Economic Overview - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the differentiation between new and old economic drivers in the context of China's economic performance, with a GDP of 66.05 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.3% [1] - Fixed asset investment increased by 2.8%, while real estate development investment saw a significant decline of 11.2% [1] - Industrial added value for June grew by 6.8% year-on-year, and retail sales of consumer goods increased by 4.8% [1] Stock Market Insights - The U.S. stock indices experienced a general decline, with the communication sector leading gains and the coal sector facing losses, while market turnover reached 1.64 trillion yuan [2] - The financing balance increased by 9.738 billion yuan to 1.872324 trillion yuan, indicating a favorable environment for long-term investments in the capital market [2] - A-shares are considered to have high investment value, particularly the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices, which are expected to benefit from supportive policies [2] Bond Market Analysis - The yield on the 10-year government bond fell to 1.6575%, with the central bank conducting a net injection of 173.5 billion yuan to maintain liquidity [3] - The U.S. CPI rose by 2.7% year-on-year, raising concerns about inflation and trade tensions, which affected U.S. Treasury yields [3] - The central bank is expected to maintain a supportive monetary policy, which may provide some support for bond prices amid increasing global economic uncertainties [3] Lithium Carbonate Market - Weekly lithium carbonate production decreased by 644 tons to 18,123 tons, with upstream production cuts potentially affecting future output expectations [4] - Demand for lithium materials is projected to grow, with phosphate iron lithium production expected to increase by 3% in July [4] - Market sentiment is improving, but there are pressures from hedging activities and no signs of upstream production cuts, suggesting a volatile market environment [4] Consumer Goods and Retail - In June, retail sales of consumer goods reached 42.287 billion yuan, growing by 4.8% year-on-year, with non-automotive retail sales also increasing by 4.8% [8] - For the first half of the year, total retail sales amounted to 245.458 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.0% [8]

Group 1 - The core issue revolves around the U.S. imposing a 30% tariff on the EU, which has led to significant frustration among EU member states [1][2] - The EU initially attempted to negotiate a balanced tariff of 10% but ended up facing a unilateral 30% tariff, indicating a failure in their negotiation strategy [1] - EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen's decision to delay countermeasures against the U.S. has been criticized as a missed opportunity for a strong response [1][2] Group 2 - The U.S. government is focused on implementing new customs tariffs rather than considering the impact on consumer prices, showcasing a hardline stance [2] - The EU's response has been perceived as weak, with the Commission acting as a spokesperson for U.S. policies rather than defending EU interests [2] - The situation highlights the vulnerability of the EU in the face of U.S. trade policies, suggesting that the EU may be seen as a tool for U.S. interests rather than a unified entity [2]

Core Point - Canada has delayed its plans to impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. aluminum and steel, according to two senior officials cited by Politico [1] Group 1 - The decision to postpone the tariffs indicates a potential shift in trade relations between Canada and the U.S. [1] - This delay may reflect ongoing negotiations or discussions aimed at resolving trade tensions [1] - The move could have implications for the aluminum and steel industries in both countries, affecting pricing and supply chains [1]

Group 1 - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced the continuation of anti-dumping duties on imports of stainless steel billets from the EU, UK, South Korea, and Indonesia for a period of five years starting July 1 [1][3] - The anti-dumping tax imposed by China on EU companies is as high as 43.0%, reflecting the significant dumping margin from the EU [3] - The EU's steel industry is facing challenges due to rising energy costs and pressures for green transformation, leading to a sharp decline in domestic demand and a reliance on exports to China, the largest stainless steel consumer market [3][5] Group 2 - The recent anti-dumping measures are partly a response to the EU's stance towards China, particularly comments made by EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen at the G7 summit, which were perceived as provocative [5][7] - Despite the tensions, China remains open to dialogue and values the relationship with the EU, indicating a willingness to discuss cooperation during the 50th anniversary of diplomatic relations [7]

