Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley expects that the new drug tariff policy will not have a direct impact on Chinese CDMO companies like WuXi AppTec, as clients typically bear the tariff costs, and WuXi AppTec is expanding its production capacity in the U.S. to meet local production demands [1] Group 1: Company Analysis - WuXi AppTec is identified as the largest contract research and manufacturing organization in China, with strong business fundamentals [1] - The competition in the small molecule CRDMO sector is considered relatively mild, which bodes well for WuXi AppTec's market position [1] - The growth momentum of WuXi AppTec's TIDES business remains robust, indicating a positive outlook for the company's future performance [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - Morgan Stanley maintains an "Overweight" rating on WuXi AppTec, with a target price set at HKD 138 [1] - The report follows the announcement by former President Trump regarding a 100% tariff on imported brand-name and patented drugs starting October 1, unless related manufacturers have begun construction of production facilities in the U.S. [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley continues to favor WuXi AppTec (02359) as the top pick in China's CXO industry, highlighting its position as the largest contract research and manufacturing organization in China and expressing optimism about its business fundamentals [1] Group 1: Company Performance - WuXi AppTec is recognized as the largest contract research and development organization in China, indicating strong market presence [1] - The competition in the small molecule CRDMO sector is relatively mild, suggesting a favorable operating environment for WuXi AppTec [1] - The growth momentum in WuXi TIDES business remains robust, contributing positively to the company's outlook [1] Group 2: Market Impact - Morgan Stanley maintains an "overweight" rating for WuXi AppTec with a target price of HKD 138 [1] - The recent announcement by former President Trump regarding a 100% tariff on imported brand-name and patented drugs starting October 1 is not expected to directly impact WuXi AppTec and similar Chinese CDMO companies, as clients typically bear the tariff costs [1] - WuXi AppTec is expanding its production capacity in the U.S. to meet client demands for localized production, which may mitigate potential impacts from the tariff policy [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's research report indicates that the recent announcement by U.S. President Trump to impose a 100% tariff on imported branded and patented drugs starting October 1 will not directly impact Chinese CDMO companies like WuXi AppTec, as clients typically bear the tariff costs [1] Group 1: Company Analysis - WuXi AppTec is recognized as the largest contract research and manufacturing organization in China, with strong business fundamentals [1] - The company is expanding its production capacity in the U.S. to meet client demands for localized manufacturing [1] - Morgan Stanley maintains an "Overweight" rating on WuXi AppTec, with a target price of HKD 138 [1] Group 2: Industry Insights - The competition in the small molecule CRDMO sector is relatively mild, which bodes well for WuXi AppTec's growth prospects [1] - The growth momentum for WuXi TIDES business remains strong, indicating a positive outlook for the company's future performance [1]

Market Overview - Global markets showed mixed performance, with the Hang Seng Index down 1.35% and the S&P 500 up 0.59% year-to-date performance for the Hang Seng Index stands at 30.25% [1][2] - The Chinese stock market saw declines, particularly in the technology, healthcare, and consumer discretionary sectors, while essential consumer goods, energy, and financials experienced gains [3] Industry Insights - The Chinese pharmaceutical industry is witnessing a recovery in domestic innovation research and development demand, with the MSCI China Healthcare Index up 74.0% since early 2025, outperforming the MSCI China Index by 37.3% [4] - The demand for early-stage research is showing positive signs, supported by a resurgence in capital market financing and a favorable environment for biotech innovation [9] - The CXO industry is expected to see performance recovery in the second half of 2025 due to increased demand for early-stage research and development [4][9] Company Analysis - WuXi AppTec (药明康德) is maintaining a strong growth trajectory in its TIDES business, with plans to expand peptide production capacity significantly by the end of 2025 [8] - The company reported a 14.5% year-on-year increase in new orders for preclinical services in the first half of 2025, with a notable 19.9% increase from U.S. clients [9] - WuXi AppTec's management is confident in maintaining resilient profitability, with adjusted gross and net profit margins reaching historical highs of 44.5% and 30.4% respectively in the first half of 2025 [10]

