Core Viewpoint - French President Macron's visit to China aims to enhance economic and trade cooperation, focusing on sustainable and balanced growth that benefits all parties involved [3][4]. Economic and Trade Cooperation - Macron's visit will prioritize economic collaboration, particularly in the aerospace sector and agricultural products trade [3][7]. - In 2024, the bilateral trade volume between China and France is projected to be $79.58 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.8%, with Chinese exports at $44.49 billion (up 6.9%) and imports at $35.09 billion (down 5.9%) [7]. - In the first half of 2025, the trade volume reached $39.09 billion, a 1.2% increase year-on-year, with exports at $22.89 billion (up 7.3%) and imports at $16.2 billion (down 6.4%) [7]. Agricultural Products and Market Access - France aims to expand its agricultural exports to China, leveraging initiatives like "From French Farms to Chinese Tables" [7][8]. - French wine accounts for 30% of China's imported wine, and French luxury goods hold over 35% market share in China [8]. Investment Opportunities - In 2024, Chinese investors initiated 27 new investment projects in France across various sectors [10]. - Current Chinese investment in France is only one-third of French investment in China, indicating significant potential for growth [11]. - The electric mobility sector is highlighted as a key area for future collaboration, with projects like the partnership between Xiamen Tungsten and French company [11]. Challenges in Investment - Investment from China faces regulatory scrutiny and lengthy approval processes within the EU, which can delay projects for years [12].

Economic Cooperation - The core agenda of President Macron's visit to China is economic cooperation, focusing on sustainable and balanced growth that benefits all parties involved [1] - France aims to enhance trade in agricultural products with China, alongside traditional cooperation in the aerospace sector [4][1] - In 2024, the bilateral trade volume between China and France is projected to reach $79.58 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 0.8%, where China's exports are expected to be $44.49 billion (up 6.9%) and imports $35.09 billion (down 5.9%) [4] Investment Opportunities - Chinese investors have brought 27 new investment projects to France in 2024, with a focus on various sectors, including electric mobility [6] - Current Chinese investment in France is only one-third of French investment in China, indicating significant potential for growth in this area [6] - The collaboration in the electric mobility sector is highlighted by projects such as the partnership between Xiamen Tungsten and French company Eonno for producing precursor materials [6] Trade Balance and Market Access - France's agricultural products, particularly wine, hold a significant share in the Chinese market, with French wine accounting for 30% of China's imported wine [5] - The French government is advocating for higher-value exports to China, as current service exports from France to China represent only 1.6% of China's total service imports [5] - There is a recognized need for France to explore new strategies for ensuring trade balance with China, particularly in agricultural exports [4][7] Strategic Dialogue and Multilateral Cooperation - The visit is seen as an opportunity to strengthen strategic communication and deepen practical cooperation between China and France [2] - France's upcoming presidency of the G7 in 2026 will also be a topic of discussion, focusing on international cooperation and global governance [1]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - On December 1st, most domestic commodity futures closed higher, with precious metals leading the gains, while agricultural products showed mixed performance. Industrial products mostly rose, and agricultural products had both gains and losses [1] - The focus of the steel futures market in December will shift from reality to macro - expectations, and short - term market sentiment is favorable [1] - The rising trend of basic metals is supported by multiple factors, and the fundamentals of aluminum are relatively stable [1] - The geopolitical situation and OPEC's production plan affect the energy - chemical products market, and the pressure on oil prices may increase if Russian oil returns to normal [1] - The short - term soybean market lacks new drivers, and palm oil prices may rise if the减产 logic is confirmed [1] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalog Black Series - All black series commodities rose. The recent demand for finished products improved, speculative