Group 1 - A-shares have shown a structural market characteristic, with strong performance in consumer sectors such as food and beverage, and retail, as well as certain technology sectors like AI applications and innovative pharmaceuticals [2][4] - The top five performing industries in A-shares include agriculture, media, food and beverage, electrical equipment, and retail, indicating a growing interest in agricultural assets and a recovery in consumer spending [2] - The bottom five performing industries in A-shares are electronics, steel, basic chemicals, non-ferrous metals, and storage chips, with the decline in non-ferrous metals linked to proposed US tariffs on copper [2] Group 2 - In the Hong Kong market, the healthcare sector has seen a rise due to active innovative drug concepts, despite potential US tariffs on pharmaceuticals [3] - The top three performing industries in Hong Kong include healthcare, industrial, and energy, while the bottom three are materials, information technology, and real estate, reflecting external pressures from US tariff policies and global tech supply-demand imbalances [3] - The current market characteristics indicate that A-shares are driven by policy and sectoral improvements, while Hong Kong stocks are more influenced by external factors such as US tariffs and global technology cycles [4] Group 3 - Short-term market hotspots are concentrated around policy-driven sectors and improving industry conditions, with a focus on performance in the upcoming earnings reports [4] - The breakthrough of the Shanghai Composite Index above 3500 points is expected to further boost market confidence, with potential policy signals from the July Politburo meeting influencing capital flows [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Guangdong Mingzhu Group, is facing challenges in meeting its performance commitments due to declining production and sales of iron concentrate, while experiencing significant growth in sand and gravel revenue, attributed to previous operational restrictions. Financial Performance - The company reported a total revenue completion rate of only 64.43% for the annual performance commitments from 2022 to 2024, with a total shortfall of 446.77 million yuan [6][7]. - For iron concentrate, the revenue was 341 million yuan with a gross margin of 62.55%, while sand and gravel revenue reached 83 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 132.08% [1][2]. Iron Concentrate Analysis - In 2024, the production of iron concentrate was 495,100 tons, a decrease of 42.21% from 2023, with sales volume dropping by 45.20% to 487,200 tons [2][3]. - The average selling price of iron concentrate fell by 3.48% to 699.50 yuan per ton, while the gross margin decreased by 7.85 percentage points compared to the previous year [2][3]. - The increase in production costs was primarily due to the depletion of iron ore reserves and operational difficulties, including safety-related shutdowns [4][14]. Sand and Gravel Performance - The company saw a significant increase in sand and gravel production, with output rising by 99.03% to 2,411,200 tons and sales volume increasing by 170.84% to 2,552,800 tons [5][6]. - The sales revenue for sand and gravel reached 83.36 million yuan, driven by the resumption of operations after previous restrictions [5][6]. - The average selling price for sand and gravel decreased by 14.31% to 32.66 yuan per ton, reflecting broader industry trends [5][15]. Comparison with Industry Peers - The gross margin for iron concentrate at Mingzhu Group was higher than that of comparable companies, with margins of 62.55% compared to 43.81% and 57.86% for other firms [3][4]. - In contrast, the sand and gravel sales revenue of comparable companies like Dazhong Mining decreased by 13.94%, highlighting Mingzhu's relative performance in a challenging market [5][6]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates that the significant growth in sand and gravel sales in 2024 may not be sustainable, given the lack of improvement in infrastructure investment and real estate demand [5][6]. - The operational challenges and declining production levels are expected to continue impacting the company's ability to meet future performance commitments [6][14].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information provided regarding the report industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - From June 30 to July 4, 2025, both global and domestic major asset classes including stocks, bonds, and commodities closed higher. Globally, stocks outperformed commodities, which in turn outperformed bonds when measured in US dollars. Domestically, the same pattern of stocks > commodities > bonds was observed. Attention should be paid to whether the US tariff policy will be upgraded as President Trump's latest remarks on tariffs may impact major asset prices [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Global Major Asset Overall Performance: Stocks, Bonds, and Commodities Closed Higher Weekly - The number of new non - farm jobs added in the US in June was higher than expected. On July 4, local time, Trump signed the "big and beautiful" tax and spending bill. The US dollar index continued to decline weekly, while stocks, bonds, and commodities closed higher. Overall, in US dollar terms, stocks > commodities > bonds [3][6]. 3.2 Global Stock Market Overview: US Stocks Led the Gains - From June 30 to July 4, market sentiment was relatively positive, but the performance of global major stock markets was divergent. Geographically, US stocks led the gains, while the Asia - Pacific region underperformed. Emerging markets performed worse than developed markets. The VIX index fluctuated at a low level weekly [8]. 3.3 Global Bond Market Overview: The Yield of 10 - Year US Treasury Bonds Rose Weekly - Better - than - expected non - farm data cooled the market's expectation of a US dollar interest rate cut. The yields of medium - and long - term US Treasury bonds increased. The yield of 10 - year US Treasury bonds rose 6BP to 4.35% weekly. The bond market rose weekly. Globally, high - yield bonds > credit bonds > government bonds [15]. 