Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.39% on July 1, with 20 out of the 28 sectors in the Shenwan classification experiencing gains, led by the comprehensive and pharmaceutical sectors, which increased by 2.60% and 1.80% respectively [1] - The defense and military industry saw a decline of 0.24%, with a net outflow of 4.176 billion yuan in main capital [1] Defense and Military Industry Performance - Within the defense and military sector, there are 139 stocks, with 47 stocks rising and 92 stocks falling on the day [1] - The top three stocks with the highest net inflow of capital are: - China Ship Emergency: 354 million yuan - China Shipbuilding: 148 million yuan - Lijun Shares: 145 million yuan [1] - The stocks with the highest net outflow of capital include: - Inner Mongolia First Machinery: 942 million yuan - North Navigation: 532 million yuan - China Ordnance: 394 million yuan [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The following stocks had significant capital inflow: - China Ship Emergency: 20.04% increase with a turnover rate of 15.27% - China Shipbuilding: 2.43% increase with a turnover rate of 1.80% - Lijun Shares: 9.98% increase with a turnover rate of 25.07% [1] - Conversely, the stocks with notable capital outflow include: - Inner Mongolia First Machinery: -0.21% change with a turnover rate of 16.23% - North Navigation: -3.78% change with a turnover rate of 15.58% - China Ordnance: 3.70% change with a turnover rate of 18.44% [2][3]

[Table_I 日期 ndustry] : shzqdatemark 2025年07月01日 | [Table_Author] 分析师: | 张河生 | | --- | --- | | Tel: | 021-53686158 | | E-mail: | zhanghesheng@shzq.com | | SAC 编号: | S0870523100004 | [Table_ReportInfo] 相关报告： 《中东地缘冲突再升级，资本市场短期受 影响》 ——2025 年 06月 25日 《地缘冲突升级短期压制风险偏好提升》 ——2025 年 06月 18日 《央行提前投放买断式逆回购，释放积极 信号》 ——2025 年 06月 10日 过去一周利率债价格微跌，收益率曲线陡峭化。 过去一周（20250623-20250629）国债期货下跌，10 年期国债期货 主力合约较 2025 年 6 月 20 日下跌 0.10%。从现券来看，10 年国债活跃 券收益率较 2025 年 6 月 20 日提升 0.66 BP 至 1.6462%；从曲线形态 看，5 年及以上期限品种收益率提升，5 年以下期限品种收益率下降， 收 ...

Market Performance - The ChiNext Index fell by 0.24%, closing at 2147.92 points, with a total trading volume of 444.496 billion yuan, a decrease of 17.661 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] - Among the tradable ChiNext stocks, 574 stocks closed higher, with 17 stocks rising over 10%, including China Ship Emergency, Changhai Co., and San Chao New Materials, which all hit the daily limit [1] - 786 stocks closed lower, with 1 stock declining over 10% [1] Turnover Rate - The average turnover rate for the ChiNext today was 4.74%, with 73 stocks having a turnover rate exceeding 20% [1] - The highest turnover rate was for Beifang Changlong at 65.99%, closing down 7.75% [1] - Other notable stocks with high turnover rates included Ruina Intelligent (52.53%) and Zhili Fang (51.72%) [1] Sector Analysis - Among the high turnover stocks, 45 stocks rose, with San Chao New Materials, Lingwei Technology, and Feilu Co. closing at the daily limit [2] - The electronics sector had the most stocks with a turnover rate exceeding 20%, totaling 14 stocks, followed by machinery equipment and national defense industries with 11 and 7 stocks, respectively [2] Institutional Activity - Nine high turnover ChiNext stocks appeared on the Dragon and Tiger List, with institutional participation noted in all [2] - Zhili Fang saw a net institutional buy of 11.6598 million yuan, while other stocks like Electric Alloy and Mountain River Pharmaceutical also had significant institutional activity [2] Capital Flow - Among high turnover stocks, 29 experienced net inflows from main funds, with Mountain River Pharmaceutical, San Chao New Materials, and Blue Arrow Electronics leading in net inflow amounts of 129 million yuan, 114 million yuan, and 110 million yuan, respectively [3] - Conversely, stocks like Sifang Precision, New Guodu, and Morning Star Aviation saw significant net outflows, totaling 731 million yuan, 400 million yuan, and 358 million yuan, respectively [3] Earnings Forecast - Two high turnover stocks released half-year earnings forecasts, both indicating profit increases [3] - Tao Tao Automotive is expected to have a net profit median of 335 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 84.08% [3] - New Henghui is projected to have a net profit increase of 4.59% [3]

