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滔搏(6110.HK)2025财年业绩点评:25财年继续保持高分红 未来聚焦经营效率提升
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-27 02:03
Core Insights - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the fiscal year 2025, with revenue at 27.01 billion RMB, down 6.6% year-on-year, and net profit at 1.29 billion RMB, down 41.9% [1][2] - The company maintained a high dividend payout ratio of 135.0%, exceeding the previous year's 100.9% [1][2] - The decline in profit was attributed to a significant drop in gross margin and a slight increase in expense ratio [1][2] Revenue Breakdown - Main brand revenue (Nike + Adidas) decreased by 6.1%, while other brand revenue fell by 9.9% [1][2] - Revenue from retail, wholesale, and esports accounted for 85.3%, 14.0%, and 0.2% of total revenue, respectively, with retail and wholesale revenues down 6.8% and 5.8% year-on-year [2][3] - The total number of stores decreased by 18.3%, with a total of 5,020 stores as of February 2025 [2][3] Financial Metrics - Gross margin decreased by 3.4 percentage points to 38.4%, primarily due to increased discounting [2][3] - The expense ratio increased by 0.4 percentage points to 33.2%, with sales, management, and financial expense ratios at 29.4%, 3.7%, and 0.1%, respectively [2][3] - Inventory decreased by 4.5% to 6 billion RMB, and accounts receivable decreased by 43.4% to 750 million RMB [3] Future Outlook - The company aims to enhance operational efficiency and reduce costs amid weak consumer demand and declining foot traffic [3][4] - The company plans to expand its brand matrix and has become the exclusive operating partner for high-end running brand SOARRunning and top outdoor brand Norrona in China [3][4] - Profit forecasts for fiscal years 2026 and 2027 have been revised down by 21% and 26%, respectively, with expected EPS of 0.21, 0.23, and 0.26 for fiscal years 2026 to 2028 [4]
滔搏(06110.HK):FY25业绩承压 分红超预期
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-23 18:00
Core Viewpoint - The company achieved a revenue of 27.01 billion for FY25, a year-on-year decline of 6.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.29 billion, down 41.9% year-on-year, with FY25H2 showing a revenue and net profit decline of 5.4% and 53% respectively [1] - The expected dividend payout ratio for FY25 is 134%, exceeding market expectations [1] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from retail and wholesale channels for FY25 decreased by 6.8% and 5.8% year-on-year respectively [1] - Revenue from the main brand and other brands declined by 6.1% and 9.9% year-on-year respectively [1] Store Operations - As of the end of FY25, the company had 5,020 directly operated stores, with a net closure of 1,124 stores, including 258 new openings and 1,382 closures [1] - Total sales area decreased by 12.4% year-on-year, while sales area per store increased by 7.2%, reflecting the company's "one product one strategy" approach to store adjustments [1] Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for FY25 decreased by 3.4 percentage points to 38.4%, primarily due to increased retail discounts, with FY25H2 showing greater discounting than FY25H1 [1] - The net profit margin attributable to shareholders decreased by 2.9 percentage points to 4.8% [1] Inventory and Cash Flow - The company's inventory turnover days were 133 days, a decrease of 1 day year-on-year, with net cash flow from operating activities reaching 3.76 billion, a year-on-year increase of 20% [2] - Cash at the end of the period was 2.59 billion, up from 1.96 billion in the same period last year [2] Brand Collaborations - The company is steadily advancing new brand collaborations, including the introduction of the high-end SOAR running brand to the Chinese market [2] - Collaborations with top outdoor brands for comprehensive operations in China are underway, alongside deepened partnerships with the Canadian high-end trail running brand nordaTM [2] Earnings Forecast - The earnings forecast for FY26-28 has been adjusted, with expected earnings per share of 0.21, 0.25, and 0.30 respectively [2] - A target price of 3.45 HKD is set for FY26, based on a 15 times PE valuation [2]
滔搏(06110.HK):FY2025全年派息率135% 加码跑步及户外赛道
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-23 18:00
