Group 1 - The core point of the article is the appointment of Zhou Xinhuai as the new General Manager and Deputy Secretary of the Party Committee of China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) [1] - Zhou Xinhuai has been relieved of his duties as the General Manager and Deputy Secretary of the Party Committee of China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) [1] - The appointment and removal of positions are conducted in accordance with relevant laws and regulations [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, United Energy Group, experienced a significant decline in its stock price following the release of its interim results, indicating challenges in its financial performance [1] Financial Performance - For the six months ending June 30, 2025, the company reported a revenue of HKD 8.088 billion, a decrease of 4.17% year-on-year [1] - The profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 740 million, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 26.74% [1] - The basic earnings per share were reported at HKD 0.0288 [1] Revenue Drivers - The decline in revenue was primarily attributed to a decrease in the average realized prices of crude oil and condensate [1] - However, the increase in trading operations and new clean energy business partially offset the negative impact on revenue [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - All the studied energy and chemical products are rated as "Oscillation" [1][2][3][4][5] 2. Core Views of the Report - The short - term trend of oil prices is oscillating and rebounding, but the rhythm is still changeable. Saudi Arabia may lower the official selling price of crude oil to Asian buyers in October. Russia's offline refining capacity reached a record high in August, and it extended the ban on refined oil exports [1]. - The fuel oil market is affected by factors such as sanctions, inventory changes, and supply and demand. The high - sulfur fuel oil supply pressure will continue, and the low - sulfur fuel oil market structure has weakened. The FU sentiment is highly volatile and is expected to oscillate [2]. - The asphalt market is affected by factors such as rainfall, capital, and project construction. In September, the demand is expected to increase, and the supply is expected to be relatively sufficient. Attention should be paid to the actual realization of demand [2][3]. - The polyester market has improved demand expectations, but the cost - end crude oil price has declined. The PX and TA have large - scale accidental maintenance, and the ethylene glycol price is expected to oscillate strongly [3]. - The rubber market is supported by tire exports, and the short - term rubber price is expected to oscillate. The price of butadiene rubber follows the cost fluctuations [3][4]. - The methanol market has a short - term increase in port inventory, and the domestic supply will gradually recover. The price is expected to oscillate [4]. - The polyolefin market is gradually moving towards a situation of both strong supply and demand, and the overall will show a narrow - range oscillation pattern [5]. - The polyvinyl chloride market has a stable increase in domestic demand, but the export will weaken. The production profit will be gradually compressed, and the price is expected to oscillate [5]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Research Views - **Crude Oil**: On Thursday, the oil price center moved up. WTI October contract closed up $0.45 to $64.60 per barrel, a 0.7% increase. Brent October contract closed up $0.57 to $68.62 per barrel, an 0.84% increase. SC2510 closed at 486.6 yuan per barrel, up 5.5 yuan per barrel, a 1.14% increase. It is expected to oscillate [1]. - **Fuel