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本周外盘看点丨鲍威尔亮相杰克逊霍尔会议,美国零售商密集发布财报
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-08-17 04:10
Group 1: Economic Indicators and Market Reactions - The U.S. stock market saw significant gains, with the Dow Jones up 1.75%, S&P 500 up 0.93%, and Nasdaq up 0.79% [1] - European indices also performed well, with the UK FTSE 100 up 0.47%, Germany's DAX 30 up 0.81%, and France's CAC 40 up 2.33% [1] - Investors are increasingly anticipating a rate cut from the Federal Reserve next month, influenced by recent economic data and comments from officials [3] Group 2: Federal Reserve and Interest Rate Expectations - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is set to speak at the Jackson Hole conference, which is expected to provide critical insights into the Fed's policy direction [3] - Current market expectations indicate a 93.5% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September [3] - The latest Fed minutes will be closely analyzed for insights into the differing opinions among Fed officials [3] Group 3: Corporate Earnings and Financial Reports - The earnings season is nearing its end, with notable companies such as Palo Alto, Home Depot, Lowe's, Walmart, and Intuit set to report [4] - Chinese companies like Alibaba, Baidu, Xpeng Motors, and ZTO Express are also expected to disclose their earnings [4] Group 4: Commodity Market Trends - Oil prices weakened, with WTI crude down 1.69% to $62.80 per barrel and Brent crude down 1.11% to $65.85 per barrel [6] - Predictions of oversupply in the oil market are affecting sentiment, with an increase in the number of active oil drilling rigs [6] - Gold prices fell significantly, with COMEX gold futures down 3.00% to $3336.00 per ounce, influenced by geopolitical uncertainties and U.S. tariffs [6] Group 5: Inflation and Economic Outlook in the UK - Upcoming PMI data for France, Germany, and the Eurozone will provide insights into the economic impact of U.S. tariffs [7] - The UK is experiencing rising inflation, with the overall rate increasing from 2.3% to 3.6% since last October, and further increases are expected [7][8] - The labor market in the UK is showing signs of strain, particularly in the hospitality and retail sectors, with a significant rise in unemployment [7]
税收数据显示:“两新”政策实施成效明显
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-16 22:17
Group 1 - The "Two New" policies have shown positive effects in promoting transformation and upgrading, boosting consumer demand, and facilitating economic circulation over the past year [1] - From April 2024 to July 2025, the implementation of these policies is expected to directly drive retail demand growth, which in turn will positively impact the supply side [1] - Manufacturing sales revenue has increased by 5.8% year-on-year, indicating a stronger push for equipment upgrades among manufacturing enterprises [1]
青海省1至7月社零总额同比增长4.9% 首超全国增速
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-08-16 15:03
Core Insights - Qinghai Province's retail sales reached 57.725 billion yuan from January to July, with a year-on-year growth of 4.9%, surpassing the national growth rate by 0.1 percentage points for the first time since 2024 [1] - In July alone, retail sales totaled 10.726 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 15.8%, the highest monthly growth rate in 19 months [1] Group 1: Consumption Growth - The provincial business department implemented measures to boost consumption, including consumption monitoring, retail promotion campaigns, and a trade-in program for consumer goods, leading to significant results [1] - Retail sales growth for above-limit units increased by 7.8% from January to July, improving by 5.7 percentage points compared to the first half of the year, and exceeding the national average of 5.1% [1] - The retail sales of above-limit retail industry grew by 12.5%, achieving double-digit growth for the first time this year, while the catering industry's revenue rose by 10.6% [1] Group 2: Product Categories - Various key product categories saw growth from January to July, including home appliances, beverages, automobiles, books, Chinese and Western medicines, construction materials, food, communication devices, and daily necessities [1] - The monthly growth rate for clothing and jewelry categories turned positive for the first time this year [1] Group 3: Future Initiatives - The provincial business department plans to promote a trade-in program for consumer goods, organize various consumption promotion activities, and enhance the construction of county-level commercial systems [2] - Efforts will be made to create diverse and integrated consumption scenarios and to increase the presence of quality products in central enterprises [2]
2025年7月美国零售数据点评:美国消费增速趋缓,支持美联储年内降息
EBSCN· 2025-08-16 07:47