3.4 Global Foreign Exchange Market Overview: The US Dollar Index Declined Weekly - From June 30 to July 4, although recent US economic and employment data remained resilient, the US dollar index still declined slightly weekly. Most major non - US currencies appreciated against the US dollar, and the RMB exchange rate closed slightly higher. The US dollar index fell 0.28% weekly [16]. 3.5 Global Commodity Market Overview: International Oil and Gold Prices Closed Higher Weekly - The expectation of traditional peak - season consumption supported the rebound of international oil prices. Due to the high uncertainty in the global economic operation, international gold prices also rebounded. Most major agricultural products rose, while non - ferrous metal prices showed mixed performance [18]. 3.6 Domestic Major Asset Performance: Stocks, Bonds, and Commodities All Closed Higher - From June 30 to July 4, the China Manufacturing PMI in June was 49.7%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month. The China Non - Manufacturing Business Activity Index in June was 50.5%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month. The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI in June was 50.4%, consistent with the trend of the official manufacturing PMI. The Caixin China Services PMI in June was 50.6%. Stocks, bonds, and commodities closed higher weekly. Overall, stocks > commodities > bonds [19]. 3.7 Domestic Stock Market Overview: Most Major Broad - Based A - Share Indexes Rose - The expectation of "anti - involution" in industries increased. Most major broad - based A - share indexes rose. The average daily trading volume of the two markets decreased compared with the previous week. In terms of style, large - cap blue - chips performed prominently. In terms of sectors, steel and banks led the gains, while the comprehensive finance sector underperformed. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.40% weekly [20]. 3.8 Domestic Bond Market Overview: The Bond Market Ran Strongly - From June 30 to July 4, the central bank's open - market operations resulted in a net withdrawal of 137.53 billion yuan. The overall liquidity remained stable. The bond market fluctuated strongly weekly. Overall, government bonds > credit bonds > corporate bonds [22]. 3.9 Domestic Commodity Market Overview: The Commodity Market Rebounded - The domestic commodity market closed higher weekly. Among major commodity sectors, the black sector led the gains [23]. 3.10 Major Asset Price Outlook: Pay Attention to Whether the US Tariff Policy Will Be Upgraded - Overall, President Trump's latest remarks on tariffs may have an impact on major asset prices. Attention should be paid to the outcome of the US tariff negotiations [27].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The A-share market showed an upward trend last week, reaching a new high on Friday driven by the financial sector with moderate trading volume. However, short-term adjustment risks are accumulating, and the possibility of repeated oscillations is increasing as the index enters the volume accumulation area of last October [3]. - Looking ahead to next week, the endogenous growth momentum of domestic demand is insufficient, and external demand is vulnerable to tariff impacts. Therefore, favorable policies to stabilize economic demand and market expectations are needed in the second half of the year, which is the main logic for the current stock index rebound [4][5]. - The profit expectations of non-financial sectors are approaching the bottom, investors' patience has improved but confidence still needs to be restored. Specific policies to counter involution and boost domestic demand are expected, and the market is just waiting for a catalytic factor [5]. 3. Summaries According to Related Contents Market Performance - Last week, the performance of the four stock index futures varieties was differentiated. CSI 500 and CSI 1000 fluctuated and consolidated, while SSE 50 and CSI 300 oscillated and rebounded. The basis of all four stock index futures varieties turned into a futures discount mode, and the inter - period spread of futures strengthened [3]. - In the A-share market last week, the steel and glass industries remained stable, and the banking industry showed an obvious breakthrough path. The steel industry had a 3 - day increase of 4.78%, and the banking industry had a 3 - day increase of 2.36% [3]. Market Outlook - The market's mid - term capital direction remains unchanged, but the rotation speed of sectors may increase next week [3]. - Although the index has broken through the short - term pressure line, it is difficult to break through the volume accumulation area of last October without a large amount of funds, and the possibility of repeated oscillations is increasing [3].

Group 1: Interest Rate and Fundamentals - DRO01 closed at 1.31 with a -0.10bp change, DR007 at 1.42 with a -4.52bp change, GC001 at 1.43 with a 28.00bp change, and GC007 at 1.49 with a 0.00bp change [4] - SHBOR 3M closed at 1.60 with a -0.90bp change, LPR 5 - year at 3.50 with a 0.00bp change [4] - 1 - year treasury bond closed at 1.34 with a -1.20bp change, 5 - year at 1.49 with a -0.40bp change, 10 - year at 1.64 with a 0.20bp change, and 10 - year US treasury at 4.35 with a 5.00bp change [4] - Last week, the central bank conducted 6522 billion yuan of reverse repurchase operations and had 20275 billion yuan of reverse repurchase maturities, resulting in a net withdrawal of 13753 billion yuan [4] - This week, 6522 billion yuan of reverse repurchase will mature, with 3315 billion, 1310 billion, 985 billion, 572 billion, and 340 billion maturing from Monday to Friday respectively [4] - Last week, the inter - bank