据万得数据（下同），2025 年规上工业企业营业收入同比增长 1.1%，较前值回落 0.5 个点。 2022-2025 年营业收入年度同比分别为 5.9%、1.1%、2.1%、1.1%。 [Table_Page] 宏观经济研究报告 2026 年 1 月 27 日 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 广发宏观 同比转正，新旧分化：2025 年工业企业利润数据点评 [Tabl e_Author] 分析师： 郭磊 分析师： 王丹 SAC 执证号：S0260516070002 SFC CE.no: BNY419 SAC 执证号：S0260521040001 021-38003572 guolei@gf.com.cn bjwangdan@gf.com.cn 请注意，王丹并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要： ⚫ 2025 年规上工业企业营业收入同比增长 1.1%，略低于 2024 年的 2.1%，持平于 2023 年，营收同比连续 3 年 在 1%-3%的低位区间内徘徊。边际变化看，12 月单月营收同比下降 3.2%，连续 3 个月同比 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 中国经济丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 企业利润"开门红"在望 ——12 月工业企业利润点评 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 总的来看，年末外需走强带动下，工业企业利润增长动能不弱。2026 年 1 月，在春节错位下， 出口的量仍有望维持较好增长，领先出口数据的 Vizion 订舱量同比增速明显回升。外需承托下， 企业利润增长并无近忧，但 2 月出口面临高基数后，增长动能仍待察。内需方面，政策发力推 动投资止跌回稳的信号在逐步释放，在服务消费支持政策尚未有明确框架的前提下，增量政策 更多集中在企业投资领域，短期思路或优先推动投资止跌回稳。在内需和外需双重发力下，一 季度有望实现企业利润的"开门红"。 [Table_Author] 于博 SAC：S0490520090001 SFC：BUX667 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 企业利润"开门红 2] "在望 《眼前的税收，远方的通胀 • ——宏观周脉"博"系列 2》2026-01-18 ——12 月工业企业利润点评 [Table_Sum ...

Market Performance - Emerging markets saw a narrowing increase of 0.9%, while developed markets declined by 0.6%, with the MSCI Global index down 0.4%[9] - The Japanese 10Y government bond yield rose by 7.1 basis points, while the French yield saw the largest decline of 2.3 basis points[9] - COMEX silver and gold prices increased by 14.5% and 8% respectively, indicating strong performance in precious metals[9] Investor Sentiment - Trading volume in the A-share and Hong Kong markets decreased, with the Hang Seng Index trading volume down to 143 billion shares and $639 billion[21] - The short-selling ratio in Hong Kong increased to 13.1%, indicating a slight rise in bearish sentiment among investors[21] Earnings Expectations - The earnings forecast for the Hang Seng Index for 2025 was revised down from 2069 to 2065, while the S&P 500's forecast was adjusted up from 273 to 274[69] - The financial sector in Hong Kong saw the largest upward revision in earnings expectations, while the consumer staples sector experienced the most significant downward adjustment[69] Economic Outlook - The U.S. economic surprise index rose, reflecting a potential recovery, while the European index declined amid trade tensions[69] - Market expectations indicate that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut interest rates in January, with a projected average of 1.8 rate cuts for 2026[52] Capital Flows - Recent capital inflows into the Hong Kong market totaled HKD 155 billion, with stable foreign capital contributing HKD 184 billion[64] - The overall liquidity in the U.S. is expected to remain stable, with the SOFR-OIS spread widening, indicating a slight increase in liquidity risk[52]

滨海投资(02886)发布公告，于2026年1月27日该公司斥资9120港元回购8000股股份，回购价格为每股 1.14港元。 ...

智通财经APP讯，滨海投资(02886)发布公告，于2026年1月27日该公司斥资9120港元回购8000股股份， 回购价格为每股1.14港元。 ...