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of a 100% tariff on all branded/patented drugs by Trump starting in October is expected to have limited impact on China's innovative drug industry chain, with no excessive concerns warranted [1] Group 1: Impact on Innovative Drugs - Most Chinese innovative drugs that are currently being exported have either established production capacity in the U.S. or have outsourced production to local CMO companies [1] - The majority of domestic innovative drugs are exported using a business development (BD) model, which mitigates the impact of the tariff [1] Group 2: Impact on CXO Sector - The export products in the CXO sector primarily consist of raw materials and biological raw liquids, which are not affected by the new tariff; the proportion of finished dosage forms exported is low [1] - The investment timeline for multinational corporations (MNCs) to build factories in China will take time, leading to limited direct impact on CXO orders in the short term [1] - Long-term policy changes may influence the pace of factory construction by MNCs [1] Group 3: Upcoming Catalysts - The ESMO conference will take place in mid to late October, with a focus on companies like CanSino Biologics (09926), Kelun-Biotech (06990), and Rongchang Biologics (09995) that are expected to release significant data [1] - The results of medical insurance negotiations and the first version of the commercial insurance innovative drug directory are expected to be announced in October-November [1] Group 4: Mid to Long-term Recommendations - Recommended stocks in the innovative drug sector include 3SBio (01530) and Eucure Biopharma-B (06996), which have rich short-term catalysts and their valuations do not yet reflect the core value of major products [2] - Companies like Ascletis Pharma (02096), Hutchison China MediTech (00013), and Legend Biotech are considered undervalued with clear long-term growth logic [2] - In the CXO sector, WuXi AppTec (02268) is highlighted as a leading player benefiting from high downstream demand and improving financing conditions [2]

Core Insights - The report highlights that the impact of Trump's 100% tariff on imported innovative drugs may be limited, suggesting a buying opportunity during market dips [1][2] - The Chinese innovative drug industry is expected to be minimally affected, as many companies have established production capabilities in the U.S. or have outsourced to local contract manufacturing organizations (CMOs) [2] - The report recommends focusing on specific companies with significant data releases at the upcoming ESMO conference and monitoring the results of healthcare negotiations [2] Industry Overview - The U.S. tariff policy primarily targets multinational pharmaceutical companies that rely on overseas production, pushing them to establish manufacturing facilities in the U.S. [2] - The impact on the CXO sector is expected to be limited in the short term, as the majority of exports consist of raw materials and biological drug solutions, with a low proportion of finished drug exports [2] - The report indicates that the overall influence of the tariff on the Chinese pharmaceutical supply chain is manageable, contrasting with previous more aggressive statements from the Trump administration [2] Investment Recommendations - The report identifies potential catalysts for the pharmaceutical sector in Q4 2025, including the ESMO conference and the upcoming healthcare negotiation results [2] - Recommended companies for investment include Innovent Biologics, Kelun-Biotech, and Rongchang Biologics, which are expected to have significant data releases [2] - Long-term investment opportunities are suggested in innovative drug companies like 3SBio and Eucure Biopharma, which are undervalued and have clear growth trajectories [2]

Core Viewpoint - Kanglong Chemical is recognized as a leading global drug research and development enterprise with a full-process, integrated, international, and multi-therapy approach [1] Company Summary - The company’s laboratory services, small molecule CDMO, clinical CRO, and large molecule and cell gene therapy services are expected to have ample growth momentum and broad growth space [1] - Kanglong Chemical is on a path to becoming a global integrated research and production service giant [1] Industry Summary - Given the growth prospects of the company and the global competitive advantages of China's CXO industry, a higher valuation level is deemed appropriate [1] - The report suggests a target price of 47.73 yuan based on a 40 times PE for 2026, and a target price of 39.34 Hong Kong dollars based on a 30 times PE for 2026 [1] - The report initiates coverage with a "recommend" rating [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the pharmaceutical sector, indicating an expectation of total returns exceeding the relevant industry over the next 12 months [4]. Core Insights - The recent announcement by President Trump regarding a 100% tariff on imported branded and patented drugs is expected to have a limited impact on China's innovative drug industry, as most Chinese companies either have production facilities in the U.S. or utilize local contract manufacturing organizations (CMOs) [3]. - The report suggests that investors should strategically position themselves in the innovative drug supply chain during market fluctuations, with several catalysts expected in Q4 2025, including the ESMO conference and upcoming healthcare negotiations [3]. - Long-term investment opportunities are highlighted in specific segments such as innovative drugs and CXO services, with recommendations for companies like Sanofi, Legend Biotech, and WuXi AppTec [3]. Summary by Sections Section: Impact of Tariffs - The 100% tariff on imported drugs is not expected to significantly affect Chinese innovative drug companies, as they have limited direct exports to the U.S. and often rely on local production [3]. - CXO companies primarily export raw materials and biological drugs, which are not impacted by the new tariffs, indicating a controlled overall impact on the Chinese pharmaceutical supply chain [3]. Section: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with rich short-term catalysts, such as Kangfang Biotech and Rongchang Biotech, ahead of significant data releases and healthcare negotiations [3]. - Specific companies are highlighted for their growth potential, including Sanofi and Legend Biotech, which are considered undervalued with clear long-term growth logic [3]. Section: Company Ratings - A list of companies with their respective ratings and target prices is provided, showing a generally positive outlook for the majority of the companies covered [4]. - Notable companies with "Buy" ratings include Sanofi (target price of 35.00), Legend Biotech (target price of 74.00), and WuXi AppTec (target price of 70.00) [4].