market liquidity further eased, and the weighted average interest rate of overnight pledged repurchase of deposit - type institutions dropped 4.47bp to 1.315%, hitting a new low since December 2024 [5] Group 2: Stock Index and Market Conditions - The CSI 300 closed at 3982 with a 0.36% change, the SSE 50 at 2740 with a 0.58% change, the CSI 500 at 5911 with a -0.19% change, and the CSI 1000 at 6312 with a -0.48% change [6] - The trading volume of IF was 126007 with a 71.2% change, IH was 66223 with a 93.8% change, IC was 99284 with a 52.8% change, and IM was 250280 with a 53.6% change [6] - The positions of IF were 266026 with an 11.3% change, IH were 97738 with a 21.2% change, IC were 236528 with a 7.3% change, and IM were 351204 with a 9.1% change [6] - Last week, the CSI 300 rose 1.54% to 3982.2, the SSE 50 rose 1.21% to 2740.4, the CSI 500 rose 0.81% to 5911.4, and the CSI 1000 rose 0.56% to 6312.2 [6] - Last week, the daily trading volumes of A - shares were 14056 billion, 13865 billion, 13122 billion, 12450 billion, and 13540 billion yuan, with the average daily trading volume decreasing by 414.9 billion yuan compared to the previous week [6] - As of July 3, the margin trading purchase amount of A - shares accounted for 9.6% of the total market trading volume, at the 75.4% quantile level in the past decade [6] - Among the Shenwan primary industry indices, last week, steel (5.1%), building materials (4%), banks (3.8%), pharmaceutical biology (3.6%), and comprehensive (2.8%) led the gains, while computer (-1.3%), non - bank finance (-0.7%), transportation (-0.2%), commercial retail (-0.2%), and communication (-0.1%) led the losses [6] Group 3: Market Outlook - Domestically, after the Sixth Meeting of the Central Financial and Economic Commission, the "involution - style" competition has attracted high attention. The market expects more special policies to curb excessive competition, and the supply - side of photovoltaic, steel, and cement may improve [7] - Overseas, US President Trump said on July 3 that he would start sending letters to trading partners on the 4th to set unilateral tariff rates, and countries would start paying new tariffs from August 1st, with tariff rates ranging from 10% - 20% to 60% - 70% [7] - In the short term, although market liquidity is okay, there are few positive factors at home and abroad. It is difficult for the stock index to break through upwards and may show a volatile pattern [7] - In the long - term, looking at the second half of the year, the Politburo meeting at the end of July will set the policy tone. Given the possible further deterioration of real estate sales and investment and the overall weakness of consumption, policies are expected to support domestic demand. Meanwhile, the US tariff policy is undetermined, and with the approaching Fed rate - cut time, overseas liquidity and geopolitical changes will bring trading opportunities [7] Group 4: Futures Premium and Discount - IF's premium/discount rates are 14.06% for the current - month contract, 8.57% for the next - month contract, 5.65% for the current - quarter contract, and 4.59% for the next - quarter contract [8] - IH's premium/discount rates are 19.36% for the current - month contract, 7.74% for the next - month contract, 4.13% for the current - quarter contract, and 2.04% for the next - quarter contract [8] - IC's premium/discount rates are 19.16% for the current - month contract, 13.96% for the next - month contract, 12.02% for the current - quarter contract, and 10.01% for the next - quarter contract [8] - IM's premium/discount rates are 24.19% for the current - month contract, 18.19% for the next - month contract, 15.42% for the current - quarter contract, and 13.24% for the next - quarter contract [8]

Core Viewpoint - Insurance capital is increasingly entering the market, with significant investments in listed companies, indicating a trend towards high-frequency and concentrated acquisitions in 2025 [1][6]. Group 1: Insurance Capital Activity - In 2025, insurance companies have made 19 acquisitions involving 15 listed companies, matching the total number for the entire year of 2024 [1][6]. - Notable acquisitions include Xintai Life Insurance increasing its stake in Hualing Steel to 345 million shares (5% of total shares) and Lianan Life Insurance acquiring 46.9954 million shares (5.03% of total shares) in Jiangnan Water [1][2][4]. - The trend shows a preference for high-dividend equity assets, particularly in sectors like banking and public utilities, while also diversifying into undervalued cyclical stocks like Hualing Steel [1][7]. Group 2: Investment Strategy and Market Context - The increase in insurance capital activity is driven by supportive policies, optimized accounting standards, and a scarcity of alternative assets, leading to a focus on high-dividend equity assets [1][7]. - The total amount of insurance funds invested reached 33.56 trillion yuan by the end of 2024, with equity assets accounting for approximately 19.6% of this total [6]. - Recent regulatory changes have allowed for a higher allocation of equity assets, further encouraging insurance companies to invest in the stock market [6][7]. Group 3: Company-Specific Insights - Xintai Life Insurance's investment in Hualing Steel is based on a positive outlook for the company's future and aims to enhance its influence and share in the long-term benefits of Hualing Steel's growth [7][8]. - Lianan Life Insurance's acquisition of Jiangnan Water is characterized as a long-term investment based on the company's value and the insurance firm's own allocation needs [8].