证券研究报告 通用自动化2024年报&2025年一季报总结 通用设备需求筑底静待复苏，挖掘机器人&FA自动化等α机会 首席证券分析师：周尔双 执业证书编号：S0600515110002 zhouersh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师：钱尧天 执业证书编号：S0600524120015 qianyt@dwzq.com.cn 2025 年 5 月 7 日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 1 核心要点 ◆工业自动化：2025Q1需求/业绩有所改善，推荐业绩拐点已至的工业FA板块。 我们选取10家工业自动化标的，包括【埃斯顿】【汇川技术】（东吴电新组覆盖）【埃夫特】【新时达】【拓斯达】【机器人】【怡合达】【绿 的谐波】【国茂股份】【中大力德】进行分析。2024年合计实现营收592.48亿元，同比+6%，中位数收入同比增速分别为-3%/-10%。 2024年工业自 动化行业合计归母净利润为34.18亿元，同比-40%，中位数归母净利润同比增速分别为-33%和-26% 。整体来看，工业自动化行业利润增速正逐步下 滑，一方面受收入端增速放缓影响，另一方面价格竞争情况仍未有明显改善。重点推荐工业自动化细分板块：工业F ...

合抱之木，生于毫末。 对如今工业界而言，旧秩序正在关税阴影下遭受冲击，但新秩序正在酝酿激荡，只是当一部分人沉迷于清算过去时，更多人则渴望未来。 一个多月前，我们曾报道了第77届汉诺威工业博览会，并认为这是政治火药味儿最浓的一届汉诺威了，但我们同样欣慰地看到，不管是欧洲人、 加拿大人还是中国人，都想来展会上寻求合作和破解关税问题之策，因为这里，依然力图用技术对话超越政治壁垒。 早在17世纪，德国哲学家莱布尼茨便说："中国人应当与欧洲人交换礼物，互相取长补短，用一盏明灯点燃另一盏明灯。" 他说：我们的相遇和交流意义重大，它会孕育千万美好成果、千万发明创造。 5月14日—5月15日，吴老师将带领企业家走进西门子位于成都的"双料"灯塔工厂，与西门子全球执行副总裁、西门子中国董事长肖松博士等嘉宾 进行一场深度对话。 点击图片▲立即了解 文 / 巴九灵（微信公众号：吴晓波频道） 所谓双料，是指成都数字化工厂不仅是入选世界经济论坛第一批灯塔工厂，随后又获得了"可持续灯塔工厂"称号。 中德制造智慧与产业经验的碰撞虽不是新鲜事，但在当下却有着非凡的意义。 有兴趣的话，可以点击按钮，加入这场"与未来的对话"。 点击按钮 ▼立即报 ...

作为"绿色中国"系列活动的年度首站，此次吴江行活动通过政企对话、产业对接、实地考察、互动交流 等形式，为外资企业深耕长三角、共享绿色转型机遇提供了高效务实的合作平台。 在主题发言环节，博众精工副总经理陆瑶、瓦特电动汽车首席工程师彼得 贝利、菲尼克斯中国区副总 裁杨斌围绕智能装备制造、新能源汽车技术创新、工业自动化解决方案等主题，分享了在吴江投资发展 的实践经验，探讨绿色低碳国际投资与合作。活动邀请了欧绿保、卡夫亨氏、TKM集团、采埃孚、拉 法基豪瑞、霍尼韦尔、西门子艾闻达、斯凯孚、蔚来等40余家企业高管代表参会。同期，吴江经开区的 重点企业还与来自英国、意大利、瑞典、芬兰、美国等10余家国外创新型中小企业代表举办"跨国企业 与吴江经开区产业链供应链对接会"。 4月29日，商务部投资促进事务局与吴江经济技术开发区在苏州吴江联合主办"绿色中国 外企吴江行"。 活动汇聚国内外绿色低碳产业创新资源，吸引了世界500强企业、跨国公司、上市公司及欧美中小企业 团组代表参加，聚焦新能源、智能制造、绿色低碳等领域的合作，共谋产业链协同发展新机遇。 商务部投资促进事务局副局长唐颂出席活动并致辞。他表示，中国政府持续优化外资营商 ...

Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved sales revenue of 1.244 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 24.03% [6] - Net profit attributable to the parent company was 12.6299 million CNY, up 93.43% year-on-year [6] - Net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 4.1674 million CNY, an increase of 132.2% [6] - Operating cash flow net amount was 47.5225 million CNY, growing by 112.95% [6] - Total expense ratio was 28.33%, down 5.14 percentage points year-on-year [6] Market Outlook - The industrial automation market demand is recovering, with strong growth in automotive, electronics, and lithium battery sectors [7] - The company anticipates significant growth potential in the industrial robot market for 2025 [7] Strategic Development Plans - The company aims to achieve operational improvement and profitability by focusing on global layout, strategic focus, technological breakthroughs, and operational efficiency [8] - Plans include optimizing the marketing system, enhancing R&D investment, expanding global business, and improving internal management [8][9] R&D and Product Development - The company is increasing R&D resources in high-barrier industrial robot applications to enhance product competitiveness [10] - Focus on developing automation core components and industrial robot products for emerging industries [8][10] Profit Margin Improvement - The company plans to strengthen sales price control and focus resources on high-quality orders to stabilize profit margins [11] - Strategies include optimizing the supply chain and enhancing local material substitution [11] Global Expansion - The company will continue to expand into Europe, America, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia, targeting leading domestic clients in the new energy vehicle and lithium battery sectors [12] - Plans to establish a global production base in Poland and optimize the cost structure of overseas subsidiaries [12][13] Intelligent Technology Development - The company is investing in "artificial intelligence + robotics" to enhance autonomous perception and learning capabilities of industrial robots [14] - Development of humanoid robots with a focus on factory production lines and logistics applications [14] Trade Impact Assessment - The company assesses that the impact of U.S. tariffs is limited due to the small proportion of revenue from U.S. operations and prior global production base planning [15]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 37.04 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 21.8%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 4.29 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.6% year-on-year [3][4] - The company's new energy vehicle business is experiencing significant growth, with a revenue of 16 billion yuan in 2024, up 70% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, the revenue from the new energy vehicle and rail transit sectors reached 3.9 billion yuan, a 66% increase year-on-year [4] - The company is strategically entering the AI sector, focusing on humanoid robots, leveraging its expertise in motion control and servo drives. The humanoid robot business is set to officially launch in 2024 [4] Financial Performance Summary - In 2023, the total revenue was 30.42 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 32.2%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 4.74 billion yuan, reflecting a 9.8% increase [3] - The projected total revenue for 2025 is 48.53 billion yuan, with an expected year-on-year growth of 31%. The net profit is forecasted to be 5.54 billion yuan, a growth of 29.3% [3][4] - The gross profit margin is expected to be 29.3% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 16.4% [3]

由上海市总工会、东方娱乐、SMG纪录片创制中心（真实传媒）联合打造的《上海工匠第十季——奋楫》将于5月1日至5日每天8:05在东方卫视两集连播。 节目海报 值此上海市总工会百年华诞之际，节目以"百舸争流，奋楫者先"的进取精神为核，聚焦临床医学、智慧港口、精密测量、海洋工程等领域的十位上海顶尖工 匠。 张蕾 这位非科班出身的"网络尖兵"，在看不见的维度演绎着攻防战。两会、进博会、党的二十大，她在数字洪流中筑坝，用渗透测试撕裂防御假象，以漏洞挖掘 构筑坚实护盾。五年间，她在虚拟战场淬炼出的不仅是技术利刃，更是守护光明的信念——每个补丁都在书写"此路不通"的宣言。 上海工业自动化仪表研究院有限公司张怀锁，正用中国力值重新定义世界测量体系。 在坚冰上镌刻中国精度 在灯火通明的城市背后，在洋山港的万吨巨轮旁，在新能源海域的长风波涛里，有这样一群以匠心为舟、以勇毅作楫的孤勇者，用毫厘必争的精度刻下中国 智造的高度。 张怀锁 面对钢铁、建筑、交通、航空航天等领域的"万吨级"力值检测空白，他带领团队用五年光阴浇筑出世界首台套100MN力标准测力机，在极限载荷下验证 了"中国芯"的硬核实力。其主导研发的最大量程70MN轧制力传 ...