Core Viewpoint - The company is maintaining a "buy" rating while focusing on high dividends and expanding in the running and outdoor sectors, despite a decline in revenue and net profit for FY2025 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - FY2025 revenue is projected at 27.01 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.6% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.286 billion yuan, down 41.9% [1] - The company has a high dividend payout ratio of 135% for the full year, with a cumulative payout ratio of 104.2% over the past six years [1] - Revised net profit forecasts for FY2026-2028 are 1.32 billion, 1.59 billion, and 1.85 billion yuan, respectively, down from previous estimates [1] Group 2: Sales and Revenue Breakdown - Main brand revenue for FY2025 is 23.31 billion yuan, a decline of 6.1%, accounting for 86.3% of total revenue, while other brand revenue is 3.5 billion yuan, down 9.9% [1] - Direct online sales have seen double-digit growth, increasing their share to 30-40% from 20-30% in FY2024 [1] - Retail and wholesale revenues decreased by 6.8% and 5.8%, respectively, indicating a challenging sales environment [1] Group 3: Store Management and Operations - As of FY2025, the number of stores is 5,020, a decrease of 18.3% year-on-year, with a focus on optimizing low-efficiency stores [2] - The average sales area per store has increased by 7.2%, reflecting a strategy of tailored store adjustments [2] - Inventory management has improved, with inventory down 4.5% to 6 billion yuan and inventory turnover days at 134.9 days, a slight improvement [2] Group 4: Profitability and Cost Management - FY2025 gross margin is 38.4%, down 3.4 percentage points, with a slight increase in expense ratio to 33.1% [2] - Operating profit margin (OPM) is 5.9%, and net profit margin is 4.8%, both showing declines [2] - The company has managed to maintain cash flow, with net cash increasing by 20% to 3.76 billion yuan, which is 2.6 times the net profit [2]
滔搏(06110.HK):全年收入下滑6.6% 加码全域零售与细分赛道
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-23 18:00
Core Viewpoint - The company experienced a decline in revenue and net profit in FY2025, attributed to weak consumer demand and reduced foot traffic, but maintained strong cash flow supporting high dividend payouts [1][2][3] Group 1: Financial Performance - FY2025 revenue decreased by 6.6% year-on-year to 27.01 billion yuan, with retail channel revenue down 6.8% to 23.03 billion yuan and wholesale channel revenue down 5.8% to 3.79 billion yuan [1] - Net profit fell by 41.9% year-on-year to 1.29 billion yuan, with a gross margin decline of 3.4 percentage points to 38.4% due to increased promotional discounts and a higher proportion of low-margin online sales [1] - Operating cash flow increased by 20% year-on-year to 3.76 billion yuan, with a free cash flow to net profit ratio of 2.6 times, indicating efficient cash generation [1] Group 2: Operational Strategy - The company reduced its direct store count by 1,124 to 5,020, a decrease of 18.3% year-on-year, while total sales area declined by 12.4%, but single-store sales area increased by 7.2% [2] - Membership sales accounted for 93.2% of total sales, with high-value members contributing nearly 40% of sales, reflecting strong customer loyalty [2] - The company strategically entered the outdoor and professional sports market, becoming the exclusive operator for high-end brands like norda and Norrona in China [2] Group 3: Future Outlook - In Q4 FY2024, total sales for retail and wholesale businesses saw a mid-single-digit decline, with a more significant reduction in direct store area [3] - Management expressed cautious optimism for the new fiscal year, aiming for net profit to remain flat year-on-year while improving net profit margin through cost reduction and increased online channel sales [3] - The company adjusted its profit forecasts for FY2026-2028, expecting net profits of 1.30 billion, 1.46 billion, and 1.63 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a modest growth trajectory [3]
滔搏FY2025年报点评:消费疲软拖累业绩,渠道优化与多品牌布局助力未来增长
