Core Viewpoint - Singapore's manufacturing sector continued its growth momentum in April, driven by early shipments in the electronics and aerospace engineering industries, with a year-on-year increase of 5.9% and a month-on-month increase of 5.3%, marking the tenth consecutive month of positive growth [1] Group 1: Manufacturing Performance - The manufacturing sector, excluding biomedical, saw a year-on-year growth of 8.1% in April, with the electronics sector experiencing a significant increase of 15.2% and aerospace engineering growing by 22.9% [1] - The growth in the electronics sector was primarily driven by strong export demand for communications and consumer electronics (up 67.8%), semiconductors (up 11.7%), and computer peripherals (up 11.3%) [1] - The aerospace sector was boosted by robust demand for commercial aviation maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO), which surged by 39.5% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Future Risks and Concerns - Despite the strong data, analysts express caution regarding future trends, noting that the current manufacturing growth is influenced by an "early shipment effect" that may not be sustainable, especially after the end of the "90-day tariff buffer window" [1] - OCBC Bank predicts that Singapore's manufacturing growth for the entire year of 2025 may only reach 0-2%, with the possibility of negative year-on-year growth in the second half of the year [2] - UOB warns that the significant growth in April was largely due to export companies rushing to ship products to avoid potential tariffs, and future trade disputes, particularly between the US and Europe, could severely impact Singapore's relevant industries [2] Group 3: Subsector Performance - Some manufacturing subsectors in Singapore showed weak performance, with biomedical manufacturing declining by 1.1%, chemicals down by 3.2%, and general manufacturing (including food, printing, and furniture) experiencing a decline of 15.2% [2] - The chemical industry faced challenges due to high inventories of refined oil and petrochemical products, compounded by raw material supply issues and maintenance activities, leading to continued output declines [2] - The biomedical sector's output was affected by changes in the product structure of active pharmaceutical ingredients (API), resulting in a year-on-year decrease in pharmaceutical output of 1.6% [2]

文/《清华金融评论》 王茅 近日美国总统特朗普在社交媒体上发文称，建议从6月1日起对欧盟商品征 收5 0%关税。这篇不足三百字的推文，掀起了千层浪，导致美股大跌、欧 洲股市大跌、黄金大涨。 特朗普威胁对欧盟征收50%关税的原因 特朗普惯用关税来进行威胁，这早就不是什么新鲜的戏码。早在上次任期内，特朗普就用钢铝关税，逼 迫德国汽车企业赴美建厂。现如今更甚，将威胁要采取的税率抬高到了惊人的50%。特朗普此时发出这 种威胁，主要有以下原因： 一是谈判施压策略。美国财政部长贝森特就直言称，此举意在刺激欧盟加快关税谈判步伐。特朗普政府 认为，欧盟在税收（比如数字服务税）、产业监管（比如汽车法规）以及对华政策协调上态度消极，尤 其不满欧盟方面未能承诺配合美国对中国商品加征关税。美方希望通过"极限施压"，迫使欧盟进行让 步。 二是贸易逆差和经济焦虑。2024年美国对欧盟商品贸易逆差为2356亿美元，汽车领域占比接近40%。特 朗普多次指责欧盟，认为欧盟通过增值税、反垄断罚款等手段"占美国便宜"，指出欧盟成立初衷就是对 美贸易的不公平竞争。 三是国内政治考量。2025年正值美国大选年，特朗普需要兑现"复兴制造业"承诺。加征关 ...

5月22日，英力士汽车北京中心启幕，标志着品牌在中国高端硬派越野车市场开启全新战略布局。英力士汽车全球首席商务官Mike Whittington、全球首 席营销官Jonathan Hill，携手中国执行董事陈霁祥及战略合作伙伴惠通陆华集团董事长黄晓军，共同为这一融合英伦经典美学与硬核越野基因的沉浸式体验 空间揭幕，见证品牌本土化进程再迈里程碑。 长期主义，深耕中国 北京首批车主交付 多维跨界，突破极限 景食品 INVADUAL ISONA BEW JOHE 8 (4) ® #310 VWS 英力士汽车全球首席商务官Mike Whittington表示："英力士汽车北京中心的启幕，是我们深耕中国市场的战略支点。中国消费者对越野车的期待已从单 一性能跃升至'全维价值'——他们既要征服旷野的硬核实力，更渴望可靠品质与个性态度的双重表达。基于此洞察，我们携'掷弹兵'而来，以卓越产品回应 时代需求。" 英力士汽车北京中心择址四惠桥核心商圈，携手国内豪华汽车经销领军者惠通陆华集团联袂打造。该中心以"英伦工业美学与硬派越野基因的共生哲 学"为设计内核，构建品牌沉浸场域、性能体验矩阵与全链路服务体系，为越野爱好者打造从认知到 ...