Retail Data Overview - In July 2025, U.S. retail sales increased by 0.5% month-on-month, matching expectations, but down from a revised 0.9% in June[2] - Core retail sales (excluding automobiles and gasoline) rose by 0.3% month-on-month, also below the previous value of 0.8%[2] Economic Implications - The decline in July retail sales indicates a weakening consumer sentiment, with year-on-year growth dropping from 4.4% in June to 3.9% in July, marking the second-lowest value since March 2025[7] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for July saw a significant increase to 3.3% year-on-year, up from 2.3%, suggesting that businesses are passing on tariff costs to consumers, which may further dampen consumer spending[7] Interest Rate Outlook - The decline in retail sales and weak employment data suggest a continued downward trend in the U.S. economy, increasing the likelihood of the Federal Reserve restarting interest rate cuts in the second half of 2025[8] - Market expectations indicate a 92.1% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September 2025, with a total of two cuts anticipated for the year[10] Sector Performance - In July, durable goods such as automobiles (+1.6%) and furniture (+1.4%) showed strong performance, while non-durable goods like groceries (-1.7%) and electronics (-0.6%) declined[9] - Service consumption, particularly in restaurants and bars, decreased by 0.4%, indicating a shift in consumer spending patterns[10]
芯存半导体取得占空比调整电路及存储器专利
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-16 02:40
天眼查资料显示,西安芯存半导体有限公司,成立于2022年,位于西安市,是一家以从事计算机、通信 和其他电子设备制造业为主的企业。企业注册资本5000万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析,西安芯存半 导体有限公司财产线索方面有商标信息20条,专利信息9条,此外企业还拥有行政许可2个。 合肥芯存半导体有限公司,成立于2023年,位于合肥市,是一家以从事计算机、通信和其他电子设备制 造业为主的企业。企业注册资本2000万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析,合肥芯存半导体有限公司专利 信息11条。 金融界2025年8月16日消息,国家知识产权局信息显示,西安芯存半导体有限公司、合肥芯存半导体有 限公司、北京芯存集成电路有限公司、上海芯存志远半导体有限公司取得一项名为"占空比调整电路及 存储器"的专利,授权公告号CN119341528B,申请日期为2024年09月。 北京芯存集成电路有限公司,成立于2023年,位于北京市,是一家以从事软件和信息技术服务业为主的 企业。企业注册资本1000万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析,北京芯存集成电路有限公司专利信息8 条,此外企业还拥有行政许可1个。 上海芯存志远半导体有限公司,成立于2023年 ...
宏观政策发力显效 国民经济稳中有进
Xin Hua She· 2025-08-15 14:08
Economic Performance Overview - In July, China's national economy maintained a steady and progressive development trend, with continuous growth in production and demand, stable employment and prices, and significant achievements in high-quality development [2][3] - The industrial production and service sectors experienced rapid growth, with industrial added value increasing by 5.7% year-on-year and the service production index rising by 5.8% [2] - The total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 3.7% year-on-year, while fixed asset investment grew by 1.6% from January to July [2] Trade and Export Resilience - China's total goods import and export value increased by 6.7% year-on-year in July, with exports rising by 8%, indicating strong resilience and vitality in the face of a changing global trade environment [2][3] Employment and Price Stability - The urban unemployment rate remained stable at 5.2%, and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was flat year-on-year, with core CPI (excluding food and energy) rising by 0.8% [3] New Growth Drivers - High-tech manufacturing added value increased by 9.5% from January to July, with significant growth in integrated circuit manufacturing and smart product manufacturing [4] - The production of new energy products, such as electric vehicles and lithium-ion batteries, saw year-on-year increases of 17.1% and 29.4%, respectively [4] Support for Economic Stability - The implementation of proactive macro policies is expected to support stable economic performance in the second half of the year, with a focus on expanding market demand and enhancing new productive forces [6][7] - Retail sales of home appliances and communication equipment supported by consumption upgrades grew by 30.4% and 22.9% year-on-year, respectively [6] International Outlook - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) raised its growth forecast for China's economy by 0.8 percentage points, and several international investment banks upgraded their ratings on Chinese assets to "overweight" [7]
无印良品回应多地关店
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-08-15 10:25
2025.08.15 本文字数:919,阅读时长大约1.5分钟 据智通财经,MUJI无印良品在中国市场多地门店相继宣布闭店。 还有媒体报道,位于济南市中区振华商厦一层开业11年的MUJI无印良品门店将于8月31日闭店;长沙泊 富国际广场的MUJI无印良品门店8月底将正式闭店。今年以来,无印良品还在济南、武汉等地相继撤 据悉,MUJI无印良品官方表示,"个别的闭店只是MUJI基于经营效率进行的正常调整,面对部分商圈 人流下降的挑战,MUJI会对经营效益不佳的门店做出取舍。MUJI中国目前坚持每年开40家左右门店, 3月1日至今MUJI新开了15家店铺。" 有网友在社交媒体称,MUJI无印良品在北京的世茂工三店将终止营业。据网友晒出门店张贴的"闭店通 知"显示,闭店时间2025年8月31日,退换货服务请往MUJI北京世贸天阶店,"很遗憾通知大家,MUJI 世茂工三店即将关闭,由此给您造成的不便,敬请谅解。我们在这个城市还设有34家门店,诚意邀请您 到店选购。" 目前,店内当季商品普遍6到8折促销,还有闭店特惠,指定款服装折扣商品现有折扣基础上再享2件及 以上10%折扣。 有世茂工三店店员告诉媒体,这家店一开始很盈 ...
