Report Industry Investment Ratings - Nickel: Rolling short [1] - Stainless steel: Hold [1] - Zinc: Bearish outlook [3] Core Views Nickel and Stainless Steel - The Philippines has emerged from the rainy season, leading to increased nickel ore arrivals and shipments, causing a seasonal decline in nickel ore prices and reduced costs across the nickel industry chain [1]. - Domestic nickel - iron production has slightly decreased due to negative profit margins, but Indonesian nickel - iron production has grown rapidly, with a year - on - year increase of over 30% and a month - on - month increase of over 10%. Total nickel - iron supply remains in surplus [1]. - The cost of nickel in the nickel - bean - to - nickel - sulfate process is around 127,000 yuan, and demand support from downstream nickel - sulfate costs is about 126,700 yuan/ton. The profit threshold for external procurement manufacturers has dropped to 133,000 yuan/ton [2]. - Nickel - iron and stainless - steel integrated manufacturers could use nickel - iron profits to offset stainless - steel losses. However, since May, nickel - iron profits have shrunk rapidly, potentially affecting stainless - steel production. Overall demand is weak [2]. - The main operating range for nickel is between 118,000 and 133,000 yuan, with a core range of 120,000 - 127,000 yuan [2]. Zinc - From January to April, the revenue of 11,945 large - scale non - ferrous metal industrial enterprises increased by 18.0% year - on - year, and the revenue profit margin was 4.15%, up 0.39 percentage points from the previous year [4]. - During the narrow - range zinc price fluctuations, miners' per - ton profit remained around 4,000 yuan/ton. Smelters can achieve profitability with by - products. Overall zinc supply is loose [4]. - Galvanized production capacity has expanded, but utilization and output are low, and manufacturers' production enthusiasm is weak. Zinc oxide production is driven by seasonal demand, with limited upside. Die - casting alloy production has increased, but downstream demand is expected to weaken. Zinc demand has some resilience but is difficult to improve significantly in the short term [5]. - The impact of tariffs has temporarily subsided. Short - term supply is stable with a slight increase, the demand peak season has passed, and manufacturers are pessimistic about terminal demand. Overall, a bearish view is taken [5]. Summary by Directory 1. Macro Indicators - The report presents data on exchange rates (nominal US dollar index: broad, USDCNY spot exchange rate) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average [7][8][14] 2. Spot Premiums and Discounts - It shows spot premiums and discounts for various metals such as nickel, zinc, lead, and stainless steel, including domestic and LME data [9][11][15][22][24] 3. Spread Analysis - Analyzes spreads such as the monthly spread of lead and zinc futures, the spread between high - nickel iron and electrolytic nickel, and the spread between nickel sulfate and electrolytic nickel [27][28][33][35] 4. Inventory Analysis - Displays inventory data for lead, zinc, and nickel in the Shanghai Futures Exchange and LME, including seasonal inventory charts [36][38][40] 5. Profit - Presents profit data for domestic zinc smelters, high - nickel iron production, nickel sulfate production, and stainless - steel production [49][51][53][55] 6. Import Profit and Loss - Shows import profit and loss data for lead, zinc, and nickel, as well as the Shanghai - London ratio for these metals [57][59][61]

智通财经6月4日电，秘鲁预计2025年铜产量280万吨。 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights a positive outlook for various sectors, with specific companies identified as key investment opportunities based on their performance and market conditions [5][11][15][19][23][27][31][35][39][44]. Company Summaries 招商银行 (China Merchants Bank, 600036) - The bank's Q1 2025 performance showed a decline in revenue and net profit, with operating income at 837.51 billion yuan, down 3.09% year-on-year, and net profit at 372.86 billion yuan, down 2.08% [11]. - The bank maintains a high dividend payout ratio, with a projected dividend of 2 yuan per share for 2024, resulting in a dividend yield of 4.60% based on the May 29 closing price [11]. - The bank's asset quality remains under pressure, particularly in retail loans, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.94% [11]. 