据中国工程机械工业协会统计，2025年5月，挖掘机主要制造企业共销售挖掘机18202台，同比增长2.12%。其中国内销量8392台，同比下降1.48%；出口量9810 台，同比增长5.42%。销售电动挖掘机36台。 2025年前5个月，挖掘机主要制造企业共销售挖掘机101716台，同比增长17.4%；其中国内销量57501台，同比增长25.7%；出口44215台，同比增长8.2%。 方正证券在研报中表示，今年1-4月以来，挖机内销同比增速经历了脉冲式增长后逐步回落，5月单月销量增速转负，但是外销在各月份间始终保持正增长，景 气更具有持续性。下半年外销或为增长引擎，从需求侧来看，以拉美、印度、非洲为代表的新兴市场需求相对具备更强韧性，"一带一路"国家的城镇化率快速发展 是需求的坚实支撑,国内龙头主机厂出海布局也在逐步加速。从供给侧来看，我国工程机械保有量已超过1200万台，且随着国内设备更新周期和环保政策的推动，具 有向东南亚等区域翻新出口的充足供给。 5月，挖掘机国内外销量增速均放缓，其中国内销量近四个月首次出现负增长，出口增速继4月高增长后出现明显放缓。 湘财证券表示，5月挖掘机销量低于预期，主要原因为年初 ...

当今全球正处于向低碳转型的重要历史时期，工程机械迎来了百年未有之大变革，呈 现出绿色转型和智能升级新趋势。 01 会议名称 2025新能源工程机械大会 2025 New Energy Construction Machinery Conference（NECMC 2025） 02 会议时间及地点 2025年6月17—19日 烟台金沙滩喜来登酒店 地址：山东省烟台市经济技术开发区海滨路88号 电话：0535-6119999 03 会议内容 国家有关主管部门和组织，全球工程机械领域的制造商、农业领域制造商、"三电"等核心零部 件供应商、终端用户、经销商以及绿色智慧施工整体解决方案提供商等，共同探讨全球绿色转型、 智能升级的共性关键技术及产业发展方向。 7.全球绿色智能土方机械标准体系及要求。 随着 " 双碳 " 目标的持续推进以及人工智能、大模型等新技术广泛应用，传统工程 机械正向动力源变革、智能化升级、数字化转型、网络化联接的方向发展。新能源工程 机械将促进产业转型升级、重塑市场格局、推动可持续发展。 2025" 新能源工程机械大会 " 以 "绿色转型 智能升级" 为主题， 将于 2025 年 6 月 17—1 ...

据中国工程机械工业协会统计，2025年5月，挖掘机主要制造企业共销售挖掘机18202台，同比增长2.12%。其中国内销量8392台，同比下降1.48%；出口量9810 台，同比增长5.42%。销售电动挖掘机36台。 2025年前5个月，装载机主要制造企业共销售各类装载机52755台，同比增长14.1%。其中国内销量29607台，同比增长25.4%；出口量23148台，同比增长 2.39%。 | | | 2025年5月 中国装载机市场概况 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 国内 | 대 ロ | 合计 | | 当期销量 | 6 037 | 4 498 | 10 535 | | 同比涨幅 | 16.7% | -3.31% | 7.24% | | 累计销量 | 29 607 | 23 148 | 52 755 | | 同比涨幅 | 25.4% | 2.39% | 14.1% | 挖掘机被视为反映国民经济的"晴雨表"，其景气度主要受下游房地产、基建、出口等需求变化以及自身设备更新周期等因素影响。今年以来，挖掘机销量回 升，释放出中国工程机械行业逐渐复苏、内需反弹的积极信号。 基建方面， ...

