Market Overview - The precious metals sector increased by 1.68% on August 28, with Hunan Silver leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3843.6, up 1.14%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12571.37, up 2.25% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Hunan Silver (002716) closed at 5.47, with a rise of 4.19% and a trading volume of 2.0441 million shares, resulting in a transaction value of 1.092 billion yuan [1] - Shandong Gold (600547) closed at 32.99, up 2.64%, with a transaction value of 1.66 billion yuan [1] - Other notable performers include: - Yanzhong Technology (300139): closed at 19.48, up 1.78%, transaction value of 529 million yuan [1] - Zhaojin Mining (000506): closed at 9.50, up 1.60%, transaction value of 223 million yuan [1] - Hunan Gold (002155): closed at 20.46, up 1.54%, transaction value of 1.13 billion yuan [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The precious metals sector saw a net inflow of 169 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 82.18 million yuan [1] - Detailed capital flow for key stocks includes: - Hunan Silver: net inflow of 134 million yuan from institutional investors, with retail outflows of 76.34 million yuan [2] - Shandong Gold: net inflow of 83.46 million yuan from institutional investors, with retail outflows of 3.31 million yuan [2] - Zhongjin Gold (600489): net inflow of 16.16 million yuan from institutional investors, with retail outflows of 14.57 million yuan [2]

Market Overview - A-shares major indices rose last week, with trading volume remaining high [1] - Among 31 Shenwan first-level industries, communication, electronics, and comprehensive sectors performed relatively well [1] Macroeconomic Data Analysis - In July, national general public budget revenue reached 20,273 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.6%, with central and local revenues growing by 2.2% and 3.1% respectively, marking the highest monthly growth this year [3] - Government fund revenue in July increased by 8.9% year-on-year, while government fund expenditure growth was 42.4% [3] - The first account revenue showed positive tax revenue growth for four consecutive months, while non-tax revenue declined [3] - Land transfer revenue continued to grow positively, linked to local governments actively selling quality land [3] - Overall, broad fiscal expenditure maintained positive year-on-year growth supported by government debt, with net financing close to 8 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, an increase of 4.3 trillion yuan year-on-year [3] Stock Market Strategy Outlook - The market showed strong fluctuations last week, with liquidity remaining ample and a bullish trend supported by technology leaders [7] - Despite some concerns about economic data and stimulus expectations, favorable factors are outweighing these worries, with a supportive monetary policy environment [7] - The market is expected to maintain upward momentum without significant adjustments in August, with attention shifting to macro catalysts and trading indicators in September [7] Industry Insights - For defensive dividend sectors, it is recommended to reduce allocation or adjust the structure in the short term, favoring cyclical sectors with expected rebounds [9] - Focus on dividend stocks with catalysts, as well as stable and defensive attributes in Hong Kong stocks, financials, utilities, and precious metals [9] - In offensive sectors, technology remains a key focus, with opportunities arising from domestic policy stability and U.S. policy fluctuations [9] - Opportunities in domestic demand, technology, and overseas expansion are highlighted, with a focus on undervalued index-weighted stocks for potential capital inflows [8][9]

摘要周三（8月27日）美元指数走出了典型的倒V形态。当日收盘时，其微幅下挫0.06%，定格于98.147 点位。与此同时，受美联储独立性面临严峻挑战这一因素影响，贵金属市场表现亮眼：现货黄金延续强 势，连续第二个交易日上扬，涨幅达0.11%，最终报收于3397.46美元/盎司；现货白银亦同步跟涨，录 得0.12%的涨幅，收于38.61美元/盎司。 【行情回顾】 周三（8月27日）美元指数走出了典型的倒V形态。当日收盘时，其微幅下挫0.06%，定格于98.147点 位。与此同时，受美联储独立性面临严峻挑战这一因素影响，贵金属市场表现亮眼：现货黄金延续强 势，连续第二个交易日上扬，涨幅达0.11%，最终报收于3397.46美元/盎司；现货白银亦同步跟涨，录 得0.12%的涨幅，收于38.61美元/盎司。 美欧之间关税协议的稳步推进以及美日围绕汽车关税展开的积极谈判，宛如两剂良方，有望在一定程度 上舒缓当前紧张的贸易关系。然而，不容忽视的是，美国向印度施压，要求其断绝与俄罗斯的石油交易 以换取关税减免的举动，犹如一颗不定时炸弹，极有可能再度点燃贸易摩擦的烽火。一旦局势升级，必 将给贵金属市场带来剧烈震荡。 