紫金矿业 (Zijin Mining, 601899) - The company reported significant growth in mineral production, achieving 1.07 million tons of copper and 73 tons of gold in 2024, with production costs decreasing [15]. - Zijin Mining's resource reserves are expanding, with successful exploration projects and acquisitions enhancing its market position [15]. - The company expects continued growth in copper and gold prices, supporting its revenue projections for 2025 [15]. 三美股份 (Sanmei Co., 603379) - The company experienced a substantial increase in revenue from its refrigerant products, with a 30.28% year-on-year growth in 2024 [19]. - The average selling price of refrigerants rose significantly, contributing to improved profitability [19]. - The company is well-positioned in the refrigerant market, with ongoing price increases expected in 2025 [19]. 青岛啤酒 (Qingdao Beer, 600600) - The company reported a revenue of 321.38 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit of 43.45 billion yuan, showing signs of recovery in the beverage sector [23]. - The management is optimistic about demand recovery as the peak season approaches, supported by favorable government policies [23]. - EPS projections for 2025 are set at 3.52 yuan, with a "buy" rating maintained [23]. 恒瑞医药 (Hengrui Medicine, 600276) - The company achieved a 20.14% year-on-year growth in revenue for Q1 2025, driven by its innovative drug portfolio [27]. - Hengrui's focus on R&D has led to the development of multiple new drugs, enhancing its market competitiveness [27]. - EPS for 2025 is projected at 1.05 yuan, with a "buy" rating maintained [27]. 海大集团 (Haida Group, 002311) - The company reported a 9% increase in feed sales in 2024, with significant growth in international markets [31]. - Haida is actively pursuing international expansion, particularly in Southeast Asia and Africa, to enhance its market presence [31]. - EPS projections for 2025 are set at 3.01 yuan, with a "buy" rating maintained [31]. 华电国际 (China Huadian Corporation, 600027) - The company completed a significant asset restructuring, expected to enhance its operational scale and market share [35]. - Post-restructuring, the company anticipates a 25.07% increase in revenue and a 5.93% increase in net profit [35]. - EPS projections for 2025 are set at 0.64 yuan, with a "buy" rating maintained [35]. 胜宏科技 (Shenghong Technology, 300476) - The company reported a 35.31% increase in revenue for 2024, driven by strong demand in the PCB sector [39]. - Q1 2025 saw an 80.31% increase in revenue, with significant growth in high-value product orders [39]. - EPS projections for 2025 are set at 5.09 yuan, with a "buy" rating maintained [39]. 中国电信 (China Telecom, 601728) - The company reported a 3.1% year-on-year increase in revenue, with a focus on digital transformation and service innovation [44]. - The mobile user base continues to grow, contributing to stable revenue streams [44]. - EPS projections for 2025 are set at 0.39 yuan, with a "buy" rating maintained [44].

Group 1: Macro Insights - The manufacturing PMI in May showed a seasonal rebound but remains in the contraction zone, while the non-manufacturing PMI slightly decreased [4] - Key signals include a rebound in supply and demand, an increase in import and export orders, and a slight decline in price indices, indicating ongoing pressure on prices [4] - The overall economic outlook suggests that internal demand issues remain prominent, with a need for policy intervention to support growth [4] Group 2: Market Analysis - The market is currently experiencing limited downside potential, with the probability of returning to previous lows being negligible [5] - A mid-term bullish trend is confirmed across multiple indices, indicating the beginning of a new bull market phase [6] - Investors are encouraged to position themselves strategically during this market adjustment phase, as opportunities are expected to arise [6] Group 3: Fixed Income Insights - In the first quarter of 2025, Jiangsu showed strong economic growth with a focus on debt reduction, while Guangdong faced economic adjustments due to global trade uncertainties [9][10] - The overall market environment is expected to improve post mid-June, with potential for interest rates to decline further, creating