（以上内容为金融界基于公开消息，由程序或算法智能生成，不作为投资建议或交易依据。） 7月11日，截至港股收盘，恒生指数上涨0.46%，报24139.57点。中国白银集团（00815.HK）收报0.49港 元/股，上涨10.11%，成交量1.06亿股，成交额5227.01万港元，振幅10.11%。 本文源自：金融界 最近一个月来，中国白银集团累计跌幅25.83%，今年来累计涨幅88.56%，跑赢恒生指数19.78%的涨 幅。 财务数据显示，截至2024年12月31日，中国白银集团实现营业总收入43.14亿元，同比减少20.92%；归 母净利润996.6万元，同比减少31.5%；毛利率2.58%，资产负债率38.43%。 机构评级方面，目前暂无机构对该股做出投资评级建议。 行业估值方面，黄金及贵金属行业市盈率（TTM）平均值为23.04倍，行业中值20.73倍。中国白银集团 市盈率96.85倍，行业排名第12位；其他龙资源（01712.HK）为8.6倍、紫金矿业（02899.HK）为13.59 倍、灵宝黄金（03330.HK）为16.44倍、港银控股（08162.HK）为16.72倍、胜龙国际（01182.HK） ...

Group 1 - The Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold T+D closed at 769.2 yuan per gram on July 11, with an increase of 0.09% [1] - The Shanghai Gold Exchange's silver T+D closed at 9028.0 yuan per kilogram on July 11, with an increase of 1.99% [1]

Group 1: Report Summary - The report provides a strategy morning report for metal options on July 11, 2025, covering有色金属, precious metals, and black metals [1][2]. - It includes an overview of the underlying futures market, analysis of option factors, and specific option strategies and recommendations for each metal variety [3][4][7]. Group 2: Underlying Futures Market Overview - The report presents the latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest of various metal futures contracts, such as copper, aluminum, zinc, etc. [3] Group 3: Option Factor Analysis - Option factor analysis includes volume - open interest PCR, pressure and support levels, and implied volatility for different metal options [4][5][6]. - Volume PCR and open - interest PCR are used to describe the strength and potential turning points of the underlying asset's market [4]. - Pressure and support levels are determined from the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options [5]. - Implied volatility is calculated as the arithmetic average of call and put at - the - money options and volume - weighted average [6]. Group 4: Option Strategies and Recommendations Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper Options**: Directional strategy is to construct a bull call spread; volatility strategy is to construct a short - volatility option seller portfolio; spot hedging strategy is to hold spot long + buy put + sell out - of - the - money call [8]. - **Aluminum/Alumina Options**: Directional strategy is a bull call spread; volatility strategy is to sell a bullish call + put option combination; spot hedging strategy is a collar strategy [9]. - **Zinc/Pb Options**: Volatility strategy is to sell a neutral call + put option combination; spot hedging strategy is a collar strategy [9]. - **Nickel Options**: Volatility strategy is to sell a bearish call + put option combination; spot risk - hedging strategy is to hold spot long + buy put [10]. - **Tin Options**: Volatility strategy is a short - volatility strategy; spot hedging strategy is a collar strategy [10]. - **Lithium Carbonate Options**: Volatility strategy is to sell a neutral call + put option combination; spot covered strategy is to hold spot long + sell call [11]. Precious Metals - **Gold/Silver Options**: Volatility strategy is to construct a bullish short - volatility option seller portfolio; spot hedging strategy is to hold spot long + buy put + sell out - of - the - money call [12]. Black Metals - **Rebar Options**: Directional strategy is a bull call spread; volatility strategy is to sell a neutral call + put option combination; spot covered strategy is to hold spot long + sell call [13]. - **Iron Ore Options**: Directional strategy is a bull call spread; volatility strategy is to sell a bullish call + put option combination; spot hedging strategy is a collar strategy [13]. - **Ferroalloy Options**: Volatility strategy is a short - volatility strategy [14]. - **Industrial Silicon/Polysilicon Options**: Directional strategy is a bull call spread; volatility strategy is to sell a bullish call + put option combination; spot covered strategy is to hold spot long + sell call [14]. - **Glass Options**: Volatility strategy is to sell a call + put option combination to short volatility; spot hedging strategy is a collar strategy [15].

