Group 1: CPI Trends - In October, Sichuan's Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.6% year-on-year, with a narrowing decline of 0.3 percentage points compared to the previous month, and a month-on-month increase of 0.4% [1][2] - The average CPI from January to October in Sichuan fell by 0.4% compared to the same period last year [1] Group 2: Price Movements - Fresh vegetable and fruit prices increased by 5.7% and 2.2% month-on-month in October, primarily due to seasonal factors and the demand surge during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival [2][3] - Pork prices continued to decline, with a month-on-month decrease of 1.9% and a year-on-year drop of 20.2%, attributed to sufficient market supply and the timing of seasonal consumption [3] - Egg prices also fell by 1.3% month-on-month due to temporary oversupply and post-holiday demand drop [4] Group 3: Core CPI Insights - The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose by 0.9% year-on-year in October, marking a 0.3 percentage point increase from the previous month, the highest since February 2023 [4] - Service prices contributed to the core CPI increase, with notable rises in air ticket prices (10.8%), travel agency fees (7.3%), and accommodation costs (3.4%) [4] Group 4: PPI Trends - The Producer Price Index (PPI) in Sichuan fell by 2.5% year-on-year in October, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.3%, reflecting a shift from previous increases [7] - The automotive manufacturing sector saw a month-on-month price drop of 0.5%, while electricity and heat production prices decreased by 1.5% month-on-month [7] - Despite the overall decline, some industries, such as computer manufacturing and non-ferrous metal processing, showed signs of price recovery [7] Group 5: Future Outlook - For the fourth quarter, the PPI is expected to continue operating at low levels, but the rate of decline may narrow due to improved market demand and ongoing policy support [8] - The "anti-involution" policies are positively impacting certain industries, leading to a reduction in price declines in sectors like coal and metal processing [8]

Core Viewpoint - The year-on-year decline in September PPI continues to narrow, driven by price increases in anti-involution policy benefiting industries and non-ferrous metal sectors [1] Group 1: Anti-involution Policy Benefiting Industries - Industries benefiting from anti-involution policies include coal processing, black metal smelting and rolling, coal mining and washing, photovoltaic equipment and components manufacturing, battery manufacturing, and non-metallic mineral products, all showing a continued narrowing in year-on-year PPI decline [1] - The improvement in industrial product prices is primarily concentrated in upstream industries, with only localized price transmission observed in mid and downstream sectors, such as the photovoltaic equipment and components industry [1] Group 2: Non-ferrous Metal Sector - The non-ferrous metal sector, particularly copper prices, has seen significant increases driven by supply-side disruptions and the onset of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle [1] - Despite the improvements in industrial prices, a widespread price increase has not yet materialized across the board [1]

Group 1: Core CPI and Price Trends - The core CPI increased by 1% year-on-year in September, marking the first return to this level in 19 months and the fifth consecutive month of growth [1] - The overall CPI rose by 0.1% month-on-month, with food prices contributing significantly to this increase, particularly fresh vegetables, eggs, and meat [1] - Seasonal factors and holiday demand have driven up prices in certain categories, such as vegetables, which saw a price increase from 2.58 yuan/kg in August to 3.32 yuan/kg in September [1] Group 2: PPI and Market Dynamics - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 2.3% year-on-year in September, but the decline was less severe than in previous months, indicating a positive trend [3] - The reduction in PPI decline is attributed to improved macroeconomic policies and the ongoing development of a unified national market [3] - Certain industries, such as coal processing and black metal smelting, have shown signs of price stabilization, with coal processing prices rising by 3.8% month-on-month [3] Group 3: New Economic Drivers and Consumption Upgrades - Emerging industries are thriving, with new consumption patterns and business models contributing to positive price changes [4] - The manufacturing sector is experiencing a shift towards high-end, intelligent, and green development, leading to increased market demand and price growth in specific sectors, such as aircraft manufacturing [4] - Consumer demand is transitioning from quantity to quality, with significant price increases in sectors like arts and crafts, sports equipment, and nutritional foods [5]

