石化

Search documents
纯苯苯乙烯日报:EB下游开工再度回升-20250822
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-08-22 05:20
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - South Korean petrochemical companies may cut 2.7 - 3.7 million tons of naphtha cracking capacity, which boosts the downstream prices of domestic olefin derivatives. South Korea's cracked pure benzene accounts for 3.5% of the total overseas pure benzene capacity, and its styrene accounts for 16% of overseas styrene capacity, potentially supporting overseas styrene prices. However, both products face significant inventory pressure, and the spread may have a greater impact on EB supply than BZ [3]. - The high - level inventory of pure benzene at ports has slightly declined. The basis of pure benzene has recently stabilized and strengthened slightly. With South Korean aromatics undergoing maintenance from August to September, the import pressure has not increased further. The overall downstream开工 rate remains relatively high, driving the de - stocking of pure benzene, but the de - stocking amplitude is expected to be limited [3]. - The port inventory of styrene has accumulated again. The downstream EPS and PS开工 rates continue to rise, but the inventory of EPS and PS has not continued to decline further, and ABS still maintains a state of high inventory and low开工 rate. The actual inventory pressure of EB still exists [3]. Summary by Directory 1. Pure Benzene and EB's Basis Structure and Inter - Period Spread - The pure benzene main contract basis is - 110 yuan/ton (+0), and the styrene main contract basis is 26 yuan/ton (+31 yuan/ton). The spread between East China pure benzene spot and M2 is 0 yuan/ton (-10 yuan/ton) [1]. 2. Production Profits and Internal - External Spreads of Pure Benzene and Styrene - Pure benzene: CFR China processing fee is 173 dollars/ton (+0 dollars/ton), FOB South Korea processing fee is 157 dollars/ton (-1 dollar/ton), and the US - South Korea spread is 51.6 dollars/ton (-3.0 dollars/ton). Downstream production profits: caprolactam is - 1845 yuan/ton (-25), phenol - acetone is - 701 yuan/ton (+50), aniline is - 204 yuan/ton (-43), and adipic acid is - 1331 yuan/ton (+5) [1]. - Styrene: Non - integrated production profit is - 298 yuan/ton (+45 yuan/ton), and it is expected to gradually compress [1]. 3. Inventory and Operating Rates of Pure Benzene and Styrene - Pure benzene: Port inventory is 14.40 million tons (-0.20 million tons), and the开工 rate of downstream products varies. Caprolactam开工 rate is 91.86% (-1.86%), phenol开工 rate is 78.00% (+1.00%), aniline开工 rate is 70.10% (-1.47%), and adipic acid开工 rate is 65.50% (+3.80%) [1]. - Styrene: East China port inventory is 161,500 tons (+12,700 tons), East China commercial inventory is 76,500 tons (+7,000 tons), and the开工 rate is 78.5% (+0.4%) [1]. 4. Operating Rates and Production Profits of Styrene Downstream - EPS production profit is 58 yuan/ton (-35 yuan/ton), PS production profit is - 122 yuan/ton (-15 yuan/ton), ABS production profit is - 88 yuan/ton (-39 yuan/ton). EPS开工 rate is 60.98% (+2.90%), PS开工 rate is 57.50% (+1.10%), and ABS开工 rate is 71.10% (+0.00%) [2]. 5. Operating Rates and Production Profits of Pure Benzene Downstream - Caprolactam production profit is - 1845 yuan/ton (-25), phenol - acetone production profit is - 701 yuan/ton (+50), aniline production profit is - 204 yuan/ton (-43), and adipic acid production profit is - 1331 yuan/ton (+5) [1]. Strategies - Unilateral: Hold a wait - and - see attitude towards both pure benzene and styrene [4]. - Basis and Inter - Period: Hold a wait - and - see attitude [4]. - Cross - Variety: Expand the EB - BZ spread on dips in the short term, as the reduction of South Korean cracking capacity has a greater impact on EB than BZ [4].
