Core Viewpoint - The report from China Galaxy Securities indicates that while there is a short-term fluctuation in demand for construction machinery due to seasonal factors, the medium to long-term outlook remains positive driven by replacement demand, government special bonds, urban renewal initiatives, and support for rural housing improvements [1][4]. Group 1: Domestic Sales and Exports - In May, domestic sales of excavators decreased by 1.48%, while exports showed a positive growth of 5.4% [1]. - Total excavator sales from January to May reached 101,716 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 17.4%, with domestic sales up by 25.7% [1]. - In May, the sales of loaders reached 10,535 units, a year-on-year growth of 7.24%, with domestic sales increasing by 16.7% [1]. Group 2: Market Trends and Performance - The overall export value of China's construction machinery in April was $5.152 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.7% [3]. - From January to April, the total export value reached $18.07 billion, an increase of 9.0% year-on-year [3]. - Exports to Africa and South America maintained high growth rates, with increases of 45% and 15% respectively, while exports to Europe saw a significant decline of 15% [3]. Group 3: Equipment Types and Utilization Rates - The small excavators continue to show higher growth rates compared to medium and large excavators in domestic sales, although the gap narrowed in April [1]. - The average working hours for major construction machinery in May were 84.5 hours, a decrease of 3.86% year-on-year [2]. - The electrification rate for forklifts reached 77% in April, with domestic sales showing a slight decline [2].

Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery in the telecommunications sector, with a notable increase in revenue growth and a rise in 5G mobile phone shipments, indicating a strong market demand for telecommunications services and products [12][13][15] - The automotive industry shows robust performance, with May production and sales figures reaching 2.649 million and 2.686 million vehicles respectively, marking year-on-year growth of 11.6% and 11.2%. Notably, new energy vehicles accounted for 48.7% of the total market, with sales increasing by 36.9% [5][8] - The food and beverage sector is experiencing a mixed performance, with a slight increase in the overall index but significant drag from the liquor segment. Excluding liquor, the sector shows strong growth in other categories such as soft drinks and health products [17][18][19] - The machinery industry is witnessing a recovery, with significant improvements in revenue and profit margins, particularly in the shipbuilding and nuclear power equipment sectors, indicating a positive trend in industrial demand [27][28][30][31] Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,402.32 with a slight increase of 0.52%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.83% to 10,246.02, reflecting a stable domestic market environment [3] - The average price-to-earnings ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are at 13.86 and 36.79 respectively, suggesting a favorable long-term investment environment [9][10] International Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 30,772.79, down by 0.67%, while the Nikkei 225 saw a slight increase of 0.62% to 26,643.39, indicating mixed performance in international markets [4] Industry Analysis - The telecommunications industry index outperformed the broader market, rising by 5.53% in May, driven by increased demand for 5G services and products [12] - The food and beverage sector's valuation remains at historical lows, with a current average of 21.50 times earnings, suggesting potential for recovery as consumer demand stabilizes [18][19] - The machinery sector is experiencing a resurgence, with significant revenue growth reported in the first quarter of 2025, particularly in shipbuilding and nuclear equipment, indicating a strong recovery trajectory [27][30] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors such as telecommunications, automotive, and food and beverage for potential investment opportunities, given their current growth trajectories and market conditions [15][19][31]

卡特彼勒公司前任董事长兼首席执行官安博骏（D. James Umpleby III）已于5月1日转任董事会执行董事长。此前，安博骏已担任首 席执行官8年，并为公司服务近45年。已有28年卡特彼勒经验的前 首席运营官康益桥已于5月1日就任首席执行官并加入董事会。 自2017年1月1日出任首席执行官以来，安博骏主导制定并实施了 推动长期盈利性增长的新战略，为股东创造了巨大的价值。2024 年，卡特彼勒实现了创纪录的全年调整后每股盈利，这一指标在 安博骏任期内增长超过六倍。 安博骏表示： 我的全部职业生涯都在与卡特彼勒敬业的全球员工及代理商 团队共事，对此我心怀感恩。在庆祝公司成立100周年之 际，我们向先辈致敬，是他们奠定了服务客户的卓越文化。 我对继任首席执行官康益桥和整个核心高管团队充满信心。 他们将带领全球团队开启卡特彼勒第二个世纪的征程，继续 助力客户建设更加美好、更可持续的世界。 豪能够与卡特彼勒优秀的员工和代理商并肩工作，继续为我 们多元化业务中的客户提供支持：从灾后重建、全球基础设 施建设，到提供关键矿产和可靠的能源。我期待着带领这支 卓越团队，延续公司的卓越传承。 Debra L. Reed-Kl ...

