每经AI快讯，12月29日，香港恒生指数收跌0.71%，恒生科技指数跌0.3%。黄金股下跌，万国黄金集团 跌超6%，中国黄金国际、紫金黄金国际、赤峰黄金、山东黄金均跌超5%。机器人概念股领涨，微创机 器人-B涨超25%，优必选涨超9%。 ...

盘面上，权重科技股午后普遍走低拖累大市下行，其中，阿里巴巴跌近2%，小米跌1.6%，快手、腾 讯、京东皆下跌；濠赌股跌幅较大，大摩称明年牌照费升至每月收益3.5%，美高梅中国大跌超17%表现 最差；金银价格大肆回落，现货钯金重挫12%，黄金股全线下跌，紫金黄金国际、山东黄金等多股跌超 5%；中资券商股、影视娱乐股、家电股、半导体股、保险股、内房股多数表现低迷。 另一方面，财政部明年继续安排资金支持消费品以旧换新，汽车股表现活跃，蔚来、小鹏、比亚迪涨幅 靠前，铜价持续创新高，铜业股成唯一强势的有色金属股，江西铜业股份收涨6.5%，内银股多数上 涨，农行、招行、建行、中行等权重皆有涨幅。(格隆汇) 港股三大指数午后持续走低均由涨转跌，且呈现高开低走的单边回落行情。截止收盘，恒生指数跌 0.71%26000点得而复失，国企指数跌0.26%，恒生科技指数跌0.3%盘初曾大涨至2.2%。 ...

今日市场震荡分化，沪指最终顽强收红，走出九连阳，创下年内新纪录。此前沪指今年以来的最长连阳 纪录是"8连阳"，共发生两次：一次发生在4月11日—22日，另一次在8月4日—13日。今日市场全天成交 2.1万亿，两市下跌个股超3300只。 值得注意的是，贵金属市场在创下历史新高后回吐涨幅，黄金跌破4500，白银跳水翻绿，现货钯金跌超 11%，内盘碳酸锂、铂主力合约跌停。受此影响，A股黄金股集体调整，山东黄金、紫金矿业跌超2%， 锂矿概念大幅走低，欣旺达跌超11%。 其他热点方面，商业航天概念热度不减，神剑股份走出8连板，中国卫星走出4连板，航天发展等多股涨 停。油气板块表现强势，洲际油气、和顺石油等股涨停；脑机接口概念表现活跃，人形机器人等概念盘 中走强。 从个股看，两市上涨1995家，下跌3332家，139家涨幅持平。两市共90股涨停，共26股跌停。 截至收盘，沪指涨0.04%报3965.28点，成交9038亿元；深成指跌0.49%报13537.10点，成交12355亿元。 创业板指下跌0.66%，报3222.61点。 资金动向 今日主力资金重点抢筹电池、光伏设备、工业金属等板块，主力净流入居前的个股包括阳光电 ...

Key Points - The article emphasizes the importance of systematic and practical strategies in investment analysis [2] - It discusses the favorable conditions for the spring market rally, including liquidity support and upcoming events that may influence market sentiment [8] - The article provides a detailed valuation comparison of various A-share indices, highlighting their current price-to-earnings (PE) and price-to-book (PB) ratios relative to historical percentiles [11][13] - It identifies specific industry sectors with high valuations, such as real estate and electronics, which are above the 85th percentile historically [11] - The article outlines investment themes for the upcoming year, including quantum technology, hydrogen energy, and brain-machine interfaces, indicating potential growth areas [16][18] - A strategic outlook for gold in 2026 is presented, focusing on the implications of the U.S. fiscal deficit and the trend of de-dollarization on gold prices [19]

Group 1 - Hong Kong gold stocks generally declined, with Zijin Mining International (02259.HK) down 5.41% to HKD 145.2 [1] - Shandong Gold (01787.HK) fell by 4.47% to HKD 35.5 [1] - China Gold International (02099.HK) decreased by 4.14% to HKD 155.2 [1] - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06693.HK) dropped 4.15% to HKD 30.52 [1]

Group 1 - The latest gold T+D price is 1012.50 CNY per gram, reflecting an increase of 1.92 CNY or 0.19% from the previous day [1] - The daily price range for gold T+D reached a high of 1017.00 CNY and a low of 1003.21 CNY, with the previous closing price at 1010.58 CNY and the opening price today at 1011.08 CNY [1] Group 2 - Multiple polls indicate that housing and living affordability have become core concerns for most Americans, particularly low-income groups, and have suddenly become a priority for politicians like Trump [2] - Federal Reserve officials acknowledge the difficulty in addressing the "K-shaped economy" disparity, with differing experiences reported by various income groups [2] - The best approach suggested is to restore the labor market and achieve higher quality growth, allowing job security and wages to gradually catch up [2] Group 3 - The Federal Reserve's tools are described as "blunt instruments," which struggle to precisely benefit specific groups and do not control long-term interest rates [3] - The cumulative interest rate cuts of 1.75 percentage points over the past two years aimed to stabilize employment, with hopes that overall economic improvement would follow [3] - To mitigate disparities, the Federal Reserve may only be able to prevent further deterioration in labor conditions, relying on other forces to drive employment and wage growth [3] Group 4 - The gold T+D price is currently at 1012.20 CNY per gram, showing a slight increase of 0.16%, with prices fluctuating between 1008.46 CNY and 1017.00 CNY [4] - The market is experiencing low volatility, with the Bollinger Bands narrowing and the MACD histogram flattening, indicating a balanced bullish and bearish sentiment [4] - International gold prices have stabilized at 4530 USD per ounce, providing solid support for domestic prices, while the dollar index has slightly decreased to 98.01, reducing upward momentum [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates a strong upward trend in precious metal prices, particularly gold and silver, driven by various economic factors [1][2][3][4][5] - Gold prices in London increased by 2.36% to $4449.40 per ounce, while the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) gold rose by 4.70% to ¥1016.30 per gram [1] - Silver prices saw a significant rise, with London spot silver up 8.11% to $69.74 per ounce and SHFE silver up 23.01% to ¥18319 per kilogram [1] - Palladium and platinum also experienced notable increases, with palladium rising 19.60% to $1837 per ounce and platinum up 24.46% to $2208 per ounce [1] Group 2 - The recent increase in gold and silver prices is attributed to expectations surrounding the potential appointment of a new Federal Reserve Chairman by President Trump, who advocates for interest rate cuts during strong economic performance [2] - The U.S. GDP annualized growth rate for Q3 reached 4.3%, exceeding expectations, with personal consumption expenditures also showing strong growth [3] - The ongoing geopolitical situation, particularly the Ukraine conflict, remains unresolved, which may influence market stability and investor sentiment [3] Group 3 - In the medium term, the combination of "Trump 2.0" policies and anticipated interest rate cuts is expected to provide strong support for gold prices, suggesting a favorable environment for investment in precious metals [4][5] - Central banks are expected to continue increasing their gold reserves, with China's central bank having added to its gold holdings for 13 consecutive months, reaching 74.12 million ounces by the end of November 2025 [5] - The report maintains a positive outlook on the precious metals sector, recommending a focus on specific gold mining companies for investment opportunities [6]