Core Insights - The core Consumer Price Index (CPI) has returned to a 1% year-on-year increase in September, marking the first time in 19 months that the growth rate has reached this level, indicating a stabilization in prices [2][4] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) shows a 2.3% year-on-year decline in September, but the rate of decline has narrowed by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month, reflecting improvements in market conditions [5][6] Group 1: CPI Analysis - The CPI increased by 0.1% month-on-month in September, with food prices rising by 0.7%, contributing approximately 0.13 percentage points to the CPI increase [2] - The year-on-year CPI decline of 0.3% was primarily influenced by base effects from the previous year, with the tail effect accounting for approximately -0.8 percentage points [4] Group 2: PPI Insights - The narrowing decline in PPI is attributed to the effectiveness of macroeconomic policies and the ongoing development of a unified national market, which has improved price stability in various industries [5][6] - Specific industries such as coal processing and black metal smelting have shown price increases, with coal processing prices rising by 3.8% month-on-month [6] Group 3: Emerging Industries and Consumption Trends - New emerging industries are thriving, with innovative consumption models driving positive price changes in related sectors [7][10] - The demand for quality consumption is increasing, with significant price increases in sectors such as arts and crafts (14.7% year-on-year) and sports equipment (4% year-on-year) [10]

Core Insights - In September, China's Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 2.3% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] - The effects of macroeconomic policies are becoming evident, leading to positive price changes in certain industries [1] Industry Analysis - The price declines in several industries have narrowed, indicating effective capacity management and improved market competition. The following industries saw reduced year-on-year price declines: - Coal processing: down 8.3 percentage points - Black metal smelting and rolling: down 3.4 percentage points - Coal mining and washing: down 3.0 percentage points - Photovoltaic equipment and components manufacturing: down 2.4 percentage points - Battery manufacturing: down 0.5 percentage points - Non-metallic mineral products: down 0.4 percentage points - The combined downward impact on PPI from these six industries decreased by approximately 0.34 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] Price Trends - Structural upgrades and the release of consumer potential have led to price increases in related industries: - Aircraft manufacturing: up 1.4% year-on-year - Electronic special materials manufacturing: up 1.2% year-on-year - Wearable smart devices manufacturing: up 0.1% year-on-year - Policies aimed at boosting consumption are showing effects, with prices for arts and crafts and ceremonial goods rising by 14.7% year-on-year, and nutritional food manufacturing prices increasing by 1.8% year-on-year [1] Month-on-Month Analysis - The improvement in supply-demand structure has stabilized prices in certain industries: - Coal processing prices increased by 3.8% month-on-month - Coal mining and washing prices rose by 2.5% month-on-month - Black metal smelting and rolling prices increased by 0.2% month-on-month - Non-metallic mineral products and lithium-ion battery manufacturing prices decreased by 0.4% and 0.2% month-on-month, respectively, with declines narrowing by 0.6 and 0.3 percentage points compared to the previous month [2]

Core Insights - The overall consumer market in September remained stable, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising by 0.1% month-on-month and decreasing by 0.3% year-on-year, while the core CPI (excluding food and energy) increased by 1.0% year-on-year, marking the fifth consecutive month of growth [1][3][4]. CPI Analysis - The month-on-month CPI increase was driven by a 0.7% rise in food prices, contributing approximately 0.13 percentage points to the CPI increase. Seasonal price increases were noted in fresh vegetables, eggs, fresh fruits, lamb, and beef, with price changes ranging from 0.9% to 6.1% [3]. - Year-on-year, the CPI decline was primarily influenced by a 4.4% drop in food prices, which accounted for about 0.83 percentage points of the CPI decrease. Notably, pork, fresh vegetables, eggs, and fresh fruits saw significant price drops of 17.0%, 13.7%, 13.5%, and 4.2%, respectively [4]. - The core CPI's year-on-year growth rate has expanded for five consecutive months, reaching 1%, the highest in nearly 19 months. Prices for industrial consumer goods, excluding food and energy, rose by 1.8%, with notable increases in gold and platinum jewelry prices of 42.1% and 33.6%, respectively [4]. PPI Analysis - The Producer Price Index (PPI) remained flat month-on-month for two consecutive months, with a year-on-year decline of 2.3%, which is a narrowing of the decline by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month [5][6]. - The PPI's stability was attributed to improved supply-demand dynamics in certain industries, with coal processing prices rising by 3.8% and black metal smelting prices increasing by 0.2% [6]. - The decline in oil-related industry prices was influenced by falling international oil prices, with oil extraction prices decreasing by 2.7% and refined oil product prices down by 1.5% [6]. Market Dynamics - The construction of a unified national market has led to a narrowing of year-on-year price declines in several industries, including coal processing and black metal smelting, with reductions in PPI's downward pressure by approximately 0.34 percentage points [7]. - Upgrading industrial structures and releasing consumer potential have contributed to price increases in specific sectors, such as aircraft manufacturing and electronic materials, with notable price increases of 1.4% and 1.2%, respectively [7].

