Core Viewpoint - The company has approved an increase in the guarantee limit for its subsidiary, Guocheng Lithium, by no more than 1.55 billion yuan, which will support its development and is considered manageable in terms of risk [1] Group 1: Company Actions - Guocheng Lithium has engaged in financing leasing business with Jiyin Leasing, for which the company provides a maximum joint liability guarantee of 180 million yuan, falling within the previously approved guarantee scope [1] - Guocheng Lithium was established in 2023, with Guocheng Mining holding a 75% stake [1] Group 2: Financial Overview - As of June 30, Guocheng Lithium reported total assets of 366.4591 million yuan and total liabilities of 126.4115 million yuan [1] - The actual external guarantee balance for the company and its subsidiaries was 1.6475715 billion yuan prior to this new guarantee, which will increase to no more than 1.8275715 billion yuan after the new guarantee [1]

Core Viewpoint - CITIC Securities projects Luoyang Molybdenum's net profit for 2025-2027 to be 16.3 billion, 18.5 billion, and 21 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 16.84, 14.86, and 13.09 times, recommending a "buy" rating based on the company's industry position, growth potential, and low-cost advantages [1] Production Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved significant increases in production across various metals: copper at 353,600 tons (up 12.68%), cobalt at 61,100 tons (up 13.05%), and niobium at 5,231 tons (up 2.94%), all reaching historical highs [2] - The company completed over half of its production targets for the first half of the year, with the TFM and KFM projects contributing significantly to copper production [2] Price Trends - The average LME copper price in the first half of 2025 increased by 3.75% to $9,431 per ton, with cobalt and molybdenum prices rising by 7.69% and 23.90% respectively [3] Cost Management - The company has made significant progress in cost reduction and efficiency improvements through refined management and technological innovations, with copper production costs around 33,700 yuan per ton in the first half of 2025 [4] Strategic Developments - The company has successfully acquired the Odin Mining project in Ecuador, aiming to enhance its gold resource portfolio and diversify its product matrix, with production expected to commence by 2029 [5] Market Dynamics - The ongoing cobalt export ban in the Democratic Republic of Congo has led to a significant price increase for electrolytic cobalt, from 160,000 yuan per ton to 275,000 yuan per ton, with domestic supply tightening and potential policy adjustments on the horizon [6]