全球经济 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The metal sector is divided into non - ferrous metals, precious metals, and black metals. Different option strategies are proposed for each sector and selected varieties based on market conditions and option factors [8]. - For non - ferrous metals, which are in a weak and volatile state, a neutral volatility strategy for sellers is recommended; black metals maintain a large - amplitude volatile trend, suitable for constructing short - volatility portfolios; precious metals are consolidating at high levels with a slight decline, and a spot hedging strategy is recommended [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest changes of various metal futures contracts are presented. For example, the price of copper futures (CU2510) is 78,850, down 500 (- 0.63%); the price of aluminum futures (AL2510) is 20,680, down 170 (- 0.82%) [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume and open interest PCR of various metal options are provided, which are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market. For example, the volume PCR of copper options is 0.49, and the open interest PCR is 0.82 [4]. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of various metal options are analyzed from the perspective of the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options. For example, the pressure level of copper is 82,000, and the support level is 75,000 [5]. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of various metal options is presented, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and its changes. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of copper is 8.41%, and the weighted implied volatility is 13.00% with a change of - 1.44% [6]. 3.5 Option Strategies and Recommendations 3.5.1 Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper Options**: The fundamental situation shows a decrease in inventory in some exchanges. The market has been in a high - level consolidation. Implied volatility is at the historical average. Recommended strategies include a short - volatility seller option portfolio and a spot long - hedging strategy [7]. - **Aluminum/Alumina Options**: Aluminum inventory has changed, and the market is in a bullish high - level shock. Implied volatility is below the historical average. Recommended strategies include a bullish call spread, a short - neutral call + put option combination, and a spot collar strategy [9]. - **Zinc/Lead Options**: Zinc has specific inventory and开工 rate data, and the market is in a volatile decline. Implied volatility is below the historical average. Recommended strategies include a short - neutral call + put option combination and a spot collar strategy [9]. - **Nickel Options**: The spot market has inventory changes, and the market is in a wide - range shock. Implied volatility is at a high historical level. Recommended strategies include a short - bearish call + put option combination and a spot covered - call strategy [10]. - **Tin Options**: Tin inventory has decreased, and the market is in a short - term weak shock. Implied volatility is at a low historical level. Recommended strategies include a short - volatility strategy and a spot collar strategy [10]. - **Lithium Carbonate Options**: The market has large fluctuations, and implied volatility has risen rapidly. Recommended strategies include a short - neutral call + put option combination and a spot long - hedging strategy [11]. 3.5.2 Precious Metals - **Gold/Silver Options**: Gold is affected by the Fed's interest - rate policy. The market is in a short - term consolidation with a weak trend. Implied volatility is around the historical average. Recommended strategies include a short - neutral volatility seller option portfolio and a spot hedging strategy [12]. 3.5.3 Black Metals - **Rebar Options**: Rebar inventory has increased, and the market is in a weak consolidation. Implied volatility is at a relatively high historical level. Recommended strategies include a short - bearish call + put option combination and a spot long - covered - call strategy [13]. - **Iron Ore Options**: Iron ore inventory has changed, and the market is in a range - bound rebound. Implied volatility is above the historical average. Recommended strategies include a short - neutral call + put option combination and a spot long - collar strategy [13]. - **Ferroalloy Options**: Manganese silicon inventory has decreased, and the market is in a weak and bearish trend. Implied volatility is at a high historical level. Recommended strategies include a short - volatility strategy [14]. - **Industrial Silicon/Polysilicon Options**: Industrial silicon inventory is at a high level, and the market has large fluctuations. Implied volatility is rising. Recommended strategies include a short - volatility call + put option combination and a spot hedging strategy [14]. - **Glass Options**: Glass inventory has increased, and the market is in a weak trend. Implied volatility is at a high historical level. Recommended strategies include a short - volatility call + put option combination and a spot long - collar strategy [15].

