Report Industry Investment Ratings - Thread steel, hot-rolled coil, iron ore, coke, coking coal, and ferrosilicon are rated with white stars, indicating that the short-term long/short trend is in a relatively balanced state, and the current market is less operable, suggesting to wait and see [1] - Silicomanganese is rated with three red stars, representing a clearer long trend with a relatively appropriate investment opportunity currently [1] Core Viewpoints - The overall steel market is weak, with demand expectations remaining pessimistic and limited upward space for the market [2] - Iron ore is expected to fluctuate in the short term, with supply pressure increasing and negative feedback risks in the mid - term [3] - The prices of coke and coking coal are oscillating downward, but have rebounded due to factors such as downstream ironwater levels and tariff impacts [4][6] - The price of silicomanganese is under pressure, and it is recommended to short on rallies in the short term [7] - The price of ferrosilicon is weakly oscillating, and attention should be paid to the sustainability of inventory reduction [8] Summary by Related Catalogs Steel - Today's steel futures prices declined. This week, the apparent demand for thread steel continued to fall, production declined synchronously, and the inventory reduction slowed. The demand and production of hot - rolled coil slightly declined, and the inventory continued to accumulate. Ironwater production is gradually falling but remains relatively high, and the negative feedback expectation persists. The improvement in the infrastructure sector is limited, real - estate sales lack sustainable recovery, and new construction and construction continue to decline significantly. In May, automobile production and sales maintained a high growth rate, and the manufacturing industry still has resilience. Market sentiment is volatile, the rebound momentum of the futures market is insufficient, and pessimistic demand expectations restrict the upward space [2] Iron Ore - Today's iron ore futures prices oscillated. On the supply side, global shipments are relatively strong for the same period, with seasonal growth potential in the future. The domestic arrival volume has increased and is expected to remain high in the short term, and port inventories are expected to stop falling and rise, increasing supply pressure. On the demand side, terminal demand weakens in the off - season. Steel mills have a good profit rate and lack the motivation for active production cuts. The short - term production cut space for ironwater is relatively limited, and there are still negative feedback risks in the mid - term. Sino - US talks have improved market sentiment, but there are still uncertainties in foreign trade. It is expected that iron ore will fluctuate in the short term [3] Coke - Coke prices oscillated downward. Ironwater production slightly declined, but coking daily production remains at a relatively high level this year due to existing coking profits. The overall coke inventory slightly increased, and traders had no purchasing actions. Overall, the supply of carbon elements is still abundant. With downstream ironwater production stable above 241, the impact of tariffs has eased, and due to the lack of trading profit for Mongolian coal, the price has rebounded. The Sino - US tariff issue has a significant impact, and relevant developments should be continuously monitored [4] Coking Coal - Coking coal prices oscillated downward. The production of coking coal mines slightly declined from a high level, and the expectation of mine production cuts has increased. The spot auction market has weakened significantly, and transaction prices have continued to decline. Terminal inventories continue to decline slightly. The total coking coal inventory has decreased slightly month - on - month, and whether the production - end inventory will continue to decline remains to be observed. Overall, the supply of carbon elements is still abundant. With downstream ironwater production stable above 241, the impact of tariffs has eased, and due to the lack of trading profit for Mongolian coal, the previous price has rebounded. The Sino - US tariff issue has a significant impact, and relevant developments should be continuously monitored [6] Silicomanganese - The price of silicomanganese slightly declined. Due to previous continuous production cuts, the inventory level has decreased, but the weekly production has started to increase, and the improvement in fundamentals is limited. The price of Comilog's long - term ore has been reduced by $0.15 to $4.25 per ton - degree, and the offer volume has recovered to over 400,000 tons per month. The shipment volume of South32 is likely to increase later, the manganese ore inventory accumulation rate has increased, and the price is further pressured. It is judged that the manganese ore price has started a further downward trend. Ironwater production has slightly declined, and the supply of silicomanganese has slightly increased. The manganese ore inventory has started a trend of accumulation, market expectations have changed, and the price remains weak. It is recommended to short on rallies in the short term [7] Ferrosilicon - The price of ferrosilicon oscillated weakly. Ironwater production slightly declined. Export demand remained at around 30,000 tons, with a marginal impact. The production of magnesium metal increased month - on - month, and the secondary demand remained stable at a high level, with overall demand being acceptable. The supply of ferrosilicon continued to decline, the market transaction level was average, and the on - balance - sheet inventory slightly decreased. Some ferrosilicon producers are in cash - flow losses and may adopt a trading model of taking delivery on the futures market and reselling to downstream, which is beneficial for ferrosilicon inventory reduction. Attention should be paid to the sustainability of inventory reduction [8]