Core Viewpoint - The global engineering machinery industry is undergoing a significant transformation towards low-carbon and intelligent upgrades, driven by the "dual carbon" goals and the application of new technologies such as artificial intelligence and large models [1]. Group 1: Conference Overview - The 2025 New Energy Construction Machinery Conference will be held from June 17 to 19, 2025, in Yantai, focusing on "Green Transformation and Intelligent Upgrade" [3]. - The conference aims to gather leaders from the global engineering and agricultural machinery industries to discuss policies, innovative technologies, market demands, and development trends related to new energy and digitalization [3][4]. Group 2: Conference Content - Key topics include the current status and trends of green intelligent products in engineering and agricultural machinery, energy transition directions, typical application scenarios of green intelligent machinery, and the adaptation of core components to electric development [4]. - Discussions will also cover the transformation paths for traditional component suppliers and solutions for electrifying existing equipment [4]. Group 3: Conference Organization - The conference is organized by the Tianjin Engineering Machinery Research Institute and hosted by Yantai Aidi Precision Machinery Co., Ltd., with support from the "Engineering Machinery" magazine [6]. - Registration details include a fee structure with early bird discounts and on-site payment options, emphasizing the need for timely registration by May 30, 2025 [6][8].

卡特彼勒公司前任董事长兼首席执行官安博骏（D. James Umpleby III）已于5月1日转任董事会执行董事长。此前，安博骏已担任首 席执行官8年，并为公司服务近45年。已有28年卡特彼勒经验的前 首席运营官康益桥已于5月1日就任首席执行官并加入董事会。 自2017年1月1日出任首席执行官以来，安博骏主导制定并实施了 推动长期盈利性增长的新战略，为股东创造了巨大的价值。2024 年，卡特彼勒实现了创纪录的全年调整后每股盈利，这一指标在 安博骏任期内增长超过六倍。 安博骏表示： 我的全部职业生涯都在与卡特彼勒敬业的全球员工及代理商 团队共事，对此我心怀感恩。在庆祝公司成立100周年之 际，我们向先辈致敬，是他们奠定了服务客户的卓越文化。 我对继任首席执行官康益桥和整个核心高管团队充满信心。 他们将带领全球团队开启卡特彼勒第二个世纪的征程，继续 助力客户建设更加美好、更可持续的世界。 图片 康益桥于1997年加入卡特彼勒，在公司多个部门任职并取得职业 发展。2013年，他升任能源和交通行业业务板块的首席财务官， 2017年调任卡特彼勒金融服务事业部副总裁。2018年，他还曾担 任卡特彼勒临时首席财务官，后相 ...

晨报 成材 成材：缺乏驱动 震荡调整 成 材：武秋婷 从业资格号：F3078638 投资咨询号：Z0018248 电话：010-62688555 从业资格号：F3038114 投资咨询号：Z0014834 电话：010-62688541 原材料： 冯艳成 从业资格号：F3059529 投资咨询号：Z0018932 电话：010-62688516 有色金属：于梦雪 从业资格号：F03127144 投资咨询号：Z0020161 电话：021-20857653 成文时间： 2025 年 6 月 11 日 逻辑：中国钢铁工业协会 9 日发布文章《维护产业链整体利益 共同 抵制"内卷式"竞争》。文章倡议：钢铁、汽车产业应凝聚共识、苦练内 功、加强自律、共破"内卷"，以科技创新推动产业链健康可持续发展， 以实际行动维护公平有序的市场秩序。6 月 2 日-6 月 8 日，10 个重点城 市新建商品房成交（签约）面积总计 129.67 万平方米，环比下降 26.9%， 同比下降 17.5%；二手房成交（签约）面积总计 185.19 万平方米，环比 下降 11.8%，同比下降 9.5%。中国工程机械工业协会：5 月销售各类挖掘 ...

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Positive" [5] - Specific companies recommended for "Increase" rating include Sany Heavy Industry, Zoomlion, Hengli Hydraulic, and CRRC [5] Core Viewpoints - In May 2025, excavator sales reached 18,202 units, a year-on-year increase of 2.12%, while loader sales were 10,535 units, up 7.24% year-on-year [13][14] - Cumulative excavator sales from January to May 2025 totaled 101,716 units, reflecting a 17.40% year-on-year growth, with domestic sales at 57,501 units, up 25.70% [4][13] - The average working hours for major construction machinery in May 2025 were 84.5 hours, a decrease of 3.86% year-on-year [14] - The construction machinery industry is currently in a renewal cycle, with urban renewal initiatives expected to steadily boost engineering demand amid a sluggish real estate sector [4][31] Industry Data - As of June 10, 2025, the Shenyin Wanguo Machinery Equipment industry P/E ratio (TTM, overall method, excluding negative values) was 26.18 times, with a valuation premium of 117.57% relative to the CSI 300 [3][23] - The average monthly operating rate for major construction machinery products in May 2025 was 59.5%, down 2.45 percentage points month-on-month [15][31] - The steel composite price index (CSPI) was at 90.31 as of June 6, 2025 [16] Company Announcements - Zhejiang Lino plans to acquire 100% equity of Xuzhou Chemical Machinery Co., Ltd. for 260 million yuan [20] - Laisai Laser has adjusted the expected operational date for its fundraising project to August 1, 2026 [21] Market Review - From June 4 to June 10, 2025, the CSI 300 index rose by 0.35%, while the Shenyin Wanguo Machinery Equipment industry increased by 0.73%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 0.38 percentage points [22] - Notable stock performances included Jiao Da Tie Fa with a 262.09% increase and Kai Le Co., Ltd. with a -40.62% decrease [28][30]