摘要周四（8月28日）亚市早盘，现货黄金窄幅震荡，目前交投于3398.47美元/盎司附近，日内关注至8 月23日当周初请失业金人数(万人)、美国第二季度实际GDP年化季率修正值、美国7月成屋签约销售指 数月率等数据。随着美联储独立性危机加剧，周三黄金价格连续第二个交易日走高，最终收涨0.10%， 收报3396.59美元/盎司。 周四（8月28日）亚市早盘，现货黄金窄幅震荡，目前交投于3398.47美元/盎司附近，日内关注至8月23 日当周初请失业金人数(万人)、美国第二季度实际GDP年化季率修正值、美国7月成屋签约销售指数月 率等数据。随着美联储独立性危机加剧，周三黄金价格连续第二个交易日走高，最终收涨0.10%，收报 3396.59美元/盎司。 | 15分 30分 60分 打开金投网APP 策 [] | 分时 5日 日K | 周K | 月K | 55 | === | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2 2 | 2025/08/28 开 3385 74 宫 3387 34 此 3387 34 任 3385 49 幅 0 04% | | | | 总之，PCE数 ...

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices are experiencing relative stability amid uncertainties surrounding Federal Reserve policies and geopolitical risks, with potential volatility lurking beneath the surface [1][2][4] Federal Reserve Policy Uncertainty - President Trump’s attempt to dismiss Federal Reserve Governor Cook has raised concerns about the independence of the Fed, impacting market confidence and increasing gold's short-term appeal [1][3] - The market anticipates an 87% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Fed's September meeting, which supports gold's resilience [5] - Fed officials emphasize that any rate cut will depend on upcoming economic data, adding to the uncertainty surrounding gold prices [5][6] Inflation Data Impact - The upcoming Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data is crucial, with expectations of a 2.6% increase for July, which could influence rate cut expectations and gold prices [2][6] - If PCE data shows stronger inflation, it may challenge the Fed's rate cut path, enhancing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [2][6][10] Market Dynamics: Dollar and Bond Market - The dollar's fluctuations and bond market dynamics are closely linked to gold prices, with recent movements indicating cautious investor sentiment [7][8] - The yield curve has steepened, suggesting economic recovery expectations, but also hints at potential for more accommodative policies, indirectly benefiting gold [7][8] Summary - The gold market is at a crossroads influenced by multiple factors, including Fed internal conflicts, inflation data, and market dynamics, with the PCE data being a decisive variable for short-term price movements [9][10]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content found. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Overseas, the market focuses on upcoming US economic data for policy clues, with concerns about the Fed's independence. The US dollar index and Treasury yields are generally weak, and global risk appetite has increased. Domestically, China's economic data in July slowed down and fell short of expectations. The Ministry of Commerce will introduce policies to expand service consumption in September. The 90 - day extension of the tariff truce between China and the US and increased US easing expectations reduce short - term external risks and strengthen domestic easing expectations. However, short - term market sentiment has cooled, and domestic risk appetite has significantly declined. The market trading logic focuses on domestic incremental stimulus policies and easing expectations, with short - term macro upward drivers strengthening marginally but sentiment weakening. Attention should be paid to the progress of China - US trade negotiations and the implementation of domestic incremental policies [2][3]. - For assets, the stock index has corrected from its short - term high, and short - term cautious observation is recommended. Treasury bonds are oscillating at a high level, and cautious observation is needed. In the commodity sector, black, non - ferrous, energy - chemical, and precious metals are all in short - term oscillations, and cautious observation is advised [2]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Macro - finance - **Stock Index**: Affected by sectors such as clothing and home textiles, biomedicine, and liquor, the domestic stock market fell sharply. The economic data in July slowed down and missed expectations. The Ministry of Commerce will introduce policies in September. The 90 - day extension of the tariff truce and increased US easing expectations reduce external risks and strengthen domestic easing expectations. However, short - term market sentiment has cooled. The trading logic focuses on domestic policies and easing expectations, with