Core Viewpoint - The global engineering machinery industry is undergoing a significant transformation towards low-carbon and intelligent upgrades, driven by the "dual carbon" goals and the application of new technologies such as artificial intelligence and large models [1] Group 1: Conference Overview - The 2025 New Energy Construction Machinery Conference will be held from June 17 to 19, 2025, in Yantai, focusing on "Green Transformation and Intelligent Upgrade" [3] - The conference aims to gather leaders from the global engineering and agricultural machinery industries to discuss policies, innovative technologies, market demands, and development trends related to new energy and digitalization [3][4] Group 2: Key Topics and Participants - Key topics include the current status and trends of green intelligent products in engineering and agricultural machinery, energy transition directions, typical application scenarios of green intelligent machinery, and the adaptation of core components to electric development [4] - Notable participating companies include Shandong Port Group, SANY, XCMG, and others, focusing on the transformation paths for traditional component suppliers and solutions for electrifying existing equipment [4][5] Group 3: Conference Logistics - The conference will feature a detailed agenda including registration, keynote sessions, and networking events, with specific timings outlined for each day [6] - Registration fees are set at 1900 RMB per person if paid before May 30, 2025, with discounts for multiple attendees from the same organization [6][8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Buy" due to the long-term growth potential opened by autonomous mining trucks, showcasing both growth and dividend attributes [5][7]. Core Views - The global market for autonomous mining trucks is expected to see significant growth, with an estimated total shipment of approximately 2,100 units in 2024, and a projected increase to about 8,700 units by 2026. The average price for autonomous mining trucks is expected to be around 2.5 million yuan per unit in China and over 5.0 million yuan internationally [6][5]. - The company has achieved significant milestones in the autonomous vehicle sector, delivering over 700 autonomous vehicles and capturing more than half of the domestic market share for controlled chassis. The company is focused on R&D and production of controlled chassis technology to enhance compatibility with autonomous systems [5][6]. - The company has a strong dividend policy, with a projected dividend yield of 5.49% in 2024, and has consistently provided substantial cash dividends to investors over the years [5][7]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 6,145 million yuan in 2024 to 8,174 million yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.98% [8]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 887 million yuan in 2025 to 1,114 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a steady growth trajectory [8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 1.94 yuan in 2025 to 2.43 yuan in 2027, indicating a positive outlook for shareholder returns [8].

Group 1: Airline Industry - The airline industry is expected to experience a performance turning point due to favorable conditions in supply and demand, oil prices, and exchange rates [1] - Supply side factors include slow recovery of the supply chain, retirement of old aircraft, insufficient new orders, and impacts from US-China relations, leading to low growth in aircraft introduction over the next 2-3 years [1] - Forecasted industry supply growth (ASK) for 2025-2027 is 6.32%, 4.56%, and 2.26% respectively, while demand remains strong with high passenger load factors and stable ticket prices expected to increase year-on-year [1] Group 2: Construction Machinery Industry - The construction machinery industry is facing short-term pressure on domestic sales and operating rates, but the long-term outlook remains positive due to ongoing demand for equipment replacement and government support [2] - In the first quarter, there was high growth, but May saw a seasonal decline in excavator sales, which aligns with expectations [2] - Exports of construction machinery from January to April showed steady growth, with significant increases in exports to Africa and South America, and a positive performance in exports to Indonesia and Western Europe [2]