demand rebounded significantly, and inventory continued to decline. Last week, the inventory of the five major steel products decreased by 2.25% to 1400.81 million tons, reaching a 3.5 - month low, while production increased by 0.68% to 85.71 million tons, and apparent demand slightly decreased by 0.69% to 88 million tons, still higher than the same period last year [1] Basic Metals - Most basic metals rose. The price of copper broke through the previous high, and the upward trend is supported by multiple factors in the medium term. The price of aluminum fluctuated upward, with low inventory and resilient demand [1] Energy - Chemical Products - Most energy - chemical products rose. International oil prices pulled up strongly in Asian electronic trading, and the domestic crude - oil series mostly rose. Geopolitical contradictions remain, and OPEC plans to maintain the current production plan. The pressure on oil prices will increase if Russian oil returns to normal [1] Oilseeds and Oils - Most oilseeds and oils rose. The price of US soybeans declined, and the domestic soybean meal market lacks new drivers. Palm oil prices are supported by seasonal production reduction expectations, and the price may rise if the reduction logic is confirmed [1] Index Changes - The comprehensive index of Guomao Commodities rose by 1.13% from 2200 to 2224.82 [1] - The daily consumption index rose by 0.85% from 1587.47 to 1601.03 [1] - The Guomao Black Commodity Index rose by 1.12% from 1700.99 to 1720.10 [1] - The Guomao Energy - Chemical Index decreased by 0.05% from 575.99 to 575.72 [1] - The Guomao Oilseeds and Oils Index rose by 0.03% from 2124.65 to 2125.19 [1]

商品 环比（%） 同比（%） 白条猪 2.7 8.5 白条鸡 -0.5 0.1 鸡蛋 0.3 9.1 蔬菜 0.0 -5.0 水产品 -1.5 3.2 ...

Group 1: Hot News - The US Trade Representative's Office extended the tariff exemptions on China's technology transfer and intellectual property issues until November 10, 2026, which were originally set to expire on November 29, 2025 [2] - The National Development and Reform Commission will continue to address disorderly price competition among enterprises to maintain market price order [2] - From January to October 2025, the total profits of industrial enterprises above designated size in China reached 5950.29 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 1.9%, but in October, the profits decreased by 5.5% year - on - year [2] - The State Administration for Market Regulation will strengthen anti - monopoly law enforcement in key areas and fair competition reviews [2] - Russian President Putin said the US peace plan could be the basis for a Ukraine agreement, and the US delegation will visit Moscow next week [3] Group 2: Sector Performance - Key sectors to watch include lithium carbonate, coke, coking coal, Shanghai copper, and Shanghai gold [4] - Night - trading performance shows that different commodity futures sectors had varying degrees of price changes, with precious metals up 30.01%, non - metallic building materials up 3.02%, and so on [4] Group 3: Sector Positions - The chart shows the changes in commodity futures sector positions in the past five days, with different trends for each sector [5] Group 4: Performance of Major Asset Classes - In the equity market, the Shanghai Composite Index had a daily increase of 0.29%, a monthly decrease of 2.01%, and a yearly increase of 15.62%. Other indices also had their respective performance [6] - In the fixed - income market, 10 - year, 5 - year, and 2 - year treasury bond futures all had negative returns to varying degrees [6] - In the commodity market, the CRB commodity index, WTI crude oil, London spot gold, LME copper, and the Wind commodity index had different price changes [6] - Other assets such as the US dollar index and CBOE volatility index also showed their own trends [6]

Group 1 - The domestic commodity futures market closed mixed on November 26, with chemical products leading the gains, particularly methanol which rose by 1.82% [1] - All non-metallic building materials increased, with glass up by 1.27% [1] - Most energy products saw an increase, with LPG rising by 0.52% [1] Group 2 - The black series experienced the largest declines, with coke falling by 0.96% [1] - Most oilseeds and oils decreased, with rapeseed oil down by 0.46% [1] - Agricultural products showed mixed results, with corn dropping by 0.40% [1]

天眼查App显示，近日，云南百草园农副产品有限公司成立，法定代表人为肖华楠，注册资本100万人 民币，经营范围为许可项目：食品销售；食品生产；保健食品生产；食品互联网销售。（依法须经批准 的项目，经相关部门批准后方可开展经营活动，具体经营项目以相关部门批准文件或许可证件为准）一 般项目：食品互联网销售（仅销售预包装食品）；保健食品（预包装）销售；食品销售（仅销售预包装 食品）；农产品的生产、销售、加工、运输、贮藏及其他相关服务；中草药收购；化妆品零售；个人卫 生用品销售；日用杂品销售；卫生用品和一次性使用医疗用品销售。（除依法须经批准的项目外，凭营 业执照依法自主开展经营活动）。 ...

