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10只白酒股上涨 贵州茅台1376元/股收盘
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2026-01-19 07:57
Core Viewpoint - The white liquor sector is showing signs of stabilization, with the current market conditions indicating that the industry fundamentals are nearing a bottom, despite recent price declines [1] Industry Summary - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4114.00 points, up 0.29%, while the white liquor sector index closed at 2214.03 points, up 0.74% [1] - Ten white liquor stocks experienced gains, but major players like Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye, Shanxi Fenjiu, Luzhou Laojiao, and Yanghe all saw declines in their stock prices [1] - Kweichow Moutai closed at 1376.00 CNY per share, down 0.43%; Wuliangye at 104.55 CNY, down 0.58%; Shanxi Fenjiu at 169.36 CNY, down 1.75%; Luzhou Laojiao at 113.59 CNY, down 0.60%; and Yanghe at 61.99 CNY, down 0.02% [1] Company Insights - According to a report from Kaiyuan Securities, the white liquor industry is expected to see a recovery in sales during the 2026 Spring Festival, despite the current downward trend in prices [1] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring economic recovery, consumer confidence restoration, and the flexibility of brand policy adjustments in the medium to long term [1] - The current valuation of the white liquor sector is at a low point compared to recent years, with low market expectations and a favorable chip structure, indicating that the fundamentals are close to a bottom [1]
消费论坛交流反馈——食品饮料行业周报(20260112-20260118):传统消费龙头探寻新路,成效初显
Huachuang Securities· 2026-01-19 07:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the food and beverage industry, indicating an expected increase in the industry index exceeding the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [26]. Core Insights - The traditional consumer leaders in the food and beverage sector are exploring new paths, with initial positive results observed. The report highlights the acceleration of white liquor clearance and the catalyzing effect of the peak season for mass-market products [1][13]. - The liquor industry is currently at the bottom of its cycle, with expectations for sales to stabilize over the next three years. The report notes a significant price drop in high-end whiskey (approximately 50%) and a smaller decline in brandy (10-20%) due to decreased demand and a return to reasonable pricing [10]. - In the mass-market segment, companies are actively adjusting strategies, leading to improved performance. Notable companies include Xianle Health, which is leveraging overseas expansion and AI to drive growth, and West Wheat, which is enhancing its competitive advantage through channel expansion [11][12]. Summary by Sections 1. Meeting Feedback: Liquor at Cycle Bottom, Mass-Market Highlights - Liquor is at a cyclical low, with future sales expected to stabilize. The domestic brandy market remains stable, dominated by three major brands [10]. - The mass-market segment shows a divergence in demand, with companies like Xianle and West Wheat continuing to grow, while traditional companies are adjusting to improve performance [11]. 2. Investment Recommendations: Strengthening White Liquor Bottom, Catalyzing Mass-Market Peak Season - The report recommends Moutai and emphasizes the importance of Gujing, anticipating a recovery in demand as the Spring Festival approaches. The report suggests that companies are transitioning from passive responses to proactive adjustments [13]. - In the mass-market segment, the report highlights Anqi as a key recommendation, along with opportunities in restaurant supply chains and snack sectors as the Spring Festival approaches [13].
研报掘金丨中金:维持贵州茅台“跑赢行业”评级,目标价1860元
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-01-19 07:16
中金公司研报指出,贵州茅台开启市场化转型巩固定价权,以变应势、以稳致远。展望看,茅台有望巩 固其作为白酒龙头的定价权,并重塑下一轮周期的增长逻辑。我们认为此轮茅台推进市场化转型,有望 丰富公司的价格调节手段、强化公司话语权,并覆盖更多增量需求;行业维度看,以茅台为代表的头部 企业将加速向下挤压尾部品牌和产能,推动行业集中分化,加速行业的出清筑底。维持2025年盈利预测 不变,公司下调了多款产品价格,下调2026年盈利预测2.8%至904.7 亿元,引入2027年的盈利预测915.9 亿元,因股息率托底,维持目标价1860元,对应26/27年25.7/25.4倍P/E,现价对应26/27年19.1/18.9倍 P/E,有34.6%上行空间,维持"跑赢行业"评级。 新浪财经"酒价内参"重磅上线 知名白酒真实市场价尽在掌握 ...