Group 1 - In September, coal processing prices increased by 3.8% month-on-month, while prices in the coal mining and washing industry rose by 2.5% [1] - The prices in the black metal smelting and rolling processing industry saw a slight increase of 0.2%, marking two consecutive months of price rises across these sectors [1] - The price of photovoltaic equipment and components manufacturing shifted from a decrease of 0.2% last month to an increase of 0.8% this month [1] Group 2 - Prices in the non-metallic mineral products industry and lithium-ion battery manufacturing decreased by 0.4% and 0.2%, respectively, with the decline rates narrowing by 0.6 and 0.3 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] - The reduction in prices for coal processing, black metal smelting and rolling processing, coal mining and washing, photovoltaic equipment and components manufacturing, battery manufacturing, and non-metallic mineral products narrowed by 8.3, 3.4, 3.0, 2.4, 0.5, and 0.4 percentage points, respectively, compared to last month [1]

其他七大类价格同比六涨一降。其中，其他用品及服务、生活用品及服务、衣着价格分别上涨9.9%、2.2%和1.7%，医疗保健、教育文化娱乐、居住价格分 别上涨1.1%、0.8%和0.1%;交通通信价格下降2.0%。 10月15日，国家统计局公布了9月CPI、PPI数据。 其中，9月居民消费价格(CPI)同比下降0.3%，环比上涨0.1%。9月全国工业生产者出厂价格(PPI)同比下降2.3%，环比持平。 国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟指出，9月份，消费市场运行总体平稳，居民消费价格指数(CPI)环比上涨0.1%，同比下降0.3%，扣除食品和能源价格的 核心CPI同比上涨1.0%，涨幅连续第5个月扩大。全国统一大市场建设纵深推进，市场竞争秩序持续优化，工业生产者出厂价格指数(PPI)环比继续持平;同比 下降2.3%，降幅比上月收窄0.6个百分点。 CPI环比由平转涨，核心CPI同比涨幅回升至1% 2025年9月份，全国居民消费价格同比下降0.3%。其中，城市下降0.2%，农村下降0.5%;食品价格下降4.4%，非食品价格上涨0.7%;消费品价格下降0.8%，服 务价格上涨0.6%。1—9月平均，全国居民消费价格比上 ...

Group 1: CPI Analysis - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.1% month-on-month in September, while year-on-year it decreased by 0.3% [1][2] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 1.0% year-on-year, marking the fifth consecutive month of growth [1][3] - Food prices increased by 0.7% month-on-month, with seasonal price rises in fresh vegetables, eggs, fresh fruits, lamb, and beef, while pork and aquatic products saw price declines [2][3] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The Producer Price Index (PPI) remained flat month-on-month, with a year-on-year decline of 2.3%, but the rate of decline narrowed by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month [4][5] - Improvements in supply-demand structure led to price stabilization in certain industries, such as coal processing and black metal smelting, which saw price increases [4][5] - Input factors, particularly the decline in international oil prices, contributed to lower prices in domestic oil-related industries [4][5]

Group 1: CPI Analysis - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.1% month-on-month in September, marking a shift from the previous month where it was flat [2] - Year-on-year, the CPI decreased by 0.3%, with the decline narrowing by 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month [3] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 1.0% year-on-year, marking the fifth consecutive month of growth [3] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The Producer Price Index (PPI) remained flat month-on-month, continuing a trend for two months [4] - Year-on-year, the PPI decreased by 2.3%, with the decline narrowing by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month [5] - Improvements in supply-demand structure have stabilized prices in certain industries, such as coal processing and black metal smelting, which saw price increases [4][5]