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锂电“反内卷”引爆盛新锂能,比亚迪离解套还有多远?
Huan Qiu Lao Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 12:48
消息面上,8月11日,宁德时代在互动平台回应称,其位于江西宜春的枧下窝矿区因采矿许可证于8月9 日到期,已暂停开采作业,目前正按规定办理延续申请。 事实上,本次宁德时代枧下窝矿区停产,正是当前锂矿行业"反内卷"的一个缩影。7月3日,工信部召集 宁德时代、比亚迪等14家锂电企业及行业协会召开座谈会,明确提出"依法依规治理低价无序竞争"。 在工信部指导推动下,33家头部企业已签署《行业自律公约》,承诺自7月起主动实施阶段性减产控 产,以推动市场供需关系修复,缓解碳酸锂产能过剩问题。 在此背景下,碳酸锂价格呈现V形反转态势。数据显示,碳酸锂主力合约价格已从6月最低点的5.84万 元/吨回升至当前的8.10万元/吨,涨幅达38.70%。 不过,尽管盛新锂能股价当日大涨,拉长时间维度看,其股价仍处于低位。2022年末,比亚迪曾以 42.89元/股的价格受让盛新锂能4663.09万股股份,即便当前股价有所回升,比亚迪此次入股仍浮亏11.40 亿元。 春江水暖,市场先知。 8月11日,锂矿龙头之一的盛新锂能开盘后快速涨停,股价攀升至18.44元/股,市值同步上涨至168.78亿 元。除盛新锂能外,天齐锂业、赣锋锂业、江特电 ...
宁德时代矿区停产为锂价“浇油”!还有一万吨级盐湖提锂企业正办理矿证续期
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-11 12:45
Core Viewpoint - The suspension of mining operations at CATL's Jiangxi Jianshawa mine is expected to impact lithium prices positively, as it is a significant source of lithium supply, leading to a surge in lithium stocks and prices [1][2][3]. Group 1: Impact of CATL's Mining Suspension - CATL confirmed the suspension of mining operations at its Jianshawa mine due to the expiration of its mining license, which is expected to affect the supply of lithium [2][3]. - The Jianshawa mine contributes approximately 10% of China's lithium carbonate production, with an annual capacity of around 100,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) [3][6]. - The suspension has led to a significant increase in lithium prices, with carbonate futures reaching over 80,000 yuan per ton, reflecting a nearly 20% increase in a short period [2][4]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Future Expectations - Following the news, major lithium companies such as Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium saw their stock prices surge, indicating strong market sentiment [1][2]. - Analysts suggest that the supply constraints may lead to increased production costs in the industry, as obtaining mining licenses has become more challenging [2][5]. - The overall lithium supply in 2023 is projected to be 1,047,800 tons LCE, a 34.8% increase from 2022, with lithium spodumene, lithium salt lakes, and lithium mica contributing 52%, 41%, and 7% respectively [5][6]. Group 3: Regulatory and Operational Challenges - Other lithium companies are also facing mining license renewals, indicating that CATL's situation is not isolated, with similar challenges reported in Qinghai province [6][7]. - A significant lithium salt lake company is currently in the process of renewing its mining license, which is crucial for maintaining its production capabilities [6][7]. - The market is advised to remain cautious, as the recovery of high-cost overseas lithium mines may not align with short-term price fluctuations, potentially affecting future supply dynamics [5][6].