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-05-23 13:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 27.013 billion RMB for FY2025, a decrease of 6.69% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.286 billion RMB, down 41.89% year-on-year. The company declared a dividend of 0.28 RMB, with a payout ratio of approximately 135% [2] - The decline in revenue is attributed to weak consumer demand and a reduction in foot traffic in offline stores. The company is focusing on efficient large-format stores while eliminating underperforming ones, resulting in a total of 5,020 stores at the end of FY25, a decrease of 1,124 stores year-on-year [3] - The company has seen a 14% year-on-year increase in average store revenue, with a membership base growing to 86 million, contributing 93.2% of in-store sales, of which repeat members account for 70% [3] - The gross margin for FY25 was 38.44%, down 3.31 percentage points, primarily due to declining sales and increased promotional activities. The net margin was 4.76%, a decrease of 2.88 percentage points [4] - The company expects to maintain stable performance in FY2026-2028, with projected EPS of 0.21, 0.24, and 0.28 RMB, and PE ratios of 14, 12, and 10 times respectively [5] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - FY2025 revenue was 27.013 billion RMB, down 6.69% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.286 billion RMB, down 41.89% year-on-year. The company declared a dividend of 0.28 RMB, with a payout ratio of approximately 135% [2] Operational Analysis - Main brand revenue decreased by 6.1% to 23.311 billion RMB, while other brands fell by 9.9% to 3.505 billion RMB due to weak consumer demand. The company is optimizing its store network by focusing on high-efficiency large stores and reducing the number of low-efficiency stores [3] - The company has enhanced member engagement through diverse marketing activities, resulting in a membership increase of 5 million year-on-year [3] Financial Metrics - The gross margin for FY25 was 38.44%, down 3.31 percentage points, while the net margin was 4.76%, down 2.88 percentage points. The company’s cash flow from operating activities increased by 20% to 3.755 billion RMB, indicating a strong cash position [4] - The company anticipates a recovery in net profit margins in the coming years, with projected EPS growth [5]
173亿斩获“美国滔搏”,值吗?
3 6 Ke· 2025-05-23 12:05
Core Viewpoint - The sports capital market is experiencing a surge in significant transactions, highlighted by DICK'S Sporting Goods' acquisition of Foot Locker for $2.4 billion, indicating strategic moves to adapt to changing consumer demands and global trade dynamics [1][2]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - DICK'S Sporting Goods confirmed the acquisition of Foot Locker for $2.4 billion, with a combination of cash and new debt, valuing the company at $2.5 billion [1]. - The acquisition will allow Foot Locker to operate as an independent business unit while retaining its brand identity, pending antitrust review [1][2]. - This acquisition is part of DICK'S ongoing strategy of expanding through mergers and acquisitions, having previously acquired several sports retail companies [2]. Group 2: Market Expansion and Strategy - The acquisition aims to enhance DICK'S market presence, particularly in overseas markets, leveraging Foot Locker's extensive global network of over 2,400 stores across 22 countries [4]. - DICK'S anticipates that the merger will improve its ability to serve global consumers and expand market opportunities, especially in light of rising costs and changing consumer behavior due to tariffs and economic conditions [4][5]. - The deal is expected to provide DICK'S with stronger bargaining power with major brands like Nike, enhancing its competitive position in the market [8]. Group 3: Investor Sentiment and Market Reaction - Investor reaction to the acquisition has been cautious, with DICK'S stock experiencing a 13% drop on the announcement day, reflecting concerns over Foot Locker's operational challenges [6]. - Despite the market's skepticism, Foot Locker's stock surged by 80% on the day of the announcement, indicating investor optimism about the potential benefits of the merger [8]. Group 4: Foot Locker's Challenges - Foot Locker has faced significant challenges, including a decline in sales and the need to adapt to the direct-to-consumer (DTC) model, which has impacted its traditional retail operations [7][8]. - The company has announced plans to close 400 underperforming stores by 2026, highlighting the urgency of its need for a strategic partner like DICK'S [8]. Group 5: Future Outlook - DICK'S leadership remains optimistic about the growth prospects following the acquisition, emphasizing their industry expertise and the potential for Foot Locker to regain its competitive edge [10].
