摘要 • 2024 年通用设备行业收入增长 8.2%，但净利润增速仅为 1.7%。剔除工 业气体板块后，收入增速放缓，业绩增速转负，表明行业盈利能力面临挑 战。 • 2025 年一季度通用机械行业盈利情况改善，净利率达 9%，超过 2021 年 全年水平，主要得益于期间费率下降和经营性现金流净额占比提高，显示 出运营效率的提升。 • 注塑机、3C 消费电子和宏观机床设备等细分板块表现突出。注塑机收入增 速显著，3C 消费电子领域受益于激光加工设备需求，机床设备业绩降幅收 窄，反映了不同子行业的复苏态势。 • 2024 年资本开支整体下降，但 2025 年一季度钢铁、汽车、3C 消费电子 和国防军工等板块呈现改善，预示着制造业投资信心的逐步恢复。 • 国内制造业高端化趋势明显，秦川机床受益于高端车床需求增长，毛利率 和净利率表现优秀，是值得关注的标的，反映了高端制造领域的投资机会。 • 刀具子行业盈利水平连续下滑，供求矛盾突出，价格下行压力大。但华锐 等企业在航空航天和军工等领域取得突破，高端制造领域国产化进展值得 关注。 • 怡合达一季度收入结束连续负增长，毛利率和净利率均高于去年全年水平， 受益于汽车、半导 ...

其他通用机械 绿的谐波（688017.SH） 增持-A(首次) 25Q1 业绩修复，关注公司产品和高端场景拓展 2025 年 5 月 15 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 事件描述 公司披露 2024 年报和 2025 年一季报。2024 年实现营业收入 3.87 亿元， 同比+8.77%；归母净利润 0.56 亿元，同比-33.26%；扣非后归母净利润 0.46 亿元，同比-38.09%。24Q4 营业收入 1.11 亿元，同比+9.1%；归母净利润-0.03 亿元，同比-122.86%。25Q1 营业收入 0.98 亿元，同比+19.65%；归母净利润 0.20 亿元，同比+0.66%，环比实现扭亏。 事件点评 市场数据：2025 年 5 月 14 日 基础数据：2025 年 3 月 31 日 业绩承压，2024 年毛利率/净利率分别下滑 3.60/9.41pc ；25Q1 环比扭 亏 。 2024 年 ， 公 司 毛 利 率 / 净 利 率 分 别 为 37.54%/14.41% ， 同 比 分 别 -3.60pc /-9.41pc 。分行业，国内工业机器人行业需求回暖，公司工业及服务 机器 ...

文/ 广发证券首席经济学家 郭磊 2 0 25年4月我国出口同比增长8.1%，高于一季度的5 . 8%。4月2日美国对 外关税落地，4月处于关税影响之下，这一出口表现明显超预期。为何出 口呈现出如此高的韧性？拆解来看，一是对美出口4月同比为- 21.0%，虽 然增速大幅下降，但仍好于预期；二是对东盟、印度、非洲、拉美4月出 口同比增速分别为20.8%、2 1 . 7%、2 5 . 3%、17.3%，有效起到了对冲作 用。 观点概述： 第一，2025年4月出口同比增长8.1%，高于一季度的5.8%。 4月2日美国对外关税落地，4月处于关税影 响之下，这一出口表现明显超预期。 第二，为何出口呈现出如此高的韧性？ 拆解来看，一是对美出口4月同比为-21.0%，虽然增速大幅下 降，但仍好于预期；二是对东盟、印度、非洲、拉美4月出口同比增速分别为20.8%、21.7%、25.3%、 17.3%，有效起到了对冲作用。 第三，从主要出口商品来看，四大劳动密集型产品（纺织纱线、箱包、服装、玩具）增速依旧较低 ， 月合并同比为-0.8%。电子产品中手机可能受关税影响偏大，手机和自动数据处理设备同比分别 为-21.4%和-1.7 ...