宁德时代核心矿区停摆 锂矿股掀涨停潮
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-11 12:43
这一宜春地区产能最大的锂云母矿之一的停摆,迅速在资本市场掀起波澜,不仅引来了投资者的现场蹲 守见证,更推动A股碳酸锂板块上演涨停潮,同时被业内视作碳酸锂行业反内卷的重要信号,引发多方 关注与解读。 有投资者深夜蹲守 8月10日,证券时报记者实地探访发现,站在山下的宜丰县花桥乡湖溪眺望,远远就能看到山顶的矿山 区,作业区的挖掘机一动不动,也没有听到轰鸣的机器声。当地村民表示,"矿区是昨晚(8月9日)停 的。以前晚上正常开工时,灯火通明,山上放炮,山下的房子都能感受到。原来矿区的山地,很多就是 我们村民的山地,后来卖给了他们。" 8月11日,《每日经济新闻》记者从宁德时代(300750)内部人士处了解到,公司旗下宜春时代新能源 矿业有限公司的宜丰县圳口里-奉新县枧下窝矿区(以下简称枧下窝矿区)陶瓷土(含锂)已暂停开采 作业,但对企业没有影响。根据有关法律要求,宁德时代正在按照相关规定办理采矿证延续申请。 南华期货(603093)贵金属新能源研究组负责人夏莹莹表示,宁德时代枧下窝矿区采矿端停产将直接影 响锂矿供给,国内锂资源供应边际将进一步收紧,进而对锂盐供给量形成一定压制。据测算,此次停产 预计影响国内碳酸锂月产 ...
3674一步之遥,A股是否做好了突破的准备?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 12:20
Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index reached a new high of 3656.85, just 18 points away from the critical level of 3674, raising questions about when and how this level will be breached [1] - Historical patterns show that significant market expectations often drive breakthroughs at key levels, as seen in previous years [1][2] - The current market lacks a unified capital force, with over 60 billion net outflow from stock ETFs in the past month, indicating a divergence in market sentiment [5][7] Group 2 - Recent events, such as the potential for three interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the shutdown of a lithium mine by CATL, are seen as positive influences on the market [9] - The market atmosphere remains optimistic, but without a significant event to unify capital, the index may experience fluctuations around the 3674 level [9] - The structure of the CSI 1000 index shows a strong upward trend, while the Shanghai Composite Index is still in a consolidation phase, indicating potential challenges for sustained upward movement [12]
碳酸锂全线引爆,期货市场或迎调控
21世纪经济报道· 2025-08-11 12:19
Core Viewpoint - The confirmation of the suspension of mining operations at the Jiangxiawo mine by CATL has reignited market sentiment to buy lithium prices, leading to significant increases in lithium futures and related stocks [1][3]. Group 1: Market Reactions - Following the suspension announcement, all lithium carbonate futures contracts, except for the soon-to-be-delivered LC2508, hit the daily limit, with domestic lithium carbonate spot prices and lithium mining stocks also rising sharply, including a more than 20% increase in Ganfeng Lithium's H-shares [1][5]. - The trading volume and speculative activity in lithium carbonate futures have increased, with the trading position ratio of the "old main" LC2509 contract rising from below 1 in late June to 4 times by July 24, before falling back due to exchange regulation [1][3]. Group 2: Supply Dynamics - The suspension of operations at the Jiangxiawo mine is expected to reduce supply by approximately 0.9 million tons per month, as the mine's associated three refining companies have a combined capacity of 100,000 tons [8]. - The mining rights for the Jiangxiawo mine, which began in August 2022, are set to expire in August 2025, indicating that the suspension may not be permanent if the renewal application is approved [3][8]. Group 3: Price Movements - As of August 11, lithium carbonate futures closed with significant gains, with the near-month contract LC2508 rising by 6.53%, while other contracts reached new six-month highs, surpassing 80,000 yuan/ton [5][6]. - The average market price for domestic battery-grade lithium carbonate increased by 2,560 yuan to 74,520 yuan/ton, with other benchmarks also reflecting upward adjustments [5][6]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Despite the recent price increases, there is a divergence in market sentiment regarding future lithium price trends, with some analysts suggesting limited further upside due to potential increases in imports and domestic production from other projects [7][8]. - The trading activity in lithium futures indicates a speculative environment, with the trading position ratio for the new main contract LC2511 rising to approximately 2.8 times, suggesting heightened volatility [9].
