Core Viewpoints - The judgment that the small-level adjustment wave of A-shares has not ended is being validated, with no medium-term downside risk and the short-term adjustment not being of a large scale. After the adjustment, a "red October" is highly probable due to the approaching long-term policy layout period and ongoing technological catalysts, with short-term price-performance adjustments likely to be resolved soon [1][5][6] Market Adjustment and Outlook - The current market is undergoing a small-level adjustment since early September, with the core issue being the lack of consensus on the structural mainline to push the index higher. The space and time for a technology structural bull market are limited, leading to market resistance in the upward movement as it digests price-performance issues [5][6] - The adjustment is unfolding, and it is emphasized that there will not be a large-scale adjustment in the short term. The core reason is that there is no real downside risk in the medium term. Economic improvement in the second half of 2025 and further policy efforts are expected to support the upward turning point in supply-demand dynamics in 2026 [2][5][6] Expectations for October - October is seen as a critical policy layout window, where the adjustment will be conducive to stabilizing and improving capital market expectations. Potential catalysts are being evaluated dynamically, with a focus on the demand side looking towards a new round of "policy bottom" to "economic bottom" in 2026, while supply-side clearing is expected in mid-2026 [6][7] - The cyclical catalysts for Q4 2025 are relatively limited, but the technological industry continues to show upward trends, particularly in AI, which has not yet reached its boundaries. The current period is characterized by increasing highlights in the technology industry, and the structural heat may re-energize in October [6][9] Medium-term Market Outlook - Before spring 2026, the technological industry is expected to have significantly more catalysts than cyclical ones, although there may be short-term price-performance issues in technology growth. The trend in technology growth may continue, eventually leading to a long-term low price-performance area [6][7] - Spring 2026 may represent a phase peak for the A-share market, facing challenges such as the arrival of a key verification period on the demand side and the potential delay in the supply-demand turning point if demand remains weak. New structural highlights may still need time to emerge, and the long-term price-performance of the technology industry may reach low levels [7][9] Structural Outlook - The trend in technology growth is expected to dominate, with better performance in high-low switches within technology than between growth and value. New catalysts in emerging sectors are anticipated to have high elasticity, with mid-term market space remaining for technology sectors that have already accumulated certain gains [9][10] - The transition from a structural bull to a comprehensive bull market is crucially linked to the anti-involution trend, with a focus on sectors like photovoltaics and chemicals. The mid-term outlook for Hong Kong stocks remains unchanged, benefiting from the strengthening of "Trump's interest rate cut bullish options" and the fermentation of new economic industry trends [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor manufacturing sector, particularly the lithography machine segment, is experiencing significant market interest and activity, especially with domestic companies gaining traction in the A-share market [1][2]. Industry Dynamics - The recent surge in the semiconductor industry has led to rising expectations for price increases, driving the performance of lithography machine stocks [2]. - Major players in the lithography machine concept, such as Zhangjiang Hi-Tech (600895.SH), have seen substantial stock price increases, with Zhangjiang Hi-Tech hitting a historical high [2]. - The domestic lithography machine market is largely dependent on imports from countries like the Netherlands and Japan, indicating a significant opportunity for local manufacturers [2][4]. Company Developments - Shanghai Micro Electronics (SMEE) has showcased its extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine at the China International Industry Fair, marking a significant step in domestic technology disclosure [1]. - Zhangjiang Hi-Tech has invested approximately 22.345 million yuan in Shanghai Micro Electronics, holding a 10.779% stake [2]. - Jiangfeng Electronics (300666.SZ) is providing critical materials for lithography processes and has entered mass production for core cooling components used in lithography machines [2]. Market Structure - The global lithography machine market is dominated by ASML, which holds over 80% market share, particularly in the high-end EUV segment [5][6]. - Domestic lithography machine manufacturers, led by Shanghai Micro Electronics, currently have a low domestic market penetration rate of 2.5% [7]. - Shanghai Micro Electronics is the only domestic supplier with over 80% market share in China, focusing on ArF, KrF, and i-line technologies [7]. Technological Challenges - The lithography machine industry is characterized by high barriers to entry and significant capital requirements, necessitating a coordinated effort from the state and key industry players to achieve self-sufficiency in the supply chain [13]. - Despite advancements, domestic manufacturers face challenges in technology and supply chain issues, particularly in high-end lithography machine technology [9]. Future Outlook - There is a growing expectation for breakthroughs in the domestic lithography machine industry, driven by geopolitical factors limiting access to ASML's EUV machines [8]. - The industry is seeing increased collaboration among domestic companies and research institutions to foster technological innovation and development [12].