guolei@gf.com.cn 广发证券首席经济学家 郭磊 摘要 第一， 2025 年 4 月出口同比增长 8.1% ，高于一季度的 5.8% 。 4 月 2 日美国对外关税落地， 4 月处 于关税影响之下，这一出口表现明显超预期。 第二， 为何出口呈现出如此高的韧性？拆解来看，一是对美出口 4 月同比为 -21.0% ，虽然增速大幅下 降，但仍好于预期；二是对东盟、印度、非洲、拉美 4 月出口同比增速分别为 20.8% 、 21.7% 、 25.3% 、 17.3% ，有效起到了对冲作用。 第三， 从主要出口商品来看，四大劳动密集型产品（纺织纱线、箱包、服装、玩具）增速依旧较低，月合并 同比为 -0.8% 。电子产品中手机可能受关税影响偏大，手机和自动数据处理设备同比分别为 -21.4% 和 -1.7% 。家电家具出口增速不高， 4 月同比分别为 -2.9% 和 -7.8% 。汽车出口增速略有上行， 4 月单 月同比 4.4% ，略高于一季度的 2.2% 。增速明显较快的主要是几类产品：（ 1 ）通用机械设备出口 4 月 同比 17.0% ，高于一季度的 6.2% ；（ 2 ）船舶出口 4 月同比 36. ...

今日共66股涨停，连板股总数14只，其中三连板及以上个股6只，上一交易日共22只连板股，连板股晋级率27.27%（不含ST股、退市股）。个股方面，全市 场超3800只个股上涨，但连板股表现较弱，市场连板高度被压缩至4连板的润贝航科与中超控股。另一方面，高位股开始出现明显负反馈，汉商集团、全筑 股份、迪生力等跌停，精进电动跌超10%。板块方面，军工股再度走强，千亿龙头中航成飞20CM涨停，华伍股份、晨曦航空、天箭科技、成飞集成、利君 股份晋级2连板；压缩机概念异军突起，磁谷科技、通业科技、金通灵20CM涨停，山东章鼓、联合精密、百达精工、冰轮环境等个股涨停，消息面上，日 前，丹佛斯磁悬浮压缩机业务总裁表示，公司在中国的数据中心相关业务增长了三倍，今年预计增速为50%左右。 | 连板数 | 晋级率 | | 2025-5-8 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 #4 | 2/4=50% | 润贝航科 (大飞机+业绩) | | | 2进3 | 4/15=26% | 山东墨龙 (摘帽) | | | | | 麒盛科技 (华为鸿蒙+脑机接口) | | | 1进2 | 8/43=18% | 航天长 ...

公司研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 欧科亿（688308）2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评 强推（维持） 收入有所增长，利润短期承压 目标价：21.30 元 事项： 公司发布 2024 年报以及 2025 年一季报：2024 年公司实现营业收入 11.27 亿 元，同比+9.81%；归母净利润 0.57 亿元，同比-65.48%，扣非净利润 0.26 亿 元，同比-79.71%。2025 年一季报实现营收 3.02 亿元，同比+14.32%，归母净 利润 0.08 亿元，同比-74.33%；扣非归母净利润 0.01 亿元，同比-90.54%。 评论： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 1,127 | 1,339 | 1,591 | 1,892 | | 同比增速(%) | 9.8% | 18.8% | 18.8% | 18.9% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 57 | 112 | 162 | 198 | | 同比增速 ...