巨丰投顾：周二市场震荡运行，中船系涨幅居前。历史数据显示，近20年上证指数在7月上涨概率为 60%。投资者可从三方面布局：节奏上，上旬防御为主，警惕外部冲击，配置公用事业等板块，下旬聚 焦中报业绩，关注超预期个股及政策动向；风格上，金融（政策刺激、低估值优势）与成长（科技政策 持续、产业趋势上行）占优；操作上，重点关注科技（半导体、人工智能核心企业）、军工（阅兵催 化、订单增长）及中报高增领域（TMT、中游制造等），规避业绩风险股。 沪深两市主要股指7月1日开盘涨跌不一，沪指微幅高开，深成指和创业板指小幅高开。沪指全日呈震荡 上扬态势；深成指和创业板指早盘期间震荡下行，深成指午间收盘前反弹，午后翻红并最终小幅收涨， 创业板指在接近回补缺口后有所回落，收盘时小幅下跌。指数表现方面，沪指7月1日的收盘点位高于6 月25日的收盘点位，再创年内收盘新高。 盘面上，医药股领涨，免疫治疗、创新药、重组蛋白、仿制药、减肥药、肝炎概念、毛发医疗等多个医 药医疗的细分领域指数均有较大幅度上涨。当日，船舶、工业气体、光刻机、银行、超导概念等板块亦 有显著上涨。数字货币股跌幅靠前，电子身份证、跨境支付、Web3概念等板块亦有较大幅 ...

金十数据7月1日讯，7月1日，沪深两市全天成交额合计14660.36亿元，较上一日缩量208.48亿元。其 中，沪市成交额为5535.57亿元（上一交易日为5671.37亿元），成交量为4.44亿手（上一交易日为4.57亿 手）；深市成交额为9124.79亿元（上一交易日为9197.47亿元），成交量为6.96亿手（上一交易日为6.77 亿手）。东方财富成交额居首，为70.96亿元。其次是四方精创、寒武纪-U、中兵红箭、天风证券，成 交额分别为62.45亿元、59.25亿元、58.59亿元、54.46亿元。 沪深两市今日成交额合计14660.36亿元，东方财富成交额居首 ...

FICC日报 | 2025-07-01 制造业PMI回升，指数上涨 市场分析 制造业PMI回升。国内方面，国家统计局公布，6月份，我国制造业、非制造业和综合PMI分别为49.7%、50.5%和 50.7%，比上月上升0.2、0.2和0.3个百分点，三大指数均有所回升。装备制造业、高技术制造业和消费品行业PMI 均连续两个月位于扩张区间。海外方面，美联储博斯蒂克重申，他仍预计美联储今年会下调一次利率，同时指出 美联储在决定采取行动之前还有时间考虑最新的数据，同时他预计美联储明年将降息三次。 指数上涨。现货市场，A股三大指数震荡回升，上证指数涨0.59%收于3444.43点，创业板指涨1.35%。行业方面， 板块指数涨多跌少，国防军工、传媒、通信、电子行业涨幅居前，仅银行、非银金融、交通运输行业收跌。当日 沪深两市成交金额小幅回落至1.5万亿元。海外市场，加拿大宣布撤回数字服务税，以推动与美国的贸易谈判重回 正轨。美国总统特朗普与加拿大总理卡尼已同意两国将重启谈判，并力争在7月21日前达成协议。美国三大股指全 线收涨，道指涨0.63%报44094.77点。 期指减仓。期货市场，基差走势分化，IC、IM近月合约贴水 ...

6月30日，A股三大股指收盘飘红，2025年上半年行情随之收官。 上半年，主要股指多数录得上涨。上证指数半年涨2.76%，深证成指半年涨0.48%，创业板指半年涨 0.53%，北证50指数半年大涨39.45%。成交量方面，上半年沪深两市日均成交13608.36亿元，较2024年 日均成交额（10521.82亿元）放量近30%。 A股主要股指上半年表现，数据来源：Choice，统计截至2025/6/30，不作投资推荐 个股方面，剔除今年上市的次新股，有超过3700只个股上半年飘红，占比约七成。其中，135只个股半 年股价实现翻倍，15只个股半年涨幅超过200%。 上半年"十大牛股"出炉，联合化学（301209）以 437.83%的涨幅拔得头筹。 有色金属板块涨幅居首 以申万行业划分，有色金属指数上半年累计涨18.12%，涨幅居所有一级行业首位。细分来看，贵金属 指数大幅领跑，半年涨幅高达35.91%。金属新材料、工业金属、小金属指数涨幅均在16%左右，能源金 属指数上涨10.61%。 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 区间涨跌幅 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | [区间首日] ...