Group 1 - The article highlights a significant robbery in Mexico where armed thieves hijacked a truck carrying 33 tons of gold and silver concentrate, belonging to Grupo Minero Bacis [1] - Although the truck was recovered, the trailer containing the precious metals remains missing, indicating a serious security issue in the region [1] - The incident underscores a rising trend in highway robberies in Mexico, with a robbery occurring every 50 minutes, reflecting broader concerns about safety and crime in the mining sector [1] Group 2 - The backdrop of this robbery is the increasing prices of gold and silver driven by global economic uncertainty, which may attract more criminal activity targeting precious metals [1] - Grupo Minero Bacis, as a mining company, faces heightened risks associated with transporting valuable resources in a volatile security environment [1]

要剑三(Z0019556) 数据来源:Wind、Mysteel、SMM、彭博、广发期货研究所 免费声明：本报告中的信息均来源于被广发期货有限公司认为可靠的已公开资料，但广发期货对这些信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证・在任何情况下。报告内容仅供参考， 报告中的信息或所表达的意见并不构成所述品种买卖的出价或词价,投资者据此投资,风险自担。 FF FREE STEP 投资咨询业务资格: 证监许可【2011】1292号 2025年7月11日 欢迎关注微信公众号 主力合约 品种 点评 操作建议 来到新一轮美国贸易政策谈判窗口期,指数已经突 II-2509 破短期震荡区间上沿,中枢继续上移,但测试关键 IH2509 股指 大金融强势推升,股指再冲高位 IC2507 位置附近需谨慎操作。考虑买入低执行价看跌期权 后卖出高执行价看跌期权,做牛市价差策略。 IM2509 12509 债市缺乏驱动的情形下,权益市场表现强势压制债市,不过基 单边策略上建议暂观望,待调整企稳后适当多配。 TF2509 国债 本面和资金面对债市的支撑未扭转,短期调整企稳后可能出现 曲线策略上中期推荐关注做陡。 TS2509 多配机会 11 2509 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the common reasons why many gold traders incur losses and provides actionable solutions to help them achieve stable profits. Group 1: Reasons for Losses - Blindly following trends and lacking a trading plan leads to poor decision-making, such as buying at high points and selling at low points [3] - Heavy trading positions can result in significant losses due to market volatility, with examples showing that a 2% adverse movement can lead to a 10% loss of capital [4] - Failing to set stop-loss orders can exacerbate losses, as traders may hold onto losing positions in hopes of a market reversal [6] - Frequent trading can erode profits due to high transaction fees, with traders often losing gains from multiple small wins in a single large loss [9] - Ignorance of fundamental market factors can lead to poor trading decisions, such as trading against market trends influenced by economic indicators and geopolitical events [10] Group 2: Solutions to Improve Trading - Establish a clear trading plan that includes entry, stop-loss, and take-profit points to avoid emotional trading [3] - Control position sizes to limit risk, recommending that individual trades should not exceed 1%-5% of total capital [5] - Implement fixed stop-loss strategies to protect against significant losses, suggesting a 2% loss limit per trade [6] - Reduce trading frequency and focus on high-probability opportunities, while choosing platforms with lower transaction costs [9] - Stay informed about key economic data and learn to interpret news that affects gold prices, ensuring alignment with technical analysis [12] Group 3: Summary of Key Recommendations - To transition from losses to profits, traders should adhere to a structured trading plan, manage risk through position sizing, enforce strict stop-loss measures, limit trading frequency, and enhance their understanding of market fundamentals [13]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No specific industry investment ratings are provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints - The market is influenced by various factors such as Trump's tariff policies, seasonal demand, supply - demand relationships, and geopolitical events, leading to diverse trends in different commodities and financial markets [2][44] - Different commodities and markets show different trends including upward, downward, and oscillatory movements, and investors need to pay attention to specific factors affecting each market 3. Summary by Commodity and Market Energy - **Crude Oil**: Overnight international oil prices declined, with the Brent 09 contract down 1.85%. Uncertainties in economic and oil demand remain due to tariff policies, and although the peak - season physical market provides support, the upside space above $70/barrel is limited [2] - **Fuel Oil & Low - sulfur Fuel Oil**: The strength order is SC > BU > LU > FU. High - sulfur fuel oil demand is weak, and low - sulfur fuel oil lacks a clear driving force, with both showing weakening trends [18] - **Liquefied Petroleum Gas**: The international market supply is generally loose, and prices are stable. The import cost decline drives PDH margin repair, but the market maintains low - level oscillations in summer [20] - **Natural Gas**: No relevant information provided Metals - **Precious Metals**: Overnight, precious metals oscillated. Fed officials are divided on interest - rate cuts, and uncertainties before the US tariff deadline may cause risk sentiment to fluctuate, leading to continued oscillations [3] - **Copper**: Overnight copper prices oscillated. Trump's tariff remarks may further push prices down during the domestic off - season, and short positions are recommended [4] - **Aluminum**: Overnight, Shanghai aluminum continued to oscillate strongly. Although there are signs of negative feedback in the off - season, inventory accumulation is not significant. Market risk preference is positive, and attention should be paid to position changes [5] - **Alumina**: The anti - involution theme drives the rise of alumina futures and spot prices. Although it is currently oscillating strongly, the high - level operating capacity may limit the upside space [6] - **Zinc**: Zinc prices rebounded following the black - metal market. Although the short - term low - inventory situation leads to intensified capital games, the long - term downward trend is determined by the supply - demand imbalance [8] - **Nickel & Stainless Steel**: Shanghai nickel rebounded strongly, but with sufficient inventory and weak upstream price support, short positions are recommended on a light scale [10] - **Tin**: Overnight, LME tin recovered most of its gains. Attention is on the low - level fluctuations of LME tin inventory, and short positions from previous highs are recommended to be held [11] Chemicals - **Methanol**: Methanol imports and apparent demand are weak, and port inventory is accumulating. Although planned plant overhauls may support prices, the off - season demand may limit price increases, resulting in range - bound oscillations [22] - **PVC & Caustic Soda**: Affected by production rumors, PVC is strong in the short term, but long - term price increases are limited due to weak demand and high production. Caustic soda continues to rise, but long - term supply pressure may limit significant price increases [25] - **PX & PTA**: Overnight oil prices fell, causing PX and PTA prices to decline. PX supply - demand improves, while PTA supply - demand eases, and attention should be paid to the plant overhaul rhythm at low processing margins [26] - **Ethylene Glycol**: Affected by falling oil prices, ethylene glycol oscillated overnight. Although there is no obvious supply - demand contradiction, port inventory reduction and improved market sentiment provide some support [27] - **Short - fiber & Bottle - grade Resin**: Prices of short - fiber and bottle - grade resin declined slightly. Short - fiber inventory may increase, and caution is needed regarding the repair space of bottle - grade resin processing margins [28] - **Pure Benzene**: Overnight oil prices fell, and the increase of pure benzene slowed. There are short - term positives in the market, but it will face pressure in the fourth quarter. Seasonal supply - demand trends should be considered for operation [46] Agricultural Products - **Soybeans & Soybean Meal**: The US soybean good - quality rate is normal, and the domestic soybean meal market oscillates. Uncertainties in Sino - US trade and future weather conditions need to be monitored [32] - **Soybean Oil & Palm Oil**: Palm oil prices slightly corrected. The MPOB report is more bearish than expected, but long - term, bio - diesel development may support vegetable oil prices. Short - term attention should be paid to policy and weather [33] - **Rapeseed & Rapeseed Oil**: Canadian rapeseed may face local dry risks, and domestic rapeseed oil is weak. The market is expected to oscillate in the short term [34] - **Corn**: Dalian corn oscillates. The increase in supply due to auctions affects market expectations, and the market may continue to oscillate [36] - **Sugar**: US sugar oscillates weakly due to expected increases in India and Thailand's production. The domestic sugar market has low import volumes and light inventory pressure, and prices are expected to oscillate [40] - **Cotton**: US cotton rose slightly. Brazilian cotton harvesting is slow, and domestic cotton has a good inventory digestion but faces off - season pressure. Buying on dips is recommended [39] - **Eggs**: Egg futures declined, and the spot price is stable. The peak - season start time may be delayed, and long - term egg prices may not have bottomed out [38] - **Hogs**: Hog futures rose, but the spot price weakened slightly. Long - term capacity pressure exists, and there is downward pressure on hog prices [37] - **Apples**: Apple futures oscillate. New - season early - maturing apples are on the market, and the market focuses on new - season yield estimates. A bearish operation strategy is recommended [41] Others - **Shipping**: The container shipping index (European line) is expected to oscillate in the short term, following spot freight rates. Geopolitical events may affect the market, and a cease - fire agreement may put pressure on far - month contracts [17] - **Building Materials** - **Glass**: Affected by production rumors and inventory reduction, glass futures rose. Short - term prices may follow macro - sentiment, and long - term price increases depend on real estate policies or supply reduction [29] - **Lumber**: Lumber futures oscillate. The supply of radiata pine is low, and demand shows some improvement, but prices are still weak due to the off - season [42] - **Paper Pulp**: Paper pulp futures rose significantly. Although port inventory is high and demand is weak, the "anti - involution" concept boosts sentiment, and short - term observation or short - term operations are recommended [43] - **Financial Markets** - **Stock Index**: A - shares oscillated upward, and index futures rose slightly. The market is concerned about Trump's tariff policies, and investors are advised to increase their allocation of technology - growth stocks on the basis of dividend - asset allocation [44] - **Treasury Bonds**: Treasury bond futures oscillated downward, and bond yields increased. Market risk preference is rising, and the bond market may face increased volatility [45]

