东吴证券首席经济学家芦哲对记者分析称，尽管美联储主席在FOMC（联邦公开市场委员会）中对货币政策决议只有一票，在形式上与其他委 员一致，但作为美联储的核心人物，其无论是在对内设置会议议程与引导讨论，还是在对外沟通表态上，均能对货币政策整体风向产生举足轻 重的影响。由于鲍威尔任期即将于2026年5月到期，因此选择一位更加鸽派的主席候选人成为了特朗普目前对美联储独立性干预最直接的手 段。 从种种迹象来看，美联储独立性面临的挑战才刚开始，一场更大的风暴或在酝酿。 图片来源：新华社 美联储独立性风暴暗流涌动。 据央视新闻报道，当地时间9月16日，美国白宫发言人表示，特朗普政府将就法院阻止撤换美联储理事莉萨·库克的裁决提出上诉。此前美国联 邦上诉法院裁定，阻止美国总统特朗普在美联储议息会议召开前将理事莉萨·库克撤职。 与此同时，特朗普提名的美联储理事斯蒂芬·米兰于16日宣誓就职，火速参与美联储9月利率决议，他与库克共处美联储会议桌的同一个角落， 两人之间仅隔着1名理事。 而到了明年，美联储主席鲍威尔将卸任，特朗普将通过提名新任主席对美联储施加更大影响。 罢免库克事件争议重重 特朗普政府罢免库克一案被视为对美联储独立性的 ...

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate cut since December 2024, lowering rates by 25 basis points, signaling a shift in focus from combating inflation to boosting employment [1][4][7] - The Fed's statement removed previous affirmations of a strong labor market, acknowledging a slowdown in job growth and a slight increase in unemployment, indicating rising risks in employment [4][7] - The median expectation from the Fed's dot plot suggests a total rate cut of 0.5 percentage points by the end of the year, with two more 25 basis point cuts anticipated in the remaining meetings [4][10] Group 2 - Barclays Research predicts a slight increase in the unemployment rate and heightened risks in employment, suggesting the Fed may implement two more 25 basis point cuts in October and December [3][11] - The Fed's inflation forecasts have been adjusted, with the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation expected to be 2.6% in 2026, indicating a longer path to achieving the 2% target [6][10] - The recent employment data shows a significant downward revision in non-farm payrolls, with the U.S. experiencing negative job growth over the past four months, justifying the 25 basis point cut [9][19] Group 3 - The appointment of Stephen I. Miran, a proponent of aggressive rate cuts, has introduced political dynamics into the Fed's decision-making process, as he voted against the 25 basis point cut [12][14] - The Fed's internal divisions regarding future rate cuts are evident, with varying predictions among officials about the number and magnitude of future cuts [15][19] - Market reactions to the rate cut have been mixed, with initial gains in U.S. stocks followed by a reversal, indicating uncertainty about the economic outlook and the effectiveness of the Fed's policies [17][19] Group 4 - Analysts express concerns that the current economic environment may lead to speculative bubbles if additional monetary easing is applied to an economy that is not weak [18][19] - The historical context of past rate cuts shows that while equities may experience volatility, gold often benefits from a declining dollar and increased demand for safe-haven assets during such periods [25][19] - The Fed's recent actions are seen as part of a broader trend towards a more dovish monetary policy framework, reflecting changing macroeconomic conditions and labor market dynamics [15][19]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point reduction in the federal funds rate target range to 4.00%-4.25%, aligning with market expectations and reflecting a strong internal consensus within the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) [1] Group 1: Federal Reserve Actions - The FOMC voted 11 to 1 in favor of the rate cut, with only new member Milan opposing, advocating for a 50 basis point cut [1] - The FOMC acknowledged a slowdown in economic activity and a deceleration in job growth, indicating a conflict between price stability and full employment [1][6] - The FOMC's forward guidance suggests a potential for two more rate cuts this year, totaling 50 basis points, with some members hinting at a more aggressive stance [2] Group 2: Market Reactions - Following the announcement, U.S. Treasury yields fluctuated, with the two-year yield rising by 5 basis points to 3.55% due to cautious remarks from Powell [5] - The S&P 500 index experienced a brief rise before closing down 0.1%, indicating that the market had already priced in the decision [5] Group 3: Economic Indicators - The U.S. unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, the highest since October 2021, with job growth nearly stagnant this year [5] - The Labor Department's revised data indicated nearly 1 million fewer jobs added than previously reported, heightening FOMC concerns about employment deterioration [5] Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the Fed's current stance reflects a delicate balance between inflation pressures and a weakening labor market, with a focus on employment conditions [6][7] - Powell emphasized the need for data-driven decisions and maintaining the Fed's independence, acknowledging potential inflationary pressures from tariffs [7]

