Market Overview - On February 25, A-shares saw all three major indices rise by over 1%, with the Sci-Tech Innovation Index increasing by nearly 0.7%, and nearly 4,000 stocks in the market experiencing gains [9][10] - The total trading volume reached 1.45 trillion yuan, with a significant increase of 102.9 billion yuan compared to the previous day [10] Sector Performance - The fertilizer and pesticide sector experienced a surge, with stocks like Chuanjinnuo hitting the daily limit, and other companies such as Chitianhua and Yuntianhua also seeing significant gains due to rising prices of urea, potassium sulfate compound fertilizer, and monoammonium phosphate [10][11] - Shipping stocks collectively strengthened, with China Merchants Energy achieving a historical high, and other companies like COSCO Shipping Energy and COSCO Shipping Development also rising, driven by a spike in oil tanker spot freight rates reaching a nearly six-year high [11][12] - Lithium battery concept stocks saw substantial increases, with Hanrui Cobalt rising over 11%, and other companies like Wenkang New Energy and Nord Shares also performing well, as lithium carbonate futures broke through the 170,000 yuan mark, marking a significant daily increase of over 10% [12] International Market Trends - The Nikkei 225 index in Japan rose by 1.4%, reaching a historical high, while the Korean Composite Stock Price Index expanded its gains to 2%, also hitting a historical high, with automotive stocks like Kia and Hyundai seeing significant increases [14] - International gold and silver prices surged, with spot silver rising over 3% and spot gold briefly surpassing 5,190 USD per ounce [14][15]

2月25日，受隔夜美股科技股反弹提振，港股三大指数追随亚太市场情绪集体高开，随后进入震荡整理 阶段。截至午间收盘，恒生指数涨0.75%报26790.23点，恒生科技指数涨0.34%报5288.47点，国企指数 涨0.9%报9089.04点，红筹指数涨1.18%报4498.18点；市场多空博弈加剧，个股呈现显著分化态势：业 绩预增股受到资金追捧，而部分消费及地产股则面临调整压力。 盘面上，市场多空博弈加剧，个股呈现显著分化态势，业绩预增股受到资金追捧；科技股中，阿里巴巴 涨0.88%，腾讯控股涨1.25%，京东集团涨0.94%，小米集团跌0.11%，网易跌0.67%，美团涨2.33%，快 手涨0.38%，哔哩哔哩跌0.95%。内房股、建材水泥股、钢铁股等建筑类股均大幅上涨，重庆钢铁盘中 一度飙涨27%，碧桂园涨超6%；有色金属板块走强，力勤资源涨超8%，灵宝黄金再创历史新高；航运 股多数走强，中远海发涨超7%；昨日领衔板块上涨的半导体存储概念股走低。 个股及板块新闻 业绩披露潮现"冰火两重天" 猫眼娱乐(01896.HK)早盘走高，公司预计2025财年收入达46亿至47亿元，同比增长12.7%至15.1%；净 ...

2月25日，香港特区政府财政司司长陈茂波今日（25日）在立法会发表2026至2027财政年度政府财政预 算案。他表示，国家"十五五"规划建议明确支持香港更好融入和服务国家发展大局，巩固提升香港国际 金融、航运和贸易中心地位，并建设国际创新科技中心和国际高端人才集聚高地。香港可在多个重点领 域发挥作用，包括： （一） 贡献国家现代化产业体系建设、加快高水平科技自立自强。香港的基础科研实力雄厚，在AI、 生命健康科技、金融科技，以及新材料和新能源等领域具备独特优势。同时，作为国际金融中心，香港 会推进"金融+"，善用金融更好服务实体经济与优势产业，并加快推进金融与创科相互赋能，以香港所 长服务国家所需； （二） 积极参与国家扩大高水平对外开放。在"一国两制"下，香港独特的制度优势，加上高效的航 空、航运和物流服务，能促进双向贸易与投资，为企业的"引进来、走出去"担当"超级联系人"和"超级 增值人"角色； （三） 汇聚国际高端人才。香港的世界级大学及国际化环境，有利吸引及汇聚各重点领域的顶尖人才 来港，包括国际科研领军人物。同时，我们会继续投入资源培育本地人才，配合国家推进"教育─科技─ 人才"一体化发展。 此外， ...