Core Insights - The article presents a summary of price changes for various food products, indicating both month-on-month and year-on-year trends in their prices [1] Price Changes Summary - White strip pork experienced a slight decrease of 0.1% month-on-month but an increase of 8.9% year-on-year [1] - White strip chicken saw a month-on-month decline of 0.8% and a year-on-year increase of 3.0% [1] - Eggs had a month-on-month decrease of 0.9% while showing a year-on-year increase of 9.0% [1] - Vegetables recorded a month-on-month increase of 0.6% but a year-on-year decrease of 3.3% [1] - Aquatic products experienced a slight month-on-month increase of 0.2% and a year-on-year increase of 3.3% [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of fully unleashing the market potential of a consumer powerhouse like China to drive high-quality economic development and enhance endogenous growth momentum [1] Group 2 - As of 2024, China's total automobile production and sales have ranked first in the world for 16 consecutive years, with home appliance sales such as air conditioners, washing machines, and refrigerators also leading globally [3] - China has the largest number of movie screens in the world, creating the largest film screening network globally, and is the largest single domestic tourism market, with domestic residents traveling 4.998 billion times in the first three quarters of this year, a year-on-year increase of 18% [5] Group 3 - In the digital consumption sector, China has the largest online retail market in the world, with online retail sales reaching 12.79 trillion yuan in the first ten months of this year, a year-on-year growth of 9.6% [7] - China leads globally in digital consumption and innovative payment methods, with mobile payment transaction volume expected to reach 563.7 trillion yuan in 2024 [9]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Recently, after the U.S. government ended its shutdown, market sentiment varied, and asset trends diverged. The controversy over AI bubble resurfaced, and the high - level decline of safe - haven assets such as gold and Bitcoin raised market concerns, resulting in a decline in investors' risk appetite and a slight increase in the VIX volatility index. Global major stock markets showed mixed performance, with A - shares leading the decline after reaching a high, while the Hang Seng Index had a relatively large increase. The BDI index rose, U.S. bond yields increased, the U.S. dollar index slightly declined, and most non - U.S. currencies strengthened. Most commodities rose [4][8]. - In the domestic market, the bond market mostly closed down with short - term weakness and long - term strength, and most stock indices declined. The commodity sectors showed mixed performance but generally closed up, with the Wind Commodity Index having a weekly change of 3.92%. Among the 10 commodity sub - sector indices, 6 closed up and 4 closed down. Commodity futures generally maintained the pattern of strong agricultural products and weak industrial products [4][13]. - The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25bp to 3.5 - 3.75% in December decreased to 39.8%, significantly lower than last week's 61.9%, while the probability of keeping the interest rate unchanged at 3.75 - 4% increased significantly [5][68]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Overview - Global asset trends: Global major stock markets showed mixed performance, A - shares led the decline after reaching a high, the Hang Seng Index rose, the BDI index increased, U.S. bond yields went up, the U.S. dollar index slightly declined, and most non - U.S. currencies strengthened. Most commodities rose, with precious metals stabilizing, rebounding, and then fluctuating at a high level, and copper and oil prices slightly rebounding [4][8]. - Domestic market performance: The domestic bond market mostly closed down with short - term weakness and long - term strength, and most stock indices declined. The commodity sectors showed mixed performance but generally closed up. The Wind Commodity Index had a weekly change of 3.92%. Commodity futures maintained the pattern of strong agricultural products and weak industrial products, with precious metals leading the rise, followed by significant increases in the agricultural products, grains, and oilseeds sectors. The non - ferrous and chemical sectors slightly closed up, while other sectors all closed down, with the coal, coking, steel, and mining and energy sectors having the largest declines [4][13]. - Futures market capital flow: The overall capital in the commodity futures market slightly flowed in. The precious metals, non - metallic building materials, oilseeds, and non - ferrous sectors had obvious capital inflows, while the soft commodities, coal, coking, steel, and mining, and chemical sectors had