沥青数据日报-20250822
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-08-22 05:11
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided on the report's industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints - The market demand for asphalt is weak due to factors such as rainy weather in North China, restricted construction activities, and high social inventories in South China. The overall price of asphalt is expected to be weak in the short - to - medium term, although it may rise in the short term due to crude oil rebounds [7]. 3. Summary of Key Information Market Data - **Spot prices**: In the spot market, asphalt prices in East China remained at 3720 yuan, decreased by 10 yuan in North China to 3660 yuan, decreased by 10 yuan in the installation area to 3490 yuan, remained unchanged in Northeast China at 3915 yuan, remained unchanged in Northwest China at 4250 yuan, and decreased by 20 yuan in Shandong to 3510 yuan [1]. - **Futures prices**: For asphalt futures, the prices of BU2509, BU2510, BU2511, and BU2512 increased by 0.09%, 0.32%, 0.56%, and 0.57% respectively [1]. Industry News - China may introduce measures next month to cut long - term over - capacity in low - value - added areas of the petrochemical industry, with the specific plan awaiting final approval from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology [1]. - Petrochemical facilities operating for over 20 years need technological transformation, and the government will encourage enterprises to shift to the specialty fine - chemical field [2]. Inventory and Demand - As of August 15, US commercial crude oil inventories decreased by 6 million barrels to 420.7 million barrels, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) increased by 200,000 barrels to 403.4 million barrels, and Cushing crude oil inventories increased by 419,000 barrels [2]. - Saudi Arabia's crude oil exports in June dropped to a three - month low, from 6.191 million barrels per day in May to 6.141 million barrels per day [4]. - Global oil demand in June surged by over 1 million barrels per day compared to May, while production growth was only half of that in May, leading to inventories below the five - year average [4][5]. Geopolitical News - The EU's next - round sanctions against Russia are expected to be ready in September [4]. - Ukraine's Odessa and Sumy regions were attacked, and the Ukrainian side called for pressure on Russia to end the conflict [4].
第一创业晨会纪要-20250822
First Capital Securities· 2025-08-22 04:01
Group 1: Industry Insights - Deepseek announced the release of its large model V3.1, which utilizes UE8M0 FP8Scale parameter precision, indicating a positive impact on the domestic AI chip and semiconductor industry chain [3] - The Chinese government plans comprehensive reforms in the petrochemical and refining industry, targeting the elimination of small facilities and upgrading outdated operations, with a focus on producing specialty fine chemicals [4] - The adjustment of capacity in the petrochemical industry is seen as a continuation of the "anti-involution" policy, although the profitability of the domestic petrochemical industry is primarily influenced by overseas oil prices [4] Group 2: Advanced Manufacturing - As of June 2025, China's cumulative installed capacity for power storage reached 164.3 GW, a year-on-year increase of 59%, while new energy storage capacity reached 101.3 GW, up 110% [7] - Citigroup raised its target price for lithium carbonate in China from $7,000 to $11,000 per ton, indicating that the recent price increase is seen as temporary due to supply disruptions [7] - EVE Energy reported a revenue of 28.169 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 30.06%, driven by growth in power and energy storage battery businesses [8] Group 3: Consumer Sector - Bilibili reported a revenue of 14.341 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 21.62%, with a notable rise in gross margin to 36.5% [10] - The gaming segment generated 1.61 billion yuan in revenue, a 60% increase year-on-year, driven by new game seasons and stable operations of long-term products [10] - The advertising business saw a revenue increase of 20%, with performance ads growing by 30% and AI-related ads experiencing a nearly 400% increase [10]
瑞银:降上海石油化工股份目标价至1.89港元 维持“买入”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-22 03:59
Group 1 - UBS report indicates that Shanghai Petrochemical Co. (00338) experienced a 9% year-on-year decline in revenue for the first half of the year, with a net loss of 462 million RMB, aligning with previous profit forecasts [1] - In the second quarter, the net loss widened to 372 million RMB, primarily due to asset impairment losses of 417 million RMB [1] - The company plans to continue advancing carbon fiber production capacity in the second half of the year [1] Group 2 - UBS believes that the operating environment for the petrochemical industry will improve as the domestic refining and chemical sector moves away from excessive competition [1] - The firm has lowered its earnings forecast for the group to 21 million RMB for this year and reduced its earnings estimates for 2026-2027 by 2% to 18% [1] - The target price has been adjusted from 1.93 HKD to 1.89 HKD, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]
瑞银:降上海石油化工股份(00338)目标价至1.89港元 维持“买入”评级
智通财经网· 2025-08-22 03:51
智通财经APP获悉,瑞银发布研报称,上海石油化工股份(00338)上半年收入同比跌9%,净亏损4.62亿 元人民币,符合其早前发出的盈利预告。第二季净亏损扩大至3.72亿元人民币,主要是由于资产减值亏 损4.17亿元人民币。报告引述上石化指,公司下半年将继续推进碳纤维产能建设。瑞银认为,随着内地 提炼及化工行业反内卷推进,石化行业经营环境将见改善。该行降集团今年盈测至2,100万元人民币, 并下调其2026至27年的盈测2%至18%,目标价由1.93港元降至1.89港元,维持"买入"评级。 ...