2月24日复盘笔记：化工/油气/贵金属/矿产资源/光通信/智能电网等 ① ②春节假期，全国铁路累计发送旅客1.21亿人次，日均1341万人次、较去年春运同期增长11.5%。 ③今年以来消费品以旧换新惠及3053.2万人次，带动销售额2045.4亿元。 沪指涨0.87%，深成指涨1.36%，创业板指涨0.99%，科创 50 跌 0.34%。< 2月24日复盘笔记：化工/油气/贵金属/矿产资源/光通信/智能电网等 ① ②春节假期，全国铁路累计发送旅客1.21亿人次，日均1341万人次、较去年春运同期增长11.5%。 ③今年以来消费品以旧换新惠及3053.2万人次，带动销售额2045.4亿元。 沪指涨0.87%，深成指涨1.36%，创业板指涨0.99%，科创 50 跌 0.34%。 沪深两市成交额2.2万亿，较上一个交易日放量2194亿。 ①美国宣布将元素磷及草甘膦等关键除草剂纳入关键战略物资。 此前2025年11月，美国内政部及USGS已新将磷酸盐纳入关键矿产清单。 通源石油、准油股份、山东墨龙、洲际油气、中曼石油、泰山石油、惠博普、博迈科、中油工程、石化油服、贝 肯能源、中海油服、蓝焰控股、新锦动力 现货黄金向 ...

集运股全线走高，截至发稿，中远海发（601866）(02866)涨6.09%，报1.22港元；中远海控（601919） (01919)涨2.82%，报14.96港元；东方海外国际(00316)涨2.52%，报146.6港元；海丰国际(01308)涨 0.73%，报33.22港元。 消息面上，2月3日，航运集团赫伯罗特与马士基将调整双方一项共享航线服务的航行路线，重新经由红 海及苏伊士运河运输。然而本应首次实现复航红海的"Maersk Detroit"号，在实际执行中转向南下绕行非 洲好望角。公司解释：改道系因西地中海恶劣天气造成船期延误，公司因此决定调整航行计划，经好望 角绕行。 申万宏源发布研报称，此次绕行意味着红海复航仍无法在短时间内落地。此外，市场已经进入3月初船 期，随着春节假期后工厂的复工复产，预计需求有望得到改善。关注节后航司选涨、挺价等相关动作。 ...

申万宏源发布研报称，此次绕行意味着红海复航仍无法在短时间内落地。此外，市场已经进入3月初船 期，随着春节假期后工厂的复工复产，预计需求有望得到改善。关注节后航司选涨、挺价等相关动作。 智通财经APP获悉，集运股全线走高，截至发稿，中远海发(02866)涨6.09%，报1.22港元；中远海控 (01919)涨2.82%，报14.96港元；东方海外国际(00316)涨2.52%，报146.6港元；海丰国际(01308)涨 0.73%，报33.22港元。 消息面上，2月3日，航运集团赫伯罗特与马士基将调整双方一项共享航线服务的航行路线，重新经由红 海及苏伊士运河运输。然而本应首次实现复航红海的"Maersk Detroit"号，在实际执行中转向南下绕行非 洲好望角。公司解释：改道系因西地中海恶劣天气造成船期延误，公司因此决定调整航行计划，经好望 角绕行。 ...

【中信期货航运(集运)】现货缓跌叠加地缘与关税双重 2026/2/24 情绪利多驱动,EC各合约增仓上行 投资咨询业务资格: サ 工业与周期组 究 证监许可【2012】669号 安婕锐 武嘉峪 员 从业资格号:F03100682 从业资格号:F03117373 投资咨询号: Z0021085 投资咨询号: Z0022651 假期内中东地缘局势仍有恶化风险、美国关税政策调整背景下实际执行税率有一定下调，欧盟将延续红海护航计划，情绪端对市 场形成一定支撑。据Geek Rate线上运价,MSK 3月运价达1950美元/FEU较开舱上行50美元/FEU,其余航运公司3月运价在2300美元/FEU 以上,SCFIS欧线指数连续2期跌幅偏缓,现货瑞未出现明显跌价迹象,盘面今日增仓修复贴水。成交量抬升,主力合约04最高触及 1397点, 盘面涨幅达6.8%, 增仓超8000手, 截止收盘持仓上涨至3.45万手。05合约收于1479点，上涨12.6%, 增仓122手。06合约收于 1691.6点,上涨6.1%,增仓1897手,持仓上涨至1.58万手。 交易逻辑:我们昨日在周报中对市场进行提示，现货方面船司3月上旬运价小幅上涨 ...