珍酒李渡董事长吴向东:没有超级产品就不会有超级企业
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-19 07:08
Core Viewpoint - The 20th China Brand Person Annual Conference will be held on December 29, 2025, in Shenzhen, focusing on the theme "Who Earns Respect for China," gathering over 2,000 elites from various sectors to reflect on the development of Chinese brands and explore new trends and opportunities in brand building [3][12]. Group 1: Innovation and Achievements - The company has implemented an innovative business model through the "Zunyi Forum," hosting 75 forums that attracted over 10,000 participants and generated over 600 million in revenue within 200 days, a significant achievement in a declining industry [5][14]. - The company has adopted a strategy of "one out, one in" for recruitment in certain regions, indicating a shift in operational focus [5][14]. Group 2: Seven Innovations for Business Breakthrough - The company has identified seven areas of innovation: super links, super products, super channels, super communication, super organization, super brand, and super experience, which have contributed to its business breakthroughs [5][14]. - A shift from large conferences to smaller forums has improved conversion rates from initially low percentages to significantly higher levels [5][14]. Group 3: Industry Challenges and Successful Case Studies - The liquor industry is facing challenges such as severe price inversion, affecting all channels [6][15]. - Successful case studies include Pop Mart, which saw a 16-fold increase in market value by creating a super product, LABUBU, and Huawei, which transformed its business model to achieve significant market success [6][15][16]. Group 4: Product Development and Market Positioning - The company has launched a super product, "Dazhen," priced at 600 yuan, which competes with products priced at 3,600 yuan, and is recognized as one of the hottest liquors in the market [8][18]. - The company is also developing a super beer with 20 times the amount of hops used in regular beer, positioning it as a leading new brand in the premium beer segment [8][18]. Group 5: Future Exploration and Incentives - The company is exploring new product lines, including a low-alcohol beverage and a health drink for women, aiming to maintain health into old age [9][19]. - A special equity incentive policy is in place to encourage sales, offering free shares of the listed company to those who assist in selling products [9][19].
山西汾酒跌2.01%,成交额10.99亿元,主力资金净流出7979.57万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-19 06:23
山西汾酒所属申万行业为:食品饮料-白酒Ⅱ-白酒Ⅲ。所属概念板块包括:白酒、山西国资、价值成 长、国资改革、百元股等。 截至9月30日,山西汾酒股东户数8.00万,较上期减少23.37%;人均流通股15252股,较上期增加 30.50%。2025年1月-9月,山西汾酒实现营业收入329.24亿元,同比增长5.00%;归母净利润114.05亿 元,同比增长0.48%。 分红方面,山西汾酒A股上市后累计派现243.25亿元。近三年,累计派现167.75亿元。 机构持仓方面,截止2025年9月30日,山西汾酒十大流通股东中,招商中证白酒指数A(161725)位居 第三大流通股东,持股3865.14万股,相比上期增加451.09万股。香港中央结算有限公司位居第四大流通 股东,持股2716.39万股,相比上期减少2183.52万股。易方达蓝筹精选混合(005827)位居第五大流通 股东,持股1794.72万股,相比上期减少100.39万股。酒ETF(512690)位居第六大流通股东,持股 1310.23万股,为新进股东。华夏上证50ETF(510050)位居第七大流通股东,持股933.58万股,相比上 期减少26.29万 ...
茅台辟谣:假!假!假!假!
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2026-01-19 06:18
今天(1月18日)13时,贵州茅台(600519)酒销售有限公司发布文章《温馨提示:谨防飞天茅台虚假申购》。 文章称,近期,线上平台再次出现冒用茅台名义,发布"开放企业直供通道""企业1499飞天申购,点击链接获取详情""飞天茅台官方申请入口""无需搭 售、点击链接立即申请""1499元企业申购通道"等虚假招商信息,有关内容均属不实宣传,存在误导消费者、甚至诈骗风险。 贵州茅台发布打假图片 ↓↓ 公司从未授权或委托任何主体,发布以上信息。目前,公司各省区自营店正在与原有企业团购客户签订2026年销售合同,通过线下对接,进行资质审核、 合同签约,未通过公开链接或社交媒体直接受理申请。 温馨提示各市场主体和广大消费者,认准官方渠道,警惕虚假招商。我公司正积极配合有关部门对相关虚假招商行为调查处理,依法追究有关责任主体法 律责任,切实维护市场秩序和消费者权益。 ...
跨越顶奢与潮饮的“美酒+美食”表达 五粮液全力构建中国白酒全球新叙事
当一位新加坡米其林星厨在构思新菜单时,正在将中国白酒作为风味拼图中一块充满惊喜的"香料"。在 他手中,一杯五粮液(000858)可能被用来平衡炙烤龙虾的鲜甜,其复杂的谷物香气与焦糖尾韵,成为 解锁食材深层风味的"钥匙"。 基于味蕾本能、超越文化的中国白酒体验,正发生在全球越来越多顶级餐厅中。五粮液正以一场系统性 的"美酒+美食"全球行动,悄然改写中国白酒的国际叙事,开辟出一条从顶级餐桌过渡到日常生活的新 道路。 "餐酒场景" 全链融合 构建可感知的"中式体验"新范式 五粮液的海外活动逻辑清晰,通过米其林指南发布等大型活动让海外消费者认识白酒;通过高端私宴及 授权体验餐厅的定制菜单,让食客在极致搭配中体验白酒;再通过侍酒师专业讲解"五步品酒法",以及 与米其林星厨大师课的深度结合,传播酿造工艺,使消费者从理性上认可白酒,形成可持续的品牌认同 及消费者培育循环。 所有体验的目的是建立情感与文化认同。五粮液将自身"各味谐调"的酿艺哲学升华为"和美"文化内核, 并通过"美食"这一世界通用语言进行传递。这使得五粮液超越了一种烈酒产品,成为能激发情感链接 的"中国味道"符号。 以食为天 以酒为引 烹调白酒文化的全球新叙事 ...