转债投资机构行为分析手册
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-08-22 00:42
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report conducts a detailed analysis of the convertible bond investment strategies and preferences of different types of investment institutions, aiming to form a handbook for analyzing the behavior of convertible bond investment institutions. It focuses on an overview and the public fund section, considering the significant differences in investment strategies and information disclosure mechanisms between public funds and non - public funds [1][9]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Convertible Bond Investment Institutions and Analysis Method Overview - **Investor Structure and Proportion**: As of the end of July 2025, public funds and enterprise annuities are the "main forces" in direct convertible bond investment. Public funds hold a significant proportion, with 35.56% of the face value of Shanghai - listed convertible bonds and 33.31% of the market value of Shenzhen - listed convertible bonds. Enterprise annuities are the second - largest investment institutions, holding 18.41% of Shanghai - listed convertible bonds and 13.23% of Shenzhen - listed convertible bonds. Insurance institutions, securities self - operation also occupy important positions. Other professional institutional investors hold a relatively small proportion [10]. - **Changes in Investor Structure**: Compared with the end of 2021, the "influence" of public funds and insurance institutions has increased, while the proportion of enterprise annuities has decreased. The investment proportions of securities self - operation, private funds, and trust institutions have increased, and the proportion of general institutional investors represented by listed company shareholders has significantly decreased [13]. - **Differences in Investment Strategies**: Different types of professional institutional investors have differences in convertible bond investment restrictions, preferences, and investment strategies. Public funds generally have fewer restrictions on convertible bond ratings and focus on relative returns. Pension funds, insurance institutions, and social security funds have clear rating restrictions and focus on absolute returns [19]. - **Analysis Data Sources**: For public funds, quarterly reports can be used to analyze their convertible bond investment preferences. For other investment institutions, the top ten holders of convertible bonds disclosed in the semi - annual and annual reports of convertible bond issuers provide detailed analysis materials [20]. 3.2 What are the Characteristics of Public Funds' Convertible Bond Investment? 3.2.1 Overview of Public Funds' Convertible Bond Holdings - **Scale and Proportion Changes**: Since Q4 2023, the market value and proportion of convertible bonds held by public funds have been slightly decreasing. The number of public funds investing in convertible bonds has decreased overall, but their participation in the convertible bond market has increased [24]. - **Industry Distribution Preference**: As of Q2 2025, public funds significantly over - allocate convertible bonds in industries such as metals, chemicals, transportation, automobiles, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and banking, and under - allocate those in industries such as petrochemicals, steel, construction decoration, public utilities, environmental protection, and power equipment [29]. - **Price, Valuation, and Rating Preferences**: As of the end of Q2 2025, public funds over - allocate convertible bonds in the 120 - 130 yuan range and above 150 yuan, and AA and AA - rated convertible bonds; they under - allocate other convertible bonds [29]. - **Differences in Sub - investor Structure**: Public funds account for about 30% in the overall convertible bond investor structure, but their influence varies in different industries, price ranges, and rating segments [35]. 