Group 1 - The core market sentiment reflects a significant decline in the ChiNext index, dropping by 2.6%, with over 3,400 stocks falling, particularly in the technology sector such as gaming and computing hardware [1][3] - The technology sector is experiencing a collective pullback, attributed to high valuations not matching earnings growth, despite some stocks having over 100% gains this year [3][4] - The wind power and chemical fiber sectors are showing resilience, with companies like Weili Transmission and Shunfeng Mingyang seeing substantial gains, indicating strong performance amid broader market declines [1][4] Group 2 - The wind power sector benefits from global energy transition trends, with domestic profitability turning a corner and new business opportunities in hydrogen and ammonia [4][5] - The chemical fiber industry is undergoing supply-side reforms, with companies like Shunfeng Mingyang expanding into high-value products, contributing to their stock performance [4][5] - The trading volume decreased to 2.17 trillion yuan, indicating a cautious sentiment among large investors, with a shift from high-valuation tech stocks to undervalued sectors [5][6] Group 3 - The strategy suggests avoiding high-valuation sectors like gaming and computing hardware while focusing on performance-driven sectors like wind power and chemical fiber [6][7] - Maintaining a cash reserve and controlling positions below 60% is recommended to prepare for clearer market directions post-holiday [7][8] - The current market adjustment is viewed as a strategic shift from speculative bubbles to value investments, emphasizing the importance of policy support and earnings certainty [8]

Market Overview - The three major indices experienced a collective decline in early trading, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.18%, the Shenzhen Component down 0.79%, and the ChiNext Index down 1.17% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.3818 trillion yuan, a decrease of 174 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] - Over 2,500 stocks in the market saw declines [1] Sector Performance - The wind power equipment, chemical fiber, military equipment, agricultural chemicals, and soybean sectors showed notable gains [1] - The wind power equipment sector performed strongly, with stocks like Weili Transmission hitting the daily limit, and Dayue Shares, Mingyang Smart Energy, and Jixin Technology also reaching the daily limit [1] - The chemical fiber sector collectively rose, with companies such as Shunma Shares, New Fengming, and Sanfangxiang hitting the daily limit [1] - The military equipment sector saw intraday gains, with companies like Hangyu Technology, Hangya Technology, and Jialiqi leading the increases [1] Declining Sectors - The gaming sector underwent a collective adjustment, with Jibite hitting the daily limit down, and companies like Kunlun Wanwei, Xinghui Entertainment, and Sanqi Interactive Entertainment also declining [1] - The photolithography machine concept stocks also retreated, with Kaimeteqi hitting the daily limit down, and Hongtian Shares, Boliang Optoelectronics, and Lante Optics experiencing significant declines [1]

Market Overview - The A-share market opened lower with all three major indices declining: Shanghai Composite Index down 0.35%, Shenzhen Component Index down 0.38%, and ChiNext Index down 0.42% [1] Sector Performance - Wind power equipment stocks saw an initial surge, with Tianeng Heavy Industry (300569) rising over 15% and Yangming Intelligent increasing over 8%, following China's announcement of a third round of emission reduction targets [1] - The oil and gas extraction and service sector opened higher, with China National Petroleum Engineering (600339) up over 5% and JunOil Co. rising over 3%, as WTI crude oil prices surpassed $65 per barrel overnight [1] - Coal stocks were partially active, with Dayou Energy (600403) hitting the daily limit and Pingmei Shenma Group (601666) increasing over 5%, as Henan Energy Group and Pingmei Shenma Group plan a strategic reorganization [1] - The photolithography machine sector experienced a pullback, with Kaimete Gas (002549) dropping over 7%, and United Chemical and Blue Eagle Equipment (300293) falling over 2% [1] - The pharmaceutical sector saw initial declines, with Maiwei Biotech and Rongchang Biotech both decreasing over 4% [1]

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices opened lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.35% and the ChiNext Index down 0.42%. Sectors such as photolithography machines, storage chips, and CPO experienced significant declines [1] Institutional Insights - CITIC Securities emphasizes a focus on resources, new productive forces, and overseas expansion as the framework for industry selection. The shift of resource stocks from cyclical to dividend attributes, driven by supply constraints and global geopolitical tensions, is expected to lead to a revaluation of these stocks. The anticipated volatility from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts is considered negligible. The key mid-term insight is the globalization of China's manufacturing leaders, which is expected to convert market share advantages into pricing power and profit margin improvements, leading to market capitalization growth that surpasses domestic economic fundamentals [2] - Guojin Securities believes that a bull market driven by the recovery of China's profit fundamentals may be in the making. With the easing of liquidity constraints, there may be a rebound in Hong Kong stocks that experienced stagnation from June to August. Additionally, growth investments are expected to shift from technology-driven to export-oriented. Opportunities in cyclical manufacturing sectors (non-ferrous metals, machinery, chemicals) are anticipated to become the mid-term focus. The recommended sectors include upstream resources (copper, aluminum, oil, gold), capital goods (engineering machinery, heavy trucks, lithium batteries, wind power equipment), and raw materials (basic chemicals, fiberglass, paper, steel) [3]

A股开盘，三大指数集体低开，沪指低开0.35%，深证成指低开0.38%，创业板指低开0.42%。盘面上， 风电设备股盘初拉升，天能重工涨超15%，阳明智能涨超8%，中国设定第三轮减排目标；油气开采及 服务板块高开，中油工程涨超5%，准油股份涨超3%，隔夜WTI原油突破65美元/桶；煤炭股局部活跃， 大有能源涨停，平煤股份涨超5%，河南能源集团与平煤神马集团将进行战略重组；光刻机板块回调， 凯美特气跌超7%，联合化学、蓝英装备跌超2%；制药板块盘初走低，迈威生物、荣昌生物跌超4%，美 国将对多类进口产品实施新一轮高额关税。(格隆汇) ...