此次专项贷款的落地，是宁波深化金融与产业政策协同、精准服务民营经济的缩影。宁波交通港航部门 积极落实《中华人民共和国民营经济促进法》和《关于进一步促进民间投资发展的若干措施》精神，通 过搭建银企对接平台、建立项目储备库、推动政策直达快享等举措，已推动5个船舶建造融资项目纳入 政策支持范围，总获批额度达2.55亿元，为更多港航企业转型升级提供了可复制的宁波做法。 《人民日报》在头版报道中指出，宁波这一突破性进展，为全国交通运输领域大规模设备更新提供了实 践样本，展现了地方政府坚持干字当头、打好政策组合拳，奋力为民营经济发展提供更广阔舞台的担当 作为。报道还提到，随着民营经济促进法深入实施和各项纾困举措落地落细，广大民营企业正敢作敢 为、善作善成，在高质量发展中焕发新活力。 下一步，宁波交通港航部门将继续深化政策宣传和融资对接，扩大设备更新专项贷款覆盖范围，引导更 多民营企业参与船舶更新、智慧港口建设等领域，为推动宁波港（601018）航业高质量发展、服务交通 强国建设贡献更大力量。 凤凰网宁波2月24日消息（金佳阳 通讯员宋兵 梁湘）近日，宁波市首笔交通运输领域设备更新专项贷款 成功落地，宁波绪扬海运有限公司获 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - After the Spring Festival, the stock market showed a mixed performance with some sectors rising and others falling. The futures market also had different trends in various products, influenced by factors such as supply - demand, geopolitical situations, and policy changes [20][21][25]. - The bond market sentiment was not weak, but the market might become more cautious as the "Two Sessions" approached. The medium - term outlook for the bond market was relatively optimistic [25][26]. - In the agricultural product market, the supply and price trends of different products varied. For example, the supply of protein meal increased, and the price oscillated; the international sugar price bottomed out and oscillated [30][35]. - In the black metal market, steel faced post - holiday pressure, while the performance of coking coal and iron ore was affected by factors such as production resumption and supply - demand changes [62][65][71]. - In the non - ferrous metal market, precious metals like gold and silver were in high - level oscillations due to macro uncertainties, and other non - ferrous metals also had different price trends influenced by factors such as tariffs and supply - demand [76][79][84]. - In the shipping and carbon emission market, the container shipping market was in short - term oscillations, the dry bulk freight market showed a positive trend after the holiday, and the carbon price in the domestic market oscillated while the EU carbon price was affected by policies and public opinions [122][124][126]. - In the energy and chemical market, the prices of various products were affected by factors such as geopolitical situations, supply - demand, and cost. For example, crude oil was in high - level oscillations, and asphalt was supported by cost but with weak demand [132][136]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Financial Derivatives Stock Index Futures - After the Spring Festival, the stock index rose across the board, but the trading volume was slightly insufficient. The market showed a clear differentiation, with some sectors rising and others falling. The trading strategy was to be bullish on the trend, buy on dips, and consider arbitrage and option strategies [20][21][23]. Treasury Bond Futures - On Tuesday, the bond futures contracts of various tenors generally strengthened. The central bank's large - scale net withdrawal of short - term liquidity after the holiday and the approaching of the "Two Sessions" affected the bond market sentiment. The trading strategy was to be neutral - bullish and wait and see for arbitrage [25][26][28]. Agricultural Products Protein Meal - The supply increased overall, and the price oscillated. The trading strategy was to short at high levels and wait and see for arbitrage [30][31]. Sugar - The increase in Indian sugar production was revised down, and the international sugar price bottomed out and oscillated. The domestic sugar market was in a bottom - oscillation trend. The trading strategy was to wait and see for arbitrage and sell put options in the short term [32][35][36]. Oilseeds and Oils - The domestic oil market made up for losses and maintained oscillations. The trading strategy was to wait and see for arbitrage and consider reverse arbitrage for some contracts [38][39][40]. Corn/Corn Starch - The spot price in the production area was stable, and the futures price was in high - level oscillations. The trading strategy was to buy on dips for the outer - market corn and short lightly on rallies for domestic corn, and consider expanding the spread between corn and starch [41][43]. Live Pigs - The supply increased gradually, and the price continued to decline. The trading strategy was to buy a small amount of the 05 contract and wait and see for arbitrage [44][46]. Peanuts - The spot price was stable, and the futures price oscillated in a narrow range. The trading strategy was to buy