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美股盘前要点 | 特朗普预计1月官宣新任美联储主席,Meta斥数十亿美元收购Manus
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-30 12:33
1. 美国三大股指期货涨跌不一,纳指期货跌0.03%,标普500指数期货涨0.01%,道指期货跌0.01%。 8. 消息称台积电3nm计划提前一年落地美国,防止对手抢占先机。 9. 诺和诺德及礼来分别大幅下调减肥药Wegovy及Mounjaro在中国售价。 10. 波音获86亿美元F-15战机合约,涉及美国对以色列军售。 11. 花旗董事会批准出售俄罗斯业务AO Citibank,预计将录得税前亏损12亿美元。 2. 欧股主要指数齐涨,德国DAX指数涨0.44%,英国富时100指数涨0.39%,法国CAC指数涨0.44%,欧 洲斯托克50指数涨0.7%。 3. 特朗普:考虑起诉鲍威尔,还可能炒了他,预计明年1月宣布新任美联储主席人选。 4. 据CME"美联储观察":美联储1月降息25个基点概率为16.1%,利率不变概率为83.9%。 5. 国际消费电子展(CES)将于2026年1月6日至9日在美国拉斯维加斯举行,英伟达、苹果、Meta等科技 巨头均参展。 6. Meta斥资数十亿美元收购Manus,Manus创始人肖弘将出任Meta副总裁。 7. 马斯克与内塔尼亚胡讨论AI和自动驾驶合作,将于明年3月访问以色 ...
大家可以来投下票推测理想能否完成2025年4000超充站目标
理想TOP2· 2025-12-30 12:15
截至2025年12月30日20:10,理想超充站数量为3835,离4000差165。 2024年12月31日,理想单日新增136座,从1591到1727,其中2024年12月31日20:33时为1681。 2024年10月31日 理想汽车充电网络副总裁孙广敏表示:今年的目标依然是 2,000 站,我们制 定的目标是是高速 700 站,城市 1,300 站。这其中,我们对高速的 700 站非常有信心完成,不 过城市场站的难度就比较大了。 我们建设一个站点需要分四个步骤,定点,合同签署,工程进场 和验收上线。目前来看,理想确定的超充站项目已经超过了 2,000 站,有大量的站点都在做进场 准备以及施工。" 2024年10月31日 理想汽车整车电动产品负责人 唐华寅 微博表示2024年2000站目标不变。 2024年10月31日理想超充站数量为1000站。 2024年12月28日, 理想汽车整车电动产品负责人 唐华寅 微博表示: 理想超充站目标调整为年 底1600,25Q1底前2000。 2025年3月28日,理想超充破2000站。 2025年6月19日,理想超充破2500站。 2025年7月29日理想超充站破30 ...
中国用美国技术砸穿能源格局!全球80%太阳能板“中国造”背后藏着怎样的阳谋?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-30 11:49
Core Insights - The article discusses China's dominance in the solar energy sector, producing 80% of the world's solar panels, and highlights the implications of this shift in the global energy landscape [1][3][11] Industry Overview - The U.S. initially pioneered solar technology, but China has become the "super factory" for solar cells, producing 70% of wind turbines, 70% of lithium batteries, and 80% of solar panels globally [3][5] - The cost of solar energy has dropped below that of fossil fuels, making it the cheapest energy source in history, driven by China's complete manufacturing supply chain and continuous technological advancements [3][5] Strategic Choices - The U.S. energy strategy under Trump focused on fossil fuels, contrasting sharply with global trends towards renewable energy, leading to a significant strategic gap between the U.S. and China [5][11] - China's renewable energy export revenue has surpassed that of U.S. fossil fuel exports, with a growth rate that far exceeds that of the latter [5][11] Competitive Dynamics - China's control over the solar supply chain is evident, with 70% of polysilicon production, 96% of silicon wafer production, and 76% of module production, making it difficult for other countries to compete [7] - The efficiency of Chinese solar modules improves by 0.5% annually, while costs decrease by 10% each year, creating a significant competitive advantage [7] Energy Revolution - The transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy represents a fundamental shift in energy sourcing, with renewable energy becoming an economic necessity rather than a luxury [9][11] - The power dynamics in energy are shifting from traditional oil companies to nations that master renewable energy technologies, with China rapidly evolving from a learner to a leader in this field [9][11] Conclusion - The recognition of renewable energy's rise as a breakthrough by "Science" magazine underscores the strategic differences between China and the U.S., with China focusing on future technologies while the U.S. clings to past energy sources [11][12]