more opportunities in the bond market [11] - The central bank's actions are aimed at maintaining liquidity, with a stable performance in certificates of deposit [12] Group 4: Industry-Specific Developments - The automotive sector is witnessing significant advancements, with the launch of the Huawei and JAC Motors' ZunJie S800, which has already seen strong pre-orders [19][20] - The smart driving industry is expected to enter a golden growth period, with increasing penetration of advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) in new vehicles [21] - The stablecoin regulatory framework in Hong Kong marks a significant step in financial innovation, benefiting various segments of the digital asset ecosystem [24] Group 5: Company Performance - Ideal Auto's Q1 2025 gross margin exceeded expectations, with projected sales and revenue growth for the next three years [31] - Xiaomi Group is expected to maintain strong revenue growth driven by core technology advancements, with significant contributions from its automotive segment [32] - Honglu Steel Structure is positioned for recovery with a notable increase in orders and production, benefiting from demand restoration and operational efficiencies [34]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [3]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leading player in the silver and tin mining sector, with significant growth potential driven by its extensive resource base and strategic acquisitions [1][2]. - The company has completed multiple rounds of resource expansion, enhancing its global footprint and operational capabilities [1][14]. - The current market conditions suggest that silver and tin prices are undervalued, with potential for recovery as industrial demand increases [2][3]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Company Overview - The company has undergone three rounds of resource expansion since its listing, transitioning from a regional player in Inner Mongolia to a global mining entity [1][14]. - The company has successfully acquired several mining assets, including major silver and tin mines, which are expected to contribute significantly to its revenue [1][14]. Section 2: Mining Assets - The company holds three world-class silver mines, with substantial resources that position it among the top producers globally [1][2]. - Silverman Mining, the company's main operational asset, has a resource of 8,058 tons of silver with an average grade of 185g/t, while Yubang Mining holds 17,900 tons, ranking fifth globally [1][2]. - Future production capacity is projected to increase significantly, with a potential 2.7 times growth in ore processing capacity by 2025 [2]. Section 3: Market Conditions - Current market dynamics indicate that industrial metals, particularly silver and tin, are undervalued relative to gold, suggesting a potential price correction as manufacturing demand rebounds [2][3]. - The silver market is experiencing a persistent supply-demand gap, driven by increasing demand from the photovoltaic sector, which is expected to maintain upward pressure on prices [2][3]. - Tin supply remains unstable due to geopolitical factors, but demand is anticipated to rise due to the growth of the AI-driven semiconductor market [3]. Section 4: Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are set at 5.86 billion, 6.68 billion, and 8.32 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 2.06 billion, 2.41 billion, and 3.13 billion yuan [4]. - The company is expected to achieve a significant increase in profitability, with net profit growth rates projected at 34.6%, 17.2%, and 29.8% for the same years [4][27]. - The financial metrics indicate a strong improvement in profitability, with net profit margins expected to rise from 26% in 2023 to 37.6% by 2027 [4][27].

证券代码：603132 证券简称：金徽股份 公告编号：2025-028 金徽矿业股份有限公司 关于为控股公司提供担保的进展公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： ● 金徽矿业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）为控股公司甘肃金徽西成矿业有限公司（以下简称"西成 矿业"）提供担保； 一、担保基本情况概述 （一）担保审议情况 公司于2025年3月9日召开第二届董事会第十三次会议，第二届监事会第九次会议，审议通过《关于金徽 矿业股份有限公司为控股公司担保额度预计的议案》同意为控股公司徽县向阳山矿业有限责任公司、徽 县谢家沟铅锌矿业有限责任公司、徽县江洛镇谢家沟铅锌浮选厂有限责任公司、徽县明昊矿业有限责任 公司及西成矿业提供担保。具体内容详见公司于2025年3月11日刊登在上海证券交易所网站 （www.sse.com.cn）《上海证券报》《中国证券报》《证券日报》《证券时报》的《金徽矿业股份有限 公司关于为控股公司提供担保额度预计的公告》（公告编号：2025-008）。 （二）本次担保情况 因控股公司生产经营 ...