滔搏(06110):24、25财年营收利润承压,现金强劲派息稳定
Haitong Securities International· 2025-05-23 08:31
Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Outperform" for the company, expecting a relative return exceeding the benchmark index by over 10% in the next 12-18 months [19]. Core Insights - The company's operating revenue for the 2024/25 fiscal year was 27.01 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.6% year-on-year, with the decline in the second half narrowing to 5.4% compared to 7.9% in the first half [2][8]. - The retail business, the main revenue source, saw a 6.8% decline to 23.03 billion yuan, with improvements in the second half attributed to online sales initiatives [2][8]. - The gross margin decreased by 3.4 percentage points to 38.4%, while net profit fell by 41.9% to 12.85 billion yuan, influenced by increased discount rates and changes in sales channel mix [4][10]. - The company maintained a strong cash flow, with net cash flow from operating activities increasing by 20% to 3.76 billion yuan, supporting a high dividend payout ratio of 135% [5][12]. Revenue Performance - The company's revenue for the 2024/25 fiscal year was under pressure, primarily due to a weak consumption environment and reduced offline foot traffic [2][8]. - Retail revenue declined by 6.8% year-on-year, with the main brand's sales down 6.1% to 23.31 billion yuan [2][8]. - The online business segment showed double-digit growth, contributing to an increase in its share of overall direct business to 30%-40% [3][9]. Margin and Profitability - The overall gross margin decreased to 38.4%, with a notable decline in net profit by 41.9% year-on-year [4][10]. - The company is focusing on expense control, with total expenses decreasing by 5.6% year-on-year, while aiming to improve profit margins through efficiency [4][10]. Cash Flow and Dividends - The company reported a robust cash generation capability, with free cash flow at 3.38 billion yuan, 2.6 times the net profit for the same period [5][12]. - A final dividend of 0.02 yuan per share and a special dividend of 0.12 yuan per share were proposed, maintaining a high dividend payout ratio [5][12].
美知名百货零售商下调销售预期 经济学家唱衰美国经济
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-05-22 07:35
Group 1 - President Trump pressured Walmart to absorb tariff costs without raising prices [1] - Target Corporation lowered its full-year sales forecast after a weak quarterly performance, downplaying plans for price increases related to tariffs [1][3] - Target's comparable sales fell by 3.8% in the quarter ending May 3, exceeding analyst expectations [3] Group 2 - Home improvement retailers Lowe's and Home Depot are exploring strategies to manage tariff costs without comprehensive price increases [3] - Home Depot indicated that while there won't be overall price hikes, some individual product prices may adjust, and certain items might disappear from shelves [3] - Lowe's executives emphasized maintaining price competitiveness and minimizing consumer impact [3] Group 3 - Nike avoided mentioning tariffs but announced price increases on various footwear and apparel products, with specific increases of $5 for shoes priced between $100 and $150, and $10 for shoes over $150 [5] - Major U.S. retailers are facing dual challenges of high costs from tariffs and the need to avoid alienating consumers or the White House [5] Group 4 - A recent Reuters survey indicated that economists believe U.S. government policies have negatively impacted the economy, with over 55% stating it caused severe damage [6] - Current tariff rates are significantly higher than at the beginning of the year, contributing to high policy uncertainty and recession risks [6] - Economists expect U.S. inflation to remain above the Federal Reserve's 2% target at least until 2027 [6]
王树国评科技人才教育现状:幸亏王兴兴、梁文锋没读博;知名篮球培训机构被爆跑路;字节跳动多地禁止打包餐食回家、午休禁止熄灯丨邦早报
创业邦· 2025-05-18 00:50
Group 1 - Xiaomi responded to concerns about the deformation of the front bumper of its SU7 model, stating that minor adjustments during installation could lead to deformation under sunlight, and they offer free pickup and repair services for affected vehicles [3] - The well-known basketball training institution Dongfang Qiming has been reported to have ceased operations and its Beijing headquarters has been temporarily closed due to operational adjustments, with allegations of fraudulent activities involving significant amounts of money [5] - Wang Shuguo, president of Fuyao University, criticized the current state of technology talent education in China, suggesting that the education system is