3.2.2 Differences in Convertible Bond Holdings among Various Funds - **Differences in Convertible Bond Holdings by Fund Type**: Secondary bond funds, the main force in convertible bond allocation, have significantly reduced their convertible bond holdings since Q3 2023. Convertible bond funds and primary bond funds are important holders. The convertible bond positions of convertible bond funds have reached a historical high, while those of secondary bond funds, primary bond funds, and partial - debt hybrid funds have decreased [44][46]. - **Characteristics of Convertible Bond Funds' Holdings**: In Q2 2025, convertible bond funds increased their holdings in industries such as petrochemicals, public utilities, and communications, and decreased their holdings in upstream energy materials and mid - stream manufacturing industries. They stably over - allocate convertible bonds in the 120 - 130 yuan range and under - allocate those in the 100 - 120 yuan range [48][57]. 3.2.3 Characteristics of Convertible Bond Holdings of High - performing Funds - **Scale and Quantity of Convertible Bond Holdings**: Different high - performing funds have different scales and quantities of convertible bond holdings. For example, Fuguo Jiuli Stable Allocation has a relatively concentrated holding, while Huashang Fengli Enhancement has a large number of holdings but a small average holding per bond [73]. - **Industry, Rating, and Price Preferences**: Different high - performing funds have different preferences in terms of industry, rating, and price. For example, Fuguo Jiuli Stable Allocation prefers convertible bonds in the power equipment, banking, and pharmaceutical industries, while Huashang Fengli Enhancement prefers high - priced and manufacturing - related convertible bonds [74]. 3.3 How to Analyze Non - public Fund Convertible Bond Investments? 3.3.1 Starting from the "Top Ten Holders" of Individual Bonds - **Investor Classification**: Convertible bond investors are divided into 11 major categories and 24 sub - categories based on the names of bondholders. The top ten holders' data accounts for about 40% of the convertible bond market, and public funds, pension products, etc. frequently appear in the list [86][87]. - **Data Representativeness**: The data of the top ten holders is representative for analyzing the convertible bond investment preferences and characteristics of various investors. After excluding the "repurchase pledge special account" and "company - related institutions", the data (referred to as "top ten holders 2") can more objectively present the data conclusions [88][89]. 3.3.2 Preliminary Exploration of Non - public Fund Institutions' Convertible Bond Investments - **Industry Distribution of Convertible Bond Holdings**: As of the end of 2024, "private asset management" institutions hold more convertible bonds in the power equipment industry but less in pro - cyclical industries. "Securities self - operation" has a relatively high proportion of holdings in the steel, non - ferrous metals, and power equipment industries. "Insurance" has a relatively dispersed convertible bond portfolio [97]. - **Rating and Price Distribution of Convertible Bond Holdings**: "Private asset management" and "QFII" have a higher tolerance for low - rated convertible bonds. "Insurance" and "securities self - operation" have a relatively high proportion of AAA - rated convertible bonds. In terms of price, "private asset management" has a high proportion of convertible bonds below 100 yuan, while "insurance", "social security funds", and "QFII" mainly hold convertible bonds in the 110 - 120 yuan range [97][98].