Group 1 - The commodity market shows mixed trends, with palm oil and aluminum oxide rising over 1%, while the chemical sector collectively declines, with styrene dropping over 2% and industrial silicon down by 2% [1] - Lithium carbonate and industrial silicon have reached historical lows [1] - The main contracts for styrene and industrial silicon have seen significant price drops, with styrene down 2.16% to 7558 and industrial silicon down 1.91% to 7975 [2] Group 2 - The People's Bank of China has lowered the one-year and five-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) by 10 basis points to 3% and 3.5% respectively, indicating a shift in monetary policy [4] - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) plans to implement most employment and economic stabilization policies by the end of June, aiming for high-quality development [4] Group 3 - The commercial inventory of the three major oils has increased to 1.86 million tons, with a week-on-week rise of 40,000 tons, and a year-on-year increase of 200,000 tons [5][6] - The inventory breakdown shows soybean oil stable at 640,000 tons, canola oil at 810,000 tons (up 10,000 tons week-on-week), and palm oil at 410,000 tons (up 30,000 tons week-on-week) [5][6] Group 4 - The chemical sector is experiencing a downturn, with styrene futures dropping to below 7600 yuan, influenced by supply and demand dynamics [7] - The market for styrene is currently balanced, with no significant supply reduction, and downstream demand remains stable despite minor fluctuations [7] Group 5 - The SCFIS European line index has decreased by 2.9% to 1265.30 points, reflecting a cooling market after previous macroeconomic optimism [8] - The market is expected to stabilize and return to fundamental valuation as the supply-demand balance is reassessed [8]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Short - term, maintain a cautious long position for the four major stock index futures (IH/IF/IC/IM) in A - shares; maintain a cautious wait - and - see attitude for commodities and government bonds. The ranking is: stock index > government bonds > commodities. Among commodities, the ranking is: precious metals > non - ferrous metals > energy > black metals [2] 2. Core Viewpoints - Domestically, in April, China's exports increased by 8.1% year - on - year, far exceeding expectations, and the trade surplus was 96.81 billion US dollars, a year - on - year increase of 34%. China and the US will hold trade talks, and the central bank has unexpectedly cut the reserve requirement ratio by 0.5% and interest rates by 10BP, which will boost domestic risk appetite in the short term. Internationally, the US economic activities are still expanding steadily, the US - UK has reached a limited trade agreement, and the US - China trade negotiation has made progress. The Fed maintains the federal funds rate target range at 4.25% - 4.5%, and the dollar rebounds in the short term, leading to an overall increase in global risk appetite [2] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Last Week's Important News and Events - On May 5th, the US President announced to impose a 100% tariff on all foreign - made movies entering the US and will announce tariff measures on pharmaceutical products in the next two weeks. On May 6th, the US March trade deficit widened to a record 140.5 billion US dollars, and the US refused to cancel some tariffs on Japan. On May 7th, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged, and the US and the EU are in trade negotiations. On May 8th, the UK and the US reached a tariff trade agreement, and the EU announced a retaliatory list of 95 billion euros of US goods. On May 9th, the US President said that the US and China will conduct substantial trade negotiations this weekend, and the current 145% tariff on China will be lowered [3][4][5][6][10] 3.2 This Week's Important Events and Economic Data Reminders - From May 12th to May 16th, there will be a series of industrial data releases, including electrolytic aluminum inventory, iron ore shipping and arrival volume, etc., as well as important economic data such as the US CPI, PPI, and GDP data of various countries [11] 3.3 Global Asset Price Trends - Stock markets: Different stock indices in various countries have different price trends and changes. Bond markets: Yields of 10 - year bonds in different countries have different fluctuations. Commodity markets: Prices of various commodities such as steel, non - ferrous metals, and energy have different changes. Exchange rate markets: Exchange rates of major currencies have different degrees of fluctuations [12] 3.4 Domestic High - Frequency Macroeconomic Data - Upstream: Includes data on commodity price indices, energy prices, coal inventories, and iron ore prices. Mid - stream: Covers data on steel prices, production, and inventory, non - ferrous metal prices and inventory, building material prices and inventory, and chemical product prices and inventory. Downstream: Involves data on real estate transaction area, automobile sales, and agricultural product prices [13][42][71] 3.5 Domestic and Foreign Liquidity - Global liquidity: Shown by the US Treasury yield curve. Domestic liquidity: Reflected by central bank open - market operations, inter - bank lending rates, and bond yields [82][84] 3.6 Global Financial Calendar - From May 13th to May 16th, there are important economic data releases in the EU, the US, Germany, Japan, etc., including CPI, PPI, GDP, and other data [105]

从华尔街整体来看，ITW并不受分析师青睐。目前，仅有14%的分析师给予ITW"买入"评级，而标普500 指数成分股的平均"买入"评级比例约为55%。ITW的平均目标股价为每股250美元。 此次被调至"卖出"并未改变"买入"评级比例，但使得"卖出"评级比例上升至23%，约为标普500成分股平 均值的三倍。 智通财经APP获悉，美国银行证券最新报告指出，多元化工业制造商伊利诺伊机械(ITW.US)在特朗普关 税政策下面临特殊挑战，暴露程度远高于其他同类企业。分析师Andrew Obin因此将其股票评级从"持 有"下调至"卖出"，并将目标股价从每股245美元大幅下调至220美元。 截至周三早盘，ITW股价几乎无变化，报239.99美元。今年以来，其股价已累计下跌约5%，表现逊于大 盘。同一时间，标普500指数上涨0.2%，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨0.4%。 Obin在报告中写道："考虑到ITW的终端市场构成，该公司在关税扰动下尤为脆弱。"ITW业务广泛，涵 盖汽车零部件、食品设备、电子测试仪器、焊接设备和建筑产品等多个领域，可谓是工业制造领域中最 为多元化的企业之一。然而，其在汽车和消费品领域的高度参与，使其成为关税 ...