Group 1: Capital Expenditure Cycle Analysis - The capital expenditure (CAPEX) cycle is a dominant driver of industry cycles in China, influencing the relationship between CAPEX, price-to-book (PB) ratio, and return on equity (ROE) [4] - The CAPEX cycle is divided into three stages: Stage 1 (oversupply leads to declining ROE and poor market performance), Stage 2 (declining CAPEX results in rising free cash flow and market rebound), and Stage 3 (supply-side clearing leads to improved ROE and better market performance) [4][14][15] - The PB-ROE model indicates significant investment value in Stage 2 (low PB and improving ROE) and Stage 3 (reasonable PB and steadily rising ROE) [16] Group 2: Market and Industry Comparisons - In Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, the overall capital expenditure of A-share companies (excluding finance and real estate) is contracting, while free cash flow is improving [20] - The median CAPEX/depreciation ratio for secondary industries decreased from 1.35 to 1.29, while the median free cash flow/equity ratio increased from 4.4% to 4.8% [21] - The proportion of secondary industries with free cash flow greater than 0 has significantly increased, indicating a positive trend in cash flow [21][24] Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - The consumer sector shows overall CAPEX contraction and slight decline in free cash flow, with CAPEX levels below market averages and free cash flow above market averages [26] - The advanced manufacturing sector also experiences CAPEX contraction, while free cash flow shows slight improvement [4][26] - Eight industries within the consumer sector are highlighted as potential investment opportunities based on supply-side improvements [4][26]

Group 1 - The Fourth China-Africa Economic and Trade Expo will be held in Changsha from June 12 to 15, showcasing the achievements and potential of Yutang District's economic cooperation with Africa [1] - Xiangtan Steel Group is the largest production base for wide and thick plates globally, with a strong manufacturing level in various industries, including shipbuilding and engineering machinery [1] - Xiangtan Steel will promote special steel products used in shipbuilding, engineering machinery, and high-rise bridge construction at the expo [1] Group 2 - Xiangtan Electric Chemical Co., Ltd. is a leading producer of electrolytic manganese dioxide and other new energy battery materials, with products exported to over 20 countries [2] - The company will showcase various battery materials, including alkaline electrolytic manganese dioxide and nickel sulfate, targeting new energy power battery manufacturers [2] - The Xiangtan Central International Machinery Park will host a remanufacturing exhibition from June 13 to 15, featuring multiple local companies [2] Group 3 - Xiang Electric Group provides services for power, energy, mining, and other sectors, showcasing models of heavy equipment and smart energy solutions at the expo [3] - Xiangtan Danno Electronic Technology Co., Ltd. will present enamel kitchenware products, while Xiangtan Jiayuan Trading Co., Ltd. will display various types of tea exported to Europe and Africa [3] - The "Xinhua Zhai" brand will exhibit traditional pastries, contributing to the diverse offerings aimed at enhancing Yutang's foreign trade [3] - The event aims to help local companies expand into international markets and enhance brand influence, promoting high-quality regional economic development [3]

Investment Rating - The industry is rated positively, with expectations of overall returns exceeding the CSI 300 index by more than 5% in the next six months [11]. Core Insights - In May 2025, total sales of excavators increased by 2.12%, while total sales of loaders grew by 7.24%. The domestic sales of excavators decreased by 1.48%, but exports rose by 5.42% [8]. - For the first five months of 2025, excavator sales reached 101,716 units, marking a year-on-year growth of 17.4%, with domestic sales up by 25.7% [8]. - Loader sales for the same period totaled 52,755 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.1%, with domestic sales also up by 25.4% [8]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - On June 10, 2025, the CSI 300 index fell by 0.51%, while the machinery sector declined by 1.10%, ranking 25th among all primary industries. The lithium battery equipment sector saw the highest increase at 0.89%, while semiconductor equipment experienced the largest drop at 3.14% [4]. Sub-industry Ratings - The report highlights the performance of various sub-industries, noting that excavators and loaders are showing positive growth trends, particularly in sales volume and export figures [8]. Company Announcements - Several companies in the machinery sector are making strategic moves, such as establishing joint ventures and increasing shareholdings, indicating a proactive approach to market conditions [5].