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外媒:美法院否决关税政策 全球贸易不确定性仍将持续
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-21 12:06
当地时间2月20日,美国最高法院裁定特朗普政府大规模关税政策违法后,引发全球媒体高度关注。 英国路透社2月21日发表分析文章指出,美国最高法院裁定关税政策违法,虽然这标志着其将关税作为经济武器的策略遭遇重大挫折,但 全球经济短期内难获喘息的机会。 文章援引欧洲政策中心(European Policy Centre )分析师瓦格·福克曼的话说:"这只会开启全球贸易新的高度不确定期,最终局面很可能 换汤不换药。"荷兰国际集团(ING)经济学家也认为:"'脚手架虽已拆除,但建筑仍在施工'。无论判决如何,关税政策不会消失。" 英国路透社报道截图 英国《卫报》2月21日刊载的评论文章说,这一裁决令人耳目一新。但别急着开香槟庆祝——这份裁决既无法让美国重拾"可信赖经济体"的 声誉,也难以修复二战后建立的多边贸易体系。 英国《卫报》报道截图 文章援引总部位于瑞士的监测组织"全球贸易警报"(Global Trade Alert)发布的数据,裁决将使美国贸易加权平均关税从15.3%降至8.3%。 但8.3%的税率仍远高于历史平均水平。更重要的是,最高法院对贸易战的核心问题——那些荒诞的加税借口——始终避而不谈。 文章认为,全球 ...
“这下好了,中国怎么可能再买美国大豆?”
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2026-02-21 06:46
【文/观察者网 柳白】美国总统特朗普的关税"大棒",遭美最高法一纸裁决解除武装。尽管特朗普仍指 望通过其他手段维持关税,但美国业界已开始担心,这位美国总统失去了施压中国的重要筹码。 路透社2月20日援引分析人士的话称,在美国最高法院裁定特朗普推行的大规模关税政策越权违法后, 中国不太可能像特朗普数周来一直宣扬的那样继续大规模采购美国大豆。 特朗普2月4日在"真相社交"平台称中国将额外采购800万吨美国大豆后,美豆自该日起上涨8.49%,但20 日早盘交投最活跃的大豆期货小幅下跌。 "特朗普一直在向中国施压,可现在我们要问了,这(项裁决)会不会让中国更不愿接收这批大豆?"美 国期货咨询机构Lakefront Futures高级对冲顾问达林·费斯勒表示,"美国大豆仍比巴西贵。如果没有关税 逼迫,他们凭什么还要买美国大豆?" 作为全球最大大豆进口国,中国年进口量超1亿吨,约占全球大豆贸易总量的60%,长期以来都是美国 豆农的最大买家。 美国威斯康星州沃尔沃斯,田间正在收割的大豆 IC Photo 数据显示,过去三个月,中国已足额兑现了1200万吨美国大豆的采购承诺。彭博社上月称,在兑现对美 大豆首轮采购承诺后,中国 ...
“特朗普关税被裁定违法,中国还怎么可能再买美国大豆?”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-21 05:57
【文/观察者网 柳白】美国总统特朗普的关税"大棒",遭美最高法一纸裁决解除武装。尽管特朗普仍指 望通过其他手段维持关税,但美国业界已开始担心,这位美国总统失去了施压中国的重要筹码。 路透社2月20日援引分析人士的话称,在美国最高法院裁定特朗普推行的大规模关税政策越权违法后, 中国不太可能像特朗普数周来一直宣扬的那样继续大规模采购美国大豆。 特朗普2月4日在"真相社交"平台称中国将额外采购800万吨美国大豆后,美豆自该日起上涨8.49%,但20 日早盘交投最活跃的大豆期货小幅下跌。 "特朗普一直在向中国施压,可现在我们要问了,这(项裁决)会不会让中国更不愿接收这批大豆?"美 国期货咨询机构Lakefront Futures高级对冲顾问达林·费斯勒表示,"美国大豆仍比巴西贵。如果没有关税 逼迫,他们凭什么还要买美国大豆?" 作为全球最大大豆进口国,中国年进口量超1亿吨,约占全球大豆贸易总量的60%,长期以来都是美国 豆农的最大买家。 可如今失去关税这一"大棒"后,美国大豆将难以与竞争对手巴西抗衡。巴西当前正迎来大规模丰收,其 大豆价格远低于美国。 此前中美关系遇冷,中方一度暂停采购美国大豆,而随着中美贸易关系缓和 ...