Market Overview - The A-share market saw most major indices rise last week, with the ChiNext Index experiencing the largest increase of 1.73%. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.68%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.04% [2] - As of June 10, the margin trading balance in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1,811.46 billion yuan, an increase of 12.36 billion yuan from the previous week. The financing balance was 1,799.24 billion yuan, up by 11.95 billion yuan, and the securities lending balance was 12.22 billion yuan, which increased by 0.42 billion yuan [2] Industry Insights - The electronic, computer, and machinery equipment sectors had significant net buying in margin trading, while the food and beverage, banking, and coal sectors saw less net buying [3] - The average working hours for major construction machinery products in May were 84.5 hours, a year-on-year decrease of 3.86% [5] - Excavator sales in May reached 18,200 units, a year-on-year increase of 2.12%, while loader sales were 10,500 units, up 7.24% [5] Company Announcements - Zhejiang Lino plans to acquire 100% of Xuzhou Chemical Machinery Co., Ltd. [6] - Laisai Laser has adjusted the expected operational date for its fundraising project to August 1, 2026 [6] Performance Review - From June 4 to June 10, the CSI 300 Index rose by 0.35%, while the machinery equipment sector increased by 0.73%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 0.38 percentage points [6] - The price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) for the machinery equipment sector as of June 10 was 26.18 times, with a valuation premium of 117.57% compared to the CSI 300 [8] Future Outlook - Cumulative excavator sales from January to May reached 101,700 units, a year-on-year increase of 17.40%, with domestic sales at 57,500 units, up 25.70% [8] - The report maintains a "positive" rating for the machinery equipment sector, emphasizing the potential for urban renewal initiatives to drive steady demand for construction machinery [8]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the context of a volatile bond market and a passive widening of credit spreads, investors should prioritize high - coupon assets for certain returns and prepare in advance for the spread compression market driven by the seasonal inflow of wealth management funds in July [1][5]. - The current core contradiction in the credit bond market is the co - existence of weakening allocation demand and a passive widening of spreads in a volatile environment. Investors should seize pricing deviation opportunities under the protection of coupon safety cushions [5]. - The volatile market pattern caused by the interplay of multiple factors will continue, providing tactical opportunities for layout during market adjustments [6]. - The coupon strategy is the optimal solution in a volatile market, and portfolios should be constructed in a stratified manner according to the characteristics of liabilities [7]. - Investors should "pre - position" for the seasonal spread compression market in July and seize structural opportunities in specific bond varieties [8]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog 3.1 Yield and Spread Overview 3.1.1 Yields and Changes of Each Tenor - Yields of various types of bonds at different tenors are presented, along with their weekly changes and historical percentiles. For example, the 0.5 - year Treasury yield is 1.41%, down 4.0bp from last week, with a historical percentile of 8.4% [14]. 3.1.2 Spreads and Changes of Each Tenor - Credit spreads of various types of bonds at different tenors are shown, including their weekly changes and historical percentiles. For instance, the 0.5 - year credit spread of public non - perpetual urban investment bonds is 25bp, up 2.1bp from last week, with a historical percentile of 12.7% [16]. 3.2 Yields and Spreads of Credit Bonds by Category (Hermite Algorithm) 3.2.1 Yields and Spreads of Urban Investment Bonds by Region - **Yields and Changes of Each Tenor**: Yields of public non - perpetual urban investment bonds in different provinces at key tenors, their weekly changes, and historical percentiles are provided. For example, the 0.5 - year yield of Anhui's public non - perpetual urban investment bonds is 1.77%, up 2.6bp from last week, with a historical percentile of 1.1% [19]. - **Spreads and Changes of Each Tenor**: Credit spreads of public non - perpetual urban investment bonds in different provinces at key tenors, their weekly changes, and historical percentiles are given. For example, the 0.5 - year credit spread of Anhui's public non - perpetual urban investment bonds is 30.41bp, up 4.6bp from last week, with a historical percentile of 7.2% [22]. - **Yields and Changes of Each Implied Rating**: Yields of public non - perpetual urban investment bonds in different provinces for each implied rating, their weekly changes, and historical percentiles are presented. For example, the AAA - rated yield of Anhui's public non - perpetual urban investment bonds is 1.80%, up 3.8bp from last week, with a historical percentile of 5.1% [26]. - **Spreads and Changes of Each Implied Rating**: Credit spreads of public non - perpetual urban investment bonds in different provinces for each implied rating, their weekly changes, and historical percentiles are shown. For example, the AAA - rated credit spread of Anhui's public non - perpetual urban investment bonds is 28.96bp, up 4.8bp from last week, with a historical percentile of 32.2% [31]. - **Yields and Changes of Each Administrative Level**: Yields of public non - perpetual urban investment bonds in different provinces at each administrative level, their weekly changes, and historical percentiles are provided. For example, the provincial - level yield of Anhui's public non - perpetual urban investment bonds is 1.80%, up 3.5bp from last week, with a historical percentile of 3.7% [35].