Core Insights - The Argentine peso has breached the upper limit of the government-set trading band for the first time, prompting the central bank to intervene using foreign reserves, indicating a setback for President Milei's policies aimed at controlling inflation and stabilizing the currency [1][2] Group 1: Currency and Market Intervention - The peso depreciated nearly 0.4% against the dollar, reaching 1,474.50 pesos per dollar, surpassing the IMF-agreed trading band limit of 1,474.345 pesos [1] - The central bank sold $53 million in foreign reserves for market intervention, marking the first direct market operation since the new exchange rate framework was implemented [1][2] - The central bank later denied that the peso had breached the trading band limit, citing internal calculations that suggested a different upper limit, but market sentiment reflects concerns over the fragility of the government's foreign exchange strategy [1][2] Group 2: Policy Challenges and Economic Implications - The breach of the trading band presents a policy dilemma, as defending the band could be costly in terms of foreign reserves, with analysts suggesting that the government may need to raise the band instead [2] - The central bank's report confirmed the sale of $53 million in international reserves, highlighting the challenges of maintaining the new exchange rate framework [2] - The Milei administration has tightened foreign exchange controls, including stricter rules for banks and prohibiting certain financial transactions, in an effort to curb dollar demand and stabilize the peso [3] Group 3: Political Context and Market Sentiment - The tightening of foreign exchange controls is viewed as a response to the pressure on the peso, with analysts expressing skepticism about the sustainability of these measures amid rising electoral uncertainties [3] - The government has also increased the reserve requirements for commercial banks, which has temporarily supported the peso but added pressure to the banking system and the overall economy [3] - Investors are closely monitoring the results of provincial elections as an indicator of public acceptance of Milei's economic policies, which will influence the outlook for the upcoming national midterm elections [4]

【 导读 】王欣正式获批出任平安信托董事长 中国基金报记者 嘉合 平安信托正式换帅！9月17日，平安信托微信公众号显示，经国家金融监督管理总局深圳监管 局核准批复，平安信托党委书记王欣正式出任该公司董事长。 拥有近30年金融从业经验 今年5月27日，中国平安党委曾发文，任命王欣为平安信托党委委员、党委书记。时隔约4个 月后，王欣出任平安信托董事长的任职资格正式获得监管批准。 公开资料显示，王欣出生于1974年10月，北京大学硕士毕业，高级经济师。 他于1996年加入平安银行（原深圳发展银行），先后任职于平安银行、平安资管等金融机 构，拥有24年商业银行与5年保险资管公司等不同金融领域的工作经验，以及超过20年的金 融行业市场与风险经营管理经验。 版权声明 《中国基金报》对本平台所刊载的原创内容享有著作权，未经授权禁止转载，否则将追究法律责任。 授权转载合作联系人：于先生（电话：0755-82468670） 在平安资管任职期间，王欣聚焦公司战略目标与全面风险管理需要，全面加强资本市场与非 资本市场的风险识别、计量、监控、预警与风险化解，通过精准的风险前瞻和系列主动风控 措施，保障平安资产管理公司6万亿元规模的管 ...

中国基金报记者 嘉合 平安信托正式换帅！9月17日，平安信托微信公众号显示，经国家金融监督管理总局深圳监管局核准批 复，平安信托党委书记王欣正式出任该公司董事长。 （原标题：平安信托换帅！王欣董事长任职资格获批） 【导读】王欣正式获批出任平安信托董事长 据悉，3月21日晚间，平安银行发布公告称，该行董事会以全票通过聘任方蔚豪担任该行副行长的议 案。6月26日，方蔚豪任平安银行副行长任职资格正式获批。 公开资料显示，平安信托成立于1996年，注册资本为130亿元，是中国平安的控股子公司。 拥有近30年金融从业经验 今年5月27日，中国平安党委曾发文，任命王欣为平安信托党委委员、党委书记。时隔约4个月后，王欣 出任平安信托董事长的任职资格正式获得监管批准。 公开资料显示，王欣出生于1974年10月，北京大学硕士毕业，高级经济师。 他于1996年加入平安银行（原深圳发展银行），先后任职于平安银行、平安资管等金融机构，拥有24年 商业银行与5年保险资管公司等不同金融领域的工作经验，以及超过20年的金融行业市场与风险经营管 理经验。 平安信托在公告中介绍，在平安银行任职期间，王欣先后担任平安银行北京分行行长助理兼风险总 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that BlackRock, the world's largest asset management company, is increasing its risk allocation by significantly boosting its exposure to U.S. stocks and the artificial intelligence (AI) sector within its $185 billion model investment portfolio [1] - BlackRock's adjustments involve reducing allocations to international developed market stocks in favor of U.S. equities, resulting in an overall overweight of 2% in stock holdings across its model portfolios [1] - The adjustments were made in response to the strong performance of the U.S. stock market, which has been driven by a surge in AI investments and expectations of an upcoming interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, leading the S&P 500 index to reach an all-time high this year [1] Group 2 - BlackRock's investment report indicates that the robust earnings performance of U.S. companies is expected to continue driving the U.S. stock market higher, with U.S. corporate earnings growth reaching 11% since Q3 2024, compared to less than 2% for similar companies in other developed markets [1] - Following the asset allocation adjustments, there was a significant flow of funds amounting to billions of dollars across BlackRock's corresponding exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on the adjustment day [1]