美国第四季度GDP仅增长1.4% 经济学家警告:衰退风险比想象更高
Feng Huang Wang· 2026-02-20 23:52
本周五美国经济分析局公布的最新数据显示,2025 年年末,美国经济急剧降温,GDP年化季环比增长 率初值降至1.4%。这主要是由于关税政策以及长达数周的政府停摆削弱了其先前的增长势头。 根据最新数据,去年全年,美国经济总体增长了2.2%,低于前一年的 2.8%。与此同时,即便在特朗普 关税影响下,美国去年的进口额依旧增加,贸易逆差扩大的情况仍在持续。 同时,美国联邦财政支出也有所下降,部分原因是去年10月开始的、持续43天的史上最长政府停摆事 件。 不过,这些削减在很大程度上被美国家庭的强劲支出所抵消,尽管关税和工资增长疲弱削弱了美国居民 的财务状况,但他们仍热衷于消费。 "经济状况看起来还算稳健,但仔细观察就会发现,实际情况却相当不稳定。"威尔明顿信托公司的首席 经济学家卢克·蒂利(Luke Tilley)如是说,他估计美国未来出现经济衰退的可能性约为 45%,"当我们 看到就业增长极其缓慢、消费者在信用卡、房贷和汽车贷款方面出现违约现象时,就能看出经济形势已 经变得相当疲软。" 经济的这些复杂信号使美联储在未来的道路上面临更多困难。去年,美联储已三次降低借贷成本,但目 前仍暂停进一步降息,直到能更准确地把 ...
亚马逊股价上涨2.56%,营收首超沃尔玛提振市场
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-20 23:49
Group 1 - Amazon's stock price increased by 2.56% to $210.11 as of February 20, 2026, driven by its sales performance [1] - Amazon's total sales for 2025 reached $717 billion, surpassing Walmart's $713.2 billion, making it the highest revenue-generating company globally [1] - This achievement has strengthened investor confidence in Amazon's retail and cloud business capabilities [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley rated Amazon as a "preferred stock" on February 20, highlighting the resilience of its AWS cloud business and retail growth, setting a target price of $300 [2] - The firm is optimistic about the long-term monetization potential of Amazon's AI capital investments, which has led to increased buying interest [2] Group 3 - Prior to the stock price increase, concerns over a $200 billion AI capital expenditure plan led to a nine-day decline in stock price, with the RSI indicator dropping to 15.39, indicating extreme oversold conditions [3] - On February 20, trading volume surged to 65.78 million shares (totaling $13.7 billion), with technical buying and short covering contributing to the rebound [3] Group 4 - The Nasdaq index rose by 0.90% on the same day, with the internet retail sector increasing by 1.70%, indicating a recovery in market risk appetite that provided external support for individual stocks [4]
OEF: Waning Absolute And Relative Strength In The S&P 100
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-20 22:55
Market Overview - The S&P 500 experienced a significant decline of 19% after reaching its peak a year ago, marking a post-Liberation Day low in early April [1] - There were notable losses in the US Dollar Index, alongside increased volatility in Treasury rates [1] Analyst Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of creating engaging financial content that is relevant and accessible to various audiences, including everyday investors [1] - It highlights the role of empirical data and charts in communicating financial narratives effectively [1]
Fidelity National Financial(FNF) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-20 17:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported fourth quarter total revenue of $4.1 billion, a 7% increase from $4 billion in the fourth quarter of 2024 [16] - Adjusted net earnings for the fourth quarter were $382 million, or $1.41 per diluted share, compared to $366 million, or $1.34 per share, for the same period last year [18] - The title segment generated adjusted pre-tax earnings of $401 million in the fourth quarter, with a margin of 17.5%, up from 16.6% in the prior year [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The title segment generated $2.3 billion in total revenue in the fourth quarter, excluding net recognized losses, compared to $2.1 billion in the fourth quarter of 2024 [19] - Direct premiums in the title segment increased by 21% year-over-year, while agency premiums rose by 7% [19] - F&G's assets under management grew to $73.1 billion at year-end, a 12% increase over the prior year [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 21% increase in commercial refinance orders opened for the full year 2025 compared to the previous year [8] - Total orders opened averaged 5,300 per day in the fourth quarter, with January showing a 29% increase over December [8] - Home sales in the U.S. are projected to trend back toward historical averages, with estimates of 10% more existing home sales in 2026 [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on enhancing its technology capabilities, with significant investments in digital platforms and AI tools to drive efficiency and customer experience [10][11] - F&G is transitioning to a more fee-based, higher-margin, and less capital-intensive model, which is expected to support long-term shareholder value [14] - The company aims to maintain a disciplined operating model to generate steady free cash flow for investments and acquisitions [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism for 2026, anticipating