股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.07.04 政策加码深蓝经济，关注风电、油气装备 与船舶行业成长新机遇 [Table_Industry] 机械行业 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 | [table_Authors] 肖群稀(分析师) | 丁嘉一(研究助理) | | --- | --- | | 021-38676666 | 021-38676666 | | 登记编号 S0880522120001 | S0880125042233 | 本报告导读： "向海图强"战略落地提速，深远海风电启动招标、超深水平台实现交付、高端船 型领域实现新突破，深海装备建设节奏加快。 投资要点： 股 票 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 行 业 跟 踪 报 告 表1：重点公司盈利预测（2025/07/03） | 股票代码 | 公司名称 | 股价（元） | | EPS（元） | | | PE | | 评级 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 2025E | 2026E | ...

Group 1 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has approved the registration of propylene futures and options at the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange, ensuring a smooth launch and stable operation [1] - The second batch of 11 floating fee funds has been submitted for approval, including 2 stock funds and 9 mixed equity funds, focusing on themes such as high-end equipment, pharmaceuticals, and manufacturing [2] - Multiple quantitative private equity firms have clarified that the rumor regarding high-frequency trading frequency being limited to 30 times per second is false, as the current regulatory standards remain unchanged [2] Group 2 - GGII reported that in the first five months of 2025, global power battery installations reached approximately 369.8 GWh, with a year-on-year growth of 35%, driven by a 28% increase in global new energy vehicle sales [3] - Several paper companies have raised the price of corrugated paper by 30 yuan per ton, indicating a normal adjustment range as the industry gradually recovers [3] - IDC predicts that by 2028, the market size for security intelligent agents in China will reach $1.6 billion, with a compound annual growth rate exceeding 230% [4] Group 3 - Xinhua Insurance has invested 11.25 billion yuan to subscribe to the National Fengxinghua Honghu Zhiyuan Phase III private equity fund, which has a total fund size of 22.5 billion yuan [7] - Anhui Construction has won three projects with a total bid price of 9.156 billion yuan, including a highway project with an estimated total investment of 7.487 billion yuan [8] - Times New Material has signed sales contracts for wind turbine blades worth approximately 2.711 billion yuan, covering both offshore and onshore wind power [9] Group 4 - Chip Motion Technology expects a net profit increase of 144.46% to 199.37% for the first half of 2025, with projected revenue growth of 66.04% to 102.45% [10] - Pulit anticipates a net profit increase of 38.88% to 66.65% for the first half of 2025, with a projected net profit of 200 million to 240 million yuan [11] - Haitong Development expects a net profit decrease of 60.78% to 69.04% for the first half of 2025, with a projected net profit of 7.5 million to 9.5 million yuan [12] - Whirlpool forecasts a net profit increase of approximately 559% for the first half of 2025, with a projected net profit of about 205 million yuan [13]

Core Viewpoint - The meeting emphasized the need to deepen the construction of a unified national market and promote high-quality development of the marine economy, highlighting the importance of coordinated efforts and policy support to achieve these goals [1][2][3]. Group 1: Unified National Market Construction - The basic requirements for advancing the unified national market include "five unifications and one openness," which are unified market infrastructure, unified government behavior standards, unified market supervision and law enforcement, unified resource markets, and continuous expansion of both domestic and foreign openness [1][2]. - Focus areas include addressing low-price disorderly competition among enterprises, guiding companies to improve product quality, and promoting the orderly exit of backward production capacity [2]. - The meeting called for the integration of domestic and foreign trade, facilitating the path from export to domestic sales, and nurturing a group of high-quality enterprises in both domestic and foreign trade [2]. Group 2: High-Quality Development of Marine Economy - The meeting stressed the importance of top-level design and increased policy support to encourage social capital participation in marine economic development [3]. - Key initiatives include enhancing independent innovation capabilities in marine technology, fostering leading marine technology enterprises, and promoting the development of modern offshore fishing and marine biomedicine [3]. - The meeting also highlighted the need for marine ecological environment protection and the exploration of marine carbon sink accounting [3].