lightly on dips and sell put options [47][48]. Eggs - After the holiday, it entered the off - season, and the egg price was stable with a slight decline. The trading strategy was to short the June contract on rallies and wait and see for arbitrage [50][51][52]. Apples - The market performance varied after the year, with the western region performing slightly better than the eastern region. The trading strategy was to go long on the 5 - month contract on dips and consider a long - 5 short - 10 arbitrage [54][55][56]. Cotton - Cotton Yarn - The fundamentals changed little, and the cotton price was supported. The trading strategy was to go long on dips and wait and see for arbitrage [58][59][60]. Black Metals Steel - There was still pressure on steel after the holiday. The trading strategy was to maintain a weak - oscillation trend, hold short positions, and wait and see for arbitrage [62][63]. Coking Coal and Coke - Coal mines were gradually resuming production. The trading strategy was to consider going long on dips and wait and see for arbitrage [64][65][67]. Iron Ore - The fundamentals continued to weaken, and the ore price was in a weak - running state. The trading strategy was to be bearish and wait and see for arbitrage [70][71]. Ferroalloys - The cost support was strong, and it could be used as a long - position configuration on dips. The trading strategy was to go long on dips and wait and see for arbitrage [72][73][74]. Non - Ferrous Metals Gold and Silver - The macro uncertainties continued, and the prices were in high - level oscillations. The trading strategy was to hold long positions cautiously and consider option strategies [76][79][80]. Platinum and Palladium - Supported by macro and geopolitical factors, platinum could be bought on dips, and palladium could be traded in bands. Consider a long - platinum short - palladium arbitrage [80][81][83]. Copper - Affected by continuous tariff disturbances, the copper price was in a strong - oscillation state. The trading strategy was to be bullish in the long - term and consider option strategies [84][85]. Alumina - After the decline in the supply - side operating rate, the spot price was supported. The trading strategy was to be bullish in the short - term [86][87]. Electrolytic Aluminum - Tariff disturbances did not change the supply - demand support pattern. The trading strategy was to wait and see for both arbitrage and options [89][91][92]. Cast Aluminum Alloy - It oscillated with the aluminum price. The trading strategy was to wait and see for both arbitrage and options [93][95]. Zinc - After the correction stabilized, it could be bought on dips. The trading strategy was to wait and see for both arbitrage and options [96][97]. Lead - It oscillated in a range. The trading strategy was to go long lightly on dips and consider option strategies [99][100]. Nickel - The macro factors dominated the price fluctuations. The trading strategy was to hold long positions at low levels and wait and see for arbitrage [101][103][104]. Stainless Steel - Supported by cost, it followed the nickel price. The trading strategy was to hold long positions at low levels and wait and see for arbitrage [106]. Industrial Silicon - Attention should be paid to the resumption rhythm of large factories. The trading strategy was to rebound in the short - term and short on rallies in the medium - term [107][108]. Polysilicon - Driven by merger news, it might rebound in the short - term, and the spot price should be focused on in the medium - term [110][111]. Lithium Carbonate - The demand was good, and the price was at a high level. The trading strategy was to wait and see [113][115]. Tin - Attention should be paid to macro - policy trends. The trading strategy was to hold long positions at low levels and wait and see for arbitrage [118][120]. Shipping and Carbon Emissions Container Shipping - It was mainly in short - term oscillations, and attention should be paid to Maersk's opening - cabin price. The trading strategy was to wait and see for both single - side trading and arbitrage [121][122][124]. Dry Bulk Freight - After the holiday, the demand recovery drove the spot price to improve. Attention should be paid to the impact of the US Maritime Action Plan. The trading strategy was to wait and see [124][125][126]. Carbon Emissions - The domestic carbon price oscillated, and the EU carbon price was affected by policies and public opinions. The trading strategy was to wait