国家统计局:上半年最终消费支出对经济增长贡献率达到52%;1-7月份,全国网上零售额同比增长9.2%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-15 05:10
每经编辑|程鹏 今天(8月15日)上午,国务院新闻办召开新闻发布会,国家统计局公布了今年7月份经济数据。 7月份,全国规模以上工业增加值同比增长5.7%,全国服务业生产指数同比增长5.8%,社会消费品零售总额同比增长3.7%,国民经济保持稳中有进发展态 势,生产需求持续增长,就业物价总体稳定,新质生产力培育壮大,高质量发展取得新成效。 另外,8月15日,国家统计局新闻发言人付凌晖在发布会上表示,上半年最终消费支出对经济增长贡献率达到52%,比上年全年提升7.5个百分点。1-7月 份,货物进出口总额同比增长3.5%,货物周转量、旅客周转量均保持较快增长。随着全国统一大市场建设纵深推进,依法依规治理企业无序竞争,促进 核心CPI连续回升 1-7月全国网上零售额86835亿元 按消费类型分,7月份,商品零售额34276亿元,同比增长4.0%;餐饮收入4504亿元,增长1.1%。1—7月份,商品零售额252254亿元,增长4.9%;餐饮收 入31984亿元,增长3.8%。 同比增长9.2% 具体来看,工业生产较快增长,装备制造业和高技术制造业发展较好。7月份,全国规模以上工业增加值同比增长5.7%,环比增长0.38% ...
国家统计局:前7月全国固投同比增1.6%,房地产开发投资降12%
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-08-15 02:39
Group 1: Industrial Production - In July, the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increased by 5.7% year-on-year and 0.38% month-on-month [1] - The manufacturing sector grew by 6.2%, with equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing increasing by 8.4% and 9.3% respectively [1] - The profit of large-scale industrial enterprises from January to June was 34,365 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.8% [1] Group 2: Service Industry - In July, the service production index increased by 5.8% year-on-year, with significant growth in information transmission, finance, and business services [2] - The business activity index for the service industry was at 50.0%, indicating stable activity levels [2] - From January to July, the service production index grew by 5.9% year-on-year [2] Group 3: Market Sales - In July, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 38,780 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.7% [3] - Online retail sales amounted to 86,835 billion yuan, growing by 9.2% year-on-year, with physical goods online retail accounting for 24.9% of total retail sales [3] - The retail sales of household appliances and audio-visual equipment increased by 28.7% year-on-year [3] Group 4: Fixed Asset Investment - From January to July, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) was 288,229 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.6% [4] - Manufacturing investment grew by 6.2%, while real estate development investment decreased by 12.0% [4] - High-tech industries such as aerospace and information services saw significant investment growth of 33.9% and 32.8% respectively [4] Group 5: Trade and Exports - In July, the total import and export value reached 39,102 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.7% [5] - Exports grew by 8.0% year-on-year, while imports increased by 4.8% [5] - Private enterprises accounted for 57.1% of total imports and exports, with a growth rate of 7.4% [5] Group 6: Employment - The urban surveyed unemployment rate in July was 5.2%, showing a seasonal increase [6] - The average working hours for employees in enterprises was 48.5 hours per week [6] - The unemployment rate for local registered labor was 5.3%, while for migrant labor it was 5.1% [6] Group 7: Consumer Prices - In July, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) remained flat year-on-year, with a month-on-month increase of 0.4% [7] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.8% year-on-year, indicating a slight increase in inflationary pressure [7] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for industrial producers decreased by 3.6% year-on-year [7] Group 8: Overall Economic Outlook - The macroeconomic policies have shown effectiveness, maintaining a stable growth trend despite external challenges [8] - The focus remains on stabilizing employment, businesses, and market expectations while promoting domestic demand [8] - The government aims to implement policies thoroughly to ensure steady and healthy economic development [8]
国家统计局:7月份社会消费品零售总额同比增长3.7%
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-08-15 02:30
央视网消息:据国家统计局网站消息,7月份,社会消费品零售总额38780亿元,同比增长3.7%。其中,除汽车以外的消费品零售额34931亿元,增长4.3%。 1—7月份,社会消费品零售总额284238亿元,增长4.8%。其中,除汽车以外的消费品零售额257014亿元,增长5.3%。 按零售业态分,1—7月份,限额以上零售业单位中便利店、超市、百货店、专业店、品牌专卖店零售额同比分别增长7.0%、5.2%、1.1%、5.8%、1.9%。 1—7月份,全国网上零售额86835亿元,同比增长9.2%。其中,实物商品网上零售额70790亿元,增长6.3%,占社会消费品零售总额的比重为24.9%;在实物 商品网上零售额中,吃类、穿类、用类商品分别增长14.7%、1.7%、5.8%。 2025年7月份社会消费品零售总额主要数据 | | 7月 | | 1-7月 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指 标 | 地对岸 | 同比增长 | 绝对章 | 同比增长 | | | (177) | (%) | (亿元) | (%) | | 社会消费品零售点额 | 38780 | 3.7 | 28423 ...