蔚来能源|写入《2025 汽车行业影响力年鉴》
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-12-30 11:23
(原标题:蔚来能源|写入《2025 汽车行业影响力年鉴》) 在"十四五"规划收官之际,中国汽车产业正在进入新的发展阶段。经济观察报第十九届中国汽车年会暨 《2025汽车行业影响力年鉴》,基于公开数据、市场表现与行业共识,对年度内在技术路径与市场格局 层面产生实际影响的"明亮因子"进行系统梳理。 在汽车产业迈向全面电动化转型的关键阶段,能源服务的创新与布局,已成为衡量企业长期竞争力与用 户体验的重要标尺。蔚来能源 以前瞻的战略眼光、扎实的网络建设、开放的生态合作以及持续演进的 商业模式,重塑电动汽车用户的补能体验,开辟出一条兼具成长性、行业引领性与社会价值的新赛道, 成为2025年备受关注的投资价值标杆。 秉持"让加电比加油更方便"的愿景,蔚来能源累计投入约180亿元,系统构建起"可充、可换、可升 级"的全场景能源服务体系。截至2025年12月,其已在全国布局超过8500座充换电站,形成覆盖"9纵11 横16大城市群"的高速换电网络,1000余座高速换电站联通全国550座城市。在部分基础设施相对薄弱、 但出行需求旺盛的区域,蔚来布局了80余条加电风景线,并向全行业电动车用户开放,助力低碳出行。 2025年,蔚来 ...
理想业绩大下滑,纯电转型阻力重重
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-30 11:04
Core Viewpoint - Li Auto reported a net loss of RMB 6.25 billion in Q3 2025, marking a shift from profit to loss after 11 consecutive profitable quarters, primarily due to the recall of 11,400 units of the Li MEGA model [1][16]. Financial Performance - Vehicle sales revenue for Q3 2025 was RMB 25.9 billion (USD 3.6 billion), a decrease of 37.4% compared to RMB 41.3 billion in Q3 2024 [2][16]. - Total deliveries amounted to 93,211 units, down 39.0% year-on-year [2][16]. - Total revenue was RMB 27.4 billion (USD 3.8 billion), a decline of 36.2% from RMB 42.9 billion in Q3 2024 and a 9.5% decrease from RMB 30.2 billion in Q2 2025 [2][16]. - The net loss for the quarter was RMB 6.244 billion (USD 877 million) [2][16]. Market Outlook - For Q4 2025, Li Auto anticipates a continued decline, with expected vehicle deliveries between 100,000 and 110,000 units, representing a year-on-year decrease of 30.7% to 37.0% [4][18]. - Revenue for Q4 2025 is projected to be RMB 26.5 billion, reflecting a 40% year-on-year decline [13][25]. Competitive Landscape - The competition in the new energy vehicle market is intensifying, with price wars becoming more prevalent, putting pressure on Li Auto from various competitors [6][19]. - In the extended-range vehicle market, brands like AITO and Deep Blue are competing aggressively, while in the pure electric segment, Tesla and NIO have established significant advantages in technology, brand, and market share [6][19]. - Li Auto needs to accelerate the delivery and technological implementation of its pure electric models while balancing investments in both extended-range and pure electric strategies [6][19]. Production Challenges - New electric models i6 and i8 have received positive market feedback with over 100,000 orders, but supply chain challenges have limited their delivery to only 18% of total deliveries in Q3 [6][19]. - Li Auto is working to enhance production capacity by introducing a dual-supplier system with CATL and Sunwoda, aiming to increase the monthly production capacity of the i6 to 20,000 units by early 2026 [6][19]. New Business Ventures - In addition to its core automotive business, Li Auto has initiated new ventures, including the establishment of "Space Robotics" and "Wearable Robotics" departments, and launched its first AI glasses, Livis, priced from RMB 1,999 [7][21]. - However, the market response to these new products has been lukewarm, with significant competition from established brands like Xiaomi and Huawei in the AI glasses market [9][22]. Consumer Base - Despite declining sales, Li Auto's app user engagement remains high, indicating a stable consumer base that could be crucial for the company's recovery [10][22].
