached historical highs, despite a marginal decline in overall performance in Q1 due to macroeconomic conditions [46][47] - The sector's return on equity (ROE) remains above 10%, indicating resilience in profitability and dividends, supported by policies aimed at boosting domestic demand and credit growth [46][47] Group 2: Securities Sector - The securities sector has been active, with a recent approval for Guotai Junan International to provide virtual asset trading services, marking a significant development in the industry [48] - The sector's price-to-book (PB) ratio stands at 1.46, indicating potential for valuation recovery as it is at the 54.84% percentile of the last five years [48][26] - Expected improvements in global risk appetite and ongoing capital market reforms are likely to enhance the business environment for securities firms, with projected double-digit profit growth for the year [48][49] Group 3: Insurance Sector - Recent regulatory measures have curtailed aggressive competition in the insurance sector, particularly regarding dividend insurance, which is expected to stabilize the market [50] - The shift from a "scale-oriented" to a "value-oriented" strategy in the insurance industry is anticipated to lead to valuation recovery, with a focus on products that offer both guaranteed and floating returns [50] - Insurance companies are increasingly investing in bank stocks, benefiting from stable dividends and strong market performance, which is expected to enhance their investment returns [50][51]

[证券分析师 Table_Authors] 陶圣禹 S0630523100002 tsy@longone.com.cn [table_stockTrend] -29% -11% 7% 25% 42% 60% 78% 24-06 24-09 24-12 25-03 申万行业指数:非银金融(0749) 沪深300 [Table_Reportdate] 2025年06月10日 [table_invest] 超配 行 业 周 报 [相关研究 table_product] 1.关注陆家嘴论坛政策发布预期带 来的市场情绪催化——非银金融行 业周报（20250526-20250601） 2.浮动管理费率基金加速推出，LPR 下调有望推动预定利率调整Q3落地 ——非银金融行业周报（20250519- 20250525） 3.修订并购重组管理办法，制度包容 度提升释放市场活力——资本市场 聚焦（三） [Table_NewTitle] AMC系券商实控人变更，把握政策催化 带来的板块配置机遇 ——非银金融行业周报（20250602-20250608） [table_main] 投资要点： 行 业 研 究 证券研究报告 HTTP: ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Neutral" rating for the insurance industry [8] Core Insights - The insurance industry experienced a slight decline in premium income, with total premium income for January and February 2025 at 1,515.4 billion yuan, down 1.2% year-on-year. Life insurance premium income was 1,195.1 billion yuan, down 2.6%, while property insurance premium income was 320.3 billion yuan, up 4.7% [1][2] - Life insurance showed stable performance in the "opening red" period, with health insurance continuing to grow. Life and health insurance premium income for the first two months was 1,020.9 billion yuan and 167.2 billion yuan, respectively, down 3.5% and up 3.0% year-on-year [2] - The decline in life insurance premium income is attributed to multiple factors, including poor transformation of participating products, early consumption due to lower guaranteed interest rates, and a slowdown in sales due to the implementation of the "reporting and operation in one" policy in the bancassurance channel [2][3] - The property insurance sector saw a 4.7% year-on-year increase in premium income, driven by a significant rise in automobile sales, with 3.948 million passenger cars sold, up 14.4%, and 1.836 million new energy vehicles sold, up 52.1% [4][5] - The outlook for 2025 suggests that life insurance is expected to gradually emerge from the adjustment cycle, moving towards high-quality development in a low-interest-rate environment. Property insurance will focus on rebalancing scale and value [5] Summary by Sections Life Insurance - Life insurance premium income for January and February was 1,020.9 billion yuan, down 3.5% year-on-year. The decline is mainly due to the transformation issues of participating products and the impact of lower interest rates [2][3] - Health insurance continues to show stable growth, supported by policies encouraging the integration of health insurance and medical services [2] Property Insurance - Property insurance premium income reached 320.3 billion yuan, up 4.7% year-on-year, with a notable increase in both auto and non-auto insurance premiums [4] - The growth in non-auto insurance is attributed to agricultural insurance, liability insurance, health insurance, and accident insurance, with respective year-on-year increases of 4.6%, 4.1%, 5.1%, and 11.1% [4] Market Outlook - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in life insurance and a focus on professional and