Report Industry Investment Rating - The rating for stock index futures is "oscillation" [3] Core Viewpoints of the Report - Global stock markets continued to recover this week, with US stocks achieving a V-shaped reversal. The pricing duration of global risk assets is getting shorter, actively pricing in factors such as optimism about tariff negotiations, resilient non - farm employment data, and better - than - expected tech stock earnings reports. For A - shares, the market is supported by factors like the potential acceleration of Sino - US negotiations, clear technology industry trends, and capital support from the "national team". However, the performance of small - cap stocks is concerning. In Q1 2025, the profit growth rate of listed companies was 3.46%, slightly higher than expected, but the resilience was mainly in blue - chip stocks. The valuation levels of small - cap indices such as CSI 2000 and BeiZheng 50 have reached historical extremes, and the risk of potential return decline should be vigilant [2][11] Summary by Directory 1. One - Week View and Overview of Macro Key Events - **Next - week View**: Wait for the return of market liquidity. The performance of small - cap stocks is worrying, and attention should be paid to the risk of potential return decline due to high valuations [11] - **This - week Key Events**: - On April 28, the National Development and Reform Commission announced measures to stabilize employment and the economy, including supporting employment, stabilizing foreign trade, promoting consumption, and expanding effective investment. It also planned to issue additional car purchase indicators for specific groups. The China Council for the Promotion of International Trade reported that nearly half of foreign - trade enterprises would reduce US business and 75.3% planned to expand emerging markets [11][13][14] - On April 29, the national leader emphasized that Shanghai should build a global - influence scientific and technological innovation high - ground. Three departments jointly issued a notice to clean up and rectify unreasonable regulations on market access barriers. China's service trade deficit in Q1 2025 decreased year - on - year [16][17][18] - On April 30, China's manufacturing PMI in April fell to 49. The foreign ministry stated that there was no Sino - US tariff negotiation. The national leader emphasized the importance of developing new - quality productivity in the "15th Five - Year Plan" period [19][20][21] 2. One - Week Market Quotes Overview - **Global Stock Markets Weekly Overview**: From April 28 to May 2, global stock markets denominated in US dollars rose. The MSCI Global Index increased by 2.97%, with emerging markets (+3.30%) > developed markets (+2.93%) > frontier markets (-0.11%). The Taiwan stock index led the world with a 9.62% increase, while the Saudi stock market performed the worst with a 2.03% decline [23] - **Chinese Stock Markets Weekly Overview**: From April 28 to May 2, in the Chinese equity market, Hong Kong stocks > Chinese concept stocks > A - shares. The average daily trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets was 1.104 trillion yuan, a decrease of 42.8 billion yuan from last week. The A - share market showed a differentiated trend, with the BeiZheng 50 index rising 2.38% and large - cap blue - chip indices such as the Shanghai Composite 50 generally falling about 0.5% [26] - **Weekly Overview of GICS Primary Industries in Chinese and Foreign Stock Markets**: Most global GICS primary industries rose this week. The information technology industry increased by 4.26%, while the energy industry increased by only 0.82%. In the Chinese market, the telecommunications service industry led with a 2.27% increase, and the real estate industry led the decline with a 3.03% decrease [30] - **Weekly Overview of China A - share CITIC Primary Industries**: Among China A - share CITIC primary industries this week, 9 industries rose (24 last week) and 21 industries fell (6 last week). The media industry led the rise with a 2.86% increase, and the comprehensive industry led the decline with a 3.48% decrease [31] - **Weekly Overview of China A - share Styles**: The small - cap growth style was dominant this week [36] - **Overview of Stock Index Futures Basis**: No specific data was provided in the text, only references to relevant charts [38][40] 3. Index Valuation and Earnings Forecast Overview - **Broad - based Index Valuation**: The valuation levels of some broad - based indices such as CSI 2000, KeChuang 50, and BeiZheng 50 have reached historical extremes [43] - **Primary Industry Valuation**: The valuation levels of different primary industries vary, with some industries such as defense and military industry having extremely high PE ratios [44] - **Broad - based Index Equity Risk Premium**: The ERP of the CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 increased slightly this week [45][50] - **Consensus Earnings Growth Rate of Broad - based Indices**: The expected earnings growth rates of the CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 in 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted [51] 4. Liquidity and Capital Flow Tracking - **Interest Rates and Exchange Rates**: This week, the yield of the 10 - year treasury bond decreased, the yield of the 1 - year treasury bond increased, and the spread narrowed. The US dollar index was 100, and the offshore RMB exchange rate was 7.21 [59] - **Trading - type Capital Tracking**: This week, the average daily trading volume of north - bound funds decreased by 200 million yuan compared with last week, and the margin trading balance decreased by 150 million yuan [63] - **Capital Inflow Tracking through ETFs**: This week, the share of ETFs tracking the CSI 300 decreased by 1.1 billion shares, the share of ETFs tracking the CSI 500 decreased by 200 million shares, the share of ETFs tracking the CSI 1000 decreased by 400 million shares, and the share of ETFs tracking the CSI A500 decreased by 3.7 billion shares [68][72] 5. Tracking of Domestic Macro High - frequency Data - **Supply - side**: The tire operating rate declined [74] - **Consumption - side**: The number of second - hand housing listings decreased, and international oil prices slightly recovered [94] - **Inflation Observation**: Agricultural product prices stabilized and rebounded [95]