化工 战略看多石化行业反内卷
2025-08-21 15:05
Summary of the Petrochemical Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The petrochemical industry in China is transitioning from "dual energy consumption control" to "dual carbon control" policies, imposing stricter energy consumption standards on high-energy-consuming sectors like refining and ethylene, accelerating industry restructuring [1][3] - Old facilities are facing accelerated elimination, with refining capacity accounting for approximately 32% and ethylene capacity for about 17% of total capacity, while refining units below 2 million tons represent 6.5% of total capacity, and ethylene units below 300,000 tons account for 15% [1][3] Market Dynamics - The petrochemical market is currently in a loose bottom oscillation phase, with product price spreads and leading companies' profitability showing a safety margin [1][4] - Overseas refining capacity is gradually exiting due to high oil prices and green transitions, providing recovery opportunities for domestic companies [1][5] - European and Japanese refineries are under pressure from high oil prices, with an expected exit of about 4-5 million tons of ethylene capacity in Europe and some capacity in Japan from 2024 to 2027, impacting the global petrochemical landscape [1][6] Risks and Challenges - The industry faces bankruptcy and consolidation risks, with companies like INEOS, Shell Europe, and some Japanese facilities under operational pressure, leading to potential bankruptcies [1][7] - The Korean petrochemical industry is seeking self-rescue, with old capacities being replaced by new ones, and strict approvals for new projects in the aromatics sector [1][7] Raw Material and Pricing Insights - Oil prices are closely linked to petrochemical product prices, with recent adjustments bringing prices down to around $65 per barrel, releasing previous high-risk levels [1][8] - OPEC's production increase and the cost of U.S. shale oil support oil prices, providing a time window for strategic positioning in the industry [1][8] Investment Opportunities - Recommended companies in the refining sector include Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, Dongfang Shenghong, and Tongkun Co., as well as major state-owned enterprises [2][9] - In the olefin sector, focus on Baofeng Energy and Satellite Chemical, which have significant cost advantages due to their production methods [2][9] - The downstream polyester filament industry and the saw blade sector are also highlighted for their high concentration and favorable self-discipline [2][9] Strategic Positioning - Overall, the petrochemical industry is seen as being in a favorable positioning window due to strict policy approvals limiting new projects, market competition leading to the exit of old capacities, and the gradual recovery of emerging demand [1][10] - Stable raw material prices provide opportunities for left-side positioning, encouraging investors to focus on the highlighted sub-industries and leading companies for strategic opportunities and value enhancement [1][11]
化工日报:韩国石化业或削减产能,化工板块上涨-20250821
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-08-21 05:22
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the report industry investment rating. 2. Core Views of the Report - In the context of concerns about the reduction of production capacity and restructuring in the South Korean petrochemical industry, the chemical sector rose significantly on Wednesday afternoon. If the restructuring, reduction, or suspension of production in the South Korean petrochemical industry affects PX, the impact will be relatively large, and currently, the impact is concentrated on naphtha cracking [1]. - The cost - side is affected by the meeting between the leaders of the US and Russia, and the negotiation situation is good but no agreement has been reached. Attention should be paid to the US - Ukraine summit this week. The PX balance sheet has changed from destocking to a loose balance, and the fundamentals have weakened month - on - month. The floating price of near - month PX has weakened, but PX is still in a low - inventory state. The demand side of PTA has passed the most pessimistic period, and the supply - demand situation has improved in the short term due to PTA maintenance, but the price is suppressed by the mainstream suppliers' shipments [2]. - The polyester operating rate is 89.4% (a month - on - month increase of 0.6%). The most pessimistic period of the current off - season for demand has passed, and there are signs of improvement in local orders. The load of weaving and texturing has rebounded, and the sales of filament factories have increased. It is expected that the polyester load will continue to stabilize and