short - term macro upward drivers strengthening but sentiment weakening. Short - term cautious observation is recommended [3]. - **Precious Metals**: Precious metals oscillated narrowly on Wednesday. The market focuses on Friday's PCE data to assess the Fed's policy path. Economists expect a 2.6% increase in PCE in July, the same as in June. After Powell's dovish signal, the market expects a more than 87% probability of a 25 - basis - point rate cut in September. The manufacturing PMI in August reached a new high, but initial jobless claims rose. The increase in key capital goods orders in July exceeded expectations. The rate - cut expectation is further strengthened, providing short - term support for gold, but beware of the Fed's changing attitude [4][5]. Black Metals - **Steel**: On Wednesday, the domestic steel futures and spot markets weakened, with low trading volumes. The stock market correction increased risk - aversion sentiment, dragging down the black sector. Real - world demand continued to weaken, inventories of construction steel and hot - rolled coils increased, and apparent consumption declined. Supply increased slightly. Near the end of the month, there is more pressure for capital repatriation and sales. The steel market is expected to be weak and oscillating in the short term [6]. - **Iron Ore**: On Wednesday, the spot price of iron ore remained flat, and the futures price declined slightly. With high steel mill profits, hot - metal production continued to decline slightly. In the next week, northern regions will have different degrees of production restrictions, and steel mills are cautious in purchasing. Global iron ore shipments and arrivals decreased this week. Mainstream Australian powder resources are stably supplied, but traders are reluctant to sell, and the market is in a wait - and - see state. The port inventory decreased slightly on Monday. Iron ore prices are expected to oscillate within a range in the short term [6]. - **Silicon Manganese/Silicon Iron**: On Wednesday, the spot prices of silicon iron and silicon manganese remained flat, and the futures prices declined slightly. The production of construction steel and hot - rolled coils increased slightly, and the demand for ferroalloys is currently okay. The price of silicon manganese 6517 is 5700 - 5750 yuan/ton in the north and 5770 - 5820 yuan/ton in the south. In the south, production is increasing, but factories are in a wait - and - see state due to the falling futures price. The price of manganese ore is weak. The price of silicon iron in the main production areas is 5350 - 5450 yuan/ton for 72 - grade natural lumps and 5800 - 5900 yuan/ton for 75 - grade. Some silicon - iron enterprises are profitable and have high production enthusiasm. Ferroalloy prices are expected to oscillate within a range in the short term [7][8]. - **Soda Ash**: On Wednesday, the main soda - ash contract oscillated weakly. Last week, production increased due to the return from maintenance. In the new capacity - release cycle, there is supply pressure, and the oversupply pattern remains. New devices will be put into production in the fourth quarter. High supply is the core factor suppressing prices. Demand remained stable week - on - week, and downstream demand support is still weak. Profits decreased week - on - week. Soda ash has a pattern of high supply, high inventory, and weak demand, and the supply - side contradiction is the core factor dragging down prices. The futures price is expected to oscillate within a range in the short term [9]. - **Glass**: On Wednesday, the main glass contract oscillated weakly. Last week, production and the number of operating production lines remained stable. The real - estate industry is still weak, and demand is hard to improve. Downstream deep - processing orders increased in mid - August, and overall demand remained stable. Profits decreased as the glass price fell. With stable supply and limited demand growth, glass prices are expected to oscillate within a range in the short term [9]. Non - ferrous Metals and New Energy - **Copper**: US data shows that core capital goods orders (excluding aircraft and military equipment) increased by 1.1% last month. As factors such as export rush, PV pre - installation, and the marginal effect of trade - in policies decline, domestic demand will