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镍、不锈钢产业链周报-20250803
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-08-03 01:45
Report Title - Nickel and Stainless Steel Industry Chain Weekly Report, dated August 1, 2025 [1] Core Views Bullish Factors - Domestic ferronickel supply has decreased significantly year-on-year, while Indonesia maintains a high level. Tight supply supports prices [3] - Stainless steel inventory has improved marginally, and the rebound in energy costs provides cost support [3] Bearish Factors - Nickel ore prices have declined month-on-month, resulting in weak cost support. Policy disturbances in Indonesia have decreased [3] - Global visible inventory has accumulated significantly to 243,000 tons, highlighting oversupply [3] Trading Advice - Short-term trading should focus on range-bound strategies. Monitor changes in the ore end and demand [3] Market Data Nickel Futures - The latest price of the main Shanghai nickel contract is 119,830 yuan/ton, down 1,790 yuan (-1.47%) from the previous week. Other nickel contracts also showed declines [4] - The LME nickel 3M price is 15,325 US dollars/ton, down 250 US dollars (-3.56%) from the previous week [4] Stainless Steel Futures - The latest price of the main stainless steel contract is 12,805 yuan/ton, down 35 yuan (0%) from the previous week [4] Spot Prices - The prices of various nickel products, including Jinchuan nickel, imported nickel, and electrolytic nickel, have all declined [4] Inventory Data - Domestic social nickel inventory is 40,281 tons, down 57 tons from the previous period. LME nickel inventory is 204,912 tons, up 876 tons [4] - Stainless steel social inventory is 966.2 tons, down 1.2 tons [4] Charts and Data Sources - The report includes various charts showing the trends of nickel and stainless steel prices, supply, and inventory, with data sources from Wind [6][7][8][10][12][14][16][18][20][22][24][26][28][29][30][32][34]
镍、不锈钢产业链周报-20250707
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-07-07 02:57
Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Views - **L利多因素**: The price of nickel ore remains firm, with strong price - holding intentions from mines, and rising sea freight costs support the cost. Policy disturbances in Indonesia (such as shortened quotas) and favorable new - energy policies strengthen the expectation of a strong supply chain [3]. - **利空因素**: Stainless steel has entered the traditional off - season for demand, increasing the pressure to reduce inventory and suppressing consumption. The supply of nickel ore from the Philippines is expected to loosen, and combined with high - level inventory fluctuations, the supply - demand contradiction has weakened [3]. - **交易咨询观点**: There are limited changes in the fundamentals. Nickel price fluctuations are mainly driven by market sentiment and macro factors, and there is no obvious supply - demand contradiction [3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs **Market Data** - **镍期货**: The latest value of SHFE nickel main contract is 122,270 yuan/ton, with a weekly increase of 1,550 yuan and a weekly increase rate of 1.28%. The latest value of LME nickel 3M is 15,355 dollars/ton, with a weekly increase of 165 dollars and an increase rate of 1.17%. The trading volume increased by 60.25% week - on - week, while the position decreased by 6.9% week - on - week [4]. - **不锈钢期货**: The latest value of the stainless - steel main contract is 12,730 yuan/ton, with a weekly increase of 170 yuan and an increase rate of 1%. The trading volume decreased by 9.97% week - on - week, and the position decreased by 8.28% week - on - week [4]. - **现货价格**: The latest value of Jinchuan nickel is 124,550 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 800 yuan and an increase rate of 0.65%. The latest value of imported nickel is 122,750 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 900 yuan and an increase rate of 0.74% [4]. - **库存情况**: The domestic social inventory of nickel is 37,843 tons, a decrease of 380 tons compared to the previous period. The LME nickel inventory is 202,470 tons, a decrease of 1,158 tons. The stainless - steel social inventory is 978 tons, a decrease of 14.1 tons, and the nickel pig iron inventory is 37,534 tons, an increase of 2,924 tons [4][6]. **Supply and Inventory of Primary Nickel** - **产量情况**: The report presents the seasonal production of China's refined nickel, total monthly supply of primary nickel including imports, nickel - iron production in China and Indonesia [14][18][20]. - **库存情况**: It shows the seasonal changes in domestic social inventory (nickel plates + nickel beans) and LME nickel inventory, as well as the seasonal changes in nickel ore inventory at Chinese ports [15][16]. **Downstream Sulfuric Acid Nickel** - **价格情况**: The average price of battery - grade nickel sulfate and its premium over primary nickel (plates) are presented, along with the seasonal profit margins of producing nickel sulfate from nickel beans and producing electrowon nickel from externally purchased nickel sulfate [22][24][26]. - **产量情况**: The monthly production of nickel sulfate in China and the seasonal production capacity of ternary precursors are shown [28]. **Stainless Steel** - **利润率情况**: The seasonal profit margin of China's 304 stainless - steel cold - rolled coils is presented [29]. - **产量和库存情况**: The seasonal production and inventory of stainless steel are shown [30][32].
镍、不锈钢产业链周报-20250630
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-06-30 02:37
【免责声明】 本报告基于本公司认为可靠的、已公开的信息编制,但本公司对该等信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告所载的意见、结论及预测仅反映报告发布时的观点、结论 和建议。在不同时期,本公司可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。本公司不保证本报告所含信息保持在最新状态。本公司对本报告所含信息可在不发出通知的情 形下做出修改, 交易者(您)应当自行关注相应的更新或修改。本公司力求报告内容客观、公正,但本报告所载的观点、结论和建议仅供参考,交易者(您)并不能依靠本报告以取代行 使独立判断。对交易者(您)依据或者使用本报告所造成的一切后果,本公司及作者均不承担任何法律责任。本报告版权仅为本公司所有。未经本公司书面许可,任何机构或个人不得以翻 版、复制、发表、引用或再次分发他人等任何形式侵犯本公司版权。如征得本公司同意进行引用、刊发的,需在允许的范围内使用,并注明出处为"东亚期货",且不得对本报告进行任何有 悖原意的引用、删节和修改。本公司保留追究相关责任的权力。所有本报告中使用的商标、服务标记及标记均为本公司的商标、服务标记及标记。 核心观点 镍不锈钢产业链周报 2025/06/30 咨询业务资 ...
