Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Report's Core View - For both short - term and medium - term, the view on both coking coal and coke is to adopt an oscillatory approach. The short - term and medium - term trends are expected to be oscillatory, while the intraday trends are expected to be oscillatory and weak [1]. 3. Summary by Variety Coking Coal (JM) - **Production Data**: As of the week ending November 21, the daily average output of clean coal from 523 coking coal mines nationwide was 75.8 thousand tons, a week - on - week increase of 0.1 thousand tons and a year - on - year decrease of 3.8 thousand tons. The combined daily average output of coke from downstream coking plants and steel mills was 108.89 thousand tons, a week - on - week decrease of 0.28 thousand tons [5]. - **Demand Outlook**: Although the profits of independent coking plants have improved significantly this week, the port market has already over - anticipated price cuts. There are doubts about the extent and sustainability of the improvement in downstream demand, so the positive factors on the demand side of coking coal are still insufficient [5]. - **Supply Outlook**: The easing of anti - involution expectations and the accelerated clearance of Mongolian coal have weakened the support on the supply side of coking coal. However, considering that coal mine production may decline after reaching the annual production target at the end of the year and the Politburo meeting in December, the sustainability of the downward trend of coking coal futures remains to be observed [5]. Coke (J) - **Market Price**: The spot market of raw material coking coal is weak, and downstream steel mills are in the red. The ex - warehouse price of quasi - first - grade wet - quenched coke at Rizhao Port has dropped to 1470 yuan/ton, 200 yuan/ton lower than the flat - price [6]. - **Supply and Demand**: The latest data shows that both the supply and demand of coke have weakened slightly, and the fundamentals have not changed much. As of the week ending November 21, the combined daily average output of coke from independent coking plants and steel mill coking plants was 108.89 thousand tons, a week - on - week decrease of 0.28 thousand tons; the daily average pig iron output of 247 steel mills was 236.28 thousand tons, a week - on - week decrease of 0.6 thousand tons. The profitability rate of steel mills continued to decline by 1.3 percentage points to 37.66%, indicating that steel mills are in a large - scale loss situation [6]. - **Market Trend**: The strong supply - side expectations of coking coal have cooled down, dragging down the cost support of coke. The main futures contract is expected to maintain a weak oscillatory trend. Continued attention should be paid to the supply situation of coking coal [6].

Core Viewpoint - Baotailong's stock has shown volatility with a year-to-date increase of 21.26%, but a recent decline of 12.05% over the past five trading days, indicating potential market fluctuations and investor sentiment changes [1] Company Overview - Baotailong New Materials Co., Ltd. is located in Qitaihe City, Heilongjiang Province, established on June 24, 2003, and listed on March 9, 2011. The company engages in coal mining, washing and processing, coking, chemical production, power generation, heating, new energy, and new materials [2] - The main revenue composition includes raw coal (28.60%), clean coal (22.92%), slack coal (22.61%), heating and electricity (21.68%), new materials (1.70%), and others [2] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Baotailong reported operating revenue of 479 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 57.55%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 118.44% to 50.36 million yuan [2] - The company has distributed a total of 332 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with no dividends paid in the last three years [3] Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, Baotailong had 83,100 shareholders, a decrease of 10.86% from the previous period, with an average of 23,062 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 12.18% [2] - Major shareholders include Guotai Zhongzheng Coal ETF, which increased its holdings by 32.45 million shares, and Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, a new shareholder with 21.22 million shares [3]

Core Insights - China Xuyang Group has seen significant growth in its stock holdings, with a total of 352 million shares held through Hong Kong Stock Connect, representing 7.88% of total equity, an increase of 50 million shares since the beginning of 2025, marking an 88-fold increase since its listing [1] - The company has received multiple awards for its investor relations, information disclosure, ESG practices, and corporate governance, including recognition in the Fortune China 500 list, where it ranked 322nd in 2025, up 17 places from the previous year [1] Group 1: Company Performance - In 2024, China Xuyang Group reported a revenue of 47.543 billion yuan, a 3.2% increase, and has shown continuous growth in total assets and net assets since its listing, with total assets reaching 59.841 billion yuan (+11.2%) and net assets at 15.877 billion yuan (+9.7%) [3] - The company maintained profitability with a net profit of 0.98 billion yuan in 2024, demonstrating strong market competitiveness despite industry-wide losses [3] - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved record high production volumes in its coke and chemical new materials businesses, with 10.88 million tons and 2.85 million tons produced, respectively, reflecting a significant increase in profitability metrics [3] Group 2: Business Expansion and Strategy - China Xuyang Group has established nine production parks across various regions, including Hebei, Shandong, and Inner Mongolia, and has provided operational management services to 18 coking and chemical companies [2] - The company has developed a unique chemical industry chain starting from coke, expanding into carbon materials, aromatics, and alcohol amines, while also venturing into hydrogen energy and new materials [2] - The operational scale of the company has reached 28.64 million tons per year, with a production capacity of 22.6 million tons of coke and 6.04 million tons of chemicals [2] Group 3: Future Outlook - As China Xuyang Group approaches its 30th anniversary in 2025, it aims to continue its strategic expansion from coke and chemicals to new energy and materials, increasing R&D investment and promoting digital transformation [4] - The company aspires to be a world-leading energy and chemical company, focusing on innovation and contributing to social progress, while maintaining its commitment to high-quality sustainable development [4]

