Market Performance - On July 7, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.02%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.70% and the ChiNext Index decreased by 1.21%[3] - The total market turnover was 1,208.497 billion yuan, a decrease of 219.868 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day[3] - Out of 3,286 stocks, 2,010 declined while 1,276 advanced[3] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Comprehensive Finance (up 2.21%), Real Estate (up 1.70%), and Electric Power & Utilities (up 1.50%) while the laggards were Pharmaceuticals (down 0.94%), Communications (down 0.80%), and Home Appliances (down 0.73%)[3][21] - The market style ranking was Stable > Financial > Cyclical > Neutral > Growth > Consumer[21] Capital Flow - On July 7, 2025, the net outflow of main funds was 18.268 billion yuan, with large orders seeing a net outflow of 11.283 billion yuan and small orders experiencing a net inflow of 19.967 billion yuan[4][26] - Southbound capital saw a net inflow of 12.067 billion HKD, with the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect contributing 5.791 billion HKD and the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect contributing 6.276 billion HKD[5][28] ETF Trading - Major ETFs such as the Huaxia SSE 50 ETF and the Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF saw significant decreases in trading volume, with changes of -7.82 billion yuan and -26.26 billion yuan respectively[4][31] - The total trading volume for ETFs on July 7 was 12.08497 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease from the previous trading day[31] Global Market Overview - On July 7, 2025, major Asia-Pacific indices showed mixed results, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.12% and the Nikkei 225 down 0.56%[5][34] - European indices also experienced declines, with the DAX down 0.61% and the CAC40 down 0.75% on July 4, 2025[5][34]

证券研究报告 | 2025年07月07日 金融工程日报 沪指震荡微升，封板率创近一个月新高 市场表现：今日(20250707) 规模指数中中证 2000 指数表现较好，板块指数 中上证综指表现较好，风格指数中中证 500 价值指数表现较好。综合金融、 房地产、电力公用事业、综合、轻工制造行业表现较好，医药、通信、家电、 电子、煤炭行业表现较差。中船系、水电、玻璃纤维、生物质能、火电等概 念表现较好，单克隆抗体、北部湾自贸区、仿制药、超宽带技术、阿尔兹海 默等概念表现较差。 市场情绪：今日收盘时有 79 只股票涨停，有 7 只股票跌停。昨日涨停股票 今日收盘收益为 3.62%，昨日跌停股票今日收盘收益为-3.44%。今日封板率 85%，较前日提升 29%，连板率 33%，较前日提升 18%，封板率创近一个月新 高。 市场资金流向：截至 20250704 两融余额为 18529 亿元，其中融资余额 18400 亿元，融券余额 129 亿元。两融余额占流通市值比重为 2.2%，两融交易占市 场成交额比重为 9.1%。 折溢价：20250704 当日 ETF 溢价较多的是中证 2000ETF 基金，ETF 折价较多 ...

证券研究报告：金融工程报告 发布时间：2025-07-07 研究所 分析师:肖承志 SAC 登记编号:S1340524090001 Email:xiaochengzhi@cnpsec.com 研究助理:李子凯 SAC 登记编号:S1340124100014 Email:lizikai@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《 谷 歌 推 出 Gemini Robotics On- Device 大模型，快手开源 keye-VL 多模 态模型——AI 动态汇总 20250630》 - 2025.07.02 《指数创下年内新高但与题材炒作存 在较大割裂，银行 ETF 获大幅净流入— — 行 业 轮 动 周 报 20250629 》 - 2025.06.30 《ETF 资金大幅净流入金融地产，石油 油气扩散指数环比提升靠前——行业 轮动周报 20250629》 – 2025.06.23 《融资资金持续大幅净流入医药，GRU 行业轮动调出银行——行业轮动周报 20250615》 – 2025.6.16 《资金博弈停牌个股大幅流入信创 ETF，概念轮动速度较快——行业轮动 周报 20250608》 - 2025.06.0 ...