refined development in property insurance, with an emphasis on the growth of commercial medical insurance and retirement products [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the insurance industry [1] Core Views - The insurance industry is expected to experience significant profit growth driven by improved investment returns, with a projected increase in net profit exceeding 80% for listed insurance companies in 2024 [6][12] - The report highlights a shift in product structure towards traditional insurance, with a notable increase in the proportion of traditional insurance products [39] - The overall investment environment is improving, with a focus on increasing bond investments and enhancing total investment returns [4][6] Summary by Sections 1. Net Profit Growth and Dividend Returns - Listed insurance companies' net profit is projected to grow by over 80% in 2024, with major players like Xinhua and China Life showing increases of 201.1% and 131.6% respectively [12][14] - The average dividend payout ratio for listed insurance companies is expected to be 25.7%, reflecting a slight decrease from the previous year [22][23] - Xinhua Insurance's dividend growth significantly outperformed expectations, with a 198% increase [22][24] 2. Life Insurance: Value Rate Improvement Driving NBV Growth - New business value (NBV) is expected to see high growth driven by improved value rates, despite a slowdown in new policy growth due to high base effects and regulatory changes [30][31] - The proportion of traditional insurance products continues to rise, reaching 59.2% of total premiums in 2024, indicating a shift towards dividend insurance products [39][42] 3. Property Insurance: Steady Premium Growth and Cost Performance - Property insurance premiums are expected to grow steadily, with non-auto insurance segments gaining market share [3][4] - The average combined cost ratio for listed property insurers is projected to be 98.4%, indicating overall profitability despite challenges from natural disasters [4][6] 4. Investment: Increased Bond Allocation and Improved Returns - The investment asset scale for listed insurers is expected to grow by 21% year-on-year, with a focus on increasing bond investments [4][6] - Total and comprehensive investment returns are anticipated to improve significantly, driven by a rebound in the stock market and favorable bond market conditions [4][6] 5. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in insurance stocks amid rising interest rates, as the market's demand for savings remains strong [6][4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][5] Core Insights - The company achieved a significant increase in net profit, with a growth of 201.1% year-on-year, reaching 26.23 billion yuan in 2024 [3][5] - The company's operating revenue for 2024 was 132.56 billion yuan, reflecting an 85.3% increase compared to the previous year [3][5] - The new business value (NBV) grew by 106.8% to 6.25 billion yuan, with the new business value rate increasing by 7.9 percentage points to 14.6% [1][5] - The company has optimized its business structure, with the proportion of first-year premium income from long-term insurance reaching 70.1%, an increase of 12.6 percentage points year-on-year [1][5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total insurance premium income of 170.51 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.8% [1] - The return on equity (ROE) for the company was 27.25% [1] Business Channels - The individual insurance channel generated premium income of 115.97 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.3%, while the first-year premium income for long-term insurance grew by 19.7% [5] - The bancassurance channel achieved a premium income of 51.67 billion yuan, with first-year premium income reaching a historical high of 13.87 billion yuan, up 11.5% [5] Investment Strategy - The company increased its allocation to bonds and stocks, with high-dividend OCI investments growing from 5.37 billion yuan to 30.64 billion yuan, a 470.6% increase [5] - The overall investment return rate was 8.5%, with a net investment return rate of 3.2% [5] Dividend Distribution - The company initiated a mid-term dividend distribution, proposing a cash dividend of 0.54 yuan per share, totaling 1.685 billion yuan, and a year-end cash dividend of 1.99 yuan per share, totaling 6.208 billion yuan [5] - The total proposed cash dividend for 2024 is 7.893 billion yuan, an increase of 197.6% from the previous year [5]