rise in the short term [3]. - For the single - side strategy, PX/PTA/PF/PR are rated as neutral. For the cross - variety strategy, short the PTA processing fee when it is high and long the PR processing fee when it is low. There is no cross - period strategy [4][5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog 3.1 Price and Basis - The charts include the TA main contract, basis, and inter - period spread trends; PX main contract trends, basis, and inter - period spread; PTA East China spot basis; and short - fiber 1.56D*38mm semi - bright natural white basis [9][10][12] 3.2 Upstream Profits and Spreads - The charts cover PX processing fee PXN (PX China CFR - naphtha Japan CFR), PTA spot processing fee, South Korean xylene isomerization profit, and South Korean STDP selective disproportionation profit [18][21] 3.3 International Spreads and Import - Export Profits - The charts involve the toluene US - Asia spread (FOB US Gulf - FOB South Korea), toluene South Korea FOB - Japan naphtha CFR, and PTA export profit [26][28] 3.4 Upstream PX and PTA Start - up - The charts show the operating rates of PTA in China, South Korea, and Taiwan, as well as the operating rates of PX in China and Asia [29][32][34] 3.5 Social Inventory and Warehouse Receipts - The charts display the weekly social inventory of PTA, monthly social inventory of PX, total PTA warehouse receipts + forecast volume, PTA warehouse receipt inventory, PX warehouse receipt inventory, and PF warehouse receipt inventory [37][40][41] 3.6 Downstream Polyester Load - The charts include the sales of filaments and short - fibers, polyester load, direct - spun filament load, polyester staple fiber load, polyester bottle - chip load, filament factory inventory days, Jiangsu and Zhejiang loom operating rate, Jiangsu and Zhejiang texturing machine operating rate, Jiangsu and Zhejiang dyeing operating rate, and filament profits [49][51][60] 3.7 PF Detailed Data - The charts involve polyester staple fiber load, polyester staple fiber factory equity inventory days, 1.4D physical inventory, 1.4D equity inventory, recycled cotton - type staple fiber load, difference between original and recycled fibers, pure polyester yarn operating rate, pure polyester yarn production profit, polyester - cotton yarn operating rate, and polyester - cotton yarn processing fee [73][82][84] 3.8 PR Fundamental Detailed Data - The charts cover polyester bottle - chip load, bottle - chip factory inventory days, bottle - chip spot processing fee, bottle - chip export processing fee, bottle - chip export profit, price difference between East China water bottle chips and recycled 3A - grade white bottle chips, bottle - chip inter - month spread (next month - base month), and bottle - chip inter - two - month spread (two months later - base month) [91][93][101]
化工日报:韩国石化业或削减产能,关注EG成本端影响-20250821
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-08-21 03:36
Report Industry Investment Rating - Unilateral: Neutral. [4] Core Viewpoints - EG futures and spot prices rose, with the main EG contract closing at 4,477 yuan/ton (+93 yuan/ton, +2.12% compared to the previous trading day), and the EG spot price in the East China market at 4,502 yuan/ton (+47 yuan/ton, +1.05% compared to the previous trading day). The EG spot basis in East China was 90 yuan/ton (down 3 yuan/ton month-on-month). [2] - Concerns about the restructuring of the South Korean petrochemical industry led to a sharp rise in the chemical sector on Wednesday afternoon. Most of South Korea's MEG production capacity has been shut down, with only four units in operation, totaling around 550,000 tons of ethylene glycol production capacity. The impact on EG is mainly on the cost side of ethylene prices. [2] - The production profit of ethylene - made EG was -$49/ton (up $4/ton month - on - month), and that of coal - made syngas - made EG was -116 yuan/ton (up 7 yuan/ton month - on - month). [2] - MEG inventory data from different sources showed different trends. According to CCF, the MEG inventory at the main ports in East China was 547,000 tons (down 6,000 tons month - on - month), while according to Longzhong, it was 535,000 tons (up 49,000 tons month - on - month). [3] - In terms of overall fundamentals, domestic EG supply is expected to see the total EG operating rate rise above 70%, and overseas imports are expected to rebound to around 650,000 tons after August. The off - season for demand is over, and polyester load is expected to stabilize and rise slightly. The balance sheet for August - September shows a slight inventory build - up, with both supply and demand increasing. [3] Summaries by Related Catalogs Price and Basis - The closing price of the main EG contract was 4,477 yuan/ton, and