Oil**: On Thursday, the main fuel oil contract FU2510 on the Shanghai Futures Exchange closed down 0.21%, and the low - sulfur fuel oil main contract LU2511 closed up 0.14%. It is expected to oscillate [2]. - **Asphalt**: On Thursday, the main asphalt contract BU2510 on the Shanghai Futures Exchange closed down 0.57%. It is expected to oscillate [2]. - **Polyester**: TA601 closed down 0.66%, EG2601 closed down 0.36%, and PX futures main contract closed down 0.78%. It is expected to oscillate [3]. - **Rubber**: On Thursday, the main rubber contract RU2601 rose 185 yuan per ton, NR main contract rose 165 yuan per ton, and butadiene rubber BR main contract rose 270 yuan per ton. It is expected to oscillate [3]. - **Methanol**: The methanol price is expected to oscillate [4]. - **Polyolefin**: The polyolefin market is expected to oscillate [5]. - **Polyvinyl Chloride**: The polyvinyl chloride market is expected to oscillate [5] 3.2 Daily Data Monitoring - The report provides the basis data of various energy and chemical products on August 29, 2025, including spot price, futures price, basis, basis rate, and the change of basis rate in the past month [7]. 3.3 Market News - From August 22 - 28, the gasoline inventory in the Amsterdam - Rotterdam - Antwerp (ARA) center decreased from 104.5 tons to 99.1 tons, the fuel oil inventory increased from 104.6 tons to 104.9 tons, the diesel inventory increased from 203.2 tons to 208.5 tons, the aviation fuel inventory decreased from 94.6 tons to 91.9 tons, and the naphtha inventory increased from 55.2 tons to 58.4 tons [9]. - Saudi Arabia may lower the official selling price of crude oil to Asian buyers in October, with the flagship Arab Light crude oil's official selling price possibly being lowered by 40 - 70 cents per barrel [9] 3.4 Chart Analysis - **Main Contract Price**: The report presents the closing price charts of main contracts of various energy and chemical products from 2021 - 2025 [11][13][15][17][19][21][22] - **Main Contract Basis**: The report shows the basis charts of main contracts of various energy and chemical products from 2021 - 2025 [24][25][27][31][33][35][37] - **Inter - period Contract Spread**: The report provides the spread charts of different contracts of various energy and chemical products [38][39][41][44][47][49][52][55] - **Inter - variety Spread**: The report presents the spread and ratio charts between different varieties of energy and chemical products [56][57][60][61][62] - **Production Profit**: The report shows the cash - flow and profit charts of the production of some energy and chemical products [63][65][67] 3.5 Team Member Introduction - The team members include the assistant director and energy - chemical director Zhong Meiyan, crude oil and related analysts Du Bingqin, natural rubber/polyester analyst Di Yilin, and methanol/PE/PP/PVC analyst Peng Haibo, each with rich experience and achievements [69][70][71][72] 3.6 Contact Information - The company is located at Unit 703, 6th Floor, No. 729 Yanggao South Road, China (Shanghai) Pilot Free Trade Zone. The company phone is 021 - 80212222, the fax is 021 - 80212200, the customer service hotline is 400 - 700 - 7979, and the postal code is 200127 [74]

四是探索新兴业务，培育增长新动能。针对新能源发电间歇性问题，试点电化学储能、压缩空气储能项 目，保障油田电网稳定；跟踪氢能在钻井、井下作业的应用场景，探索"绿电制氢—氢能利用"闭环；适 时介入绿证交易、碳配额质押等业务，将生态价值转化为经济效益。 油田企业是能源生产大户和消耗大户。在传统油气替代加快、碳约束日趋严格的形势下，推动能源转型 是其可持续高质量发展的迫切需求。特别是处于开采中后期的老油田，面临资源接替不足、油气稳产难 度大、开采成本上升等问题，迫切需要以发展新能源为契机，通过规模开发利用，实现产业结构调整升 级、绿色低碳效益发展。 "十四五"期间，在各项政策引导推动下，油田企业在大力推进新能源开发利用，探索新能源与油气生产 融合发展之路，且成效、规模初显。"十五五"即将到来，如何做到规模化效益化发展，如何进一步深化 与油气生产的融合，将成为各油田必须思考的问题。 一是抓好顶层设计,统筹高效开发利用。围绕与油气生产融合发展，应系统抓好产业政策、技术发展、 应用场景、多能互补应用、资源潜力等研究，确定油田新能源发展方向和重点。按照"节能降碳、降本 减费"原则，统筹有序和高效率高效益推进新能源开发利用，全 ...