• 汇川技术重视工业软件和 IT 与 OT 融合，推出国内首款工业自动化全集成 软件平台 IFA，并通过产投战略投资多家工业软件企业，同时在自身生产 制造过程中广泛应用 AI 技术。 • 汇川技术将人形机器人视为未来最大机会，聚焦核心零部件开发，如驱动 器、无框电机模组以及滚珠丝杠，并计划在 2027 年至 2028 年推出完整 的人形机器人产品和解决方案。 汇川技术在全球化布局方面有哪些具体举措？ 汇川技术 20250429 摘要 • 2024 年汇川技术营收达 370 亿元，同比增长 22%，归母净利润 43 亿元， 同比下降 9.6%，主要受新能源汽车毛利率及行业竞争影响，但经营现金 流强劲，达 72 亿元，同比增长超 100%。 • 2025 年一季度，汇川技术营收 90 亿元，同比增长 31%，归母净利润 13 亿元，同比增长 63%。通用自动化和新能源汽车业务增长显著，毛利率提 升至 31%。 • 通用自动化板块 2024 年增长 2%，海外收入快速增长，伺服系统销售额 56 亿元，变频器 52 亿元，小型 PLC 13 亿元，工业机器人 11 亿元，市 场份额持续提升。 • 新能源汽车板块产品解 ...

Key Points - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 38%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.3 billion yuan, up 63% year-on-year [1] - For the full year 2024, the company achieved revenue of 37 billion yuan, a 22% increase year-on-year, but net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 10% to 4.3 billion yuan [1] Segment Analysis - General Automation: Revenue reached 15.2 billion yuan in 2024, a 1% increase year-on-year, with specific product revenues of 5.6 billion yuan for general servo, 5.2 billion yuan for general frequency converters, 1.3 billion yuan for PLC&HMI, and 1.1 billion yuan for industrial robots [2] - New Energy Vehicles: Revenue was 16 billion yuan, a significant increase of 70% year-on-year, driven by the growth of the new energy vehicle industry and increasing penetration rates [2] - Smart Elevators: Revenue declined to 4.9 billion yuan, a 7% decrease year-on-year, with the domestic elevator production dropping by 8% [3] - Rail Transit: Revenue increased to 560 million yuan, a 2% growth year-on-year [3] Future Focus Areas - The company is prioritizing internationalization, digitalization, energy management, AI, and humanoid robots, with overseas revenue reaching 2 billion yuan in 2024, a 17% increase [3] - Progress in humanoid robots includes the development of high-power drivers and high-performance joint components, as well as establishing connections with machine manufacturers and industrial clients [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Short-term outlook suggests a recovery in the industrial control cycle and steady profit contribution from the new energy vehicle business [3] - Long-term projections estimate revenues of 45.2 billion yuan, 54.7 billion yuan, and 65.7 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 4.9 billion yuan, 5.9 billion yuan, and 7.1 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 14%, 19%, and 20% [3]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Honeywell exceeded the high end of its guidance on all metrics in the first quarter, with organic sales growth of 4% year over year [4][18] - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) was $2.51, up 7% year over year, while earnings per share remained flat at $2.22 [20][21] - First quarter cash flow exceeded $300 million, over $100 million above the prior year, driven by better adjusted earnings [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Aerospace Technologies saw a 9% organic sales increase, with commercial aftermarket sales growing 15% due to robust demand [22] - Industrial Automation sales declined 2% organically, primarily due to lower demand in personal protective equipment [23] - Building Automation grew 8% organically, driven by strong demand in both Building Solutions and Building Products [25] - Energy and Sustainability Solutions sales declined 2% organically, while Advanced Materials sales decreased by 4% [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Orders for the first quarter were $10.6 billion, up 3% year over year, with a record organic backlog growth of 8% [20] - Aerospace industry demand continues to outpace supply, supporting orders growth of 9% and a book-to-bill ratio of 1.1 [22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Honeywell is focused on separating into three standalone public companies to unlock significant value and position each for long-term growth [9][10] - The company is actively pursuing acquisitions, with the recent acquisition of Sundyne being part of its portfolio transformation strategy [12][14] - Honeywell's local for local strategy aims to mitigate the impact of tariffs and geopolitical tensions by serving local markets [15][16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged increasing economic uncertainty and shifting global trade patterns but remains confident in achieving its 2025 outlook [4][5] - The company is maintaining its full-year organic growth guidance while raising its adjusted EPS guidance [5][29] - Management emphasized the importance of ongoing mitigation efforts and a strong operational framework to navigate current challenges [16][28] Other Important Information - Honeywell has repurchased approximately $3 billion of its shares in 2025, with plans to continue opportunistic buybacks [11][33] - The company expects free cash flow for the year to be between $5.4 billion and $5.8 billion, down 2% to up 5% excluding the Bombardier impact [32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Details on tariffs and offset strategies - Management confirmed that the estimated tariff impact is approximately $500 million, with strategies including pricing adjustments and productivity measures to mitigate this impact [47][48] Question: Volume assumptions and contingency - Management indicated a conservative approach to guidance, assuming a volume decline of 1% to 2% and a price increase of about 3% [60] Question: Impact of tariffs by segment - The largest tariff exposure is in Industrial Automation and Aerospace, with Building Automation being largely protected due to its local strategy [87] Question: Aerospace aftermarket performance - The commercial aftermarket grew 15%, driven by strong demand and a positive backlog, with no significant changes in pricing expectations [108][109] Question: Supply chain exposure to China - Management noted that while there is tariff pressure, they do not foresee a shortage of parts, focusing instead on demand destruction due to tariffs [102][105]