the EG spot price in the East China market was 4,502 yuan/ton. The EG spot basis in East China was 90 yuan/ton. [2] Production Profit and Operating Rate - The production profit of ethylene - made EG was -$49/ton, and that of coal - made syngas - made EG was -116 yuan/ton. The domestic total EG operating rate is expected to rise above 70%, and the syngas - made EG load has returned to a high level. [2][3] International Price Difference - No specific data on international price differences were provided in the summary text. Only the figure "Figure 9: Ethylene glycol international price difference: US FOB - China CFR" was mentioned. [21] Downstream Production, Sales and Operating Rate - No specific data on downstream production, sales and operating rates were provided in the summary text. Only relevant figures were mentioned, such as long - filament sales, short - fiber sales, polyester load, etc. [22][24] Inventory Data - According to CCF, the MEG inventory at the main ports in East China was 547,000 tons (down 6,000 tons month - on - month), and according to Longzhong, it was 535,000 tons (up 49,000 tons month - on - month). Last week, the total actual arrivals at the main ports were 141,000 tons, and this week, the planned arrivals at the main ports in East China are 54,000 tons, with 43,000 tons at the secondary ports. [3]
纯苯苯乙烯日报:韩国裂解去产能预期提振价格-20250821
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-08-21 03:10
Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Core Viewpoints - South Korean petrochemical companies may cut 2.7 - 3.7 million tons of naphtha cracking capacity, which has significantly boosted the downstream prices of domestic olefin derivatives. South Korean cracked pure benzene accounts for 3.5% of the total overseas pure benzene capacity, and the impact is limited. South Korean styrene accounts for 16% of overseas styrene capacity, which may support overseas styrene prices. However, both products still face significant inventory pressure, and the potential impact on EB supply is greater than that on BZ in terms of price spreads. [3] - The high - level pure benzene port inventory has slightly declined, and the pure benzene basis has recently shown signs of stabilization and a slight increase. There are scheduled maintenance works for South Korean aromatics in August - September, and the import pressure has not further increased. The overall downstream operating rate remains relatively high, and the demand is at a seasonal peak, driving the de - stocking of pure benzene, but the de - stocking amplitude is expected to be limited. For styrene, the port inventory has accumulated again, and the downstream still faces inventory pressure. [3] Summary by Directory 1. Pure Benzene and EB Basis Structure, Inter - period Spreads - No specific data analysis provided, only mentions figures such as the pure benzene main contract basis, pure benzene spot - M2 paper cargo spread, and EB main contract basis [9][13][19] 2. Pure Benzene and Styrene Production Profits, Domestic and Foreign Spreads - Pure benzene main contract basis is - 110 yuan/ton (- 23), and the styrene main contract basis is - 10 yuan/ton (- 64 yuan/ton). The non - integrated production profit of styrene is - 331 yuan/ton (- 5 yuan/ton) and is expected to gradually compress. [1] - Pure benzene CFR China processing fee is 173 US dollars/ton (- 4 US dollars/ton), and pure benzene FOB South Korea processing fee is 158 US dollars/ton (- 4 US dollars/ton). The price difference between the US and South Korea for pure benzene is 54.6 US dollars/ton (- 15.1 US dollars/ton). [1] 3. Pure Benzene and Styrene Inventory, Operating Rate - Pure benzene port inventory is 144,000 tons (- 2000 tons), and the operating rate of its downstream products such as caprolactam is 93.72% (+ 5.31%), phenol is 77.00% (+ 0.00%), aniline is 71.57% (- 1.89%), and adipic acid is 61.70% (+ 7.30%). [1] - Styrene East China port inventory is 161,500 tons (+ 12,700 tons), East China commercial inventory is 76,500 tons (+ 7000 tons), and the operating rate is 78.2% (+ 0.5%). [1] 4. Styrene Downstream Operating Rate and Production Profits - EPS production profit is 98 yuan/ton (+ 5 yuan/ton), PS production profit is - 102 yuan/ton (+ 5 yuan/ton), and ABS production profit is - 46 yuan/ton (+ 20 yuan/ton). [2] - EPS operating rate is 58.08% (+ 14.41%), PS operating rate is 56.70% (+ 1.70%), and ABS operating rate is 71.10% (+ 0.00%). [2] 5. Pure Benzene Downstream Operating Rate and Production Profits - Caprolactam production profit is - 1820 yuan/ton (- 25), phenol - acetone production profit is - 751 yuan/ton (+ 0), aniline production profit is - 161 yuan/ton (- 262), and adipic acid production profit is - 1336 yuan/ton (+ 50). [1]