Core Viewpoint - The announcement details the approval of the resource reserve verification report for the Budun Yingen Mining Company, a subsidiary of Inner Mongolia Xingye Silver and Tin Mining Co., Ltd, indicating significant increases in mineral resources and reserves [1][3]. Resource Reserve Verification Results - As of January 31, 2025, the verified silver ore resource amounts to 70.325 million tons, with a metal content of 11,114 tons and an average grade of Ag 158.07 g/t [1]. - The breakdown of the verified resources includes: - Proven resources: 14.243 million tons of ore, 3,546 tons of metal, average grade Ag 248.95 g/t - Controlled resources: 22.512 million tons of ore, 3,573 tons of metal, average grade Ag 158.74 g/t - Inferred resources: 33.570 million tons of ore, 3,995 tons of metal, average grade Ag 119.05 g/t [1]. Accompanying Metal Resources - The verification also identified associated metal resources as follows: - Pb: 39.571 million tons of ore, 95,643 tons of metal, average grade 0.24% - Zn: 59.565 million tons of ore, 180,818 tons of metal, average grade 0.30% - Ga: 70.271 million tons of ore, 3,603 tons of metal, average grade 0.0051% - Cd: 10.913 million tons of ore, 1,092 tons of metal, average grade 0.0100% [2]. Increase in Resource Reserves - Compared to the last report from March 2024, the current verification shows significant increases: - Silver ore resource increased by 6.5316 million tons and silver metal by 10,273.1 tons - Pb ore increased by 3.4998 million tons and metal by 84,142 tons - Zn ore increased by 5.5033 million tons and metal by 158,441 tons - Cd ore increased by 0.6008 million tons and metal by 601 tons - Ga ore increased by 6.5422 million tons and metal by 3,381 tons [3]. Future Development Plans - The company plans to actively advance the approval procedures for further mining development, although the timing and certainty of obtaining the necessary approvals remain uncertain [4].

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. held its 2024 annual shareholders' meeting, where key personnel changes were announced, including the election of Liu Jianfeng as the chairman of the board, amidst discussions on cobalt exports from the Democratic Republic of Congo and the acquisition of Lumina Gold [1][6]. Personnel Changes - The company announced significant personnel changes, including the resignation of Chairman Yuan Honglin and Vice Chairman Li Zhaochun, with Qu Zhaoyang appointed as Executive Vice President and COO, and Liu Jianfeng as Chief Investment Officer [3][6]. - Liu Jianfeng and Qu Zhaoyang addressed shareholder questions during the meeting, emphasizing their commitment to enhancing operational efficiency and strategic acquisitions [4][6]. Cobalt Export Situation - The Democratic Republic of Congo announced a four-month suspension of cobalt exports, which is significant as the country accounts for 76% of global cobalt production. Luoyang Molybdenum is the world's largest cobalt producer, operating two major mines in the region [4][6]. - The company is closely monitoring the cobalt export situation and is in communication with relevant authorities, acknowledging the uncertainty surrounding potential extensions of the export suspension [4][6]. Acquisition of Lumina Gold - Luoyang Molybdenum plans to acquire all issued and unissued common shares of Lumina Gold for approximately CAD 581 million. Lumina Gold owns the Cangrejos gold project in Ecuador, which has significant resource potential [5][6]. - The Cangrejos project is considered a "greenfield project," marking a shift from the company's previous strategy of acquiring existing assets. The project is currently in the preliminary research stage [5][6]. Future Outlook - The new management team aims to enhance resource development and operational efficiency, with a focus on optimizing mining processes and reducing costs [4][6]. - The company is committed to expanding its resource reserves and coverage, with Liu Jianfeng highlighting the team's confidence in achieving long-term growth [7].

Group 1 - Mergers and acquisitions (M&A) are crucial for enhancing the quality of listed companies, optimizing resource allocation, and promoting economic structural transformation [1] - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange held a collective performance briefing for listed companies, focusing on the theme "Hundred Rivers Converging: M&A Reshaping Opportunities" [1] - Companies such as China Tungsten High-Tech, Tongrun Equipment, Changchuan Technology, and Yachuang Electronics presented their performance highlights and development strategies [1] Group 2 - The demand for industrial integration and technological upgrades through M&A is increasing as China's economy shifts towards high-quality development [2] - China Tungsten High-Tech's restructuring project was approved, enhancing its tungsten industry chain and significantly increasing self-sufficiency in tungsten resources [2] - The acquisition of Hunan Shizhu Garden Nonferrous Metals Co. by China Tungsten High-Tech is expected to stabilize raw material price fluctuations [2] Group 3 - Changchuan