农产品日报 | 2025-06-12 需求跟进不足，猪价维持震荡 生猪观点 市场要闻与重要数据 期货方面，昨日收盘生猪 2509合约13600元/吨，较前交易日变动+5.00元/吨，幅度+0.04%。现货方面，河南地区 外三元生猪价格14.01元/公斤，较前交易日变动+0.00元/公斤，现货基差 LH09+410，较前交易日变动-5；江苏地区 外三元生猪价格 14.25元/公斤，较前交易日变动+0.00元/公斤，现货基差LH09+650，较前交易日变动-5；四川地区 外三元生猪价格13.88元/公斤，较前交易日变动+0.00元/公斤，现货基差LH09+280，较前交易日变动-5。 据农业农村部监测，6月11日"农产品批发价格200指数"为113.17，比昨天上升0.08个点，"菜篮子"产品批发价格指 数为113.27，比昨天上升0.12个点。全国农产品批发市场猪肉平均价格为20.28元/公斤，比昨天下降0.1%；牛肉63.61 元/公斤，比昨天上升1.0%；羊肉59.92元/公斤，比昨天上升0.5%；鸡蛋7.39元/公斤，比昨天上升0.5%；白条鸡17.06 元/公斤，比昨天上升1.4%。 市场分析 综合来看 ...

Core Viewpoint - The introduction of a commercial beef income insurance product by China Life Property & Casualty Insurance Qingdao Branch addresses the risks associated with the high-end beef cattle industry, supporting the development of specialty agricultural products insurance as outlined in the 2025 Central Document No. 1 [1][2]. Group 1: Insurance Product Development - China Life Property & Casualty Insurance Qingdao Branch has launched a market-oriented beef income insurance product that transitions from cost coverage to ensuring price stability and income security [1]. - The insurance product features a dual protection scheme that covers both mortality losses and market price fluctuations, moving away from reliance on government subsidies to a fully market-driven model [1][2]. Group 2: Industry Impact - Qingdao Longming Beef Industry, a high-end snowflake beef supplier, has developed a complete industry chain over ten years, focusing on breeding, smart farming, deep processing, and brand development [2]. - The company has established four proprietary pastures covering 15,000 acres, with an annual output value exceeding 100 million yuan, aiming to become a core supplier in the national high-end beef supply chain [2][3]. Group 3: Risk Management and Growth Potential - The cost of raising each beef cattle ranges from 50,000 to 80,000 yuan, with price volatility and mortality risks previously hindering expansion [3]. - With the new insurance coverage, the company plans to increase its cattle stock from 15,000 to 50,000 heads, projecting an annual output value of over 500 million yuan [3].

大畜牧养殖板块迎来景气共振 20250611 摘要 节后猪价持续偏强，虽整体供应有所增长但未达极端过剩，仔猪流行性 腹泻导致阶段性供应下滑，补栏意愿强烈推高仔猪价格，近期育肥猪和 仔猪价格开始回落，主要因腹泻影响减弱供应恢复。 政策层面通过限制二次育肥和母猪产能扩张稳定生猪市场价格，避免短 期内价格剧烈波动。截至 4 月底能繁母猪存栏量同比增长 1.3%，表明 行业产能偏多，国家希望通过政策干预调节产能，维持价格在合理区间。 国家对生猪市场的政策干预分阶段进行，包括谈话窗口指导和限制贷款 等实质性政策实施，旨在保持生猪市场稳定，避免短期内出现暴涨暴跌 情况。 牛养殖板块也存在较大的投资和布局机会，在未来一段时间内，生猪和 生牛养殖板块都有良好的发展前景，可以带来可观的投资回报。 2017 年环保严查对南方水域养殖猪场进行强制产能出清，未来若通过 环保严查或贷款限制等政策，使猪价长期维持在 14 到 16 元之间，整个 行业将受到显著影响。 Q&A 今年生猪市场的基本面情况如何？ 今年（2025 年）生猪市场的基本面表现较为坚挺，尤其是在上半年。首先， 过年之后行业产能压力不大，生猪出栏供应压力较小。节前预判到 ...