obvious capital outflows [4][15]. - Commodity volatility: The volatility of the international CRB Commodity Index significantly increased, while the volatility of the domestic Wind Commodity Index and Nanhua Commodity Index showed a divergent performance of one rising and one falling. Most of the commodity futures sub - sector volatilities declined, with the oilseeds, non - ferrous, soft commodities, and coal, coking, steel, and mining sectors having the largest decline in volatility, and the energy sector having the most obvious increase in volatility [5][22]. Variety Performance - The domestic major commodity futures showed mixed performance in the recent week. The top - rising commodity futures varieties were Shanghai silver, lithium carbonate, and apples, while the top - falling varieties were glass, coke, and red dates [18][21]. Data Tracking - International commodities: International major commodities generally closed up, the BDI slightly increased, the CRB was flat, soybeans and corn rose, and copper, oil, gold, and silver all closed up, with the silver price rising more and the gold - silver ratio significantly declining [26]. - Domestic data: Asphalt production rate continued to decline, real - estate sales were weakly bottom - seeking, freight rates rebounded with differentiation, and short - term capital interest rates fluctuated downward [41]. Macro Logic - Stock market: The domestic four major stock indices fluctuated and declined last week. In terms of style, value stocks were obviously more resistant to decline, while growth - style stock indices were relatively weaker. The valuation of stock indices declined, and the equity risk premium (ERP) changed little [30][31]. - Commodities: The commodity price index fluctuated and rebounded, and the inflation expectation was under downward pressure [34]. - U.S. bonds: U.S. bond yields rebounded, the term structure steepened bearishly, the term spread changed little, the real interest rate rebounded, and the gold price rebounded and then declined [49]. - U.S. economic indicators: The U.S. high - frequency "recession indicator" weakened, the Citi Economic Surprise Index showed differentiation, and the 10Y - 3M U.S. bond spread fluctuated in positive territory [60]. Fed Interest Rate Expectation The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25bp to 3.5 - 3.75% in December decreased to 39.8%, significantly lower than last week's 61.9%, while the probability of keeping the interest rate unchanged at 3.75 - 4% increased significantly [5][68]. This Week's Focus - Monday (November 17): Canada's October CPI monthly rate, U.S. November New York Fed Manufacturing Index [73]. - Tuesday (November 18): U.S. October Import Price Index monthly rate, U.S. October Industrial Production monthly rate, U.S. November NAHB Housing Market Index, Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari hosts a fireside chat, Reserve Bank of Australia releases November Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed visits the White House and meets with U.S. President Trump [73]. - Wednesday (November 19): U.S. API crude oil inventory for the week ending November 14, UK October CPI monthly rate, Eurozone October CPI annual rate final value, U.S. October New Housing Starts annualized, U.S. EIA crude oil inventory for the week ending November 14, U.S. EIA crude oil inventory in Cushing, Oklahoma for the week ending November 14 [73]. - Thursday (November 20): China's October Swift RMB share in global payments, China's one - year loan prime rate as of November 20, Germany's October PPI monthly rate, Switzerland's October trade balance, U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending November 15, U.S. November Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, Eurozone November Consumer Confidence Index preliminary value, U.S. October Existing Home Sales annualized, U.S. October Conference Board Leading Index monthly rate, U.S. EIA natural gas inventory for the week ending November 14, Fed releases Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes, New York Fed President Williams gives a speech, September non - farm payroll data [73]. - Friday (November 21): Japan's October core CPI annual rate, UK November Gfk Consumer Confidence Index, UK November Manufacturing PMI preliminary value, Canada's September retail sales monthly rate, U.S. November S&P Global Manufacturing PMI preliminary value, U.S. November University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index final value, U.S. November one - year inflation rate expectation final value, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee gives a speech, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker gives a speech on the economic outlook, European Central Bank President Lagarde gives a speech, New York Fed President Williams gives a speech [73].