Technology has successfully acquired 100% stakes in Singapore's STI and Malaysia's EXIS, leveraging existing platforms to expand overseas [3] - Tongrun Equipment has diversified its business into renewable energy through the acquisition of Zhengtai Power, creating a dual-main business model [3] - The merger has led to mutual benefits, enhancing revenue and profit for both Tongrun Equipment and Zhengtai Power [3] Group 4 - Recent policies, including the "New National Nine Articles" and "M&A Six Articles," aim to strengthen M&A reforms and enhance market vitality [4] - Yachuang Electronics has achieved synergies between different business segments through M&A, expanding its distribution business [4] - The company plans to explore further industrial investments and M&A opportunities to enhance operational efficiency and profitability [4] Group 5 - China Tungsten High-Tech is actively planning to acquire additional mining assets beyond Shizhu Garden [5] - The new M&A policies encourage companies to think broadly about M&A directions and targets, boosting confidence among enterprises and investors [6] - Since the release of the "M&A Six Articles," there has been a significant increase in M&A activities, with 817 transactions totaling 379.7 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 63% and 111% respectively [6]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - Copper prices are expected to remain in a volatile pattern before the Dragon Boat Festival, with fundamental support weakened but still present [1]. - Aluminum prices are expected to be weak in the short - term due to factors such as the decline of PV installation rush and the arrival of the off - season [2]. - Nickel prices are expected to have limited downside due to cost support but may show a weak and volatile trend in the medium - to - long - term due to supply surplus [3][5]. - Tin prices are expected to have increased price fluctuations, and attention should be paid to supply resumption and downstream demand recovery [6]. Summary by Metal Copper - As of May 29, the Shanghai copper main 07 contract rose 0.1% to 78130 yuan/ton. Mine - end disruptions continue, and the supply shortage pressure is difficult to change. Consumption in May weakened compared to April but was better than the same period. Low - level inventory supports the premium. The price is expected to be volatile before the festival [1]. - Domestic spot copper prices fell slightly, and the overall trading was quiet [7]. - SHFE copper futures warehouse receipts decreased by 2696 tons to 32165 tons, and LME copper inventory decreased by 1925 tons to 152375 tons [15]. Aluminum - As of May 29, the Shanghai aluminum main 07 contract rose 0.25% to 20200 yuan/ton. The revocation of mining licenses in Guinea has escalated. Alumina and electrolytic aluminum production capacities are changing, and the downstream开工率 is weakening. The price is expected to be weak in the short - term [2]. - The spot market transaction was stable, but the overall trading was not active [8]. - SHFE aluminum futures warehouse receipts decreased by 1723 tons to 51819 tons, and LME aluminum inventory decreased by 2250 tons to 375075 tons [15]. Nickel - As of May 29, the Shanghai nickel main 07 contract fell 0.63% to 120480 yuan/ton. The nickel ore market is tight, and the supply of refined nickel is in surplus. The downstream demand is average. The price is expected to be weak and volatile [3][5]. - The spot price of nickel decreased. The ccmn Yangtze River comprehensive 1 nickel price was 120700 - 123000 yuan/ton, with an average price of 121850 yuan/ton, down 1400 yuan/ton from the previous day [12]. - SHFE nickel futures warehouse receipts decreased by 174 tons to 22170 tons, and LME nickel inventory decreased by 720 tons to 200142 tons [15]. Tin - As of May 29, the Shanghai tin main 07 contract fell 1.48% to 257870 yuan/ton. Supply has recovered, and the price is volatile. The production and import of tin have changed, and the inventory is at a medium level. The price fluctuation is expected to increase [6]. - The spot price of tin decreased. The ccmn Yangtze River comprehensive 1 tin price was 257400 - 260400 yuan/ton, with an average price of 258900 yuan/ton, down 5700 yuan from the previous day [13]. - SHFE tin futures warehouse receipts decreased by 76 tons to 7908 tons, and LME tin inventory remained unchanged at 2680 tons [15]. Other Metals Zinc - The spot zinc market price decreased, and the trading was light. The import of goods made the supply more abundant, and the downstream pre - holiday stocking was basically completed [10]. - SHFE zinc futures warehouse receipts decreased by 99 tons to 1675 tons, and LME zinc inventory decreased by 2075 tons to 141375 tons [15]. Lead - The spot lead price increased slightly. The ccmn Yangtze River comprehensive 1 lead price was 16660 - 16760 yuan/ton, with an average price of 16710 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan/ton from the previous day [11]. - SHFE lead futures warehouse receipts decreased by 246 tons to 37252 tons, and LME lead inventory decreased by 2500 tons to 288550 tons [15].