Group 1 - The report highlights a focus on sectors with "inventory stabilization at low levels, capacity structure optimization, and continuous improvement in prosperity" for December [1][5] - The market experienced significant fluctuations due to multiple factors, including the cooling of Federal Reserve interest rate cut expectations and ongoing inflation concerns, with cyclical sectors and defensive industries performing relatively well [1][5] - Recommended sectors for investment include non-bank financials, power equipment (batteries, inverters, wind power equipment), defense and military, coal, basic chemicals, and steel [1][5] Group 2 - Economic data from January to October indicates a continuous slowdown, influenced by high bases, anti-involution policies, and reduced local investment [5] - The report notes that the supply side has seen significant capacity clearance, with some industries beginning to see improvements in capacity utilization rates as demand recovers [5][9] - The report emphasizes that the third quarter saw an unexpected improvement in A-share earnings, particularly in consumer services, resource products, and midstream manufacturing [5][9] Group 3 - The report identifies specific sectors for attention, including non-bank financials, where leading brokerages are accelerating consolidation, and insurance companies are expected to see high growth in profitability [6] - In the power equipment sector, the supply-demand landscape is improving, with prices in the new energy and photovoltaic supply chain continuing to rise [6] - The defense and military sector is expected to benefit from increased global military spending and demand for military trade, driven by geopolitical tensions [6] Group 4 - The coal industry is experiencing a tightening supply due to stricter safety regulations, with winter heating supporting stable demand for thermal coal [6] - Basic chemicals are seeing a structural improvement in demand, particularly in the pesticide sector, which is benefiting from reduced internal competition [6] - The steel industry is expected to see structural opportunities driven by high-end manufacturing demand, particularly from emerging industries like new energy vehicles and humanoid robots [6]

机构观点 光大期货： 供应方面，部分原料煤价格下跌让利，焦企盈利水平有所修复，产地焦企开工情况稍有回升，下游对焦 炭的刚需采购，厂内出货情况较好，焦炭库存继续回落。需求端，近期期货盘面连续走弱，且钢材市场 表现难有明显改善，市场情绪一般，钢材利润修复不及预期，钢厂盈利能力不佳，成材出库一般，预计 短期焦炭盘面宽幅震荡运行。 消息面 据外媒报道，煤炭生产商哥伦比亚自然资源公司（CNR）向反垄断机构SIC提交的文件显示，该公司称 其收购哥伦比亚Puerto Nuevo（新港）煤炭码头的提议不会构成垄断，理由是其市场份额将保持在20% 以下。目前已经通过Puerto Nuevo港出口煤炭一段时间，去年通过该港口出口了245万吨煤炭。 截止至11月19日，秦唐沧三大港区煤炭库存2581.3万吨，较上周同期增加186.4万吨。 截至2025年11月18日，海运煤炭运价指数（OCFI）报收1072.85点，与11月11日相比下行144.58点，跌 幅为11.88%。 宝城期货： 整体来看，焦炭短期基本面好转，但持续性预计有限，需求担忧依然存在，且市场对前期的主要向上驱 动"成本端支撑"分歧增加，多空博弈渐增，焦炭期货震荡 ...