兴业期货日度策略：2025.07.07 重点策略推荐及操作建议： 商品期货方面：驱动分化，焦煤偏强，碳酸锂、PTA 偏弱。 联系电话：021-80220262 操作上： 品种基本面分析及行情研判： | 品种 | 观点及操作建议 | 方向研判 | 分析师 | 联系人 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 股指 | 震荡蓄势，关注中报业绩表现 随着股指上行至年内高位，资金表现逐渐谨慎，市场量能小幅 | 震荡 | 投资咨询部 张舒绮 | 联系人：房紫薇 | | | 上周 A 股震荡走强，上证指数再创新高，沪深两市成交额在 | | | | | | 1.4 万亿元左右，较前一周小幅回落。从行业来看，钢铁、银行、 | | | | | | 建材板块领涨，综合金融、计算机行业跌幅居前。四大股指期货走 | | | | | | 势分化，IF、IH 走强；IC、IM 高位震荡，基差贴水小幅走阔。 | | | | | | | | 从业资格： | 021-80220135 | | | | | F3037345 | 从业资格： | | | 走弱，短期或维持高位震荡蓄势。中长期来看，政策托底态度依旧 | ...

Group 1 - The A-share market indices closed mixed, with the CSI 300 Comprehensive Financial Services Index reported at 3937.34 points [1] - The CSI 300 Comprehensive Financial Services Index has increased by 9.25% over the past month, 14.37% over the past three months, and 9.72% year-to-date [1] - The CSI 300 Index is categorized into 11 primary industries, 35 secondary industries, over 90 tertiary industries, and more than 200 quaternary industries to reflect the overall performance of different sectors [1] Group 2 - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange accounts for 100.00% of the holdings in the CSI 300 Comprehensive Financial Services Index [2] - The index sample is adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December each year [2] - Weight factors are generally fixed until the next scheduled adjustment, with temporary adjustments made in response to changes in the CSI 300 Index [2]

股指周报：美国关税豁免本周到期，不确定性引发市场避险 正信期货股指期货周报 20250707 研究员：蒲祖林 投资咨询证号：Z0017203 理性投资，风险自担 Email：puzl@zxqh.net 核心观点 风险提示：中东地缘冲突和中美贸易摩擦扰动、美联储降息不及预期，中国未释放政策利多信号 宏观：美国对各国90天豁免期本周结束，关注美国与各国谈判进展，尤其是欧盟和日本、印度等国的结果，关税政策 对市场的冲击仍有不确定性风险，参考2018年的路径，需谨防特朗普极限施压的负面情绪冲击。国内经济各领域步入 季节性回升转折窗口，市场仍预期7月底关于经济工作的政治局会议利多。 中观：地产销售低位季节性回升，但力度有限，总体旺季不旺，服务业结构分化且暑期季节性升温，5月实体经济中生 产和投资退坡，消费在财政补贴提振下扛起大旗，制造业抢出口近入尾声，三季度或有脉冲回落压力，国内反内卷式政 策出台，供给缩减有望扭转商品供需平衡，物价有望震荡回升，关注本周CPI和PPI的表现。 资金：国内流动性总体宽松，海外流动性在美国经济数据韧性扰动下边际收紧，金融条件反复波动，美元指数有望超跌 反弹，国内股市将获得增量资金，被动ET ...

国内市场综述 冲高回落 走势分化 周五（7 月 4 日）大盘冲高回落，走势分化。截至收 盘，上证综指收于 3472.32 点，上涨 0.32%；深成指 收于 10508.76 点，下跌 0.25%；科创 50 下跌 0.01%； 创业板指下跌 0.36%，万得全 A 成交额共 14545 亿元， 较前一日有所上升。 行业方面，30 个中信一级行业有 13 个行业上涨，其 中银行、综合金融及传媒涨幅居前，而有色金属、基 础化工及轻工制造则跌幅较大。概念方面，稳定币、 跨境支付及央企银行等指数表现活跃。 1.稳增长力度不及预期； 2.地缘冲突升级。 分析师：彭竑/钟哲元 登记编码：S1490520090001/ S1490523030001 邮箱：penghong@crsec.com.cn/ zhongzheyuan@crsec.com.cn | 市场研究部证券研究报告 | | | 2025 年 | 7 月 7 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 国内市场 | 收盘点位 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅% | | 国内市场综述 | 上证综指 | 3472.32 | 11.17 | ...