上海黄金交易所黄金T+D 7月11日（周五）早盘盘初上涨0.22%报770.22元/克； 上海黄金交易所白银T+D 7月11日（周五）早盘盘初上涨1.65%报8998.0元/千克。 黄金延期 白银延期 ...

上海黄金交易所黄金T+D 7月10日（周四）晚盘收盘下跌0.12%报767.6元/克； 上海黄金交易所白银T+D 7月10日（周四）晚盘收盘上涨1.37%报8973.0元/千克。 黄金延期 白银延期 ...

大宗商品研究所 贵金属研发报告 贵金属衍生品日报 2025 年 7 月 10 日 研究所副所长：车红云 期货从业证号：F03088215 投资咨询号：Z0017510 研究员：王露晨 CFA 期货从业证号：F03110758 投资咨询号：Z0021675 联系方式： 上海：021-65789219 北京：010-68569781 邮箱： wangluchen_qh@chinastock.co m.cn 贵金属衍生品日报 【市场回顾】 1.贵金属市场：今天白天，贵金属小幅反弹。伦敦金震荡走高，当前交投于 3323 美元附近，伦敦银则交投于 36.5 美元附近。受外盘驱动，沪金主力合约收涨 0.49%，报 773.3 元/克，沪银主力合约收涨 0.22%，报 8919 元/千克。 2.美元指数：美元指数低开后窄幅波动，当前交投于 97.45 附近。 3.美债收益率：10 年美债收益率窄幅波动，当前交投于 4.35%附近。 4.人民币汇率：人民币兑美元汇率高位震荡，当前交投于 7.177 附近。 【重要资讯】 1.特朗普政府动向：①7 月 9 日，特朗普再向 8 国发出关税信函：自 8 月 1 日 起，美国将对菲律 ...