中资港股二季度分红料创同期新高 智通财经5月4日电，香港上市的中资企业即将提前迎来今年的分红旺季，与往年集中在三季度不同，今 年上半年的派息大幅增加。数据显示，截至4月30日，中资港股今年计划于二季度进行的分红总金额达 361亿美元，为有数据以来的同期最高。而三季度计划的派息总额仅为232亿美元——即使考虑约86亿美 元还未确定时点的金额，三季度的分红金额也较往年同比大幅下降。"一季度的中期分红提前释放了后 期需求，使得今年6-8月的分红量可能少于前些年，对于汇率的压力也会相应降低，"巴克莱银行驻新加 坡的外汇策略师张蒙在采访中说，这不仅意味着年中人民币因分红购汇的贬值压力会下降，港元面临的 升值压力也会有所降低。 ...

新华社北京4月30日电 题：以法治护航民营经济高质量发展——写在民营经济促进法通过之际 新华社记者王雨萧、范思翔、齐琪 "通过！" 2025年4月30日上午，人民大会堂内，十四届全国人大常委会第十五次会议表决通过了民营经济促 进法。 民营经济是推进中国式现代化的生力军。作为我国第一部专门关于民营经济发展的基础性法律，民 营经济促进法将党中央、国务院关于民营经济的方针政策和实践中的有效做法转化为法律制度，必将进 一步增强民营企业发展信心，激发民营企业发展活力，让民营经济的广袤森林勃发更大生机。 立法意义重大 1980年，浙江温州的章华妹领到了第一张个体工商户营业执照。40多年来，改革开放激活一池春 水，民营经济从小到大、由弱变强，民营企业成为推动我国经济发展的蓬勃力量。 全国人大常委会法工委经济法室主任杨合庆表示，当前，民营经济在发展中面临新的机遇，也遇到 一些困难和挑战。需要针对民营经济健康发展面临的突出问题，通过立法落实党中央关于促进民营经济 发展的重大方针政策和重要举措，巩固民营经济发展成果，营造有利于民营经济持续、健康、高质量发 展的法律环境。 "民营经济促进法首次将坚持'两个毫不动摇'写入法律，把党中 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.05% closing at 3286.65 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index also down by 0.05% closing at 9849.80 points. The ChiNext Index fell by 0.13% to 1931.94 points. Overall, 3556 stocks rose while 1670 stocks fell, with a total trading volume of 10221 billion yuan, a decrease of approximately 34.2 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1][13]. Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, the leading sectors included Beauty Care, Machinery Equipment, Media, Light Industry Manufacturing, and Basic Chemicals, with respective gains of 2.60%, 1.44%, 1.27%, 1.04%, and 0.87%. Conversely, the sectors that experienced declines included Utilities, Comprehensive, Oil & Petrochemicals, Coal, and Social Services, with respective losses of 1.78%, 0.97%, 0.55%, 0.51%, and 0.47% [1][13]. Concept Sector Performance - The top-performing concept sectors today were Animal Vaccines, Marketing Communication, Medical Beauty, Auto Parts, Chemical Fibers, and Virtual Reality, among others. These sectors showed significant upward movement, while sectors like Electricity, Baijiu, and Insurance experienced pullbacks [2][11].