周度报告——股指期货 新题材相继涌现，股指持续走强 [★Ta一bl周e_复Su盘mm：a反ry]内卷行情启动 股 指 期 货 本周（06/30-07/04）以美元计价的全球股市收涨。MSCI 全球指 数涨 1.2%，其中前沿市场（+1.55%）>发达市场（+1.31%）> 新兴市场（+0.25%）。巴西股市涨 4.40%领跑全球，瑞典股市跌 1.6%全球表现最差。中国权益资产分化，分市场看，A 股>中概 股>港股。A 股沪深京三市日均成交额 14417 亿元，环比上周 （14869 亿元)缩量 453 亿元。指数分化明显，其中微盘股指数涨 1.89%表现最好，北证 50 指数跌 1.71%跑输大盘。本周 A 股中信 一级行业中共中共共 25 个上涨（上周 29 个），5 个下跌（上周 1 个）。领涨行业为钢铁（+5.27%），跌幅最大的行业为综合金 融（-4.45%）。利率方面，本周 10Y 国债收益率上行，1Y 下行， 利差扩大。ETF 资金流向方面，跟踪沪深 300 指数的 ETF 份额 本周减少 25 亿份，跟踪中证 500 的 ETF 份额减少 5 亿份。跟踪 中证 1000 的 ETF 份额本周减少 ...

金融工程 | 金工定期报告 金融工程 证券研究报告 量化择时周报：关键指标或将在下周触发 关键指标或将在下周触发 上周周报(20250629)认为：短期市场虽突破震荡上轨，但格局改变指标（均 线距离突破 3%）仍需等待确认，同时进入业绩披露关键窗口期，市场风险 偏好较难持续提升，建议保持中性仓位，等待格局改变信号。 wind 全 A 继续上行，全周上涨 1.22%。市值维度上，上周代表小市值股票的中证 2000 上涨 0.59%，中盘股中证 500 上涨 0.81%，沪深 300 上涨 1.54%，上证 50 上 涨 1.21%;上周中信一级行业中，表现较强行业包括钢铁、银行，钢铁上涨 5.27%，综合金融、计算机表现较弱，综合金融下跌 4.45%。上周成交活跃 度上，钢铁和建材资金流入明显。 从择时体系来看，我们定义的用来区别市场整体环境的 wind 全 A 长期均 线（120 日）和短期均线（20 日）的距离继续扩大，最新数据显示 20 日 线收于 5218，120 日线收于 5090 点，短期均线继续位于长线均线之上， 两线差值由上周的 1.76%扩大至 2.52%，距离绝对值继续小于 3%，市场继续 ...

- The report discusses the market performance of various indices, including the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index, which performed well with a rise of 0.58%[6] - The report highlights the performance of sector indices, noting that the banking, comprehensive finance, media, steel, and pharmaceutical industries performed well, with returns of 1.85%, 1.13%, 0.72%, 0.52%, and 0.41%, respectively[7] - The report provides data on market sentiment, including the number of stocks that hit their daily limit up and down, with 41 stocks hitting the limit up and 13 stocks hitting the limit down at the close of trading[12] - The report includes information on the financing and securities lending balance, which stood at 18,591 billion yuan as of July 3, 2025, with a financing balance of 18,464 billion yuan and a securities lending balance of 127 billion yuan[16] - The report discusses the premium and discount rates of ETFs, noting that the innovative drug ETF Huatai Bairui had the highest premium at 0.92%, while the Kechuang New Materials ETF Huatai Bairui had the highest discount at 0.74%[20] - The report provides data on block trading, noting that the average daily transaction amount over the past six months was 1.2 billion yuan, with the transaction amount on July 3, 2025, being 1.8 billion yuan and the average discount rate over the past six months being 5.75%[23] - The report discusses the annualized discount rates of stock index futures, noting that the annualized discount rates of the main contracts of the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 stock index futures were 3.86%, 5.27%, 15.75%, and 14.40%, respectively, on July 4, 2025[25] - The report provides data on institutional attention and the Dragon and Tiger list, noting that the stocks with the highest net inflows from institutional seats were Shenzhou Cells, Xice Testing, Longyang Electronics, Guangsheng Tang, Nanling Technology, Rejing Biology, Desheng Technology, Yihong New Materials, Xuedilong, and Canning Power[27][30][33] - The report includes data on the net inflows and outflows of stocks from the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, noting that the stocks with the highest net inflows were Beijing New Pharmaceuticals, Hengbao Shares, Bomin Electronics, Longyang Electronics, Guangsheng Tang, and Shenzhou Cells[34]