Core Insights - The report from Cinda Securities indicates a significant recovery in domestic innovative drug financing, with a total of $7.75 billion in financing from January to August 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 89% [1] - The secondary market financing reached $5.135 billion, showing a remarkable year-on-year growth of about 304% [1] - The CXO industry is experiencing an improvement in supply-demand dynamics, with leading companies expected to re-enter an expansion phase due to recovering market demand [2] Group 1: CXO Industry Overview - The CXO industry operates on a "water seller" business model, closely tied to the financing of the biopharmaceutical sector [1] - Domestic innovative drug financing has begun to recover, aided by a rebound in the Hong Kong stock market and business development (BD) opportunities abroad [1] - The overall supply-demand relationship in the CXO sector is improving, with leading companies like WuXi AppTec and WuXi Biologics planning significant capital expenditures for 2025, indicating confidence in market recovery [2] Group 2: CDMO Sector Insights - CDMO leaders are experiencing marginal improvements in performance since Q4 2024, driven by high overseas revenue and a recovery in overseas investment and financing demand [3] - The unique business model of CDMOs allows for project pipeline expansion, which can sustain performance growth even amid challenges in new project signings [3] - The demand for new molecules such as peptides and ADCs is robust, prompting CDMO leaders to strategically position themselves in these emerging markets [3] Group 3: CRO Sector Insights - The CRO sector shows performance divergence among leading companies, with some beginning to recover, likely due to their specific business characteristics and operational cycles [4] - Most CRO companies are seeing improvements in order volumes, which serve as a leading indicator for future performance [4] - The slight increase in the price of experimental monkeys suggests a potential recovery in preclinical CRO demand, highlighting the importance of companies that control these scarce resources [4] Group 4: Recommended Companies - Key companies to watch include WuXi AppTec, WuXi Biologics, WuXi AppTec's ADC business, and others, with their valuations falling within reasonable ranges based on their business characteristics and market trends [5][6] - Specific highlights include WuXi AppTec's TIDES business, WuXi Biologics' project reserves, and the resilience of Sunlight Nuohuo's CRO business [6]

Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng Healthcare Index fell by 1.4% this week, underperforming the market, with internet medicine, CXO, and traditional Chinese medicine sectors showing better performance [1] Group 1: Market Trends - Since September, the proportion of domestic holdings through the Hong Kong Stock Connect has remained stable, while foreign holdings have slightly decreased since mid-year [1] - Both domestic and foreign investors continue to increase their positions in innovative pharmaceutical companies, indicating a consistent long-term strategy [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with significant data releases at the upcoming ESMO conference in mid to late October, specifically mentioning Kangfang Biotech (09926), Kelun-Biotech (06990), and Rongchang Biotech (09995) [1] - The importance of timing and stock selection has increased following a broad rise in the innovative drug sector, with recommendations to gradually build positions during market corrections [1] Group 3: Sector Focus - For the innovative drug sector, the report highlights companies such as 3SBio (01530) and Eucure Biopharma-B (06996) as having rich short-term catalysts and undervalued core products, while companies like Ascletis Pharma (02096), Hutchison China MediTech (00013), and Legend Biotech are noted as significantly undervalued with clear long-term growth logic [1] - In the CXO sector, the report points to leading companies benefiting from high downstream demand and marginal recovery in financing, specifically mentioning WuXi AppTec (02268) [1]