Core Viewpoint - China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) reported strong mid-year performance for 2025, with significant revenue and profit growth, alongside a commitment to dividend distribution [1][3]. Financial Performance - CNPC's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached RMB 1.5 trillion, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 84.01 billion [1]. - The board declared an interim dividend of RMB 0.22 per share [1]. Production and Operations - Oil and gas equivalent production reached 924 million barrels, a year-on-year increase of 2%, with crude oil production at 476 million barrels (up 0.3%) and marketable natural gas production at 2.68 trillion cubic feet (up 3.8%) [1][3]. - The company optimized crude oil resource allocation and adjusted product structure to increase high-margin refined and chemical products [3]. Green Transition and Future Plans - CNPC is advancing its green low-carbon transition, with a focus on increasing natural gas production's share in total output and developing renewable energy [3]. - The company aims for renewable energy to account for 7% of total oil and gas equivalent production by the end of 2025, with a long-term goal of equal shares for oil, gas, and renewable energy by 2050 [3]. Market Dynamics - Despite a decline in overall refined oil demand, CNPC's domestic refined oil sales grew by 0.3%, increasing its market share by 1.5 percentage points [3]. - The company anticipates that domestic economic recovery will support energy consumption, particularly in residential travel and industrial oil use, although gasoline and diesel consumption may face downward pressure [3]. International Oil Price Outlook - CNPC's management highlighted the influence of OPEC+ production decisions and geopolitical factors on international oil prices, predicting a fluctuation around $70 per barrel in Q3 [4]. - The company emphasized its integrated supply chain management and cost control as key strengths in navigating market changes [4].

Group 1 - The Russian government announced a temporary ban on gasoline exports from September 1 to September 30 to stabilize the domestic market, affecting all exporters including oil product producers and non-producers [1] - This is not the first time Russia has imposed gasoline export controls; since March 1, 2025, Russia has not exported any gasoline, and the new ban extends the previous restrictions by one month [3] - Although Russia is a major oil producer and exporter, it primarily exports unrefined crude oil, with refined gasoline prioritized for domestic supply [3] Group 2 - The export ban is unlikely to significantly impact Russia's foreign exchange earnings in the short term, but rising domestic gasoline prices may lead to public dissatisfaction due to supply shortages [5] - Since early 2025, the price of 92-octane gasoline in Russia has increased by approximately 38%, while 95-octane gasoline has risen by about 49%, with occasional shortages reported in regions far from oil production areas [6] - According to recent data from the St. Petersburg International Commodity Exchange (SPIMEX), gasoline prices in Russia have started to decline from previous highs, and normal supply and export are expected to resume on October 1 [6]

Domestic Market Overview - The domestic market experienced a pullback after an initial rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3800.35 points, down 1.76% [4][9] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12295.07 points, down 1.43%, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.69% [4][9] - The total trading volume of the A-share market reached 31,978 billion yuan, showing an increase compared to the previous day [4][9] - Among 30 sectors, 29 saw declines, with real estate, comprehensive finance, and textile and apparel sectors showing the largest gains, while only the communication sector recorded an increase [4][9] Overseas Market Overview - The three major U.S. stock indices saw slight gains, with the Dow Jones