ETF日报:从居民资金入市、两融稳定增长的逻辑出发,可以关注业绩弹性较高,显著受益于股市活跃度的券商ETF
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-08-11 12:19
Market Overview - A-shares experienced a general rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3647.55 points, up 0.34%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 11291.43 points, up 1.46% [1] - The total trading volume reached 751.3 billion yuan for Shanghai and 1075.6 billion yuan for Shenzhen, with both indices hitting new highs for the year [1] - Margin financing in the A-share market has surpassed 2 trillion yuan for the first time in ten years, indicating increased market activity [1] Margin Financing and Market Dynamics - The current margin financing balance represents about 2.3% of the A-share market's total circulation value, which has increased to approximately 90 trillion yuan, suggesting room for growth [1] - The distribution of financing funds is more diversified compared to 2015, showing a preference for emerging industries and growth styles [1][2] Macroeconomic Context - Policies implemented since September 2022 have stabilized market expectations and improved investor risk appetite [2] - The current A-share market capitalization to M2 ratio is around 32%, indicating potential for further inflow of resident funds [2] Sector Performance - The lithium sector saw a significant surge due to supply concerns following the suspension of operations at a key lithium mine [6] - The demand for new energy vehicles is expected to increase, supporting prices in the lithium market [6] Copper Market Insights - Copper prices are maintaining a high level, with LME copper priced at approximately 9750 USD per ton [7] - Supply constraints are exacerbated by incidents in Chile and insufficient capital expenditure from global mining companies [7] - The demand for copper is expected to grow, particularly driven by AI-related electricity needs in the U.S. [7] Investment Opportunities - Investors are encouraged to consider ETFs related to the brokerage sector and lithium mining, as well as copper-related investments due to favorable market conditions [2][8]
宁德时代旗下矿区停产,公司回应将尽快复产,锂矿股集体冲高,业内关注:宜春剩余7个涉锂矿是否也将相继停产?
3 6 Ke· 2025-08-11 12:15
8月9日,宁德时代(300750.SZ)旗下的宜丰县圳口里—奉新县枧下窝矿区陶瓷土(下称"枧下窝矿 区")被传正式停产。8月11日,宁德时代在交易所互动平台证实了这一消息,称 "公司宜春项目采矿许 可证8月9日到期后已暂停开采作业,正按相关规定尽快办理采矿证延续申请,待获得批复后将尽早恢复 生产,该事项对公司整体经营影响不大。" 但是,资本市场早已闻风而动。8月11日开盘,碳酸锂期货所有合约全线涨停,主力合约价格飙升至8.1 万元/吨。锂矿股同步大涨,"锂矿双雄"天齐锂业(002466.SZ)、赣锋锂业(002460.SZ)涨停,均创年 内新高。 这场市场波动早有伏笔。早在7月30日的投资者关系活动中,就有投资者提问宁德时代:"宜春锂矿能否 在 8 月 9 日前拿到采矿证续签?若拿不到是否停产?如何看锂价走势?"彼时宁德时代回应 :"公司宜 春锂矿项目生产经营正常,已按要求提前向宜春市自然资源局递交了延续申请材料,经市、省两级收件 确认延续登记要件齐全,内容完整,目前延续申请待批复。"然而几天后,宜春锂矿正式停产,市场也 传出"停产可能长达三个月"的猜测。 同日,时代周报致电宁德时代证券部,其工作人员仅表示 ...