Group 1 - The article discusses the challenges faced by the US dollar and US Treasury bonds, highlighting a significant rise in the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.46%, marking the largest three-day volatility since 1981 [3] - The US Treasury's bond buyback reached a historic high of $138 billion, nearly double the previous year's total, indicating efforts to stabilize the market amid rising debt, which now exceeds $36 trillion [3][5] - There is a noticeable decline in demand for US Treasury bonds, with major domestic investors purchasing only 6.2% of a recent three-year bond auction, down from a typical 19%, reflecting growing skepticism towards US dollar assets [5] Group 2 - In contrast, the Chinese yuan is gaining traction, with the exchange rate against the US dollar reaching 7.1163, the highest since November of the previous year, supported by China's robust groundwork in international payments [7][16] - The People's Bank of China reported that the Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) now covers 189 countries, processing 4.0295 million transactions worth 90.19 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, equating to approximately 2.5 million yuan per second in global transactions [7][11] - China's energy imports from the US have plummeted to nearly zero, while imports from Russia have increased by 16.8%, with many transactions being settled in yuan, showcasing the yuan's growing international acceptance [9][12] Group 3 - The article emphasizes that the value of a currency is underpinned by its strength and credibility, contrasting the US's $36 trillion debt and geopolitical tensions with China's focus on trade and infrastructure development [12][14] - The trend indicates a shift in global currency dynamics, with more countries recognizing the benefits of using the yuan for transactions, as it is perceived as safer and more convenient compared to the dollar [14]

Core Insights - The report highlights the transformation of China's asset management industry from "scale expansion" to "quality improvement," with an overall asset management scale reaching 165.45 trillion yuan in 2024, maintaining a compound annual growth rate of 7.45% since 2019 [1][3] - Beijing's asset management sector is a significant contributor to the national landscape, managing nearly 50 trillion yuan, accounting for nearly 30% of the national total, and housing over 3,300 asset management institutions [1][2] Summary by Categories Industry Overview - The asset management industry in China is experiencing a shift towards quality and efficiency, moving away from a focus solely on scale [3] - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of Beijing's asset management sector, emphasizing its role as a national financial management center [1][2] Key Trends - The report identifies six major trends for the future of Beijing's asset management industry, including: 1. Strengthening financial support for key areas such as technology innovation, green economy, and digital economy [3] 2. Transitioning from scale-oriented to quality and efficiency-oriented operations [3] 3. Focusing on customer needs to drive product diversification and personalized innovation [3] 4. Optimizing market structure to highlight the characteristics of leading institutions [3] 5. Enhancing the regulatory framework to support healthy industry development [3] 6. Increasing international openness and regional collaboration [3] Expert Commentary - The report's release is timely, coinciding with the conclusion of the 14th Five-Year Plan and the emphasis on high-quality financial development [2] - Experts stress the importance of adapting to non-economic factors and the long-term volatility of global dynamics for the asset management industry [3]

Core Viewpoint - The "2025 China Capital Market Development Forum" highlighted the achievements of financial institutions, with Caitong Asset Management winning multiple awards, showcasing its strong asset management capabilities and commitment to client-centric services [2][3][5]. Group 1: Awards and Recognition - Caitong Asset Management received four awards at the forum, including "Outstanding Securities Asset Management Demonstration Institution" for three consecutive years [2]. - Two of its asset management products were recognized as "Outstanding Product Demonstration Cases" in the five-year equity and three-year fixed income categories [2][5]. Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - The forum aimed to enhance the capital market's service to the real economy and promote technological innovation and industrial transformation [3]. - Caitong Asset Management reported a total asset management scale of nearly 300 billion yuan as of June 2025, with public fund management exceeding 110 billion yuan [3]. Group 3: Investment Capabilities - The recognized products reflect Caitong's diversified asset management capabilities, with a focus on both equity and fixed income strategies [5]. - The firm has built a research team of over 100 professionals covering various investment areas, emphasizing long-term value investment and integrated research and investment platforms [5]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Caitong Asset Management aims to prioritize investor interests and enhance its comprehensive financial service capabilities, aspiring to be a reliable partner for investors [5].