Economic Performance - In the first quarter, Guangxi achieved a GDP of 683.39 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 5.8% at constant prices, reflecting strong economic resilience and potential [1][2] - The growth is attributed to a collective effort in project construction, investment attraction, and innovation, showcasing a proactive approach to economic development [1][2] Governance and Work Ethic - The region emphasizes the importance of work style in shaping the economic development environment, akin to soil for seeds, highlighting the need for a diligent and innovative approach [1][2] - A series of measures have been implemented to improve work style, leading to enhanced economic performance and a positive outlook for the second quarter [2][3] Problem-Solving and Continuous Improvement - Continuous problem identification and resolution are crucial for maintaining a positive economic trajectory, with a focus on addressing policy execution issues and improving service efficiency [3] - The region is in a critical period for ensuring the completion of the first half's economic targets, necessitating vigilance against complacency and a commitment to sustained improvement [3] Future Outlook - The success of the first quarter serves as a foundation for ongoing economic growth, with a commitment to deepening work style improvements and fostering a culture of innovation and efficiency [4] - The goal is to achieve consistent economic performance throughout the year, contributing positively to national economic stability [4]

| 汽车 | | | | 浙江华远 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 社会服务 | -2.28 | 120.30 | 7.14 | 外服控股 | -8.62 | | 综合 | -2.34 | 21.01 | -1.26 | *ST中程 | -13.84 | | 房地产 | -3.61 | 191.74 | -12.91 | 特发服务 | -11.01 | 注：本文系新闻报道，不构成投资建议，股市有风险，投资需谨慎。 （文章来源：证券时报网） 证券时报·数据宝统计，截至下午13:58，今日沪指跌0.07%，A股成交量796.87亿股，成交金额8733.96亿 元，比上一个交易日减少3.07%。个股方面，1263只个股上涨，其中涨停45只，4043只个股下跌，其中 跌停66只。从申万行业来看，钢铁、银行、公用事业等涨幅最大，涨幅分别为1.55%、1.22%、1.05%； 房地产、综合、社会服务等跌幅最大，跌幅分别为3.61%、2.34%、2.28%。 今日各行业表现（截至下午13:58） | 申万行业 | 行业涨跌（%） | 成交额（亿元） | 比上日（%） ...

市场情绪自3月20日持续调整，于4月18日下降至低点，数值为0.1。本周市场情绪指标在接近0轴处开始向上反弹，回升至0.5，数值较上周五(4/18)上升0.4，模型转多，市场 情绪有所缓和。 本周A股市场提示市场情绪有一定修复，较上周明显发生变化的指标有科创50成交占比、主力买入力量和期权波动率。主力流出速率减缓和VIX指标体现的恐慌程度减弱是本 周市场情绪回升的主要原因。 科创50成交占比、行业涨跌趋势性、主力买入力量和PCR结合VIX，分别代表了市场风险偏好程度下降，市场情绪不确定性增强，主力流出速度 减缓和期权市场恐慌情绪缓和。其他指标维持和上周一致的判断。 资金当前对成长高估值板块观点不确定性较强。 自上周科创50成交占比指标快速下跌至下轨以下后，本周科创50成交占比指标仍在持续下降。本周主力资金持续从科创板块 流出，累计净流出超过32亿人民币。 投资者信心逐渐恢复，市场的活跃度和投资者参与度都有了明显提升。 除了看到主力资金本周流出科创板，主力资金本周在全A仍然呈现净流出的态势，但流出速度较上周有 所减缓，主力流出主力买入力量指标有所回升。从主力资金净流出绝对量看，主力资金本周累计净流出超过370亿 ...