Core Viewpoint - CITIC Securities projects Luoyang Molybdenum's net profit for 2025-2027 to be 16.3 billion yuan, 18.5 billion yuan, and 21 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 16.84, 14.86, and 13.09 times, and recommends a "buy" rating based on the company's industry position, growth potential, and low-cost advantages [1] Production Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved significant increases in production for copper and cobalt, with outputs of 353,600 tons and 61,100 tons respectively, marking year-on-year growth of 12.68% and 13.05%, and setting historical highs for the period [1][2] - The company met or exceeded production targets for all products in the first half of the year, achieving over half of its annual goals within the first six months [1] Pricing Trends - The average LME copper price in the first half of 2025 increased by 3.75% year-on-year to $9,431 per ton, with cobalt, molybdenum, APT, niobium, and monoammonium phosphate prices showing respective changes of +7.69%, +23.90%, +1.37%, +12.39%, and -0.17% [3] Cost Management - The company has made significant progress in cost reduction and efficiency improvement through refined management and technological innovation, with the cost of copper production in the first half of 2025 approximately 33,700 yuan per ton [4] Strategic Developments - The company completed the acquisition of Odin Mining in Ecuador and is advancing development work to enhance its gold resource portfolio, aiming for production by 2029 [5] Market Dynamics - The cobalt market is experiencing upward pressure on prices due to ongoing export bans from the Democratic Republic of Congo, with prices rising from 160,000 yuan per ton to 275,000 yuan per ton over the past seven months, and potential adjustments to export policies may further impact supply dynamics [6]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - **Copper**: Overnight, both domestic and international copper prices rose significantly, with domestic spot imports in a loss situation. The strong real - estate demand in the US exceeded market expectations, showing economic resilience. The Grasberg mine accident in Indonesia may have a long - term impact on copper supply, and it is expected to drive a significant increase in the average copper price in the fourth quarter. Investors are advised to follow the trend and mainly go long on dips [1]. - **Aluminum**: Alumina, Shanghai aluminum, and aluminum alloy all showed a slightly stronger trend. However, domestic mines have not resumed production, and ore shipments have decreased, resulting in a continuous decline in ore inventory. Alumina is generally bearish but has basically bottomed out. The aluminum ingot has not yet reached an actual de - stocking inflection point. The subsequent increase in aluminum prices depends on further improvement in demand [1][2]. - **Nickel**: The bottom of the nickel price may rise slightly due to macro factors, supply - side disturbances, and the strengthening of raw material prices, but inventory remains a resistance to the price increase [2][3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Research Views Copper - **Macro**: US new home sales in August reached an annualized 800,000 units, much higher than the expected 650,000 units, with a month - on - month increase of 20.5%. The US Treasury Secretary expressed dissatisfaction with the Fed Chairman and called for a 100 - 150 basis - point interest rate cut by the end of the year [1]. - **Inventory**: LME copper inventory decreased by 144,775 tons to 200 tons, Comex inventory decreased by 142 tons to 288,695 tons, SHFE copper warehouse receipts decreased by 308 tons to 27,419 tons, and BC copper remained at 6,445 tons [1]. - **Demand**: Downstream buyers are afraid of high copper prices and macro uncertainties, with weak procurement enthusiasm, and domestic social inventory de - stocking is not ideal [1]. - **Supply**: The Grasberg mine accident in Indonesia is expected to reduce copper and gold production by about 35% (about 270,000 tons) in 2026 compared to previous expectations, and sales in the fourth quarter of 2025 will also be greatly affected [1]. Aluminum - **Futures**: Alumina, Shanghai aluminum, and aluminum alloy all showed a slightly stronger trend. Overnight, AO2601 closed at 2,916 yuan/ton, up 0.76%; AL2510 closed at 20,805 yuan/ton, up 0.58%; AD2511 closed at 20,435 yuan/ton, up 0.59% [1][2]. - **Spot**: SMM alumina price dropped to 3,008 yuan/ton, aluminum ingot spot discount was 10 yuan/ton to par, and the Foshan A00 aluminum price dropped to 20,620 yuan/ton [2]. - **Supply and Demand**: Domestic mines have not resumed production, and ore shipments have decreased, resulting in a continuous decline in ore inventory. Alumina is generally bearish but has basically bottomed out. The aluminum ingot has not yet reached an actual de - stocking inflection point, and downstream procurement willingness has declined [2]. Nickel - **Futures**: LME nickel rose 0.62% to 15,435 US dollars/ton, and Shanghai nickel rose 0.88% to 122,750 yuan/ton [2]. - **Inventory**: LME nickel inventory increased by 132 tons to 120,586 tons, and domestic SHFE warehouse receipts decreased by 493 tons to 24,971 tons [2]. - **Supply and Demand**: The sanctions on 39 nickel - mining enterprises in Indonesia have little impact on overall supply. In the stainless - steel sector, cost support has strengthened, but supply has increased. In the new - energy sector, ternary demand has weakened slightly in September, and MHP supply may be relatively tight [2]. 3.2 Daily Data Monitoring - **Copper**: The price of flat - copper rose by 30 yuan/ton, and the flat - copper premium decreased by 5 yuan/ton. SHFE copper warehouse receipts decreased by 308 tons, and the total inventory increased by 11,760 tons [4]. - **Lead**: The average price of 1 lead decreased by 40 yuan/ton, and SHFE lead warehouse receipts decreased by 3,450 tons, with a weekly inventory decrease of 9,229 tons [4]. - **Aluminum**: The Wuxi aluminum price rose by 10 yuan/ton, and the spot premium increased by 10 yuan/ton. SHFE aluminum warehouse receipts decreased by 1,224 tons, and the total inventory decreased by 765 tons [5]. - **Nickel**: The price of Jinchuan nickel increased by 500 yuan/ton, and SHFE nickel warehouse receipts decreased by 493 tons, with a weekly inventory increase of 2,334 tons [5]. - **Zinc**: The main - contract settlement price decreased by 0.2%, and the LME0 - 3 premium decreased by 1.75 US dollars/ton. SHFE zinc inventory increased by 793 tons, and social inventory decreased by 0.37 million tons [7]. - **Tin**: The main - contract settlement price increased by 0.5%, and the LME0 - 3 premium increased by 17 US dollars/ton. SHFE tin inventory decreased by 909 tons [7]. 3.3 Chart Analysis - **Spot Premium**: The report provides charts of spot premiums for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2019 - 2025 [9][11][14]. - **SHFE Near - Far Month Spread**: Charts of the spread between the first - and second - month contracts for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2020 - 2025 are presented [17][22]. - **LME Inventory**: Charts of LME inventory for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2019 - 2025 are shown [25][27][29]. - **SHFE Inventory**: Charts of SHFE inventory for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, lead, and tin from 2019 - 2025 are provided [31][33][35]. - **Social Inventory**: Charts of social inventory for copper, aluminum, nickel, zinc, stainless - steel, and 300 - series stainless - steel from 2019 - 2025 are presented [37][39][41]. - **Smelting Profit**: Charts of copper concentrate index, rough - copper processing fee, aluminum smelting profit, nickel - iron smelting cost, zinc smelting profit, and stainless - steel 304 smelting profit rate from 2019 - 2025 are shown [43][45][49]. 3.4有色金属团队介绍 - **Zhan Dapeng**: He holds a master's degree in science and is currently the director of non - ferrous research at Everbright Futures Research Institute. He has more than ten years of experience in commodity research and has won many industry awards [52]. - **Wang Heng**: He holds a master's degree in finance from the University of Adelaide, Australia, and is mainly responsible for the research on aluminum and silicon [52]. - **Zhu Xi**: She holds a master's degree in science from the University of Warwick, UK, and focuses on the research of lithium and nickel [53].