近年来，在全球绿色产业竞赛中，中国制造凭借新技术、新产品脱颖而出。尤其以新能源汽车、锂 电池、光伏产品为代表的"新三样"叫响全球。 但与此同时，"内卷式"竞争逐渐成为舆论焦点，新能源汽车、锂电池、光伏以及风电、储能等领域 这一问题均受到诟病。 《求是》杂志在7月1日刊文《深刻认识和综合整治"内卷式"竞争》，对"内卷式"竞争发出严厉警 告，文章认为，价格战造成社会资源的极大浪费，不可持续的债务可能危及长期增长。 文章在分析内卷表现时指出，一些地方政府为招引企业、培育产业，人为制造政策洼地，违规实施 税费、补贴、用地等不公平非普惠的优惠政策，导致无序竞争，破坏公平竞争秩序。 文章在分析"内卷式"竞争是怎么形成的时指出，由于政府缺位越位等行为时有发生，很大程度上影 响公平竞争市场环境的形成。有的地方政绩考核机制不完善，导致政绩观、发展观错位，为了追求短期 经济增长而搞地方保护、市场分割、恶性比拼招商引资政策等，妨碍资源要素高效流动。此外，由于破 产重整制度不完善，加上有的地方政府行政力量干预，导致一些本该淘汰的落后和过剩产能不能及时退 出，部分企业"活不好、死不了"，影响了产业重组和资源利用效率的提高。 文章指出， ...

Market Overview - On July 4, A-shares showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.32% to 3472 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.25% and 0.36% respectively [1][2] - The total trading volume for the day reached 1.45 trillion yuan, an increase of 121 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with over 4100 stocks declining [1] Sector Performance - The cross-border payment sector saw significant gains, with companies like Xinyada and Jingbeifang hitting the daily limit, and Sifang Jingchuang rising over 6% [2][3] - The banking sector collectively rose, with notable increases in CITIC Bank, Shanghai Bank, and others reaching historical highs [2][7] - The gaming sector also performed well, with Giant Network surging by over 9% and several other gaming stocks following suit, attributed to a recent increase in game license approvals [6][2] Notable Stocks - In the gaming sector, Giant Network rose by 9.07%, while Ice Glacier Network and 37 Interactive Entertainment increased by over 6% [5][6] - In the banking sector, CITIC Bank rose by 3.73%, with other banks like Industrial Bank and Everbright Bank also showing strong performance [7] - The electric power sector was active, with Shaoneng Co., ShenNan Electric A, and Huayin Power hitting the daily limit, while Xichang Electric rose over 6% [8] Declining Sectors - The solid-state battery concept stocks collectively fell, with Xinyu Ren dropping by 12% and other related stocks also experiencing significant declines [11] - The wind power equipment sector showed weak performance, with Jixin Technology hitting the daily limit down and other companies like Taisheng Wind Power and Dajin Heavy Industry also declining [12] - The beauty and personal care sector weakened, with companies like Lafang Jiahua and Shu Yang Co. dropping over 5% [13] Future Outlook - According to CITIC Securities, the short-term outlook suggests a boost in market sentiment, attracting leveraged funds, while the mid-term view indicates limited upward space due to current market levels and valuations being higher than last year [14] - The focus remains on new sectors such as innovative pharmaceuticals, AI, and semiconductor industries, with recommendations for stable sectors like military technology and solid-state batteries [14]