weaken marginally, and the strong copper price will not last [11]. - **Aluminum**: On Wednesday, the aluminum price rose and then fell. There was no news for the night - session surge, which was likely driven by the copper price. The aluminum price increase was greater than that of copper, but it fell during the day as commodities weakened. Aluminum's fundamentals changed little, with social inventory increasing by 20,000 tons and a cumulative increase of 170,000 tons. LME aluminum inventory also continued to increase. There is limited medium - term upward space, and it will oscillate in the short term, lacking a strong downward driver but with a weakening rebound foundation [11]. - **Aluminum Alloy**: The supply of scrap aluminum is tight, and recycled aluminum plants face raw - material shortages, with rising production costs. It is still the off - season for demand, and manufacturing orders are growing weakly. Considering cost support, the price is expected to oscillate strongly in the short term, but the upside is limited due to weak demand [11]. - **Tin**: On the supply side, the combined operating rate in Yunnan and Jiangxi increased by 0.41% to 59.64%. The mine supply is currently tight, but the reduction in refined tin production is less than expected. Some enterprises plan to conduct maintenance, and capacity utilization may decline. With the issuance of mining licenses, the mine supply will tend to be loose. African tin imports decreased in July due to transportation and power issues. On the demand side, terminal demand is weak. PV pre - installation has overdrawn future demand, and new PV installations are weakening. The operating rates of PV glass and PV solder strips have declined. Overall, downstream orders are scarce. The price decline has stimulated downstream restocking, and inventory decreased by 802 tons to 9,278 tons, but downstream buyers are still cautious, only making purchases for immediate needs. The price is expected to oscillate in the short term, supported by smelter maintenance and peak - season expectations, but restricted by high - tariff risks,复产 expectations, and weak demand [12]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: On Wednesday, the main lithium - carbonate contract 2511 fell by 0.23%, with a new settlement price of 80,000 yuan/ton and a reduction of 3,104 lots in weighted contracts, and a total position of 757,900 lots. The battery - grade lithium - carbonate price is 79,500 yuan/ton (unchanged), and the industrial - grade is 78,450 yuan/ton (unchanged). The CIF price of Australian lithium spodumene is 920 US dollars/ton (unchanged). The profit from purchasing lithium spodumene for production is 1,988 yuan/ton. After the previous sentiment subsided, it is expected to oscillate widely, with a short - term bearish and long - term bullish outlook [13]. - **Industrial Silicon**: On Wednesday, the main industrial - silicon contract 2511 fell by 1.56%, with a new settlement price of 8,540 yuan/ton, a position of 516,800 lots in weighted contracts, and a reduction of 9,286 lots. The price of East China oxygen - containing 553 is 9,300 yuan/ton (down 50 yuan), and the futures price is at a discount of 775 yuan/ton. The price difference between East China 421 and East China oxygen - containing 553 is 250 yuan/ton. Recently, black metals and polysilicon have weakened, and industrial silicon is expected to oscillate weakly [13]. - **Polysilicon**: On Wednesday, the main polysilicon contract 2511 fell by 4.89%, with a new settlement price of 49,715 yuan/ton, a position of 334,600 lots in weighted contracts, and an increase of 14,137 lots. The price of N - type re -投料 is 49,500 yuan/ton (unchanged), and the P - type cauliflower - like material is 30,500 yuan/ton (unchanged). The price of N - type silicon wafers is 1.24 yuan/piece (unchanged), the M10 single - crystal TOPCon battery is 0.292 yuan/watt (unchanged), and the 210mm N - type module is 0.68 yuan/watt (unchanged). The number of polysilicon warehouse receipts increased to 6,880, reflecting increased hedging pressure. The polysilicon output in August is approaching 130,000 tons, and there is a game between strong expectations and weak reality. It broke through support in the short term, with a bearish direction. Attention should be paid to the spot support below [14]. Energy and Chemicals - **Crude