Core Insights - The report indicates that employment data in the U.S. is expected to decline slightly, but this should not cause panic [3] - The U.S. is moving to lower the so-called reciprocal tariffs on Bangladeshi goods and provide new exemptions for textiles [3] - The price of memory chips has surged nearly 90% quarter-on-quarter, setting a historical record [3] - The Ministry of Commerce held a meeting with automotive companies to promote the expansion and quality improvement of automotive consumption [3] - The penetration rate of new energy in light commercial vehicles is expected to continue increasing by 2026 [3] Economic Data Summary - The Baltic Dry Index closed at 1923.00, down 0.67% [4] - The Nasdaq Index closed at 23238.67, up 0.90% [4] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 50135.87, up 0.04% [4] - The S&P 500 closed at 6964.82, up 0.47% [4] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4123.09, up 1.41% [4] - The Shenzhen Composite Index closed at 2700.22, up 1.91% [4] - The Hang Seng Index closed at 27027.16, up 1.76% [4]

记者丨胡慧茵 编辑丨李莹亮 2月10日，日韩股市再度高开，截至9:30，日股涨幅扩大，日经225指数涨超2%，再创历史新 高，软银集团大涨超10%。 韩国综合指数涨0.71%，权重股方面，现代汽车涨超2%。 日本众议院选举结果出炉，日元日债再度承压。 新华社2月9日消息，在8日举行的日本众议院选举中，由自民党和日本维新会组成的执政联盟 获得过半数议席。有市场分析指，这一结果为日本政府推行其经济议程减少障碍。 受选举结果影响，日元、日债遭到抛售，2月9日，日元和日债双双下挫。截至发稿，日元兑美 元录得1美元兑155.9日元，日元近日先跌后涨。但日元仍然保持弱势。日债则遭遇抛售，2月9 日，5年期日本国债收益率升至1.725%，为2001年有记录以来的最高水平；10年期国债收益率 日内上涨3.24%，录得2.296%；20年期国债收益率上涨1.31%，报3.176%。截至发稿，部分有 所回落，5年期收益率下跌3.0个基点，至1.710%，10 年期收益率跌至2.256%。 中国国际问题研究院亚太所特聘研究员项昊宇向21世纪经济报道记者分析称，这种"日元跌、 日股涨、日债抛"的表现在市场预料之中，主要源于日本执政联 ...

Core Viewpoint - Tata Motors plans to increase the prices of its passenger vehicles in response to rising commodity costs, which have significantly impacted its cost structure and necessitated a price revision [2][3]. Group 1: Cost Pressures - The prices of key raw materials, including precious metals and copper, have risen, leading to a cost increase of over 2% for Tata Motors [3]. - Other major Indian automakers, such as Maruti Suzuki, are also evaluating price adjustments due to similar cost pressures, indicating a broader industry challenge [3][5]. - Tata Motors previously raised prices in April 2025 for its commercial vehicle segment by up to 2% due to similar cost pressures [5]. Group 2: Market Position and Growth - India has become the third-largest automotive market globally, with sales expected to exceed 4.9 million units in 2024, marking a record for three consecutive years [4]. - Tata Motors holds a dominant position in the electric vehicle sector, with a market share of nearly 66%, and its Nexon EV is the first electric model in India to surpass cumulative sales of 100,000 units [4][6]. Group 3: Strategic Pricing and Brand Positioning - The price increase is part of Tata Motors' long-term strategy to upgrade its brand and is not merely a reaction to cost pressures [5][6]. - The company aims to transition from a low-cost brand to a more premium positioning, reflecting the changing consumer preferences in the Indian automotive market [6][7]. Group 4: Future Market Dynamics - The Indian automotive market is expected to continue growing, with projections indicating sales could approach 5 million units by 2025, although growth rates may slow due to rising prices and economic factors [7][8]. - The market is characterized by a dominance of fuel vehicles, but the rapid growth of electric vehicles is becoming a significant highlight [7][8]. - The competitive landscape features Maruti Suzuki as a market leader, while Tata Motors and Mahindra are emerging as key players in a "dual-hero" scenario [8].