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.32%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.25% and 0.36% respectively. The North Star 50 Index dropped by 1.88% [1] - The total market turnover reached 1,454.5 billion yuan, an increase of 121.0 billion yuan compared to the previous day, with over 4,100 stocks declining [1] Sector Performance - The banking sector saw collective gains, with several banks like CITIC Bank, SPD Bank, and Shanghai Bank reaching historical highs [1] - The innovative drug sector remained active, with stocks like Guangsheng Tang hitting the daily limit for two consecutive days, and Saili Medical achieving four consecutive limit-ups [1] - The cross-border payment sector performed positively, with stocks such as Xinyada and Jingbeifang hitting the daily limit [1] - The solid-state battery sector experienced a significant downturn, with Xinyu Ren falling by 10%, and stocks like Huasheng Lithium and Jinyinhai also showing notable declines [1] - The wind power equipment sector was sluggish, with Jixin Technology hitting the daily limit down, followed by declines in stocks like Dajin Heavy Industry and Taisheng Wind Energy [1] - The non-ferrous metals sector continued to decline in the afternoon, with Jingyi Co. hitting the daily limit down, and stocks like Beifang Copper and Guangsheng Nonferrous showing significant drops [1] Notable Stocks - Stocks with notable performance included: - Four consecutive limit-ups: Liu Steel Co. and Saili Medical [2] - Three consecutive limit-ups: Yamaton [3] - Two consecutive limit-ups: Jin'an Guoji, Jin Yi Culture, Guangsheng Tang, and others [3] Hot Sectors - The DeepSeek concept led the hot sectors with seven stocks hitting the daily limit, including Saili Medical and Jin Yi Culture [4] - The artificial intelligence sector also saw seven stocks hitting the daily limit, with Saili Medical and Jingbeifang as representatives [5] - The Western Development sector had seven stocks hitting the daily limit, with Liu Steel Co. and Weixin Kang as key representatives [6] Game Industry Insights - The gaming sector is experiencing growth, with a record high in game license approvals in June, totaling 147 approvals, an increase of 17 from May, marking the peak for the year [9] Cross-Border Payment Developments - The People's Bank of China announced the establishment of a RMB clearing bank in Turkey, which will enhance the efficiency and scale of RMB usage in Turkey [10] Innovative Drug Sector Developments - CITIC Securities noted that China's innovative drug development has achieved significant progress, and the recent measures will further support high-quality development in this sector [12]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of marine ecological environment protection and the need for multi-layered and comprehensive utilization of marine resources in China, highlighting the shift from a flat management approach to a three-dimensional development model [4][6][7]. Group 1: Policy and Development Initiatives - The Central Financial Committee meeting chaired by General Secretary Xi Jinping called for enhanced marine ecological protection and comprehensive governance of key sea areas [4]. - The exploration of multi-layered marine usage rights began with pilot projects in Jiangsu and Fujian provinces to address overlapping marine usage needs [6][7]. - The Ministry of Natural Resources issued a notice in November 2023 to promote the exploration of layered marine usage rights for various projects, marking a significant shift in marine management practices [7]. Group 2: Economic Impact and Growth - China's marine economy is projected to exceed 10 trillion yuan in 2024, accounting for 7.8% of the national GDP [8]. - Guangdong's new marine industries are expected to generate an added value of 41.1 billion yuan, while Zhejiang has approved 180 layered marine usage projects covering approximately 165,000 acres [8]. - The innovative development strategy of the 1 million-kilowatt offshore photovoltaic project in Shandong combines solar power generation with shellfish farming, enhancing space utilization and overall development returns [8].

Group 1 - The wind power equipment sector continues to decline, with Jixin Technology (601218) dropping nearly 10% [1] - Taisheng Wind Power (300129) has seen a decline of over 4% [1] - Other companies such as Dajin Heavy Industry (002487), Yunda Holdings (002120), and Jinlei Co., Ltd. (300443) also experienced declines [1]

责任编辑 每日晨报 2025 年 7 月 4 日 银河观点集萃 美国 6 月非农新增就业 14.7 万人 www.chinastock.com.cn 证券研究报告 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明 宏观: 参议院版"大美丽法案"将赤字推上 7%——美国财政法案跟踪。 ● (1) 关税对于经济的负面冲击尚待显现,且即使 IEEPA 关税受阻,特朗普政府也 可能快速转向其他关税手段;在失业率可能温和上行、美联储仍有望在 9月开 启降息的情况下,美债收益率有进一步走低的空间。 (2)从财政角度来看, 5、6 月美国非短债的到期量并不大,且短债需求较好;季度融资会议目前给 出二、三季度的中长期国债净发行量平稳,且考虑关税后赤字扩张幅度短期仍 可控。 (3) 从更长期的角度来看, 4.5%-5.0%的长端美债收益率可能高过美 国的名义增长速度,且持续加大付息压力,因此最终不可持续,从这一角度考 虑长端利率也需要一定的降低。 通信:海洋经济政策东风劲吹,通信全方位赋能。2025年以来海洋经济催化 ● 不断,政策东风劲吹。2025年政府工作报告指出大力发展海洋经济,建设全 国海洋经济发展示范区,海洋经济 ...

从"深海科技"被纳入《工作报告》，到 钦点" 走出一条具有中国特色的向海图强之路 "，都奠定了海洋 经济在今年题材炒作中的地位。其中"海上风电"这个子类已有了相对成熟的规划和架构，弹性较好，本 文我们盘点北交所的海上风电概念股，请各位投资者前往北研君小号浏览。 "海风"吹到北交所，哪家最具吸引力？ ...