Oil**: US crude and fuel inventories decreased, alleviating concerns about imminent supply over - capacity. Although the absolute price is still in a range, the spread of WTI has widened to the largest in over a week, and Cushing inventory decreased for the first time in 8 weeks, with a national inventory reduction of 2.4 million barrels, exceeding expectations. The US increased tariffs on some Indian goods, but Indian refineries plan to maintain most purchases, so short - term supply concerns are hard to ease, and there is still significant medium - and long - term downward pressure on oil prices [16]. - **Asphalt**: The asphalt price decreased slightly as the market followed the decline of anti - involution leading varieties. The asphalt spot market has slightly recovered, and the decline of the basis has paused. However, social and factory inventories have not significantly decreased, and profits have slightly recovered with a significant increase in production. In the future, crude oil will be affected by OPEC+ production increases and decline. With limited inventory reduction, asphalt is expected to remain in a weak oscillation pattern in the near term [16]. - **PX**: After the price increase due to Zhejiang Petrochemical's maintenance, the tight PX situation will provide obvious support at the bottom. Benefiting from petrochemical capacity adjustment, but with the PX plant load at a medium - low level, it is still in a tight pattern in the short term. The PXN spread is currently 266 US dollars, and the PX overseas price has rebounded to 864 US dollars. It is expected to oscillate in the near term, waiting for changes in PTA plants [16]. - **PTA**: The PTA price decreased with position reduction as the market declined. However, domestic and South Korean petrochemical capacity adjustments have stabilized the energy - chemical sector in the short term. The temporary shutdown of the Huizhou plant due to environmental requirements provides some support, and the basis remains at +30. Downstream production has recovered to 90%, and the restocking pace has accelerated before the peak season. PTA may have a slight inventory reduction in September and is expected to maintain a strong oscillation pattern in the short term [17]. - **Ethylene Glycol**: Ethylene glycol gave back some previous gains and oscillated narrowly in the short term. Port inventory decreased slightly to 500,000 tons. Domestic restrictions on petrochemical capacity and new - project approvals will limit supply. However, the basis has not significantly recovered. The increase in downstream production will support ethylene glycol at the bottom, but the supply pressure is still large after the resumption of synthetic - gas - based plants. It is necessary to wait for verification of peak - season demand. When going long at low prices, attention should be paid to crude - oil cost fluctuations [18]. - **Short - fiber**: The short - fiber price decreased slightly as the sector declined. Terminal orders have seasonally increased, and short - fiber production has slightly rebounded, with limited inventory accumulation. Further inventory reduction depends on the continuous improvement of terminal orders and the resulting increase in production. In the medium term, short - fiber can be short - sold along with the polyester sector [18]. - **Methanol**: The restart of inland plants and concentrated arrivals have pressured the price. As the port price falls, the back - flow window is about to open, providing some support for the spot. MTO plants plan to restart, and the traditional downstream peak season is approaching. The methanol fundamentals show marginal improvement, but the oversupply pattern has not changed, and the price is expected to oscillate [18]. - **PP**: The increase in plant operation and upcoming new capacity have increased supply pressure. Downstream production has slightly increased, and demand is showing signs of recovery. There is significant fundamental pressure, but policy support prevents a deep decline. The 09 contract is expected to oscillate weakly, and the 01 contract should be monitored for peak - season stocking [18]. - **LLDPE**: Supply pressure remains high, and demand is showing a turning point. The "supply - side" speculation provides some price support. The 09 contract is expected to oscillate weakly, and