improved margins and increased volume in both purchase and refinance transactions due to lower mortgage rates [32] - The company remains bullish on the long-term prospects for the title insurance business, even in a low transactional environment [9] - Management highlighted the importance of technology investments in maintaining industry-leading margins and operational efficiency [12] Other Important Information - The company returned approximately $800 million of capital to shareholders in 2025 through dividends and share repurchases [25] - F&G increased its quarterly common stock dividend by 14% in the fourth quarter, reflecting strong cash generation [14] - The company ended 2025 with $659 million in cash and short-term liquid investments at the holding company [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Margin outlook for 2026 - Management is optimistic about margins in 2026, expecting an uptick in purchase volume and refinance opportunities due to lower rates [32] Question: Agent split changes - The slight increase in agent split was attributed to geographic mix rather than significant changes in business strategy [33] Question: Commercial revenue growth expectations for 2026 - Management indicated that commercial revenue is expected to grow in 2026, supported by increased order volume and strong pipeline [38] Question: Home price growth forecasts - Management believes home prices have stabilized and expects modest growth, aligning with industry forecasts [48] Question: Capital allocation and M&A outlook - The company plans to be active in acquisitions and share buybacks, with expectations for more opportunities in the title agent space [66][68]
美元没救了?2300吨黄金运抵回国!美丢失定价权,财长甩锅中国
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-20 14:36
这篇文章的主题,说白了就是一场关于"硬通货"与"纸面信用"的终极博弈。 咱们把这件事掰开了、揉碎了,从几个大家可能还没关注到的深度视角,来看看这场没有硝烟的金融暗战。 一、 核心事件复盘:金库里的"定海神针"这次事件的起因非常震撼:2300吨黄金运抵回国。 核心点2:美财长的"甩锅戏法"。 2月8日,美国财长贝森特把金银暴跌的脏水泼给中国交易员,说是"无序投机"。 其实这是典型的"恶人先告状"。 1月30日芝商所调高保证金,这才是导致市场血流成河的直接原因。 但这次中国运回黄金,本质上是把"账面资产"变成了"实物资产"。 这不只是个数字,大家可以想象一下,这相当于把几十架大飞机的载重全换成金砖,稳稳地落进了咱们自家的地库。 核心点1:定价权的"拔河"。 长期以来,黄金价格是伦敦和纽约说了算。 你美国可以在电脑屏幕上改规则、砸价格,但我手里的实物金块是不受你系统控制的。 核心点3:双重标准的背后。 美国人逻辑很奇葩:美股涨到五万点是"经济繁荣",黄金涨一点就是"市场操纵"。 说白了,他们怕的不是中国投机,而是怕大家发现美元不值钱了,都去抢黄金。 二、 深度拓展:那些隐藏在冰山下的真相为了让大家看清这件事的全貌, ...
全球市场动荡,黄金暴跌60美元!A股2月24日开市,你的持仓该怎么办?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-20 13:22
Group 1 - The global financial markets experienced significant volatility during the Chinese New Year holiday, which may impact the A-share market upon its reopening on February 24 [3][13] - U.S. stock index futures showed initial optimism with gains over 0.5%, but later faced a sell-off, leading to a mixed performance in major indices, with the Nasdaq down by 0.27% [3][4] - The last trading day before the holiday saw a divergence in U.S. market sectors, with technology and consumer service stocks declining, while sectors like renewable energy and high-end manufacturing gained traction [4][13] Group 2 - The precious metals market, particularly gold and silver, faced significant declines, with gold prices dropping below $5000 per ounce, attributed to a stronger U.S. dollar and profit-taking by investors [8][9] - The Hong Kong stock market demonstrated resilience with a "V-shaped" recovery, particularly in technology and resource sectors, which may provide a positive signal for the A-share market [8][9] - European markets mirrored the U.S. trends, with major indices experiencing declines, indicating a cautious sentiment among investors leading to profit-taking [9][11] Group 3 - A-share market had already undergone a significant adjustment before the holiday, with major indices experiencing declines, but the overall trend for the year remains upward [11][13] - The resilience shown by the Hong Kong market and the underlying support from domestic economic fundamentals suggest that A-shares may develop an independent trend post-holiday [13][14] - Focus areas for the A-share market post-holiday are likely to shift towards domestic industrial trends and sector rotations, particularly in renewable energy, high-end manufacturing, and technological innovation [13][14]
暴雷4年,广州前首富判了无期徒刑
创业家· 2026-02-20 09:32
以下文章来源于融中财经 ,作者李冰之 融中财经 . 中国领先的股权投资与产业投资媒体平台。聚焦报道中国新经济发展和创新投资全产业链。通过全媒体 资讯平台、品牌活动、研究服务、专家咨询、投资顾问等业务,为政府、企业、投资机构提供一站式专 业服务。 又一个"楼塌了"的故事。 作者:李冰之 编辑:吾人 来源:融中财经 2026 年 2 月 10 日,广州中级人民法院第二法庭的法槌落下,击碎了一个延续 4 年的资本 迷梦。被告席上的张劲,头发已染上霜白,再也没有了当年站在世界 500 强庆典舞台上,挥 斥方遒的 " 广州首富 " 模样。 这位曾身家超 400 亿元、一手将雪松控股打造成营收超 2800 亿元世界 500 强的资本巨 头,因集资诈骗、非法吸收公众存款、背信运用受托财产和妨害作证等多项罪名,被判无期徒 刑。与此同时,雪松控股另有 18 名高管被追究刑事责任,刑期均在 3 年以上。 庭审中,他仅承认非法吸收公众存款的事实,却坚决否认集资诈骗罪名 ,辩称自己只是想做好 企业、并无诈骗的故意,该辩解最终未被法院采纳。 几年前也没人能想到,这个在广州商界杀出一片天的人,最终会以这样狼狈的方式落幕。更魔 幻的是,从 ...