国泰海通晨报 国泰海通证券股份有限公司 研究所 [Table_Summary] 1、【宏观研究】：宽松预期、供给紧张、地缘风险等多方面因素共同推升金银铜等金属价格连续 创下新高，人民币汇率在企业结汇潮的推动下破 7。关注美联储主席最终提名的揭晓。 2、【策略研究】：站在岁末年初，中国股市有望走出关键一步，跨越和站稳重要关口。远望 2026 年，中国"转型牛"又见新峰。新兴科技是主线，周期消费看转型，继续看好大金融。 2025 年 12 月 29 日 大宗商品普遍上涨。其中，COMEX 铜上涨 6.7%，伦敦金现上涨 4.4%，南华商品指数上涨 4.0%，标 普-高盛商品指数上涨 1.6%，IPE 布油期货上涨 0.4%。 债市方面，10 年期美债收益率及中债总全价指数较前一周维持不变，国内 10Y 国债期货价格上涨 0.14%。 3、【金属新材料研究】有色金属：在供需紧平衡的状况下，供需平衡表很重要，但更需关注宏观 对金属价格走势的核心影响，货币政策、宏观预期、地缘博弈与供给扰动将成为胜负手。工业金 属是流动性+传统复苏+AI 需求的三击。 4、【军工研究】军工：上海证券交易所制定了《上海证券交易所发行上市审 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index achieved an eight-day winning streak, with a weekly increase of 1.88%, indicating a "steady rise" trend [2] - The Shenzhen Component Index and ChiNext Index performed better, with weekly gains of 3.55% and 3.90% respectively [2] - The Wande Commercial Aerospace Index surged by 8.36%, marking its largest weekly gain in the second half of the year [2] - The overall market sentiment showed improvement, with increased trading volumes, indicating a recovery in risk appetite [4] Equity Market - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets significantly increased to 1.95 trillion yuan, surpassing 2 trillion yuan on Friday [4] - Growth style stocks outperformed value style stocks, suggesting a shift in market preference [4] - The market is showing signs of breaking out of the consolidation phase, with a need to closely monitor changes in trading volume [4] Bond Market - The bond market showed a recovery, with both interest rate bonds and credit bonds strengthening, supported by a balanced funding environment [2][29] - The central bank's measures have maintained liquidity, alleviating initial concerns about market adjustments [5] - A cautious approach is recommended for long-term bonds due to supply pressures, with a focus on short to medium-term bond strategies [5] Commodity Market - COMEX gold prices continued to rise, reaching new highs, driven by a weaker dollar and geopolitical tensions [2] - The South China Commodity Index increased by 4.00%, with significant gains in precious metals and non-ferrous metals [33] - The outlook for gold remains positive in the medium to long term, supported by factors such as central bank purchases and limited supply capacity [6] Overseas Market - The U.S. stock market showed resilience, with the S&P 500 reaching new highs, supported by strong economic data [2] - The U.S. GDP for Q3 was reported at an annualized rate of 4.3%, exceeding expectations, which has led to a slight reduction in interest rate cut expectations [2] - Investors are encouraged to consider diversified overseas investments through QDII funds, balancing asset classes and regional exposures [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Western Gold has shown significant stock performance with a year-to-date increase of 144.56%, despite recent fluctuations in trading volume and net capital outflow [1] - As of December 29, the stock price of Western Gold is 27.88 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 25.399 billion CNY [1] - The company has been actively traded, appearing on the "Dragon and Tiger List" six times this year, with the most recent instance on October 20, where it recorded a net buy of -64.9727 million CNY [1] Group 2 - Western Gold, established on May 14, 2002, and listed on January 22, 2015, primarily engages in gold mining and smelting, with gold products accounting for 86.25% of its revenue [2] - For the period from January to September 2025, Western Gold reported a revenue of 10.404 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 106.21%, and a net profit of 296 million CNY, up 130.22% [2] - The company has distributed a total of 247 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 99.4096 million CNY distributed over the past three years [3] Group 3 - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Western Gold has increased to 79,400, a rise of 62.53% from the previous period [2] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and Qianhai Kaiyuan Gold and Silver Jewelry Mixed A, with significant increases in their holdings [3]