Core Viewpoint - Stellantis, the world's fourth-largest automotive manufacturer, experienced a significant stock price drop due to strategic misjudgments in its electric vehicle (EV) business, leading to substantial financial losses [2][3][6]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Position - On February 6, Stellantis' stock fell by over 26% during trading, closing down 23.79%, marking its highest single-day drop ever [2]. - The company's shares had already been under pressure, with a 33% decline in 2024 and an 18% drop in 2025, followed by a 12% decrease in January 2026 [2]. - Stellantis sold 5.417 million vehicles in 2025, a 9% increase year-on-year, but still lagged behind Toyota, Volkswagen, and Hyundai, maintaining its position as the fourth-largest automotive group globally [3][8]. Group 2: Financial Losses and Strategic Adjustments - Stellantis anticipates a net loss of €19 billion to €21 billion (approximately ¥155 billion to ¥172 billion) in the second half of 2025, with an annual operating profit margin projected to be in the low single digits [6]. - The company plans to suspend its 2026 dividend and raise up to €5 billion through hybrid bond issuance to support its balance sheet [6]. - Stellantis announced a €22 billion (approximately ¥180 billion) charge related to adjustments in its EV strategy, significantly exceeding analyst expectations [6][7]. Group 3: Changes in Electric Vehicle Strategy - The majority of the write-downs (€14.7 billion) are allocated to adjusting product plans to align with customer preferences and new U.S. emission regulations [6][7]. - Stellantis is exiting its joint venture with LG Energy Solution in Canada, where LG will acquire Stellantis' 49% stake [9]. - The company is discontinuing several electric vehicle models, including the RAM 1500 electric pickup in the U.S. and delaying the Alfa Romeo EV project in Europe, contrasting sharply with previous aggressive targets set by former CEO Carlos Tavares [9].

责任编辑：栎树 2月10日，雷军在微博发文称："前段时间，一辆 YU7 行驶在美国加州的高速公路上，挂着当地的测试 车牌。很多人问我，小米是不是准备进入美国市场？我回答一下：我们目前暂时没有进入美国市场的计 划。我估计，这辆 YU7 是美国同行或者供应商购买的对标车。" 汽车频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> ...

Core Viewpoint - The performance of the Zhuhai-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Theme Index and its related ETF reflects the overall performance of companies benefiting from the development of the Greater Bay Area, with notable movements in specific constituent stocks [1][2]. Group 1: Index Performance - As of February 10, 2026, the Zhuhai-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Theme Index (931000) increased by 0.02%, with notable gains from stocks such as Zhaochi Co. (+9.96%) and Mingyang Smart Energy (+1.56%) [1]. - The Greater Bay Area ETF (512970) showed a mixed performance, with a recent price of 1.52 yuan and a cumulative increase of 2.91% over the past week as of February 9, 2026 [1]. Group 2: Liquidity and Trading Data - The trading volume for the Greater Bay Area ETF was reported at 0.00 yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 711,700 yuan over the past month [1]. - The Sharpe ratio for the Greater Bay Area ETF over the past year was 1.41, indicating a favorable risk-adjusted return [1]. Group 3: Drawdown and Fees - The maximum drawdown for the Greater Bay Area ETF year-to-date was 5.52%, with a relative benchmark drawdown of 0.02% [1]. - The management fee for the Greater Bay Area ETF is set at 0.15%, while the custody fee is 0.05% [1]. Group 4: Index Composition - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the Zhuhai-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Theme Index accounted for 44.55% of the index, with China Ping An, Luxshare Precision, and BYD among the leading constituents [2][3]. - The index includes a maximum of 50 Hong Kong market securities, 300 companies from the Shanghai-Hong Kong-Shenzhen market, and 100 mainland market securities, all selected based on their alignment with the Greater Bay Area development theme [2].

| | 申银万国期货研究所 沈击莽 (从业编号F03148029 交易咨询号Z0022842) | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | shenyb@sywggh.com.cn 021-50582113 | | | | | | | | | 11.0 18 | | | | | | | | | | 1月 | 5月 | 9 H | 1月 | 5月 | 9月 | | | 前1日收盘价 | 1393. 5 | 1147.0 | 1222.5 | 1863. 5 | 1703.5 | 1774.0 | | | 前2日收盘价 | 1390. 5 | 1138.5 | 1217.5 | 1860. 0 | 1698.5 | 1769.0 | | Eli | 浅跌 | 3.0 | 8.5 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 5.0 | | स्त | 煮跌幅 | 0. 22% | 0. 75% | 0. 41% | 0. 19% | 0. 29% | 0. 28% | | 10 | 成交堂 | 1668 | 798141 | 3 ...