按最新收盘价计算，A股均价为11.18元，不足2元的个股共有66只，股价最低的是*ST吉药，最新收盘 价为0.21元。 （文章来源：证券时报网） 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，截至4月24日收盘，沪指报收3297.29点，A股平均股价为11.18元，从个股股 价分布看，高价股及低价股数量在A股市场总体占比相对较少。 低价股中，股价低于2元的共有66只，最低的是*ST吉药，最新收盘价为0.21元，其次是*ST东方、*ST 富润，最新收盘价分别为0.36元、0.42元。特征来看，股价低于2元个股中，共有23只ST股上榜，占比 为34.85%。 市场表现方面，上述低价股中，今日上涨的有7只，涨幅居前的有ST德豪、新华联、*ST阳光，分别上 涨5.20%、1.68%、1.36%。下跌的有48只，跌幅居前的有*ST中程、宝鹰股份、*ST鹏博，跌幅分别为 10.64%、10.19%、5.26%。（数据宝） 低价股排名 | 代码 | 简称 | 最新收盘价（元） | 日涨跌幅（%） | 日换手率（%） | 市净率（倍） | 行业 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 30 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report The report focuses on the trading tracking of ultra - long credit bonds, analyzing the changes in trading volume, trading price, and low - valuation trading proportion of ultra - long credit bonds, ultra - long urban investment bonds, and ultra - long industrial bonds in the week from April 14th to April 18th, 2025, and comparing them with previous weeks [1][2][4][5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Ultra - long Credit Bonds: Volume Rise and Decline in Low - valuation Transaction Proportion - **Trading Volume**: The daily trading activity of ultra - long credit bonds increased, with an average of 3.2 daily transactions (previous value: 2.9). The trading volume of ultra - long credit bonds with a remaining maturity of 10 - 15 years increased significantly. However, the total trading volume decreased to 296 billion yuan, a 13.2% week - on - week decline, mainly due to the decrease in bonds with a remaining maturity of 7 - 10 years. Industrial bonds were more actively traded than urban investment bonds [2][11]. - **Trading Term**: The average trading term of ultra - long credit bonds decreased to 9.93 years, a 0.65 - year decline. The average trading term of ultra - long urban investment bonds increased by 0.03 years, while that of industrial bonds decreased by 0.69 years [3][13]. - **Trading Price**: The trading yield of ultra - long credit bonds rose to 2.37%, a 7 - bp increase. The trading yield of ultra - long urban investment bonds decreased by 5 bp, and that of ultra - long industrial bonds increased by 7 bp. The proportion of low - valuation transactions decreased to 46%, with a significant decline in ultra - long industrial bonds from 59% to 44%. The proportion of low - valuation transactions of bonds with a remaining maturity of 20 - 30 years decreased by about 33 percentage points [3][13]. 3.2 Ultra - long Urban Investment Bonds: Rising Volume in Shandong and Fujian, Marginal Increase in Low - valuation Transaction Proportion in Fujian - **Trading Volume**: Shandong had a high trading volume of 38.3 billion yuan. The trading volume of ultra - long urban investment bonds in Sichuan and Shaanxi decreased by 5.4 billion yuan and 2.3 billion yuan respectively. The trading volume in Shandong and Fujian increased [4][15]. - **Trading Term**: The average trading term was 9.73 years. The trading term in Shandong increased by 2.18 years, while that in Shaanxi decreased by 3.76 years [4][16]. - **Trading Price**: Zhejiang had a high trading yield of over 3%. The trading yields in Henan and Guangdong increased by 30 bp and 13 bp respectively, while those in Anhui and Shandong decreased by 99 bp and 55 bp respectively. The proportion of low - valuation transactions in Beijing decreased by 49 percentage points, while that in Fujian increased [4][16]. 3.3 Ultra - long Industrial Bonds: Rising Volume in Comprehensive and Basic Chemical Industries, Decline in Low - valuation Transaction Proportion in Machinery and Public Utilities - **Trading Volume**: The comprehensive industry had a high trading volume of 57.7 billion yuan. The trading volume in the comprehensive and basic chemical industries increased by 27.5 billion yuan and 9.5 billion yuan respectively, while that in the public utilities industry decreased by about 99.8 billion yuan [5][19]. - **Trading Term**: The trading terms of non - bank finance and real estate industries decreased by 3.98 years and 2.97 years respectively, while those of transportation and public utilities industries increased by 4.23 years and 1.39 years respectively [5][22]. - **Trading Price**: The trading yields of transportation and machinery industries increased by 83 bp and 24 bp respectively. The proportion of low - valuation transactions in steel, electronics, social services, and commercial retail industries was as high as 100%. The proportion of low - valuation transactions in machinery and public utilities industries decreased [7][22].

近期，部分*ST股走势明显升温，主要原因在于有资金进场豪赌摘帽或者业绩好转预期，但跟风追涨 *ST股并不可取，对应的投资风险较大，毕竟*ST股风险高于一般股票，如果利好预期落空，可能会出 现爆雷风险。 面对*ST股票的诱惑，投资者务必保持谨慎心态。投资股票的本质是分享公司的成长收益，而不是赌 博。因此，在选择投资标的时，投资者应重点关注公司的基本面、盈利能力、行业地位等因素，而不是 仅仅追逐短期股价的波动。 对于*ST股票而言，尽管部分公司可能存在利好预期，但投资者仍需谨慎对待。在决定是否买入之前， 应深入了解公司的财务状况、经营能力、行业前景等因素，并进行充分的风险评估。 投资者还应树立正确的投资理念，坚持价值投资、长期投资的原则。不要被市场的短期波动所迷惑，而 是要通过深入研究和分析，找到真正具有投资价值的上市公司。投资者炒作*ST股票，虽然可能会有极 低的概率获取超额收益，但是大概率会以大幅亏损结束，很不划算。 首先是*ST股票的退市风险。*ST股票之所以被披星戴帽，是因为其存在被终止上市的风险。如果相关 情形无法改善，最终可能会面临退市的风险，导致股票价格大幅缩水甚至归零。这对于投资者来说，无 疑是最 ...