相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国焦炭行业投资战略分析及发展前景研究报告》 上市企业：国际实业（000159）,美锦能源（000723）,蓝焰控股（000968）,山西焦煤（000983）,长春燃 气（600333）,安泰集团（600408）,云维股份（600725） 根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年9月中国焦炭产量为0.4亿吨，同比增长8%；2025年1-9月中国焦炭累 计产量为3.8亿吨，累计增长3.5%。 2020-2025年1-9月中国焦炭产量统计图 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 ...

| 材产业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 [2011] 1292号 2025年11月21日 | | | 周敏波 | 20010559 | | | 钢材价格及价差 | | | | | | | 品种 | Wite | 削值 | 不跌 | 基差 | 单位 | | 螺纹钢现货(华东) | 3210 | 3220 | -10 | 160 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华北) | 3220 | 3230 | -10 | 170 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华南) | 3290 | 3300 | -10 | 240 | | | 螺纹钢05合约 | 309d | 3116 | -17 | 111 | | | 螺纹钢10合约 | 3143 | 3162 | -19 | 67 | | | 螺纹钢01合约 | 3050 | 3070 | -20 | 160 | | | 热卷现货(华东) | 3270 | 3280 | -10 | 3 | 元/中 | | 热卷现货(华北) | 3210 | 3220 | -10 | -51 | | | ...

Core Insights - The coke sector experienced a decline of 2.54% on November 20, with Antai Group leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3931.05, down 0.4%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12980.82, down 0.76% [1] Sector Performance - The following table summarizes the closing prices and percentage changes of key stocks in the coke sector: - Baotailong (601011): Closed at 3.87, up 0.52% - Shanxi Coking (600740): Closed at 4.17, down 1.18% - Yunwei Co. (600725): Closed at 3.75, down 1.32% - Shaanxi Black Cat (601015): Closed at 4.19, down 2.10% - Meijin Energy (000723): Closed at 5.37, down 2.54% - Yunmei Energy (600792): Closed at 4.55, down 3.81% - Antai Group (600408): Closed at 5.07, down 9.63% [1] Capital Flow - The coke sector saw a net outflow of 152 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 166 million yuan [1] - The following table details the capital flow for individual stocks: - Antai Group (600408): Main funds net outflow of 3.38 million yuan, retail net inflow of 2.73 million yuan - Yunwei Co. (600725): Main funds net outflow of 2.05 million yuan, retail net outflow of 0.73 million yuan - Baotailong (601011): Main funds net outflow of 13.72 million yuan, retail net outflow of 20.12 million yuan - Shanxi Coking (600740): Main funds net outflow of 17.10 million yuan, retail net inflow of 13.75 million yuan - Shaanxi Black Cat (601015): Main funds net outflow of 18.61 million yuan, retail net inflow of 22.14 million yuan - Yunmei Energy (600792): Main funds net outflow of 20.40 million yuan, retail net inflow of 27.00 million yuan - Meijin Energy (000723): Main funds net outflow of 83.22 million yuan, retail net inflow of 56.04 million yuan [2]

| | 钢材产业期现日报 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【201】1292号 2025年11月20日 | | | 周敏波 | Z0010559 | | | 钢材价格及价差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 即值 | 张庆 | 其差 | 单位 | | 螺纹钢现货(华东) | 3220 | 3230 | -10 | 150 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华北) | 3230 | 3240 | -10 | 160 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华南) | 3300 | 3300 | 0 | 230 | | | 螺纹钢05合约 | 3116 | 3139 | -23 | 104 | | | 螺纹钢10合约 | 3162 | 3180 | -18 | 58 | | | 螺纹钢01合约 | 3070 | 3090 | -20 | 150 | | | 热卷现货(华东) | 3280 | 3280 | 0 | 3 | 元/吨 | | 热卷现货 (华北) | 3220 | 3210 | 10 | -57 | | | 热卷现货(华 ...

今年以来美锦能源已经2次登上龙虎榜，最近一次登上龙虎榜为7月10日，当日龙虎榜净买入5031.92万 元；买入总计1.99亿元 ，占总成交额比11.44%；卖出总计1.48亿元 ，占总成交额比8.55%。 资料显示，山西美锦能源股份有限公司位于山西省太原市迎泽区劲松北路31号哈伯中心12层，成立日期 1997年1月8日，上市日期1997年5月15日，公司主营业务涉及煤炭、焦化、天然气、氢燃料电池汽车为 主的新能源汽车等商品的生产销售。主营业务收入构成为：煤焦化产品及副产品97.45%，新能源车辆 及运营2.55%。 美锦能源所属申万行业为：煤炭-焦炭Ⅱ-焦炭Ⅲ。所属概念板块包括：天然气、煤化工、低价、清洁能 源、污水处理等。 11月20日，美锦能源盘中下跌2.18%，截至10:38，报5.39元/股，成交2.99亿元，换手率1.25%，总市值 237.35亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出2994.83万元，特大单买入790.81万元，占比2.65%，卖出767.47万元， 占比2.57%；大单买入4631.64万元，占比15.51%，卖出7649.82万元，占比25.62%。 美锦能源今年以来股价涨19. ...