2025汽车行业年鉴 | 新技术篇:故事是开局,商业化才是终点
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-12-30 11:01
Group 1: Industry Overview - The Chinese automotive industry is at a pivotal moment, with significant advancements in technology expected by 2025, including solid-state batteries and new charging methods [2] - The competition among companies is shifting from storytelling to the robustness of their technological systems, with a focus on market scale, cost control, and user reputation [2] Group 2: Battery Technology - By 2025, solid-state batteries are on the verge of mass production, while semi-solid batteries are already being used in high-end models, with brands like NIO and Zhiji promoting these technologies [3] - Traditional liquid battery manufacturers are adopting a dual strategy, investing heavily in solid-state battery research while maintaining their market position with innovative liquid battery designs [3] - Startups in the solid-state battery space are leveraging venture capital to bypass traditional patents and seek partnerships with second-tier automakers [3] Group 3: Charging Solutions - The competition between fast charging and battery swapping is intensifying, with new models featuring 800V high-voltage platforms enhancing fast charging capabilities [4] - Companies are focusing on user experience and profitability in their charging networks, with Tesla and NIO expanding their proprietary networks while third-party operators form alliances [4] - The battery swapping model is gaining traction through partnerships with major automakers, although it faces challenges related to high fixed asset investments and operational complexities [5] Group 4: Driving Technologies - Range-extended electric vehicles are experiencing rapid growth, appealing to family buyers and mid-to-high-end SUV consumers [6] - There are concerns about the long-term impact of range-extended vehicles on the industry, particularly regarding resource allocation for pure electric vehicle development [7] - The introduction of steer-by-wire systems is set to revolutionize vehicle control, enhancing the potential for advanced driver-assistance systems and future autonomous driving [7] Group 5: Future Trends - The industry is expected to move towards a more integrated approach, balancing various technologies rather than focusing on a single solution [8] - By 2026, solid-state batteries may begin to see limited commercial deployment, primarily in high-end models, serving as a proof of concept rather than a mass-market solution [8] - Companies are likely to adopt mixed charging and swapping strategies based on user needs, optimizing their offerings for different market segments [8] - The distinction between high-end range-extended and plug-in hybrid vehicles is blurring, with market success determined by the ability to provide a seamless user experience [9]
1月锂电排产“踩刹车”,但国补续期预期升温
高工锂电· 2025-12-30 10:55
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a convergence of supply-side adjustments and demand-side support in the lithium battery and new energy vehicle industry as it enters 2026, with a notable reduction in production and an extension of government subsidies for vehicle trade-ins [1][7][9] Group 2 - In January 2026, the production of lithium batteries in China is estimated to be around 210 GWh, reflecting a month-on-month decline of over 4%, while global production is expected to be approximately 220 GWh, down more than 6% [2] - Major battery manufacturers in mainland China are planning a production decrease of about 7% in January 2026, with some companies reducing output by nearly 10%, which is worse than previous optimistic expectations of a low single-digit adjustment [2][3] - The decline in production is attributed to seasonal factors and negotiations with upstream suppliers rather than a systemic deterioration in end-demand [3] Group 3 - Leading companies in the cathode material sector, such as Hunan Youneng and Wanrun New Energy, have announced production cuts or maintenance starting January 1, 2026, with reductions in phosphate cathode products expected to range from 3,000 to 35,000 tons [4][5] - The companies involved in these maintenance announcements hold a significant market share, and