宁德时代锂矿停产,不会改写市场预期
高工锂电· 2025-08-11 12:09
年会预告 2025(第十五届)高工锂电年会 暨十五周年庆典&高工金球奖颁奖典礼 主办单位: 高工锂电、高工产研(GGII) 协办单位: 卡洛维德 总冠名: 海目星激光 年会特别赞助: 大族锂电 专场冠名: 欣旺达、英联复合集流体、逸飞激光、华视集团、欧科工业空调 金球奖全程特约赞助: 思客琦 时间&地点: 2025年11月18-20日 深圳前海华侨城JW万豪酒店 会议合作: 陈女士 13560731836(微信同号) 8 月 11 日,宁德时代枧下窝矿区传出停产消息。 宁德时代方面表示,枧下窝矿区采矿资质于 8 月 9 日到期,目前已暂停开采作业,根据有关法律 要求,需要办理延续申请。目前,宜春其他主要矿区还在正常生产经营中。 此前,坊间一直流传着宁德时代枧下窝矿区停产的消息,成为影响近期碳酸锂价格波动的核心原因 之一。 靴子落地后立刻引发市场反应。港股开盘后,锂业股大涨。截至上午 9 点半,永杉锂业竞价涨 停,盛新锂能、威领股份、天齐锂业、融捷股份、永兴材料、赣锋锂业等涨超 5% 。 同时,早盘碳酸锂期货所有合约均触及涨停,其中主力合约开盘直接涨停,涨幅 8% ,报 81000 元 / 吨。 市场分析预计, ...
突发利好!A股六连阳,机构看好这两大牛市主线!
天天基金网· 2025-08-11 11:51
两市成交额1.83万亿元,盘面上,能源金属、消费电子、光伏、券商等板块集体上涨。 摘要 1、在周末的利好作用下,今天,A股三大指数继续上涨,沪指再创年内新高,创业板指涨近2%,新能源、科技板块大涨。 2、机构认为A股历史上首次系统性慢牛开启,关注两大主线!基金投资该注意什么? 3、 上天天基金APP搜索【777】注册即可 领500元券包,优选基金10元起投!限量发放!先到先得! 真话白话说财经,理财不说违心话 --这是第1404 篇白话财经- - 新的一周,A股继续一路向北,沪指六连阳,再创年内新高,创业板指涨近2%,有超4100只个股上涨。 (图片来源:东方财富APP,统计截至2025/8/11,不作投资推荐) A股上涨,这些利好来了! 其次, 股市资金短期加速流入。 华金证券研报指出,二季度外资持仓规模明显上升;随着基本面持续改善和流动性较为充裕,新发基金规模可能进 一步回升;当前两融余额也突破了两万亿,在A股成交额维持高位、市场情绪偏强下融资可能进一步上升。 市场回暖也有望带动部分存款分流至股 市。 机构分析认为, 随着下半年政策预期增多,股市逐渐对当期盈利脱敏,股市结构性赚钱效应已经接近1年,后续居民 ...
涨停复盘:锂矿股崛起 AI、机器人概念等活跃
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 11:44
Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.34% to close at 3647.55 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.46% to 11291.43 points. The ChiNext Index saw a rise of 1.96% to 2379.82 points, and the STAR 50 Index gained 0.59% to 1049.73 points. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 18269.73 billion [1]. Sector Movements - Lithium mining stocks surged, with companies like Shengxin Lithium Energy hitting the daily limit. AI-related concepts were active, with stocks such as Keleke also reaching the daily limit. Robotics stocks continued to perform well, with Jiangte Electric and others hitting the daily limit [1]. Stock Performance - A total of 32 stocks hit the daily limit, with 181 stocks rising over 7%, and 182 stocks increasing between 5-7%. There were 48 stocks with gains between 3-5%, while 3331 stocks rose by 0-3%. On the downside, 977 stocks fell by 0-3%, with only 6 stocks declining by 3-5% and 1 stock dropping by 5-7% [4]. Limit Up Analysis - Notable stocks hitting the daily limit included: - Jiangte Electric (002176.SZ) due to lithium mining and humanoid robot developments - Shengxin Lithium Energy (002240.SZ) driven by share buybacks and solid-state battery initiatives - Keleke (002782.SZ) attributed to half-year report growth and AI server power [5][6]. Related Hotspots - In the lithium sector, CATL announced on August 11 that its Yichun project mining license expired on August 9, leading to a suspension of mining operations while it applies for a renewal [6].