the 01 contract is short - term bearish. Attention should be paid to demand and stocking [19]. Agricultural Products - **US Soybeans**: The November soybean contract on the CBOT closed at 1048.25, down 1.25 or 0.12% (settlement price 1047.50). The weather in the US core soybean - producing areas in August has been favorable, and the overall soybean quality rate remains high. With the increasing likelihood of a US soybean harvest, the futures price is under pressure. Market news indicates that China will send a delegation to the US for trade negotiations this week, boosting US soybean export expectations. Additionally, increased US Treasury bond selling and a weaker US dollar provide some macro - level support for US soybeans [21]. - **Soybean and Rapeseed Meal**: The pressure on domestic oil mills to accumulate soybean and soybean meal inventories has eased. Market news suggests that this week's China - US trade negotiations will focus on soybean purchases, further stabilizing supply expectations. In the third quarter, preventive purchases have ensured sufficient soybean supply, but supply may tighten in the fourth quarter, with stable cost - based support. Rapeseed meal currently has high - inventory circulation pressure, but with low rapeseed inventory and few far - month purchases, there is still potential for price increases. Attention should be paid to the development of China - Canada trade relations [21]. - **Edible Oils**: The port inventory of rapeseed oil is continuously decreasing. With few imported rapeseed purchases and low inventory in China, the supply is expected to contract strongly. The cost expectation of soybean oil has strengthened, and a low - valuation price increase is expected. The palm oil production cycle is in progress, and the supply - demand contradiction is not prominent. There is no short - term incremental consumption expectation from policies, and the bullish market may enter an oscillation phase [21]. - **Corn**: The national corn price is running weakly. The arrival of corn at Shandong deep - processing enterprises increased over the weekend, and enterprise prices were slightly reduced. In September, the pricing weight of new - season corn will increase, and the C2511 contract has entered the price range of last year's opening price, 2100 - 2200 yuan/ton. There is no pressure from a large - scale arrival as in last year, with low carry - over inventory and the risk of excessive rainfall in the main producing areas. Although the planting cost has decreased this year, due to policies to stabilize the prices of important agricultural products and increase farmers' income, it is unlikely to break through last year's price range. The futures price is currently in a relatively undervalued range, and there is no need for excessive pessimism [22]. - **Hogs**: The supply of hogs for slaughter is sufficient, and slaughterhouses have low purchasing pressure. The reduction in supply in some provinces has a limited impact on enterprise purchases, with a slight upward trend. There may be local emotional - driven price increases in the north tomorrow. In the south, demand supports the price, and the market is stable. Currently, secondary fattening is generally cautious, with limited restocking. As a result, the buffer space for large - scale future slaughter is reduced, and market pessimism about the fourth - quarter outlook is increasing [22].

Group 1 - In July, the profits of industrial enterprises above designated size decreased by 1.5% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 2.8 percentage points compared to June, marking two consecutive months of narrowing [1][6] - High-tech manufacturing profits shifted from a 0.9% decline in June to an 18.9% increase in July, significantly boosting the overall profit growth rate of industrial enterprises [1][6] - From August 1 to 24, the retail sales of new energy vehicles in the passenger car market reached 727,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 6% and a month-on-month increase of 7%, with a cumulative retail of 7.182 million units in 2023, up 27% year-on-year [1] Group 2 - The 10-year government bond yield rose to 1.7625%, with a net withdrawal of 236.1 billion yuan in the central bank's open market operations [2][9] - The manufacturing PMI for August in both the US and Eurozone rebounded above