and see [126][127][128]. Energy and Chemicals Crude Oil - The API inventory increased more than expected. The trading strategy was to be bullish on the trend, consider the bullish spread, and buy out - of - the - money call options [132][133]. Asphalt - The cost supported the spot price, but the rigid demand had not recovered. The trading strategy was to go long on the BU2606 contract on dips and wait and see for arbitrage [134][136][137]. Fuel Oil - The high - sulfur supply increased, and the low - sulfur price strengthened in the near - term. The trading strategy was to be bullish on the trend, consider expanding the spread between high - and low - sulfur fuel oil, and wait and see for options [139][140][141]. LPG - It was still dominated by geopolitical factors. The trading strategy was to wait and see for both single - side trading and arbitrage [142]. Natural Gas - It was waiting for geopolitical guidance. The trading strategy was to hold short positions on the HH second - quarter contract and wait and see for both arbitrage and options [145][146][147]. PX & PTA - Driven by cost. The trading strategy was to hold long positions, consider positive arbitrage, and wait and see for options [149][150]. BZ & EB - There was a supply vacuum in the overseas market. The trading strategy was to oscillate and consider reverse arbitrage [151][152]. Ethylene Glycol - There was obvious inventory - accumulation pressure. The trading strategy was to oscillate in a range and wait and see for both arbitrage and options [154][157]. Short - Staple Fiber - The polyester raw materials strengthened. The trading strategy was to be bullish on the price, consider narrowing the processing fee on rallies, and wait and see for options [158]. Bottle Chips - The supply was expected to be tight. The trading strategy was to be bullish on the price and wait and see for both arbitrage and options [160][162]. Propylene - The supply - demand support was acceptable. The trading strategy was to hold long positions and wait and see for both arbitrage and options [163]. Plastic PP - The L plastic was bullish on the trend, and the PP was to wait and see. The trading strategy was to go long on the L 2605 contract on dips and wait and see for both arbitrage and options [165][166]. Caustic Soda - The price was weakening. The trading strategy was to wait and see [168][169]. PVC - It was mainly in oscillations. The trading strategy was to go long on dips and wait and see for both arbitrage and options [170][173]. Soda Ash - The price was bullish on the trend. The trading strategy was to be bullish in the short - term, consider a long - soda - ash short - glass arbitrage, and wait and see for options [174][175]. Glass - The price was bearish on the trend. The trading strategy was to be bearish in the short - term, consider a long - soda - ash short - glass arbitrage, and wait and see for options [176][178]. Methanol - It was in a strong - oscillation state. The trading strategy was to go long on dips, consider a 5 - 9 positive arbitrage, and sell put options on corrections [179][180]. Urea - It was rising strongly. The trading strategy was to go long cautiously and wait and see for both arbitrage and options [182][183]. Pulp - The US dollar quotation increased, but the high inventory suppressed the rebound. The trading strategy was to hold long positions and consider option strategies [184][185][187]. Offset Printing Paper - The inventory was high, and the market rebound was limited. The trading strategy was to short on rallies and consider option strategies [188][189]. Logs - The supply and demand were both weak. The trading strategy was to wait and see and consider a 3 - 5 reverse arbitrage [190][192][193]. Natural Rubber and No. 20 Rubber - The gross profit of concentrated latex decreased for consecutive months. The trading strategy was to go long on the RU 05 contract and consider arbitrage strategies [194][196][197]. Butadiene Rubber - The growth rate of butadiene production slowed down. The trading strategy was to short the BR 04 contract lightly and wait and see for both arbitrage and options [198][200][201].

消息面上，据报道，油轮现货运价飙升至近六年新高。周二的最新数据显示，租用一艘超大型油轮（VLCC）将中东 原油运到中国的价格，已经飙升突破每日17万美元，较年初翻了3倍。业内人士指出，除了众所周知的美伊对峙外， 全球原油的供应趋势变化，以及韩国航运公司大举订船等因素均对价格飙升形成助力。 华源证券指，油运基本面持续向好，叠加"长锦因素"和地缘变局催化，"油运大时代"有望来临。该行认为，VLCC运 价在2026年Q1的强势表现是由基本面、供给侧重构和地缘变局，三重趋势性利好推动。本轮"油运大时代"的高度与持 续性有望持续超预期。 编辑/rice 2月25日消息， 涨超7%，股价再创年内新高，截至发稿，报20.26港元，成交额2.58亿港元。 A股触及涨停。 ...