Market Overview - On September 24, the market opened lower but closed higher, with the ChiNext Index reaching a three-year high and the STAR 50 Index rising nearly 5% at one point [2] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.83%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.80%, and the ChiNext Index gained 2.28% [2] - Over 4,400 stocks in the market rose, while fewer than 900 declined, with a total trading volume of 2.33 trillion yuan, down 167.6 billion yuan from the previous trading day [2] Semiconductor Industry - The semiconductor industry is experiencing significant growth, with major breakthroughs in domestic photolithography machine production [7] - At the 25th China International Industry Fair, Chip-on-Micro showcased several new products and won top honors, while Shanghai Micro Electronics unveiled EUV lithography machine specifications [7] - The semiconductor sector saw strong performance, with notable increases in stocks related to national big fund holdings, electronic chemicals, and storage chips [7][11] Stock Performance - Key stocks such as SMIC, North Huachuang, and others reached historical highs, with North Huachuang's market cap nearing 333.6 billion yuan [9] - The semiconductor concept stocks saw significant gains, with SMIC concept stocks up 5.41% year-to-date, and storage chips up 57.71% [8] Market Trends - The market is characterized by a "slow bull" trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index now at 3,804 points compared to 2,770 points a year ago [7][12] - Analysts suggest that the current market adjustment presents opportunities, with expectations for continued growth in the A-share market [14]

Core Viewpoint - The domestic photolithography machine localization process in China is accelerating, with significant breakthroughs showcased at the 25th China International Industry Fair, including the debut of EUV lithography machine parameters by Shanghai Micro Electronics [2][4]. Industry Developments - Shanghai Micro Electronics and Chip-on-Micro showcased major products, indicating a "0-1" breakthrough in the industry, with advanced packaging machines entering mass production and domestic EUV machines in the principle machine construction phase [4]. - Domestic photolithography machines have made significant progress in 90nm and below process nodes, with Shanghai Micro Electronics' 600 series achieving mass production at 90nm and ongoing development of 28nm immersion lithography machines [4]. - The breakthrough in photolithography technology is expected to drive upgrades in upstream materials and precision machinery, accelerating the localization of critical materials like photoresists and optical components [4]. Market Performance - The photolithography concept stocks have surged, with Zhangjiang Hi-Tech (600895) hitting a historical high [2][5][6]. - Companies like Chip-on-Micro and Jiangfeng Electronics are projected to see net profit growth rates exceeding 20% in 2026 and 2027, while others like Fuchuang Precision and Tongfei Co. are expected to exceed 30% [7][10]. Investment Trends - Over 40 photolithography concept stocks are present in the A-share market, with significant institutional interest in companies like Chip-on-Micro, Jiangfeng Electronics, and Fuchuang Precision [7]. - Leveraged funds have shown strong interest in stocks such as Tengjing Technology and Chip-on-Micro, with net purchases exceeding 100 million yuan since September [8].

半导体产业链全线拉升。存储芯片概念股走高，其中通富微电(002156)直线拉升涨停。 9月24日，A股三大指数集体低开。开盘后拉升，三大指数盘中均翻红。 盘面上，供气供热、水务、石油等板块涨幅居前；通信设备、元器件、旅游等板块跌幅居前。 银行股反复活跃，渝农商行涨超3%，齐鲁银行、邮储银行、工商银行、浙商银行、中国银行、杭州银行涨超1%。 港股方面，恒生指数和恒生科技指数飘红。半导体股盘初拉升，中芯国际涨超3%，股价创新高，华虹半导体涨超2%。另外，美团等涨超2%，阿里巴巴涨 超1%，金山云跌近8%，百度跌近3%。 半导体硅片概念股拉升 盘初，半导体硅片概念股继续走强，立昂微2连板，神工股份、有研硅、沪硅产业、中晶科技等纷纷冲高。 消息面上，半导体硅片涨价预期愈演愈烈，海外环球晶圆、胜高、合晶、世创等公司股价近期大幅上涨。 影视院线板块拉升 影视院线板块盘初走强，博纳影业涨停，光线传媒、欢瑞世纪、华策影视、中国电影、幸福蓝海、横店影视等纷纷拉升。 据猫眼专业版数据，截至9月23日17时08分，2025年国庆档新片预售总票房已突破500万元。《刺杀小说家2》领跑国庆档预售票房榜，《浪浪人生》《志 愿军：浴血和平 ...