Group 1 - The pork concept sector increased by 2.16%, ranking 7th among concept sectors, with 29 stocks rising, including Zhenghong Technology, which hit the daily limit, and Shennong Group, Dayu Biological, and Muyuan Foods, which rose by 7.70%, 5.06%, and 4.79% respectively [1] - The pork concept sector saw a net inflow of 251 million yuan, with 23 stocks receiving net inflows, and 12 stocks exceeding 10 million yuan in net inflow, led by New Hope with a net inflow of 54.25 million yuan [2][3] - The top stocks by net inflow ratio included Zhenghong Technology, New Five Farms, and Tianbang Foods, with net inflow ratios of 29.78%, 12.94%, and 12.65% respectively [3][4] Group 2 - The top gainers in the pork concept sector included Zhenghong Technology, which rose by 9.96%, and Shennong Group, which rose by 7.70%, while the biggest losers were Bright Food, which fell by 1.91%, and Jingji Zhino, which fell by 1.14% [1][5] - The trading volume and turnover rates for key stocks in the pork sector showed significant activity, with Zhenghong Technology having a turnover rate of 9.04% and New Hope at 1.38% [3][4] - The overall performance of the pork sector reflects a positive sentiment among investors, as indicated by the substantial net inflows and rising stock prices [2][3]

生猪 姓名：毕慧 宝城期货投资咨询部 从业资格证号：F0268536 投资咨询证号：Z0011311 电话：0411-84807266 邮箱：bihui@bcqhgs.com 作者声明 本人具有中国期货业协 会授予的期货从业资格证 书，期货投资咨询资格证 书，本人承诺以勤勉的职业 态度，独立、客观地出具本 报告。本报告清晰准确地反 映了本人的研究观点。本人 不会因本报告中的具体推荐 意见或观点而直接或间接接 收到任何形式的报酬。 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 生猪 | 报告 2025 年 6 月 11 日 生猪 专业研究·创造价值 政策调控下的生猪市场 核心观点 短期来看，国内生猪和猪肉供应均处于较为宽松的局面中，猪价还将维 持弱势震荡的格局。短期冻肉收储工作有助于稳定市场信心和遏制猪价下 行。调控母猪产能、禁止二育投机、限制出栏体重等措施带来的影响大多需 要较长时间才能逐步显现，尤其是调控母猪产能的时间影响或长达一年左 右。 专业研究·创造价值 1 / 11 请务必阅读文末免责条款 请务必阅读文末免责条款部分 1 / 24 | 1 目前生猪市场的核心问题 4 | | --- | | 1 ...

以下文章来源于南方新消费 ，作者林佳怡 南方新消费 . 胖东来、蜜雪冰城和泡泡玛特 —— 这三家来自河南的企业， 已 分别 成为商超、茶饮、潮玩 领域 的 新标杆。 尤其是泡泡玛特，近期表现极其亮眼， 股价连涨多日 ， 创始人王宁的身家跟着一路飙升， 直接干翻了曾经的河南首富、 "中国猪王"秦英林。 01 中国猪王，被泡泡玛特干翻了 河南富豪榜的 "头把交椅"向来被传统实业大佬把持。 牧原股份的秦英林夫妇靠着猪肉生意， 已多年 蝉联河南富豪榜第一 。 牧原股份成立于 1992年，总部位于河南省南阳市 。 2014年在深交所上市，是中国最大的生 猪养殖企业。 在 今年 3月发布的《2025胡润全球 富豪榜》 中 ，牧原股份 的 秦英林、钱瑛夫妇 仍位居河 南富豪榜第一， 蜜雪冰城 的 张红超、张红甫两兄弟以 225 亿元财富 紧随其后， 并列河南 富豪榜第二。 分享关于新消费的一切，做实用而美的产品。 泡泡玛特，超越中国猪王。 来源：南方新消费 作者：林佳怡 编辑：张恺翀 | 排名 | 排名变化 | 姓名 | 财富(亿元) | 财富变化 | 主要公司 | 主要行业 | | --- | --- | --- | - ...