宏观经济 | 证券研究报告 — 总量点评 2026 年 1 月 27 日 风险提示：海外衰退风险；地缘关系的不确定性。 相关研究报告 2025 年工企利润数据点评 期待 2026 年初投资"实物工作量" 价格端对工业企业利润的拖累仍存。制造业对工业企业盈利的整体带动作用 延续凸显。期待 2026 年初投资"实物工作量"。 国家统计局网站 1 月 27 日信息显示，2025 年 1-12 月（下文简称"1-12 月"）全国规模以上工业企业（以下简称为"工业企业"）实现利润总 额 73982.0 亿元，同比增长 0.6%，增速较 1-11 月加快 0.5 个百分点； 2025 年 12 月（下文简称"12 月"），工业企业利润同比增长 5.3%，增 速较 11 月明显加快 18.4 个百分点。 营业收入、成本方面，1-12 月工业企业营业收入同比增长 1.1%，增幅较 1-11 月收窄 0.5 个百分点，每百元资产实现营业收入 75.9 元，较 1-11 月 增加 1.5 元。1-12 月工业企业营业成本同比增长 1.3%，增幅较 1-11 月收 窄 0.5 个百分点。盈利能力方面，1-12 月规模以上工业企业营 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market continues to experience fluctuations, with a notable divergence in popular sectors under the "cooling" expectations, leading to a pullback in cyclical and dividend sectors [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 26, the CSI Dividend Index has a 40-day return difference of -8.89% compared to the Wind All A Index, indicating significant underperformance [1] - The latest dividend yield of the CSI Dividend Index is 5.06%, while the yield of the 10-year government bond is 1.82%, highlighting the relative value of high dividend configurations [1][14] Group 2: Banking Sector Insights - Eight banks, including China Merchants Bank and Shanghai Pudong Development Bank, reported 2025 performance forecasts, with seven showing growth in both operating income and net profit attributable to shareholders, indicating a stable industry development [1] - China Merchants Bank achieved an operating income of 337.5 billion yuan, remaining stable year-on-year, and a net profit of 150.2 billion yuan, reflecting a 1.2% increase [1] Group 3: Investment Strategies - Long-term funds, represented by insurance capital, are increasingly investing in high-dividend assets, particularly in the banking and public utility sectors, due to the scarcity of high-yield assets in a low-interest-rate environment [2][21] - The CSI Dividend ETF (515080) tracks high-dividend stocks, reflecting the overall performance of the A-share market's high-dividend stocks [2][6] Group 4: Future Outlook - The insurance capital's stake acquisitions reached a near 10-year high in 2025, driven by the low-interest-rate environment and the need for stable high-dividend assets [2][21] - The regulatory framework is encouraging long-term capital to enter the market, which may provide stability and mitigate concerns over interest rate differentials [22]

1119家公司公布了全年业绩预告，业绩预增公司有345家，占比30.83%。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，截至1月27日，已经有1119家公司公布了2025年度业绩预告。业绩预告类型 显示，预增公司345家、预盈104家，合计报喜公司比例为40.13%；业绩预亏、预降公司分别有363家、 143家。 | | 能 | | | | | 备 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002636 | 金安国 | 2026.01.22 | 763.47 | 26.36 | 57.75 | 电子 | | | 纪 | | | | | | | 300435 | 中泰股 | 2026.01.06 | 677.22 | 33.58 | 51.13 | 公用事 | | | 份 | | | | | 业 | | 003035 | 南网能 | 2026.01.20 | 667.73 | 5.93 | 29.48 | 公用事 | | | 源 | | | | | 业 | | 603086 | 先达股 | 2026.01.27 | 660.38 | 9.00 | 9.49 | 基础化 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The market sentiment is stable with high price-volume consistency, indicating a sideways trend in the market [1] Group 1: Market Sentiment Indicators - The market sentiment indicator value as of January 23 is 2.35, a slight increase from 2.25 the previous week, indicating a neutral sentiment [3] - Key indicators such as the proportion of transactions in the Sci-Tech 50 and inter-industry trading volatility have shown signs of recovery, suggesting a marginal improvement in market risk appetite [6][15][17] - The price-volume consistency indicator remains high, reflecting a strong correlation between market attention and stock price movements, indicating active market sentiment [9] - The financing balance ratio has shown a slight upward trend, indicating that leveraged funds are maintaining a high level of sentiment, suggesting overall market risk appetite remains positive [22] Group 2: Industry Trends and Performance - The scoring model indicates that non-ferrous metals, communication, and defense industries are leading in trend scores, with non-ferrous metals achieving a short-term score of 100.00, the highest among industries [30][31] - The average industry congestion level is highest in utilities, computers, media, banks, and oil and petrochemicals, while the lowest is in environmental protection, textiles, and light manufacturing [33] - The correlation between industry congestion and weekly price changes is negligible, indicating that high congestion sectors like oil and petrochemicals are experiencing significant price increases, while sectors with low congestion are lagging [35] Group 3: Technical Indicators - The RSI indicator has shown a decline, suggesting a decrease in short-term upward momentum and an increase in selling pressure, indicating a potential weakening of market sentiment [25][37] - The model indicates that small-cap and growth styles are currently favored, although there are signs of weakening in the short-term signals for these styles [38]

大众公用（600635）(01635)发布公告，上海大众公用事业(集团)股份有限公司2024年面向专业机构投资 者公开发行公司债券(第一期)(本期债券)将于2026年02月02日付息。本期债券简称"24公用01"，本期债 券票面利率(计息年利率)为2.85%，每手本期债券面值为1000元，派发利息为28.50元(含税)。 ...