Enpro (NPO) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 06, 2025 08:30 AM ET Company Participants James Gentile - Vice President, Investor RelationsEric Vaillancourt - President & Chief Executive OfficerJoe Bruderek - EVP & CFOJeffrey Hammond - Managing DirectorIan Zaffino - Managing Director Conference Call Participants Steve Ferazani - Senior Equity Analyst - Diversified Industrials & Energy Operator Greetings and welcome to the EnPro Q1 twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call and Webcast. At this time, all participant ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 3.7% year-on-year increase in revenue for Q1 2025, driven by strong performance in the HVAC segment and recent acquisitions [8][13] - Adjusted EBITDA grew by 12% year-on-year, with a margin expansion of 150 basis points [6][8] - Adjusted EPS increased by 10% to $1.38 for the quarter [13][17] - The full year adjusted EPS guidance was raised to a range of $6.1 to $6.4, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12% at the midpoint [17][18] Segment Performance Changes - In the HVAC segment, revenues grew by 6.8% year-on-year, with organic growth of 4.4% driven by the heating platform [13][14] - The Infection and Measurement segment saw a 2% decline in revenues year-on-year, with an organic decline of 6.9%, partially offset by a 5.2% increase from the acquisition of KTS [15][16] - Segment backlog for HVAC was $451 million, up approximately 3% from Q4, while the Infection and Measurement segment backlog was $346 million, up 56% sequentially from Q4 [14][16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted a healthy backlog for highly engineered solutions in the HVAC segment, with strong demand in healthcare and institutional markets [21][22] - The Detection and Measurement segment is experiencing steady run rate demand, with regional variations noted, particularly stronger in the U.S. compared to Europe and Asia [21][48] Company Strategy and Industry Competition - The acquisition of Sigma and Omega is expected to enhance the HVAC segment's value proposition and expand the addressable market, particularly in multi-story buildings [10][11][22] - The company aims to leverage its existing U.S. facilities to increase sales to U.S. customers with minimal additional capital investment [12][22] - The company believes it is less cyclical than most industrial tech companies due to diverse end market drivers and a high level of replacement revenue [20][22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating macroeconomic uncertainties and highlighted a strong start to 2025 [22] - The company is optimistic about data center opportunities and new product initiatives in the HVAC segment [21][22] - Management acknowledged potential impacts from tariffs but indicated that they are well-positioned to manage these challenges [18][20] Other Important Information - The company ended Q1 with cash of $182 million and total debt of $960 million, resulting in a leverage ratio of approximately 1.6 times [16] - Adjusted free cash flow for Q1 was approximately $36 million [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the gross and net tariff impact for the year? - Management indicated a tariff impact of approximately $0.08 to $0.12 on adjusted EPS, translating to a net cost of about $6 million at the midpoint [28][29] Question: How does the Sigma and Omega acquisition fit into growth rates and EBITDA margins? - Management expressed confidence in the acquisition, noting it complements existing products and has strong growth potential, with EBITDA margins slightly lower than the HVAC segment average [29][31] Question: How has order growth progressed through Q1 into Q2 amid tariff uncertainty? - Management reported steady demand across segments, with no significant changes attributed to tariff-related uncertainty [41][42] Question: What is the visibility for multi-year growth with Ingenia? - Management projected Ingenia's revenue capacity to reach $140 million by the end of the year, with high demand for its unique product offerings [52][54] Question: What is driving the growth in the Detection and Measurement segment? - Management noted strong demand driven by various applications, including military and government spending, contributing to the segment's growth [73][76]

霍尼韦尔一季度销售额98亿美元 同比增长8% 智通财经4月30日电，霍尼韦尔公布2025年第一季度业绩，公司报告销售额为98亿美元，同比增长8%； 每股收益为2.22美元，与去年同期持平，调整后每股收益为2.51美元，同比增长7%。经营现金流为6亿 美元，自由现金流为3亿美元，同比增长61%。 ...

For the quarter ended March 2025, Honeywell International Inc. (HON) reported revenue of $9.82 billion, up 7.9% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $2.51, compared to $2.25 in the year-ago quarter.The reported revenue represents a surprise of +2.59% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.57 billion. With the consensus EPS estimate being $2.21, the EPS surprise was +13.57%.While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expectations to ...