Core Viewpoint - Jining City is implementing a comprehensive strategy for industrial economic development, focusing on the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries, the cultivation of emerging industries, and the forward-looking layout of future industries, effectively fostering new quality productive forces and achieving significant results in high-quality development [1][9][13]. Group 1: New Quality Productive Forces - New quality productive forces are defined as advanced productive forces characterized by high technology, high efficiency, and high quality, driven by innovation and aligned with new development concepts [2]. - Jining's strategy includes a "232" industrial cluster framework, forming a gradient industrial system with two trillion-level industries (new energy, high-end equipment), three hundred billion-level industries (high-end chemicals, new materials, food), and two hundred billion-level industries (new generation information technology, pharmaceuticals) [1][13]. Group 2: Economic Performance - Jining's GDP is projected to reach 586.75 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 5.8%, showcasing robust economic resilience and vitality [3]. - The tertiary industry added value reached 305.54 billion yuan, growing by 6.8%, becoming the main engine for economic growth, while the secondary industry added value was 217.6 billion yuan, growing by 5.1% [3]. Group 3: Industrial Development - The industrial economy in Jining is expected to achieve high-quality development, with industrial added value reaching 185.55 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 6.2% [5]. - Significant projects in traditional industries include over 1,100 industrial technological transformation projects, with 249 projects included in the provincial technological transformation directory [5]. Group 4: Innovation and Market Dynamics - Jining has seen a market entity scale exceeding one million, reaching 1.016 million households, with 1,700 new "Four Up" enterprises added [7]. - The city has strengthened its innovation capabilities, with a 13% year-on-year increase in R&D expenditure and the number of high-tech enterprises reaching 1,800 [7]. Group 5: Policy Framework - Jining has introduced several policies to support the development of new quality productive forces, including plans for large-scale equipment updates and the development of the medical and health industry [9][10]. - The government emphasizes the importance of creating a modern industrial system and has set six key tasks to achieve this goal, including promoting the integration of technology and industry [10][11]. Group 6: Future Industry Layout - Jining is focusing on future industries such as aerospace, life sciences, and intelligent robotics, with plans for hydrogen energy preparation and low-altitude economy projects [19][24]. - The city aims to establish a complete innovation chain in the new energy sector, from lithium battery materials to energy storage systems, with ongoing investments in R&D [25][26].

明心1 正式入市第五个年头了，新兵蛋子，目前总收益20几个点 还以为赚了多少呢，年化4个点...... lance77 指数在6000点的时候，过去定投的人都是赚钱的——赚钱实在太容易了。 指数在2600点的时候，过去定投的人都是亏钱的——赚钱实在太难了。 楼主连你赚的是阿尔 法还是贝塔都没搞清楚，就来集思路显摆了，唉! lazioslg 当你觉得炒股很容易的时候，那恰好是你使用的策略在这段时间是奏效的，但股市最大的风 险就是不确定性，也许过一段时间，你的策略就失效了，然后你会去寻找新的策略，但新的 策略能否适应那时的市场也是未知，你需要不停的试错，在一次又一次的试错失败后，你会 感叹，炒股真的很难。这也是很多，初生牛犊不怕虎的新股民，在入市之初，因种种原因赚 了不少，然后就自信爆棚，感觉可以指点江山了，但之后被残酷的市场打回原形，甚至背负 重债，再也无力回天的原因。 BOATMAN 炒股这么容易，为什么还有这么多人会亏钱，是因为人心不足蛇吞象吗？ 小散只要练会屁股神功，坚持定投垄断大央企国企，股息复投，胜率高的很啊... 黄阳 这种帖子出现要小心 小生生1234 你怎么不看看2024年以前大央企国企的走势？ ...