outdated and needs to adapt to the rapid advancements in technology [8][9] Group 2 - Nvidia plans to establish a research center in Shanghai focusing on the customization needs of Chinese clients while complying with U.S. export controls, although core design and production will remain overseas [10] - ByteDance has implemented new workplace policies prohibiting employees from taking food out of the office and adjusting lunch break practices, which has raised concerns among employees [11][12] - Liu Qiangdong's donation of a new teaching building at Renmin University, named "JD Qunxue Building," has been officially opened, marking a significant contribution to the university [14][16] Group 3 - Changan Automobile's new factory in Thailand has officially commenced production with an investment of approximately 10 billion Thai Baht, aiming to produce 100,000 vehicles annually, with plans to expand capacity [16] - Dick's Sporting Goods announced a deal to acquire Foot Locker for approximately $2.4 billion, intending to operate it as an independent business unit [18] - BYD launched its new mid-size electric sedan, the BYD e7, with a starting price of 98,800 yuan, emphasizing its design and market positioning [21] Group 4 - NIO officially launched its new ES6 and EC6 models, featuring self-developed 5nm smart driving chips, with starting prices of 338,000 yuan and 358,000 yuan respectively [23] - The 2026 Genesis G80 imported sedan has been launched with a starting price of 318,000 yuan, equipped with a 2.5T engine and variable suspension [25] - IDC predicts that the global data generation will reach 393.9 ZB by 2028, driven by advancements in generative AI and other technologies [27] Group 5 - The State Post Bureau reported that China's express delivery volume reached 61.45 billion pieces from January to April 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20.9% [27] - Alibaba has reduced its stake in Xpeng Motors by 3.08 million shares, marking an 8.13% decrease in its holdings, following previous reductions [16] - Nissan is considering closing two factories in Kanagawa Prefecture due to overcapacity and declining sales, aiming to cut costs and improve performance [17]
氪星晚报|“长三角AI生物医药产业联盟”正式成立;百度AI搜索上线首个基于百亿级内容库的DeepSearch;商务部、国家发展改革委修订发布《餐饮业促进和经营管理办法》
3 6 Ke· 2025-05-16 11:43
Group 1 - Douyin has established a new company in Jiangxi named Bihui Moying Technology Co., Ltd., which includes film production services among its business scope [1] - The company is fully owned by Beijing Bimo Liuxiang Technology Co., Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary of Beijing Douyin Information Service Co., Ltd. [1] Group 2 - Amap has partnered with Rokid to launch the world's first navigation smart agent application based on the Rokid Glasses, marking a significant step in cross-terminal cooperation for travel and location services [2] Group 3 - Feixiang Planet showcased its AI general education course at the 2025 World Digital Education Conference, responding to the Ministry of Education's push for digital education [3] - The course has been implemented in 1,342 schools across various provinces, with 150,000 students participating [3] Group 4 - Dick's Sporting Goods announced a definitive agreement to acquire Foot Locker for approximately $2.4 billion in equity value, with an enterprise value of about $2.5 billion [4] - Foot Locker will operate as an independent business unit within Dick's portfolio, retaining its brand [4] Group 5 - The "Yangtze River Delta AI Biomedicine Industry Alliance" was officially established, involving AstraZeneca and several leading institutions to promote collaboration in the biomedicine sector [5] Group 6 - Tencent Cloud's Vice President Wang Qi introduced three AI application models at the Tencent Global Digital Ecosystem Conference, aiming to enhance the productivity of large models [6] Group 7 - Baidu AI Search launched the first deep search based on a content library of over 10 billion, introducing innovative features like personal knowledge bases and creative canvases [8] Group 8 - Qihong Technology completed a multi-million A round financing, which will be used for expanding its nanocellulose production base and developing high-end applications [9] Group 9 - Patria Investimentos announced a $1 billion investment in a large-scale data center platform named Omnia, targeting the growing demand for cloud computing and AI applications in Latin America [10] - Zhongke Zidong Taichu completed a multi-million first round financing to enhance its research and application of multimodal AI technology [10]