Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [4] Core Views - The report highlights that the domestic battery-grade lithium carbonate price has reached an average of 136,500 RMB/ton, showing a slight increase of 0.37% from the previous trading day, with a price range of 132,500 to 140,500 RMB/ton [4] - The supply side is characterized by domestic production cuts due to maintenance and an increase in overseas imports, leading to a temporary tightening of domestic supply [5][6] - Demand for lithium carbonate is showing structural differentiation, with strong support from the energy storage sector, while the demand from the power battery sector is experiencing seasonal adjustments [7][8] Supply Side Summary - Domestic lithium salt production is facing temporary reductions due to maintenance, while overseas imports are increasing significantly, with a notable rise in port arrivals [6] - Despite the expected increase in imports, overall industry inventory continues to decline, indicating a cautious selling attitude among upstream enterprises [6] Demand Side Summary - The energy storage sector is driving strong demand for lithium carbonate, supported by the acceleration of large-scale energy storage projects and increased policy support [8] - The power battery sector is experiencing a seasonal decline in production plans due to the upcoming Spring Festival, but robust exports to overseas electric vehicle markets are providing a buffer against domestic demand fluctuations [8] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests a continued positive outlook for the lithium carbonate sector, anticipating a price rebound post-holiday as demand recovers [9] - Key companies to watch include Tianqi Lithium, Ganfeng Lithium, Zhongjin Lingnan, Yongxing Materials, and Dazhong Mining [9]

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2026-02-11 市场冷清，行情震荡 市场分析 2026-02-10，碳酸锂主力合约2605开于136500元/吨，收于137340元/吨，当日收盘价较昨日结算价变化0.03%。当日 成交量为295231手，持仓量为345989手，前一交易日持仓量344071手，根据SMM现货报价，目前基差为-4000元/ 吨（电碳均价-期货）。当日碳酸锂仓单35537手，较上个交易日变化940手。 碳酸锂现货：根据SMM数据，电池级碳酸锂报价132000-140000元/吨，较前一交易日变化500元/吨，工业级碳酸锂 报价129000-136000元/吨，较前一交易日变化500元/吨。6%锂精矿价格1965美元/吨，较前一日变化0美元/吨。当前 下游材料厂为2月的备库已基本接近尾声，多数企业转向谨慎观望，采购心理价位偏低，仅少数厂家仍维持刚需采 购。整体来看，市场询价与成交情况稍显清淡。 根据SMM最新统计数据，现货库存为105463吨，环比-2019吨。其中冶炼厂库存为18356吨，环比-647吨；下游库 存为43657吨，环比+3058吨；其他库存为43450吨，环比-4430吨。2月需求 ...

点评：消息面上，有分析称在全球供应链重构与新兴产业加速崛起的双重驱动下，稀有金属作为支撑能 源转型、高端制造及国家安全的关键战略资源，正迎来新一轮景气周期。 2月11日，三大指数走势分化，沪指震荡走高，创业板指、深成指相对弱势。截至午间收盘，沪指涨 0.22%，深证成指跌0.07%，创业板指跌0.91%。两市半日成交1.30万亿元，较上一日缩量成交949亿元。 盘面上，稀土、有色金属板块强势大涨，黄金、锌金属、铜金属等方向领涨，新金路、翔鹭钨业等多股 涨停；化工、染料板块持续走高，醋化股份、华尔泰等涨停，红太阳、荣盛石化、山东海化、新疆天业 等跟涨；商业航天板块回暖，再升科技等涨停，天力复合、莱斯信息、振江股份、超捷股份、光威复材 跟涨；算力租赁概念盘中冲高，大位科技等涨停，南凌科技、首都在线、优刻得、华胜天成等跟涨；盐 湖提锂、固态电池板块有所表现，聚杰微纤等涨停。 下跌方面，此前大涨的AI应用概念回调，影视传媒、短剧、电商、游戏等方向集体下行，横店影视、 浙文影业等跌停；光伏设备板块延续跌势，泽润新能领跌；光模块概念股表现分化，源杰科技跌超 5%；旅游酒店、冰雪产业走弱，保险股持续走低，医药、消费电子、半 ...