Group 1 - The implementation of new dividend regulations has significantly enhanced the dividend awareness among listed companies in Shaanxi, establishing a stable, timely, and predictable normalization of dividend mechanisms [1] - In 2024, nearly 70% of listed companies in Shaanxi overcame substantial declines in net profits, distributing cash dividends totaling 24.3 billion yuan, maintaining a high level of dividend scale [2] - The overall dividend amount accounted for over 70% of the net profit in the region, a substantial increase of 25 percentage points [2] Group 2 - The dividend payout ratio reached 47% after excluding loss-making companies, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7 percentage points, indicating a continuous rise in dividend levels [2] - Shaanxi Coal's annual dividend exceeded 13 billion yuan, with a payout ratio close to 60%, setting a benchmark in the Northwest region [2] - In 2024, 36 companies in Shaanxi implemented interim dividends, representing 44% of the total, ranking first in the country [2] Group 3 - Companies such as Shaanxi Coal have maintained cash dividends for five consecutive years, while 11 companies have consistently paid dividends for over ten years, establishing a long-term, stable, and sustainable shareholder return mechanism [3] - Companies are actively improving operations to balance development and returns, as seen with Fenghuo Electronics, which implemented cash dividends and share buybacks after turning its retained earnings positive [3] - Overall, Shaanxi listed companies are responding positively to the new dividend regulations, fulfilling their responsibilities and enhancing investor satisfaction [3]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 23,793, down 0.48% for the day but up 18.61% year-to-date[3] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell 0.63% to 8,630, with a year-to-date increase of 18.38%[3] - The Hang Seng Tech Index also decreased by 0.63% to 5,287, maintaining an 18.32% rise for the year[3] US Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.05% to 42,763, with a year-to-date gain of 0.51%[3] - The S&P 500 increased by 1.03% to 6,000, reflecting a 2.02% rise year-to-date[3] - The Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.20% to 19,530, with a year-to-date increase of 1.13%[3] Sector Performance - Major tech stocks in Hong Kong saw declines, with Xiaomi dropping over 2% and Alibaba down more than 1%[8] - Gold stocks surged, with China Silver Group rising over 26% and Tongguan Gold increasing by more than 5%[8] - The semiconductor sector faced significant losses, with SMIC and BeiKe both falling over 4%[8] Capital Flows - Southbound capital recorded a net inflow of HKD 6.766 billion on June 6[8] - Meituan was the top net bought stock with HKD 8.613 billion, while Tencent saw a net outflow of HKD 5.884 billion[23] Economic Indicators - The US non-farm payrolls data for May showed an increase of 139,000 jobs, exceeding market expectations[11] - The unemployment rate remained stable at 4.2%, indicating a resilient labor market despite economic slowdown concerns[11] Investment Insights - Circle, dubbed the "first stablecoin stock," saw a significant rise of over 29% on its second day of trading, accumulating a total increase of over 247% in two days[8] - Morgan Stanley revised its year-end target for the S&P 500 from 5,200 to 6,000, reflecting a bullish outlook[11]

报 告 正 文 核心 CPI 同比改善， PPI 同比降幅继续走扩。 CPI 方面， 5月 CPI 环比由涨转降，同比降幅持平上月。不 过，核心 CPI 同比增速上行。 PPI 方面， 5 月 PPI 环比降幅持平上月，同比降幅走扩 0.6 个百分点。二者均 受国际能源价格波动拖累。 消费需求仍有边际改善。 5 月能源价格环比下降 1.7% ，同比下降 6.1% ，分别影响 CPI 环比和同比下降约 0.13 和约 0.47 个百分点，是拖累 CPI 下降的主要因素。食品价格环比下降 0.2% ，不过降幅小于季节 性水 平 1.1 个百分点。剔除食品和能源来看，核心 CPI 同比涨幅比上月扩大 0.1 个百分点，消费需求仍然有所改 善。从各分项当月同比来看，除交通通信价格下降 4.3% 以外，其他七大类价格均有所上涨，其中食品烟酒类 价格同比上涨 0.1% 。 能源和原料价格阶段性下行。 5 月 PPI 环比降幅持平上月，同比降幅再走扩，主要原因仍然是国际原油价格 下行，国内油气开采、精炼石油制品和化工价格合计影响 PPI 环比下降约 0.23 个百分点，超过总降幅的五 成。同时，煤炭需求处于淡季，多地受高温 ...

Group 1: CPI and Core CPI Trends - In May, the CPI decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, maintaining the same decline as the previous month[10] - The core CPI year-on-year growth rate recorded 0.6%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from last month[10] - The CPI month-on-month growth rate turned negative at -0.2%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points from the previous month[10] Group 2: Energy Prices Impact - Energy prices fell by 1.7% month-on-month and decreased by 6.1% year-on-year, contributing approximately 0.13 and 0.47 percentage points to the CPI decline, respectively[10] - The oil and gas extraction industry saw prices drop by 5.6%, while refined petroleum product manufacturing prices fell by 3.5%[28] - The coal mining industry experienced a price decline of 3.0%, with coal processing prices down by 1.1%[28] Group 3: PPI Trends - The PPI year-on-year growth rate recorded -3.3%, with a decline of 0.6 percentage points compared to last month[24] - The PPI month-on-month decline remained at -0.4%, consistent with the previous month[26] - Production material prices decreased by 4.0% year-on-year, while living material prices saw a decline of 1.4%[24] Group 4: Consumer Demand and Price Changes - Consumer demand showed marginal improvement, with seven major categories of prices rising, except for transportation and communication, which fell by 4.3%[10] - Food prices decreased by 0.4% year-on-year, with fresh vegetables and eggs contributing to the decline[17] - Hotel accommodation and tourism prices increased by 4.6% and 0.8%, respectively, exceeding seasonal levels[20]