Core Viewpoint - Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce downgraded Freeport-McMoRan Inc. from "Outperform" to "Market Perform" and reduced the target price from $55 to $45 [1] Group 1 - The downgrade reflects a shift in the bank's outlook on Freeport-McMoRan's performance within the industry [1] - The target price adjustment indicates a more cautious approach towards the company's future valuation [1]

智通财经APP获悉，洛阳钼业(03993)AH股早盘均创历史新高，截至发稿，A股涨停，H股涨14.53%，报 14.35港元，成交额13.62亿港元。 值得注意的是，9月23日晚，洛阳钼业发布一项重磅股权激励计划，拟建立H股受限制股票计划，在计 划有效期之内向激励对象授予不超过3.93亿股H股股份用于股权激励，上限约占已发行港股总数的 10%。以当日收盘价每股12.760港元计算，此次激励的总计划金额达50亿港元，约占公司港股总市值的 1.8%。据悉，这是港股近几年规模最大的股权激励计划之一。 消息面上，刚果金钴出口政策于9月21日正式落地，包括延长钴出口禁令至2025年10月15日，随后将实 施出口配额，2026至2027年配额将为正常产量的40%。此外，Freeport公司表示，由于发生致命泥流事 故，印度尼西亚格拉斯伯格铜矿的采矿作业自9月8日起已暂时停止，该矿山可能要到2027年才能恢复到 事故前的运营水平。 ...

消息面上，刚果金钴出口政策于9月21日正式落地，包括延长钴出口禁令至2025年10月15日，随后将实 施出口配额，2026至2027年配额将为正常产量的40%。此外，Freeport公司表示，由于发生致命泥流事 故，印度尼西亚格拉斯伯格铜矿的采矿作业自9月8日起已暂时停止，该矿山可能要到2027年才能恢复到 事故前的运营水平。 值得注意的是，9月23日晚，洛阳钼业发布一项重磅股权激励计划，拟建立H股受限制股票计划，在计 划有效期之内向激励对象授予不超过3.93亿股H股股份用于股权激励，上限约占已发行港股总数的 10%。以当日收盘价每股12.760港元计算，此次激励的总计划金额达50亿港元，约占公司港股总市值的 1.8%。据悉，这是港股近几年规模最大的股权激励计划之一。 洛阳钼业（603993）(03993)AH股早盘均创历史新高，截至发稿，A股涨停，H股涨14.53%，报14.35港 元，成交额13.62亿港元。 ...

每经AI快讯，9月25日，港股紫金矿业(02899.HK)早盘涨超6%，截至发稿，涨6.07%，报31.44港元，成 交额18.43亿港元。 ...

Core Points - Zijin Mining has seen a stock price increase of 5.05% on September 25, reaching 27.24 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 6.995 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 1.25%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 723.973 billion CNY. The stock has risen for four consecutive days, accumulating a total increase of 6.18% during this period [1] Company Overview - Zijin Mining Group Co., Ltd. is located at multiple addresses in Fujian Province and Hong Kong, established on September 6, 2000, and listed on April 25, 2008. The company specializes in mineral resource exploration and development [1] - The main business revenue composition includes: Other 66.76%, Smelting and Trading Gold 41.33%, Smelting Copper 16.26%, Mining Copper Concentrate 11.51%, Mining Gold Ingots 6.69%, Mining Gold Concentrate 4.93%, Mining Electrolytic Copper 2.67%, Smelting Zinc 2.49%, Mining Zinc 1.90%, Mining Electrolytic Copper 1.68%, Mining Silver 0.66%, Iron Concentrate 0.14% [1] Fund Holdings - According to data, the fund "Chunhou Lijia Mixed A" (011563) holds a significant position in Zijin Mining, having increased its holdings by 600 shares in the second quarter, totaling 2,600 shares, which represents 4.23% of the fund's net value, making it the third-largest holding. The estimated floating profit today is approximately 3,406 CNY, with a floating profit of 3,926 CNY during the four-day increase [2] - "Chunhou Lijia Mixed A" was established on July 29, 2022, with a current scale of 1.0736 million CNY. Year-to-date returns are 18.17%, ranking 4,777 out of 8,173 in its category; the one-year return is 31.34%, ranking 4,718 out of 8,003; and since inception, the return is 22% [2] Fund Manager Information - The fund managers of "Chunhou Lijia Mixed A" are Zhai Yujia and Jiang Wenjun. Zhai has a tenure of 5 years and 299 days, with a total fund asset size of 1.199 million CNY, achieving a best return of 91.75% and a worst return of -28.86% during the tenure. Jiang has a tenure of 5 years and 17 days, managing assets totaling 19.091 billion CNY, with a best return of 32.65% and a worst return of -0.14% during the tenure [3]

每经AI快讯，9月25日，紫金矿业涨3.74%，报26.9元/股，股价再创新高，总市值突破7149.36亿元，成 交额达2.22亿元。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...