up 0.32% and the S&P 500 reaching a new historical high with a 0.24% increase [2][4] - The Nasdaq rose by 0.21%, with notable gains from companies like Salesforce and Chevron [2][4] - Chinese concept stocks generally declined, with Tiger Brokers dropping nearly 10% and Canadian Solar falling over 9% [2][4] Key News - The Shanghai government is accelerating the renovation of urban villages, implementing various measures for overall project transformation [11][12] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued guidelines to optimize business access and promote the satellite communication industry, aiming for significant growth by 2030 [13][14] - The National Bureau of Statistics reported a 1.7% decline in profits for large-scale industrial enterprises from January to July, with state-owned enterprises seeing a 7.5% drop [14][15] - The Ministry of Commerce plans to introduce several policy measures next month to expand service consumption [19][20]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The overall performance of the company meets expectations, with a decline in profits year-on-year due to falling oil prices, but the company shows good performance in price differentials and production increases [3] - The company has seen a narrowing of the price discount compared to Brent crude oil, with an average oil price of $69 per barrel in H1 2025, down from a $3 discount in the previous year to about $1 [3] - Natural gas sales prices have increased, with a Q2 price of $8 per thousand cubic feet, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.60% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.03% [3] - Significant growth in natural gas production was noted, with H1 2025 oil and gas production at 296.1 million and 88.5 million barrels of oil equivalent, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 4% and 12% [3] - The company maintains a low oil production cost advantage, with a H1 2025 cost of $26.94 per barrel, which is stable compared to Q1 and down $0.8 from the previous year [3] - Capital expenditures decreased by 9% year-on-year, with a budgeted expenditure of 125 billion to 135 billion yuan for 2025 [3] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 predict net profits of 1350.29 billion, 1397.82 billion, and 1480.96 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 2.84, 2.94, and 3.12 yuan per share [3] Financial Summary - For H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 207.61 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.45%, and a net profit of 69.53 billion yuan, down 12.79% [1][2] - The basic earnings per share for H1 2025 was 1.46 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 13.10% [1] - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 100.75 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.62% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 5.71% [2] - The net profit for Q2 2025 was 32.97 billion yuan, down 17.60% year-on-year and 9.83% quarter-on-quarter [2]

半年盘点｜国际原油价跌致"三桶油"上半年减利超290亿元，跌幅不一为什么 作者：郭霁莹 上半年国际油价震荡下行态势波及了国内石油公司利润。 随着8月27日晚间中国海油(600938.SH)披露半年报，"三桶油"上半年业绩已披露完毕。中国石油 (601857.SH)、中国石化(600028.SH)、中国海油分别实现归母净利润840.1亿元、214.8亿元、695.3亿 元，同比下跌5.4%、39.8%、13%，总共共比去年同期减少了290.5亿元，相当于每天少赚近1.6亿元。 上半年，国内化工品新增产能持续释放，大部分产品价格下降，化工业务毛利空间收窄，中国石油、中 国石化相关收益均出现下滑。中国石油上半年化工业务实现经营利润13.92亿元，同比下滑55.5%；中国 石化化工事业部经营收益亏损额进一步扩大了33.5%至42.24亿元。 同期，"三桶油"营业收入亦都出现5%-11%不等的跌幅，其中，中国石油更是出现近五年来营收、净利 润双下滑的罕见情况。 石油业务是"三桶油"最主要收入来源。正因如此，三家公司均在年报中着重提及国际油价震荡下跌对公 司业绩的影响。今年上半年，全球石油市场供需宽松，布伦特(Brent ...

燃料油日报 | 2025-08-28 中东高硫燃料油发货量持续增加 市场分析 上期所燃料油期货主力合约日盘收跌2.39%，报2821元/吨；INE低硫燃料油期货主力合约日盘收跌1.47%，报3485 元/吨。 当前地缘与宏观形势仍不明朗，尤其俄乌和谈进展有限，原油端短期面临诸多不确定性，昨日油价再度回落，带 动FU、LU盘面下跌。 就燃料油自身基本面而言，高硫燃料油处于结构调整与市场再平衡的阶段，目前还不具备再度走强的条件。参考 船期数据来看，中东高硫燃料油发货量还在持续增加，8月份达到345万吨，环比增加8万吨。未来随着发电终端消 费旺季结束，沙特等国国内消费减少，出口还有进一步提升的空间。 低硫燃料油方面，当前市场压力有限，国产量维持低位，海外供应有再度收紧的态势，外盘月差结构小幅走强。 短期来看，市场结构仍相对稳固。但在中期视角下，低硫燃料油依然面临需求份额被替代、剩余产能较多的矛盾， 因此虽估值下方空间有限，向上阻力也较大。 策略 高硫方面：震荡 低硫方面：震荡 跨品种：无 跨期：无 期现：无 期权：无 风险 宏观风险、关税风险、制裁风险、原油价格大幅波动等、发电端需求超预期、欧佩克增产幅度不及预期、 ...