Group 1 - A total of 17 companies were investigated by funds, with Ice Wheel Environment, New Coordinates, and AVIC Shenfei receiving the most attention [1][2] - Ice Wheel Environment was the most popular, with 28 funds participating in its investigation, followed by New Coordinates with 20 funds and AVIC Shenfei with 13 funds [1][2] - The companies investigated belong to various sectors, with the automotive industry having the highest representation at 3 companies, followed by defense and military, and power equipment with 2 companies each [1] Group 2 - Among the companies investigated, 2 have a total market capitalization exceeding 500 billion, with AVIC Shenfei being one of them, while 8 companies have a market cap below 100 billion [1] - All investigated stocks have risen in the past 5 days, with Ice Wheel Environment, New Coordinates, and He Yuan Gas showing the highest increases of 13.16%, 12.87%, and 11.20% respectively [1][2] - In terms of net capital inflow over the past 5 days, AVIC Shenfei attracted 469 million yuan, followed by New Coordinates and Ice Wheel Environment with inflows of 86.08 million yuan and 74.84 million yuan respectively [2]

随着上半年交易收官，券商金股组合上半年投资"成绩单"也随之出炉。 每市APP数据显示，近九成的券商金股组合在上半年取得正收益，其中东北证券以45.45%的组合收益率稳居第 一。 从新鲜出炉的7月金股名单来看，电子、医药生物、机械设备行业的股票数量最多，电力设备、非银金融也有 不低的占比。 展望7月，大盘指数能否再次向上突破成为券商关注焦点。有券商认为，市场依旧具备尝试突破的潜力，配置 上，泛科技、券商等方向受到机构重点推荐。 6月最牛金股大涨63% 回顾6月金股表现，每市APP数据显示，申万宏源、国元证券共同推荐的巨人网络（002558.SZ）以63.09%的月 涨幅当选6月最牛金股，主要由于该公司推出的新游《超自然行动组》数据走强。由东北证券推荐的胜宏科技 （300476.SZ）以55.39%的月涨幅排名第二，该公司是英伟达在国内算力板领域的核心供应商。 排名第三的是由天风证券推荐的内蒙一机（600967.SH），当月涨幅为54.80%，该股属于国防军工板块。此 外，由中泰证券推荐的源杰科技（688498.SH）、由开源证券推荐的新易盛（300502.SZ）月涨幅也超40%。 数据显示，随着A股半年度收官， ...

首先，外部环境边际改善，国内市场风险偏好继续回升。近期国际局势有所好转，外部环境开始边 际改善。美联储降息预期较之前有所上升，推动全球资本市场总体反弹。国内市场风险偏好同样明显回 升，沪指上周创出年内新高，深圳成分指数亦有所反弹。展望后期，国内经济数据和上市公司的中报将 成为影响行情的重要影响因素，投资者宜根据最新信息，相机抉择。 风险提示：国际贸易、地缘冲突超出预期；上市公司业绩增速回落超预期；全球经济衰退超预期。 其次，两市震荡，成交略降。周一，两市小幅低开后，逐级向上反弹，沪指收盘于全天高点附近， 并收回五天均线。深圳成指继续反弹，近期表现强于沪市。两市量能 1.4 万亿元左右，较上周五有所下 降。微观结构上，全天个股涨多跌少，涨停股票数量较多。当天市场热点主要集中在国防军工和 TMT 行业。投资风格方面，中小盘和科技风格涨幅领先。 从市场运行节奏看，沪指突破五、六月份的震荡小箱体，重心上移一个台阶。沪指上周突破了五、 六月份来回震荡的小箱体，实现了重心的上移，并创出年内新高。当然，去年四季度的成交密集区仍有 较强技术阻力，在没有实质性利好信息的配合下，预计难以一蹴而就得向上突破。 ...