Core Viewpoint - The competition between two leading companies in the industrial automation sector, Zhaowei Electromechanical and Raise Intelligent, is intensifying in the humanoid robot market, particularly focusing on the "dexterous hand" technology, which is considered the most valuable part of the upper body of humanoid robots [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Zhaowei Electromechanical achieved a revenue of 1.525 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 26.42%, with a net profit of 225 million yuan, up 25.11%. The overall gross margin was 31.43% [1]. - Raise Intelligent reported a revenue of 1.584 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 11.93%, and a net profit of 200 million yuan, which grew by 44.67%. The overall gross margin was 38.27% [1]. R&D Investment - Both companies maintained high levels of R&D investment in 2024, with Zhaowei Electromechanical investing 155 million yuan, accounting for 10.18% of its total revenue, and holding 87 invention patents [1]. - Raise Intelligent invested 195 million yuan in R&D, representing 12.30% of its total revenue, with over 540 patents in its portfolio [1]. Product Differentiation - Zhaowei Electromechanical focuses on high precision and bionic features in its dexterous hand products, utilizing a micro harmonic reducer for 0.05mm positioning accuracy and 17-20 degrees of freedom [2]. - Raise Intelligent emphasizes high load capacity and industrial adaptability, with its DH116 dexterous hand capable of handling loads up to 40kg, targeting logistics and automotive assembly applications [2]. Market Positioning - Zhaowei Electromechanical positions itself as a high-end industrial dexterous hand solution provider, focusing on high freedom, high precision, and human-like products [2]. - Raise Intelligent positions itself as a supplier of core components and modular solutions for robots, targeting the mid-to-low-end market [2]. Supply Chain Strategy - Zhaowei Electromechanical adopts a "vertical integration" strategy, emphasizing the combination of AI algorithms with hand movement control [3]. - Raise Intelligent focuses on "core component breakthroughs," expanding its distribution network and increasing the proportion of its distribution partners [3]. Subsidiary Development - In 2024, both companies established subsidiaries to enter the robotics sector, with Raise Intelligent creating two subsidiaries focused on high-density motors and dexterous hand solutions [3]. - Zhaowei Electromechanical established a subsidiary in the U.S. and previously set up one in Germany [3]. Globalization Efforts - Zhaowei Electromechanical has a faster global expansion, with 14% of its revenue coming from international markets in 2024, growing at 35.15% [4]. - Raise Intelligent's international revenue accounted for only 4% of its total revenue in 2024 [4]. Competitive Outlook - Zhaowei Electromechanical is expected to leverage technological innovation and industrial-grade performance to gain an advantage in the high-end market [5]. - Raise Intelligent's modular solutions and cost control capabilities may provide a competitive edge in the mid-to-low-end market [5].