消费论坛交流反馈——食品饮料行业周报(20260112-20260118):传统消费龙头探寻新路,成效初显-20260119
Huachuang Securities· 2026-01-19 05:43
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the food and beverage industry, indicating an expected increase in the industry index exceeding the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [26]. Core Insights - The traditional consumer leaders in the food and beverage sector are exploring new paths, with initial positive results observed. The report highlights the acceleration of white liquor clearance and the catalyzing effect of the peak season for mass-market products [1][13]. - The report discusses the current state of the liquor market, indicating that the洋酒 (foreign liquor) sector is at the bottom of its cycle, with expectations for sales to stabilize over the next three years. The decline in high-end whiskey prices has been approximately 50%, while brandy prices have decreased by 10-20% [10]. - In the mass-market segment, companies are actively adjusting their strategies, leading to improved performance. Notable companies include仙乐健康 (Xianle Health),西麦 (Ximai), and妙可蓝多 (Miaokelando), which are leveraging new channels and product innovations to drive growth [11][12]. Summary by Sections 1. Meeting Feedback -洋酒 is currently at the bottom of its cycle, with future sales expected to stabilize. The decline in sales is attributed to decreased demand and a return to reasonable pricing after previous high valuations [10]. - In the mass-market segment, there is a divergence in demand, with companies making adjustments that are starting to yield results. Growth is seen in functional foods and cheese products, while traditional sectors are still facing challenges [11]. 2. Investment Recommendations - For white liquor, the report recommends focusing on茅台 (Moutai) and古井 (Gu Jing), anticipating a recovery in demand as the Spring Festival approaches. The report suggests that the market is transitioning from passive responses to proactive adjustments, with a clearer outlook as the year progresses [13]. - In the mass-market segment,重点推荐安琪 (Anqi) and selected opportunities in餐供 (restaurant supply) such as安井 (Anjing) and巴比 (Babi). The report emphasizes the potential for growth in overseas markets and the importance of cost management [13].
郭广昌:机会始终存在,复星将坚定创新与全球化之路
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-19 03:57
"今年的冬天没有去年那么冷,无论是天气还是我们的经济,都更暖和了一些。很多负面因素都在被逐渐消化,再次证明中国经济有极大韧性。"郭广昌表 示,"即使当前仍然充满了不确定性,但我相信2026年一定是一个值得乐观、值得期待的年份,在这样的年份里面,我们有理由万马奔腾、一马当先,我们 也有理由再勇敢一些,再有信心一些,把我们的企业做得更好。" 1月18日,第九届世界浙商上海论坛暨2025上海市浙江商会年会在上海国际会议中心举行。本届论坛以"奔涌"为主题,聚焦中国经济浪潮中浙商的韧性、创 新与抱负,邀请院士专家、技术先锋、知名企业家齐聚一堂,共议未来发展。复星国际董事长郭广昌发表主旨演讲,分享了他对宏观经济、民营企业创新、 中国大市场与全球化机遇等的思考。 他进一步阐释,"自从改革开放以来,过去几十年中国的经济发展,总体上来说是顺风顺水、高速发展的,所以这几年遇到一些挑战和困难,加之外部环境 的改变,大家有不适应的感觉,这很正常。但我们也要非常明确地知道,在以前一切都顺风顺水的时候,我们会高估自己的能力,也高估了自己企业的竞争 力,很多的细节问题往往被忽略了,所谓'一俊遮百丑'。再加上自己的内功不强,底盘不够扎实,现 ...
一周安徽上市公司要闻回顾(1.12-1.18)
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-19 03:55
Group 1 - Gongda Gaoke's shareholder Zhang Hanlong plans to reduce his holdings by up to 125,000 shares, representing approximately 0.1427% of the total share capital [1] - Fuhuang Steel Structure's chairman Yang Junbin has resigned due to personal reasons, and he will not hold any other positions in the company after his resignation [2] - Guoyuan Securities plans to jointly establish the Quantum Star Kinetic Fund to invest in high-tech enterprises in the quantum industry [2] Group 2 - Jinzongzi Liquor expects to report a net loss for the fiscal year 2025, although the loss is anticipated to narrow compared to previous periods [3] - Guofeng New Materials forecasts a net loss of between 65 million to 85 million yuan for 2025, primarily due to ongoing industry challenges and high production costs [4] - Jamei Packaging anticipates a year-on-year decline in net profit of 43.02% to 53.38% for 2025, influenced by a "small year" in the beverage industry and lower-than-expected demand [6] Group 3 - Wantong Expressway has won a bid for the S19 Huainan to Tongcheng Expressway project with a bid price of 7.237 billion yuan, with a concession period of 354 months [5] - *ST Lifang's stock price has fallen below 1 yuan for the first time, raising concerns about potential delisting due to significant violations and false disclosures in annual reports [7]