Group 1 - The A-share ETF market is experiencing a shift, with traditional broad-based ETFs seeing outflows while high-growth sector ETFs in chemicals, telecommunications, and non-ferrous metals are attracting inflows, indicating a focus on AI, price increase chains, and overseas expansion as key investment themes [1] - The National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund (National Big Fund) has been reducing its holdings in several semiconductor companies, which is viewed as a normal investment exit rather than a change in long-term strategy [1] - The demand for AI is driving a price surge in the components industry, particularly for multi-layer ceramic capacitors (MLCC), with prices in South Korea rising nearly 20% and expectations for continued growth [3] Group 2 - The dye industry is experiencing a price increase trend, with companies like Fulei Ant announcing price adjustments for their products due to rising raw material costs [4] - The trend of private equity firms expanding internationally is evident, with over 130 mainland private equity managers holding Hong Kong licenses, reflecting a growing interest from global investors in Chinese assets [2] - The U.S. Department of Commerce has announced final anti-dumping and countervailing duties on erythritol products from China, with specific rates for different companies [8] Group 3 - Playboy has signed an agreement to sell 50% of its Chinese business to UTG Group for a total of $122 million, with cash payments structured over several years [5] - Waymo has acknowledged that its autonomous driving technology relies heavily on remote drivers, particularly from overseas, highlighting the limitations of current automation technologies [6] - Jinhua Bank has been fined 3.7 million yuan due to management failures and improper loan practices, indicating regulatory scrutiny in the banking sector [6] Group 4 - Huayi Brothers' major shareholder is facing a judicial auction of 70 million shares, which could impact the company's control structure [9] - ST Yedao has announced potential delisting risks due to projected financial losses, emphasizing the challenges faced by companies in maintaining compliance with listing requirements [10] - The U.S. stock market indices have collectively risen, driven by technology stocks, with significant gains from major players like Microsoft and Nvidia, reflecting strong investor sentiment in the tech sector [11]

二，炉边漫谈 毫无疑问，上周五美国财政部长对于美联储降息缩表的一番解释，大大缓解了市场的焦虑，而这也是今天全球股市暴涨的原因所在，那么这段话究竟是什么 意思呢？ 先说说「美联储的定心丸」：别慌，不会急着缩表 一，今日要点 今天沪指上演红周一，蛇年股市还有最后四个交易日，是否就此开启春节红包行情呢？ 最近市场不是揪着美联储换主席的事儿焦虑嘛？担心沃什上台后会不会「政策急转弯」、急着缩表抽流动性。结果美国财长贝森特出来「灭火」了：就算沃 什当主席（这家伙之前还批评过美联储买债券呢），也不会马上动手缩表；而且沃什会很独立，美联储可能得花一整年才会决定资产负债表的事儿。 其实市场怕的就是「突然收紧」——毕竟缩表意味着流动性变少，资金成本会涨。贝森特这话本质是安抚情绪，但说到底，美联储真要怎么做，还是得看资 金怎么解读：要是资金觉得「缩表节奏慢」，就敢放心进场；要是觉得「口说无凭」，照样会用脚投票。 再聊聊「特斯拉的光伏野心」：中国产业链要吃肉了 特斯拉又搞大动作——要扩大太阳能电池制造，三年目标冲100吉瓦！更关键的是：全球光伏产业链中国占绝对优势，马斯克就算想搞「太空光伏」（航 天、太空算力的能源核心），也绕不开中 ...

Group 1 - The core finding of the survey indicates that German SMEs are avoiding the US market due to the impact of US tariffs and uncertainty regarding US government policies [1] - 12% of respondents reported direct impacts from US tariffs, while 44% experienced indirect effects, with the metal, automotive, and mechanical engineering sectors being the most affected [1] - Nearly 25% of respondents in the affected sectors indicated direct impacts from US tariffs, and 61% reported indirect impacts through suppliers [1] Group 2 - Approximately one-quarter of SMEs expressed concerns about planning uncertainties due to fluctuating US policies, with 33% of companies earning €50 million or more particularly affected [1] - The willingness of German SMEs to exit the US market and refocus on domestic markets has increased, with only 9% planning to expand in the US, a decrease of 3% from the spring 2024 survey [1] - 18% of companies expect the role of the US market to diminish, an increase of 9% compared to the spring 2024 survey, while over half of the German companies plan to shift their business focus back to the domestic market [1]