Core Viewpoint - The lithium mining sector experienced a significant rally, with major companies like Dazhong Mining seeing a rise of over 9% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Dazhong Mining's stock increased by more than 9% amid the lithium mining concept surge [1] - Other companies such as Chuaneng Power, Ganfeng Lithium, Shengxin Lithium Energy, and Rongjie Co. also saw gains [1] Group 2: Commodity Price Movement - The main contract for lithium carbonate on the Shanghai Futures Exchange surged by 5%, reaching a price of 144,500 yuan per ton [1]

2026 年 2 月 11 日 资料来源：国泰君安期货、同花顺、Mysteel、SMM、Fastmarkets 【基本面跟踪】 碳酸锂基本面数据 | | | | T | T-1 | T-5 | T-10 | T-22 | T-66 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 2605合约（收盘价） | 137,340 | 340 | -10,760 | -42,260 | -6,080 | 56,500 | | | | 2605合约（成交量） | 295,231 | -10,090 | -324,311 | -87,082 | -174,248 | 240,532 | | | | 2605合约（持仓量） | 345,989 | 1,918 | -9,781 | -76,444 | -164,885 | 216,498 | | | 盘 面 | 2607合约（收盘价） | 137,520 | 400 | -11,120 | -42,460 | -6,620 | 57,080 | | | | 2607合约（成交量） | 30,388 ...

Group 1 - The cinema sector experienced a collective surge, with significant gains attributed to the success of films like "Ne Zha 2," leading to continuous stock price increases for some listed companies [1] - The liquor industry faced a decline, influenced by comments from a key figure, indicating that the recent price increases were not supported by fundamental improvements, making long-term growth challenging [1] - The solar and lithium mining sectors have shown substantial market performance due to fundamental changes in their respective industries, indicating a more sustainable growth trajectory [1] Group 2 - The securities market is perceived to be in a prolonged period of stagnation, with expectations of a quick recovery not materializing, suggesting a need for patience in the current market environment [2] - The end of the year has brought unexpected developments, indicating that market activity remains robust despite initial assumptions of a slowdown [2]

万斯一上来就抛出 "供应链安全" 的论调，反复强调 "不能被单一国家掌控"，紧接着就亮出了美国的核 心方案：建立 "关键矿产优惠贸易集团"，为稀土等资源的开采、提炼全流程设定 "价格下限"，再用可 调整的关税机制保驾护航。 鲁比奥在会上说得天花乱坠，宣称要和每个参会国 "找到专业角色"，打造 "多元化生产中心"，还透露 美国已准备好 1000 亿美元的贷款权限，拉拢各国加入这个看似诱人的 "利益圈"。 参会名单里既有韩国、日本、澳大利亚这样的传统盟友，也有刚果（金）、阿根廷这类资源大国，美国 号称这些国家占据全球近三分之二的 GDP，足以构建独立于现有体系的供应网络。但明眼人都清楚， 这场盛会的真正目标只有一个 —— 针对中国。 就在会议召开前两天，特朗普刚签署 120 亿美元的 "金库计划" 行政命令，要建立关键矿产的 60 天应急 储备，试图从物理层面切断对中国供应链的依赖。美国众议院此前以 8 票对 4 票通过相关拨款计划，急 着补上所谓的 "战略短板"。 2026 年 2 月 4 日，华盛顿的联邦会议中心里气氛微妙，55 个国家的代表被美国一纸邀请凑到同一张谈 判桌前。 这场名为 "关键矿产部长级会议 ...

晨报 碳酸锂 成材：重心下移 偏弱运行 碳酸锂：弱现实与成本下行博弈，盘面震荡整理 以伊冲突 负责人：赵 毅 从业资格号：F3059924 投资咨询号：Z0002978 电话：010-62688526 成 材：武秋婷 从业资格号：F3078638 投资咨询号：Z0018248 电话：010-62688555 原材料：程 鹏 从业资格号：F3038114 投资咨询号：Z0014834 电话：010-62688541 原材料： 冯艳成 从业资格号：F3059529 投资咨询号：Z0018932 电话：010-62688516 有色金属：于梦雪 从业资格号：F03127144 投资咨询号：Z0020161 电话：021-20857653 基本面来看，供应端上周来看，原料市场普跌，SMM 总周度开工率 47.29%（-2.21%），除锂云母外，其他工艺开工率均下降；SMM 周度总产 量 20744 吨（-825 吨）。需求端上周数据显示，铁锂、三元产量环比微降， 库存去化；截至 1 月 18 日，SMM 新能源车销量渗透率上升至 55.6%，保 持相对高位；储能电芯表现强劲，产销两旺且库存低位。库存端 SMM 数据 ...