the critical point, indicating a potential for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in September [2][9] - The real estate market continues to adjust, with second-hand housing prices in first-tier cities declining month-on-month, prompting the government to enhance macro policy effectiveness [2][9] Group 3 - The palm oil production in Malaysia is expected to increase by 3.03% from the same period last month, while exports are projected to rise significantly [3][25] - The dual-fuel market is experiencing a mixed trend, with iron and coke prices showing fluctuations amid stable demand and increasing inventory levels [3][23] Group 4 - The upcoming Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit will take place from August 31 to September 1, 2025, in Tianjin, where member states will sign the "Tianjin Declaration" and approve the "10-Year Development Strategy of the SCO" [5]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found Group 2: Core View of the Report - No relevant content found Group 3: Summary by Metals Gold (AU) - Shanghai Gold (SHFE) main contract closing price was 781.16 yuan/gram on July 30, 2025, with minor changes on other dates [1] - COMEX gold main contract closing price was 3443.20 dollars/ounce on July 30, 2025, and fluctuated on different days [1] - London gold spot price was 3370.00 dollars/ounce on July 30, 2025, with price changes over time [1] Silver (AG) - Shanghai Silver (SHFE) main contract closing price was 9305 yuan/kilogram on July 30, 2025, and showed variations later [1] - COMEX silver main contract closing price was 0.16 dollars/ounce on July 30, 2025, and changed on other dates [1] - London silver spot price was 38.42 dollars/ounce on July 30, 2025, with price movements [1] Copper (CU, BC) - Shanghai Copper (SHFE) main contract closing price was 79190 yuan/ton on August 27, 2025, with price differences compared to previous periods [1] - LME copper 3M closing price (15:00) was 9812.00 dollars/ton on August 27, 2025, and had price changes [1] - COMEX copper main contract price was 0.01 dollars/pound on August 27, 2025, and fluctuated [1] Aluminum and Alumina (AL, AO) - Shanghai Aluminum (SHFE) main contract closing price was 20810 yuan/ton on August 27, 2025, with price changes over time [1] - Alumina (AO) main contract closing price was -101 yuan/ton on August 27, 2025, and had different values on other days [1] - LME aluminum 3M closing price (15:00) was 14.00 dollars/ton on August 27, 2025, and showed price variations [1] Zinc (ZN) - Shanghai Zinc (SHFE) main contract closing price was 22310 yuan/ton on August 27, 2025, and changed compared to previous dates [1] - LME zinc 3M closing price (15:00) was -2 dollars/ton on August 27, 2025, with price movements [1] - Regional spot premiums and discounts varied in different areas [1] Lead (PB) - Shanghai Lead (SHFE) main contract closing price was 16890 yuan/ton on August 27, 2025, and had price differences [1] - LME lead 3M closing price (15:00) was -19.00 dollars/ton on August 27, 2025, and fluctuated [1] - Refined lead spot and 3M import profit and loss changed over time [1] Nickel and Stainless Steel (NI, SS) - Shanghai Nickel (SHFE) main contract closing price was 121760 yuan/ton on August 27, 2025, and had price changes [1] - Stainless Steel (SS) main contract closing price was 12850 yuan/ton on August 27, 2025, and showed variations [1] - LME nickel 3M closing price (15:00) was 195 dollars/ton on August 27, 2025, and had price movements [1] Tin (SN) - Shanghai Tin (SHFE) main contract closing price was 271790 yuan/ton on August 27, 2025, and changed compared to previous periods [1] - LME tin 3M closing price (15:00) was 34290 dollars/ton on August 27, 2025, with price variations [1] - Refined tin spot import profit and loss had different values on different days [1]

证券之星消息，截至2025年8月27日收盘，山金国际(000975)报收于18.84元，下跌1.57%，换手率1.23%，成交量31.09万手，成交额5.93亿元。 8月27日的资金流向数据方面，主力资金净流出3781.92万元，占总成交额6.38%，游资资金净流入998.42万元，占总成交额1.68%，散户资金净流 入2783.5万元，占总成交额4.7%。 近5日资金流向一览见下表： 该股最近90天内共有13家机构给出评级，买入评级11家，增持评级2家；过去90天内机构目标均价为21.14。 资金流向名词解释：指通过价格变化反推资金流向。股价处于上升状态时主动性买单形成的成交额是推动股价上涨的力量，这部分成交额被定义 为资金流入，股价处于下跌状态时主动性卖单产生的的成交额是推动股价下跌的力量，这部分成交额被定义为资金流出。当天两者的差额即是当 天两种力量相抵之后剩下的推动股价上升的净力。通过逐笔交易单成交金额计算主力资金流向、游资资金流向和散户资金流向。 注：主力资金为特大单成交，游资为大单成交，散户为中小单成交 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240 ...