证券研究报告 纽威数控 (688697 CH) 25Q1 收入稳增，发布人形业务车床 | 华泰研究 | | | 年报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 4 月 | 30 日│中国内地 | 通用机械 | 公司 24 年收入 24.62 亿元，同比+6.08%；归母净利 3.25 亿元，同比+2.36%； 扣非归母净利 2.79 亿元，同比+1.24%。公司 24 年归母净利低于我们预期 （预期值 3.80 亿元），主要系行业需求复苏不及预期及竞争加剧。公司 25Q1 收入 5.69 亿元，同比+3.80%，归母净利 0.61 亿元，同比-11.78%，利润下 降主要系行业竞争加剧造成公司盈利能力同比下降。我们看好公司产品高端 化、全球化为公司带来长久的发展空间，维持"买入"评级。 2024 年高毛利海外业务占比下降，25Q1 费用管控能力提升 公司 24 年毛利率 23.68%，同比-2.78pp，净利率 13.21%，同比-0.48pp。 毛利率下降主要系行业竞争加剧以及高毛利的海外收入占比下降所致。公司 24 年国内/海外收入 21.07/3.42 亿元，同比 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [9][21]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant year-on-year revenue increase of 39.1% in Q1 2025, reaching 3.24 billion yuan, with a net profit of 230 million yuan, reflecting an 88.3% growth [2]. - The report highlights three key growth areas for the company: aviation power systems, motorcycle engines, and general machinery, with expectations for continued strong performance in these segments [3][4]. - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027 upwards due to better-than-expected business growth and investment income from a joint venture, projecting net profits of 713 million yuan, 834 million yuan, and 949 million yuan respectively [9]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 230 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 88.3%, and a non-recurring net profit of 220 million yuan, up 87.2% [2]. - The company's revenue from motorcycle engine sales reached 3.82 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 13.8% and a net profit of 153 million yuan, reflecting an 18.84% increase [3]. - The general machinery segment reported a revenue of 5.22 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit of 359 million yuan, marking a 39.33% increase [4]. - The financial projections for the company indicate a total revenue of 12.69 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 20.8% and a net profit of 713 million yuan, representing a 54.5% increase [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company has been upgraded to "Buy" with a target price of 82.00 RMB [8][9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 9.39 billion RMB for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.51%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.51 billion RMB, up 0.4% year-on-year, primarily driven by the increased market share of excavator hydraulic pump and valve products and the continued growth in non-engineering machinery products [1][2]. - The company is expected to benefit significantly from the growth in excavator sales since Q1 2025, with a total of 61,372 excavators sold in Q1 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 22.8% [3]. - The linear actuators, which are key components for humanoid robots, have entered mass production, although they are not expected to contribute significantly to revenue and profit in the short term [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.422 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 2.56%, and a net profit of 618 million RMB, up 2.61% year-on-year [1][2]. - The revenue from hydraulic pumps and motors accounted for 38.16% of total revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 9.63%, and a gross margin of 47.94%, up 9.63 percentage points [2]. Sales and Market Trends - The domestic sales of excavators reached 36,562 units in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 38.3%, indicating strong demand in sectors such as agriculture and municipal water conservancy [3]. - The company anticipates that the demand for small excavators will continue to support the domestic market, as the sales of second-hand excavators are expected to exceed new machine sales for the first time in 2024 [3]. Future Projections - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.751 billion RMB, 3.227 billion RMB, and 3.772 billion RMB, respectively, reflecting an upward revision due to anticipated growth in excavator sales [5]. - The target price has been adjusted to 82.00 RMB based on a new price-to-earnings ratio of 40x, up from the previous 31x, reflecting the expected growth in downstream demand and the potential of the linear actuator project [5].

Core Viewpoint - 隆鑫通用动力股份有限公司 reported significant growth in revenue and net profit for the year 2024, driven by strong performance in the motorcycle and general machinery sectors [15][17]. Company Overview - 隆鑫通用 is a leading manufacturer in the motorcycle industry, maintaining the top position in exports for 19 consecutive years, with a total motorcycle sales volume of 16.46 million units in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 12.99% [2][3]. - The company specializes in various products including two-wheeled motorcycles, three-wheeled motorcycles, motorcycle engines, all-terrain vehicles, and general machinery [4][5]. Industry Performance - The motorcycle industry in China saw a total sales volume of 16.46 million units in 2024, with domestic sales declining by 16.56% to 8.91 million units, while exports increased by 26.72% to 11.02 million units [2]. - The market for large-displacement leisure motorcycles (over 250cc) grew significantly, with sales reaching 756,600 units, a year-on-year increase of 42.97% [3]. - The general machinery sector experienced a total sales volume of 47.72 million internal combustion engines, marking a 6.67% increase year-on-year [4]. Financial Highlights - The company achieved a revenue of 4.646 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 40.98%, and a net profit of 507 million yuan, up 96.79% [15]. - Motorcycle product sales contributed 2.742 billion yuan, with export revenue reaching 310 million USD, a 55.23% increase [15]. - The company’s all-terrain vehicle sales increased by 74.36%, generating 107 million yuan in revenue [16]. Business Model - 隆鑫通用 operates through a comprehensive business model that includes research and development, procurement, production, and sales [6][10]. - The company has established a robust R&D structure with nearly 1,600 personnel, focusing on market-driven innovations [7]. Legal and Financial Matters - The company is currently involved in legal proceedings regarding receivables, with a balance of 666 million yuan and significant provisions for credit impairment [18]. - The company is also in the process of transferring its stake in the Italian CMD company, with ongoing negotiations and conditions to be met for completion [19][20].