镍、不锈钢产业链周报-20250609
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-06-09 02:35
咨询业务资格:沪证监许可【2012】1515号 研报作者:许亮 Z0002220 审核:唐韵 Z0002422 镍不锈钢产业链周报 2025/06/9 核心观点 利多因素: 沪镍及伦镍库存周度下降,国内库存降至4万吨以下,支撑价格。 镍矿价格坚挺,镍铁及中间品价格企稳回升,成本端形成支撑。 利空因素: 精炼镍产量维持高位,全球库存回升,供强需弱格局延续。 现货需求整体偏弱,补库短暂后交投转淡,需求改善不足。 交易咨询观点: 供需矛盾暂未深化,库存去化难以持续,短期维持区间震荡格局。 | | 最新值 | 周涨跌 | 周环比 | 单位 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪镍主连 | 122200 | 950 | 0.78% | 元/吨 | | 沪镍连一 | 122590 | 2640 | 2.20% | 元/吨 | | 沪镍连二 | 122750 | 2610 | 2.17% | 元/吨 | | 沪镍连三 | 122900 | 2550 | 2.17% | 元/吨 | | LME镍3M | 15490 | -20 | 2.12% | 美元/吨 | | 持仓量 | 80736 ...
镍、不锈钢产业链周报-20250526
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-05-26 03:00
镍不锈钢产业链周报 2025/05/26 咨询业务资格:沪证监许可【2012】1515号 研报作者:许亮 Z0002220 审核:唐韵 Z0002422 【免责声明】 本报告基于本公司认为可靠的、已公开的信息编制,但本公司对该等信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告所载的意见、结论及预测仅反映报告发布时的观 点、结论和建议。在不同时期,本公司可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。本公司不保证本报告所含信息保持在最新状态。本公司对本报告所含信息可在 不发出通知的情形下做出修改, 交易者(您)应当自行关注相应的更新或修改。本公司力求报告内容客观、公正,但本报告所载的观点、结论和建议仅供参考,交易者(您)并不 能依靠本报告以取代行使独立判断。对交易者(您)依据或者使用本报告所造成的一切后果,本公司及作者均不承担任何法律责任。本报告版权仅为本公司所有。未经本公司书面许 可,任何机构或个人不得以翻版、复制、发表、引用或再次分发他人等任何形式侵犯本公司版权。如征得本公司同意进行引用、刊发的,需在允许的范围内使用,并注明出处为"东 亚期货",且不得对本报告进行任何有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。本公司保留追 ...
镍、不锈钢产业链周报-20250519
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-05-19 01:47
镍不锈钢产业链周报 2025/05/19 咨询业务资格:沪证监许可【2012】1515号 研报作者:许亮 Z0002220 审核:唐韵 Z0002422 【免责声明】 本报告基于本公司认为可靠的、已公开的信息编制,但本公司对该等信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告所载的意见、结论及预测仅反映报告发布时的观 点、结论和建议。在不同时期,本公司可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。本公司不保证本报告所含信息保持在最新状态。本公司对本报告所含信息可在 不发出通知的情形下做出修改, 交易者(您)应当自行关注相应的更新或修改。本公司力求报告内容客观、公正,但本报告所载的观点、结论和建议仅供参考,交易者(您)并不 能依靠本报告以取代行使独立判断。对交易者(您)依据或者使用本报告所造成的一切后果,本公司及作者均不承担任何法律责任。本报告版权仅为本公司所有。未经本公司书面许 可,任何机构或个人不得以翻版、复制、发表、引用或再次分发他人等任何形式侵犯本公司版权。如征得本公司同意进行引用、刊发的,需在允许的范围内使用,并注明出处为"东 亚期货",且不得对本报告进行任何有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。本公司保留追 ...
镍、不锈钢产业链周报-20250512
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-05-12 03:02
镍不锈钢产业链周报 2025/05/12 咨询业务资格:沪证监许可【2012】1515号 研报作者:许亮 Z0002220 审核:唐韵 Z0002422 【免责声明】 本报告基于本公司认为可靠的、已公开的信息编制,但本公司对该等信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告所载的意见、结论及预测仅反映报告发布时的观 点、结论和建议。在不同时期,本公司可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。本公司不保证本报告所含信息保持在最新状态。本公司对本报告所含信息可在 不发出通知的情形下做出修改, 交易者(您)应当自行关注相应的更新或修改。本公司力求报告内容客观、公正,但本报告所载的观点、结论和建议仅供参考,交易者(您)并不 能依靠本报告以取代行使独立判断。对交易者(您)依据或者使用本报告所造成的一切后果,本公司及作者均不承担任何法律责任。本报告版权仅为本公司所有。未经本公司书面许 可,任何机构或个人不得以翻版、复制、发表、引用或再次分发他人等任何形式侵犯本公司版权。如征得本公司同意进行引用、刊发的,需在允许的范围内使用,并注明出处为"东 亚期货",且不得对本报告进行任何有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。本公司保留追 ...