the rationale provided focuses on the need for safety and quality assurance, although market interpretations lean towards price factors [5][6] Group 4 - The government has confirmed the continuation of subsidies for vehicle trade-ins in 2026, emphasizing a more precise and structured approach to support [7][9] - Data from the Ministry of Commerce indicates that trade-in programs led to over 2.5 trillion yuan in sales from January to November 2025, with over 11.2 million vehicles traded in, significantly boosting the automotive market [8] Group 5 - The expected changes in subsidy structures may lead to a redistribution of support, favoring high-end electric vehicles while potentially reducing subsidies for lower-priced models, accelerating structural differentiation in the automotive market [10][12] - The adjustments in subsidy mechanisms are anticipated to impact the competitiveness of different vehicle types, pushing manufacturers to invest more in technology and efficiency [13] Group 6 - The interplay between reduced production in January and the continuation of government subsidies is not merely a simple balancing act but reflects a complex reallocation of risks and rewards across the industry under high costs and low profits [14]
零跑发布十年战略 向年销400万辆世界级车企迈进
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-12-30 09:57
Core Insights - Leap Motor aims to become a world-class smart electric vehicle manufacturer, targeting annual sales of 4 million vehicles, with a milestone of 1 million units by 2026 [3] - The company has achieved a cumulative delivery of over 1.2 million vehicles and expects to sell nearly 600,000 units in 2025, maintaining its position as the leading new car manufacturer in China [3][4] - Leap Motor has established a robust global presence, with over 1,800 sales and service outlets across 35 countries and regions, including more than 800 overseas [4] Company Strategy - Leap Motor emphasizes "full self-research" as its core development driver, maintaining a high R&D personnel ratio of 80% [8] - The company has developed a competitive in-house parts system, with self-research accounting for 65% of the vehicle cost [8] - Leap Motor has built 17 major component factories and has secured partnerships with over ten domestic and international automakers [8] Financial Performance - The company has achieved sustainable profitability, becoming the second new force in the industry to reach profitability by Q4 2024 [10] - Leap Motor has received significant investments, including over 9 billion HKD from its founding team and more than 9 billion CNY from various local governments [10] - The company has been recognized in the Fortune China 500 and the China Private Enterprises 500 lists [10] Product Development - Leap Motor has launched a competitive product matrix under 300,000 CNY, covering various vehicle types from A0 to D levels [12] - The D series, including the D19 SUV and D99 MPV, showcases advanced technology and aims to shift the flagship market from price competition to value reconstruction [12]
26天交付5000辆,岚图泰山引领华系豪华向上之路
Zhong Guo Qi Che Bao Wang· 2025-12-30 09:53
开放"后厨",见证中国豪华的品质自信 交付序曲,始于一场深度沉浸的工厂探访。用户亲临总装车间,见证岚图泰山在高度自动化、数据化的生产线上精准成型,直观感受世界级智造工厂的 硬核实力。每一辆岚图泰山的下线,都承载着不变的匠心与严苛的品控标准,是对"稳如泰山"品质理念的最佳诠释。 "5000辆交付,是岚图泰山的新起点。作为以用户为中心的企业,岚图不会辜负大家的信任。我们将继续深耕技术、聆听需求,一步一个脚印,造好 车、做好服务,给用户提供极致的用车体验。"岚图汽车科技股份有限公司董事长、党委书记卢放表示。 豪华的质感,源于全链路的极致把控。此次岚图邀请用户到访云峰工厂,以"明厨亮灶"的形式,向用户展现高品质产品的诞生过程,进一步展现了岚图 泰山的品质自信。 岁聿云暮,新程待启。 12月29日,岚图汽车旗下旗舰SUV岚图泰山第5000辆交付仪式在岚图云峰工厂举行,国民村长李锐等50名车主亲临见证。这场始于智能制造源头的交付 盛典,既以"新年开泰,一路开泰"的美好寓意,为华系豪华汽车发展镌刻下里程碑式印记,更凭借26天实现5000辆交付的"岚图速度",强势站稳9系旗舰 SUV市场,为中国高端新能源产业的向上突破注入强 ...
特斯拉全球第900万辆整车下线
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-12-30 09:53
上海超级工厂将整车制造的冲压、焊装、涂装、总装四大工艺布局在"同一屋顶下",实现每30多秒就能 下一台整车的行业标杆速度。目前工厂的产业链本土化率已经达到95%,工厂附近建立的"4小时朋友 圈",在苏州、宁波、南通等长三角地区形成了完整的新能源汽车产业生态,极大降低了物流成本。 从全球范围来看,继第三季度创下历史新高后,四季度的特斯拉电动车全球交付量持续增长。数据显 示,Model Y是近一年来国内的SUV销量冠军;澳大利亚市场售出第15万辆特斯拉;新西兰累计交付量 破2万辆;截至11月,特斯拉在挪威的年内累计销量打破了此前9年由燃油车保持的当地乘用车年度销量 纪录,提前锁定2025年年度销冠。 12月30日,特斯拉全球第900万辆电动车在上海超级工厂下线。这是一台白色Model Y,也是2023年与 2024年全球最畅销的乘用车型。 在上海超级工厂下线的车型,除了满足中国内地消费者的需求,还畅销欧洲和亚太市场。2025年10月, 特斯拉上海超级工厂出口超3.5万辆,创2年来单月最高出口纪录。上海超级工厂产能占特斯拉全球产能 的一半,不久前,这里刚刚迎来了中国工厂第400万辆整车下线的全新里程(002219) ...