Key Insights - The report highlights the significant performance of high-volatility strategies, with a cumulative increase of over 27% year-to-date, indicating strong market recovery and strategy effectiveness [2][4] - The report emphasizes the strategic transformation of Huaxi Biological, a leading global hyaluronic acid supplier, which is expected to benefit from domestic consumption upgrades and the growing demand for life health products [7][10] - The mechanical industry shows a mixed performance, with a decline in domestic excavator sales but a positive export growth, suggesting a resilient long-term outlook supported by government initiatives [12][15][16] - The beverage sector, particularly beer companies, is exploring diversification into non-alcoholic beverages, which is seen as a crucial growth strategy for future revenue streams [18][22] Group 1: High-Volatility Strategies - The report details the performance of various strategies, with low-price enhancement, improved dual-low, and high-price high-elasticity strategies yielding returns of 1.5%, 2.7%, and 4.7% respectively during the last period [2][3] - Year-to-date performance for these strategies shows returns of 4.5%, 16.6%, and 27.3%, outperforming the benchmark [2][3] Group 2: Huaxi Biological - Huaxi Biological is positioned as a global leader in bioactive materials, focusing on synthetic biology technology and a comprehensive industry chain [7][10] - The company is expanding its product matrix to include various bioactive materials, enhancing its market presence in medical and nutritional products [8][9] Group 3: Mechanical Industry - In May, domestic excavator sales decreased by 1.48%, while exports grew by 5.4%, indicating a shift in market dynamics [12][14] - The report notes that the overall export of engineering machinery remains stable, with significant growth in exports to Africa and South America [14][16] Group 4: Beverage Sector - Domestic beer companies are actively expanding into beverage markets, with notable initiatives from brands like Yanjing and Qingdao Beer [18][19] - The report suggests that while beverage business contributions are currently low, they represent a vital growth avenue for beer companies in the long term [22]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Views of the Report - The company will focus on the R & D of automated line - controlled vehicles as its line - controlled vehicles have a competitive edge in the industry, and it will not engage in the intelligent driving system for now [25] - The market for autonomous mining trucks is driven by market forces, with the cost - effectiveness of electric vehicles becoming more prominent. The market demand and product iteration are mutually reinforcing [25][26] - The cost difference between autonomous and manned vehicles is mainly due to new energy and fuel vehicles, and the price - performance ratio of products will increase as costs decline [27] - The pure - electric solution will be more advantageous in the future, and the application of pure - electric products will accelerate with the improvement of charging and power - swapping facilities [27] - The company will vigorously expand overseas markets, with good opportunities in regions such as Mongolia, Central Asia, Southeast Asia, and South America [28] 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Research Basic Situation - The research object is Tongli Co., Ltd., belonging to the construction machinery industry. The reception time was June 9, 2025. The company's reception personnel were Chief Engineer Wang Yong and Board Secretary Yang Peng [16] 3.2 Detailed Research Institutions - The participating institutions include asset management companies such as Shanghai Huijin and Fusheng Asset, securities companies such as China Galaxy Securities and Orient Securities, insurance asset management companies such as China Life Asset, and other types of institutions [17][18][19] 3.3 Research Institution Proportion - Securities companies account for 37%, asset management companies 17%, fund management companies 24%, insurance asset management companies 7%, and other types and investment companies each account for 7% [21] 3.4 Main Content Information - **Regarding the intelligent driving system**: The intelligent driving system for mine unmanned vehicles is difficult to standardize, and the company will not engage in it for now, focusing on automated line - controlled vehicles [25] - **Market outlook for autonomous mining trucks**: Market - driven development, with rapid investment in charging and power - swapping facilities, and an increasing market demand for autonomous vehicles [25][26] - **Price difference between autonomous and manned wide - body vehicles**: The cost difference is mainly due to new energy and fuel vehicles, and the price - performance ratio will increase with cost reduction [27] - **Potential of pure - electric solutions**: With the improvement of charging and power - swapping facilities, pure - electric solutions will be more advantageous than range - extended solutions in the future [27] - **Overseas market**: The company will expand overseas markets, with slow progress in high - end markets such as Australia and North America, and good opportunities in other regions [28]