世纪证券有限责任公司 关于乐山巨星农牧股份有限公司 差异化权益分派特殊除权除息事项的核查意见 世纪证券有限责任公司（以下简称"世纪证券"、"保荐人"）作为乐山巨 星农牧股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"、"上市公司"、"巨星农牧"）的保 荐机构，根据《证券发行上市保荐业务管理办法》《上海证券交易所上公公司自 律监管指引第 11 号—持续督导》《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 7 号—回购股份》等有关法律、法规的规定，对巨星农牧差异化权益分派特殊除权 除息事项进行了审慎核查，具体情况如下： 一、本次差异化权益分派的原因 于以集中竞价交易方式回购股份方案的议案》，同意公司本次拟使用自有资金以 集中竞价交易方式回购公司股份，用于员工持股计划或股权激励。公司本次回购 价格不超过人民币 25.21 元/股（含），回购资金总额不低于人民币 10,000 万元 （含），不超过人民币 20,000 万元（含），自公司董事会审议通过本次回购股 份方案之日起 6 个月内。 《关于以集中竞价交易方式回购股份方案的议案》，同意公司本次拟使用自有资 金或金融机构借款以集中竞价交易方式回购公司股份，用于实施员工持股计划或 股权激励。公 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Longyuan Mountain reported a decline in both pig sales and revenue for May 2025, indicating a challenging market environment [1] - In May 2025, the company sold 58,400 pigs, which represents a month-on-month decrease of 10.41% and a year-on-year decrease of 9.52% [1] - The sales revenue for May 2025 was 100 million yuan, reflecting a month-on-month decline of 19.60% and a year-on-year decline of 11.45% [1] Group 2 - For the period from January to May 2025, the cumulative sales of pigs reached 266,400, showing a year-on-year decrease of 17.88% [1] - The cumulative sales revenue for the same period was 518 million yuan, which is a year-on-year decline of 2.18% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The livestock farming sector is experiencing a positive trend, with the China Livestock Farming Index showing a strong increase, driven by key stocks like Muyuan Foods and others, despite ongoing challenges in the market due to fluctuating pig prices and inventory pressures [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of June 11, 2025, the China Livestock Farming Index (930707) rose by 1.06%, with major stocks such as Shennong Group increasing by 6.69% and Muyuan Foods by 4.08% [1]. - The Livestock ETF (516760) also saw a rise of 1.08%, closing at 0.65 yuan, with a two-week cumulative increase of 2.54% [1]. - The trading volume for the Livestock ETF was 215.17 million yuan, with a turnover rate of 1.64% [1]. Group 2: Company Insights - Muyuan Foods reported a significant increase in pig output from January to April, with production costs improving to 12.4 yuan per kilogram by April [2]. - The company has submitted an application for H-share issuance, which may enhance its global market presence [2]. - Despite a downward trend in pig prices, the industry remains profitable, supported by Muyuan's cost advantages and improved profit margins [2]. Group 3: Valuation Metrics - The Livestock ETF tracks the China Livestock Farming Index, which has a current price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) of 12.89, indicating it is at a historical low compared to the past year [4]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the index account for 68.9% of its total weight, with companies like Haida Group and Muyuan Foods being significant contributors [4]. Group 4: Stock Performance Overview - The performance of the top ten stocks in the Livestock ETF shows varied results, with Haida Group declining by 2.09% while Muyuan Foods increased by 4.09% [6]. - Other notable performers include Wens Foodstuff Group, which rose by 3.05%, and New Hope, which increased by 1.57% [6].

Group 1 - The livestock sector continues to rebound, with the Livestock ETF (159865) rising over 1.3% and experiencing net inflows for four consecutive days [1] - According to Everbright Securities, the industry capacity cycle for pig farming has bottomed out, but high inventory levels continue to impact market dynamics [1] - Recent policy initiatives are accelerating the industry's efforts to reduce inventory, which is expected to realign the supply-demand relationship, potentially leading to a long-term profit uptrend after inventory reduction concludes [1] Group 2 - The Livestock ETF (159865) tracks the China Securities Livestock Index (code: 930707), which is compiled by China Securities Index Co., Ltd. and reflects the overall performance of listed companies involved in livestock farming, feed processing, and veterinary drug production [1] - The China Securities Livestock Index covers the entire livestock industry chain, including pig and chicken farming as well as related support services, demonstrating strong industry representation [1] - The recovery in pig inventory levels is boosting demand for feed and animal health products, with performance gradually improving [1]