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 （1）截至6月6日，秦皇岛港口煤炭库存655 万吨，环比-2.96%，同比+34.22%，处于同期高位水平； 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 煤价延续平稳，波动或将缩窄 （1）中煤能源近日接受机构调研时就动力煤价格走势指出，目前动力煤价格已接近底部，后续有望进一 步企稳；（2）6月4日，国务院副总理丁薛祥在山西调研时指出，要加强迎峰度夏期间能源保供，推动电 煤市场平稳运行，确保民生及重要用户用电供应安全稳定；（3）从基本面角度来看，当前港口库存压力 有所缓解，近两周煤价基本稳定，供需矛盾并不突出，预计后续煤价仍将延续平稳，波动或将缩窄。 本周港口煤价小幅下跌，海外油价反弹 （1）本周（6.2-6.6）秦皇岛港口动力煤平仓价（5500大卡周度平均值）为609元 ...

点击注册小程序 今 日 聚 焦 【策略】内外因素交织，市场或维持整固状态——策略周专题（2025年6月第1期） 内外因素交织下，仍然维持此前观点，预计指数整体将维持震荡。短期外部风险扰动最严重的时候或许已 经过去，但仍需要对特朗普后续政策的反复保持警惕。近期国内政策仍积极发力，预计后续政策仍将持续 落地。随着中美两国为"对等关税"按下90天"暂停键"，短期内出口或将保持高增，预计消费仍是经济修复 的重要动能之一。内外因素交织之下，预计指数6月整体将保持震荡。 （张宇生/王国兴） 2025-06-08 您可点击今日推送内容的第1条查 看 【金工】向上突破仍待资金面支持——金融工程市场跟踪周报20250607 本周A股主要宽基指数震荡上涨，小盘表现相对占优。交易情绪方面，当前市场仍处缩量区间，截至周五 主要宽基指数量能择时指标维持谨慎信号。资金方面，股票型ETF本周呈现净流出，资金止盈明显。主题 方面，交易主线尚不明朗，周内仍呈现主题快速轮动特征。上涨背景下资金止盈明显，市场进一步向上突 破有待资金面支持。短期无明确驱动主线背景下，建议继续维持"红利+小盘"杠铃组合。 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The current phase is seen as the beginning of a new upward cycle for the coal economy, with a resonance between fundamentals and policies, making it an opportune time to accumulate coal sector investments [11][12] - The supply side is experiencing a contraction trend due to ongoing safety inspections and negative feedback from coal prices, which may stabilize coal prices [11][12] - The demand side shows an increase in daily coal consumption in both inland and coastal provinces, indicating potential for demand release as the peak season approaches [11][12] Summary by Sections Coal Price Tracking - As of June 7, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 611 CNY/ton, down 2 CNY/ton week-on-week [29] - The price for coking coal at Jingtang port is 1290 CNY/ton, down 30 CNY/ton week-on-week [31] - International thermal coal prices show mixed trends, with Newcastle NEWC5500 at 66.8 USD/ton, down 0.2 USD/ton week-on-week [29] Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 95%, down 1.1 percentage points week-on-week [48] - Daily coal consumption in inland provinces increased by 33,000 tons/day (+11.76%) week-on-week, while coastal provinces saw an increase of 7000 tons/day (+0.41%) [49] - The utilization rate for sample coking coal mines is 84.65%, down 0.8 percentage points week-on-week [48] Inventory Situation - Coal inventory in inland provinces increased by 640,000 tons week-on-week, while coastal provinces saw an increase of 498,000 tons [49] - The available days of coal in inland provinces decreased by 2.90 days week-on-week, indicating tighter supply [49] Investment Recommendations - Focus on stable and high-performing companies such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and China Coal Energy, as well as those with high elasticity like Yanzhou Coal and China Power Investment [12]