1. Report Title and Period - The report is "Carbonate Lithium Weekly Report 2026.02.02 - 2026.02.06", focusing on the carbonate lithium market [1] 2. Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided 3. Core Viewpoints - The market is in a wide - range shock stage after the high - price collapse. The core contradiction lies in the game between the short - term domestic supply contraction expectation and the long - term import increment and inventory accumulation expectation. Pre - holiday capital flight amplifies price fluctuations, and the weakening spot price and high warehouse receipt inventory put pressure on the market, with overall weak sentiment. It is expected that the high - volatility of the market will continue in the next 1 - 2 weeks, with prices seeking direction in the range of 130,000 - 140,000 yuan/ton, and post - holiday import arrivals and downstream resumption of work need to be closely monitored [3] 4. Summary by Directory 4.1 Lithium Salt Market Introduction - **Price Changes**: Carbonate lithium futures prices dropped 10.31% week - on - week to 132,920 yuan/ton. Battery - grade carbonate lithium spot prices fell 13.23% week - on - week to 138,400 yuan/ton, and industrial - grade carbonate lithium spot prices dropped 13.15% to 136,000 yuan/ton. Hydroxide lithium spot prices also declined, with the price of electric - carbon (coarse - grained) down 6.13% to 145,500 yuan/ton, electric - carbon (fine powder) down 5.93% to 150,700 yuan/ton, and industrial - grade down 6.35% to 140,200 yuan/ton [3][5] - **Premium and Discount Changes**: The premium and discount of various raw materials and enterprises have changed. For example, the premium of辉石料 increased by 250 yuan/ton, and that of Ganfeng Lithium Co., Ltd. increased by 400 yuan/ton [8] 4.2 Lithium Salt Fundamentals 4.2.1 Supply - **Carbonate Lithium Production**: The domestic carbonate lithium capacity utilization rate remained at a high level of 87.14%, but the hydroxide lithium capacity utilization rate decreased 5.41% week - on - week to 35%. Policy disturbances in Jiangxi mica mines and planned overhauls in some lithium salt plants strengthened the market's expectation of supply contraction in February [3] 4.2.2 Demand - **Downstream Consumption**: Downstream demand shows structural support, with the operating rate of energy - storage battery cells rising. However, due to the seasonal slowdown during the Spring Festival, the downstream production plan for February is expected to decline month - on - month, and the procurement of high - price raw materials is cautious [3] 4.2.3 Import and Export - **Lithium Ore Import**: The export volume from Chile increased significantly in January, and the market expects the import volume in March to reach a new high, which has led to concerns about inventory accumulation during the peak season and suppressed prices [3] - **Lithium Ore Transportation Cost**: The transportation costs from most African countries remained stable, with only the container transportation cost from Nigeria increasing by 6.67% week - on - week [29] 4.2.4 Inventory - **Carbonate Lithium Warehouse Receipt Inventory**: The exchange warehouse receipt inventory increased 10.27% week - on - week to 33,777 lots. Warehouses such as COSCO Shipping Nanchang Warehouse and JF Shanghai Warehouse had significant increases, intensifying inventory pressure [3][42] 4.2.5 Cost and Profit - **Carbonate Lithium**: The raw material cost decreased in line with the lithium price. The production cost of externally purchased lithium concentrate/mica decreased 13.07%/12.32% week - on - week. The profit of the externally purchased lithium mica route shrank 29.8% to 5,830 yuan/ton, while the externally purchased lithium concentrate route remained in a loss state [3] 4.3 Lithium Battery Fundamentals - The report also covers the market conditions, supply, demand, import and export, cost - profit, and recycling of lithium battery materials, as well as the production, sales, and other key data of new energy vehicles, but specific data details are not fully presented in the provided content [45]

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 出品：新浪财经上市公司研究院 作者：昊 近日，天齐锂业宣布配售新H股及发行可转换公司债券，同时拟出售中创新航和SQM部分股权。通过上述资本运作，天齐锂业募资和套现合计或将超过70亿 元。 事实上，从目前财务指标看，天齐锂业资金和债务压力并不大。考虑到天齐锂业表示筹资将继续锂资源并购，同时碳酸锂价格近一年出现大涨，是否将进 行"高抛低吸"值得关注。 2024年4月，二代掌门人蒋安琪接班，推行"夯实上游、做强中游、渗透下游"的长期战略。然而，蒋安琪上任后却立即叫停澳大利亚奎纳纳二期氢氧化锂项 目，并全额计提14.84亿元减值准备，此次又出售下游电池头部厂商中创新航股权。 不仅如此，天齐锂业研发投入长期大幅低于赣锋锂业，与后者积极布局锂电全产业链形成鲜明对比，公司或仍在延续豪赌上游资源的老路。 配股发债再卖关键资产 筹资超70亿或"高抛低吸"？ 2月3日晚，天齐锂业发布公告，公司拟按每股45.05港元的价格，向独立投资者配售6505万股新H股，同时发行本金总额26亿元的可转换公 ...