可以预见的是，大量驱逐非法移民也正冲击美国经济。 美国一场针对非法移民的"搜捕战"，正不断发酵、升级成激烈的街头对峙。 据新华社报道，当地时间8日中午，在洛杉矶市中心联邦执法机构门前的抗议者与部署在该地的国民警 卫队人员发生冲突。国民警卫队人员发射催泪弹和橡皮子弹试图驱散抗议人群，但抗议者越来越多，从 最初数十人增加到1000人以上。 这是一场关于移民问题的三方博弈。据新华社报道，大量加利福尼亚州（以下简称"加州"）民众不满联 邦政府抓捕非法移民，在街头抗议。美国总统特朗普公开称，洛杉矶"被非法移民和犯罪分子侵占"，将 采取一切必要行动"解放"洛杉矶。20余名民主党州长联合发表声明称，特朗普向洛杉矶派遣州国民警卫 队是"令人担忧的权力滥用"，"既无效又危险"。 收紧移民签证、驱逐非法移民，一直是特朗普政府的核心政策议程。然而在美国，合法和非法移民为全 美贡献了近五分之一的劳动力，每年拉动实际GDP增长约0.1个百分点（美国国会预算办公室，即CBO 测算），大肆驱逐移民或将付出惨重的经济代价。 美国经济第一大州成风暴中心 "洛杉矶之乱"的直接导火索，在于美国联邦执法机构在南加州展开严打搜捕非法移民的行动。据央视 ...

Group 1 - The market showed a positive trend last week, with major indices rising, particularly the ChiNext Index leading the gains [2] - Economic recovery is expected to continue in the second quarter, supported by a gradual improvement in exports following tariff reductions [3] - The manufacturing PMI increased by 0.5 percentage points to 49.5% in May, indicating a slight recovery in production and demand [3] Group 2 - Domestic demand is anticipated to become the core driver of economic growth in the second half of the year, especially as real estate sales show signs of weakness [4] - Government bond issuance has accelerated, with net financing reaching 6.4 trillion yuan from January to May, exceeding the same period last year by 3.7 trillion yuan [4] - The U.S. job market remains resilient, with May non-farm payrolls increasing by 139,000, surpassing expectations [5] Group 3 - The employment data in the U.S. alleviates recession concerns and supports the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on interest rates [5] - The overall economic environment is stabilizing, with limited downside risks due to the gradual recovery and support from policies [7] - Short-term market sentiment may be positively influenced by upcoming discussions between U.S. and Chinese leaders [7]

"背离"的高频数据 5月以来，新增地方政府专项债券发行规模超过4400亿元，创下年内新高。当月建筑业商务活动指数为 51%，继续保持扩张态势。但另一方面，与基建投资相关的螺纹钢表观需求、水泥发运率、石油沥青装 置开工率等高频数据在5月有所走弱。Wind数据显示，5月最后一周螺纹钢表观需求、水泥发运率、石 油沥青装置开工率分别为248.91万吨、41.25%、27.7%，均低于去年同期。 近年来，螺纹钢等部分建筑业高频指标受房地产开发投资下滑影响较大。袁闯指出，今年前5个月螺纹 钢表观需求的周平均值较2024年同期下滑5.56%。今年以来房地产新开工面积、施工面积下滑对螺纹钢 的表观需求有较大拖累作用，并抵消了基建需求的带动作用。 不同基建项目与高频指标相关性也有所不同。比如，今年前4个月道路运输业固定资产投资同比下降 0.9%，与之高度相关的石油沥青装置开工率表现偏弱。今年以来，国家能源局指导供电企业持续加强 电力基础设施建设。据民生证券研报分析，电力基建项目与水泥磨机开工率、沥青装置开工率等指标关 系较弱。当电力基建项目带动基建投资走高时，相应指标可能不会同步反应。 偏低的建筑工地资金到位率 资金到位情况往 ...

Group 1: Guangdong Government Investment Fund Management - The Guangdong Provincial Government has issued the "Management Measures for Government Investment Funds," which clarifies that government-funded funds do not need to set internal benchmark return rates [2] - The establishment of government investment funds requires approval from the same-level government, and county-level governments must control the creation of new funds [2] - The performance evaluation of government investment funds will focus on the comprehensive achievement of policy objectives rather than profitability [2] Group 2: Chongqing State-Owned Enterprise Reform - Chongqing has completed the strategic restructuring and professional integration of its key state-owned enterprises, reducing the number from 51 to 33 large enterprise groups [4] - The overall loss rate of key state-owned enterprises in Chongqing has decreased from 40% to 18.6%, with operational losses down to 13.7% after significant loss reduction efforts [4][5] - Chongqing's state-owned enterprises have activated assets worth 151 billion yuan, recovering 59.5 billion yuan, contributing to economic growth and job creation [5] Group 3: Hubei Green Low-Carbon Industry Development Alliance - The Hubei Green Low-Carbon Industry Development Alliance has been established, consisting of 124 initial member units, including key enterprises, research institutions, and financial organizations [7] - The alliance aims to support the green transformation and high-quality development of various enterprises in Hubei Province by enhancing strategic guidance and building cooperative platforms [7] - The alliance's council includes major companies and institutions, indicating a collaborative effort towards advancing the green low-carbon industry in the region [7]

Core Insights - The unemployment rate in the Philippines rose to 4.1% in April, marking the second consecutive month of increase, with the number of unemployed reaching 2.06 million [1] - The unemployment rates for February and March were 3.8% and 3.9%, respectively, indicating a month-over-month increase and a year-over-year rise of 0.1 percentage points [1] - The number of unemployed increased by 130,000 from March to April [1] Employment Sector Analysis - The services sector remains the largest employer in the Philippines, with 30.12 million jobs, accounting for 61.9% of total employment [1] - Agriculture and industry represent 20.6% and 17.5% of total employment, respectively [1] - From January to April, employment in agriculture, accommodation and food services, and transportation and warehousing saw a significant decline, while administrative and support services, construction, and fisheries experienced job growth [1] Employment Quality and Youth Participation - The underemployment rate in April rose to 14.6%, up from 13.4% in March, indicating that 7.09 million workers are seeking more hours or better job opportunities [1] - The labor force participation rate for the 15 to 24 age group increased from 29.4% to 31.8%, suggesting more youth are entering the labor market [1] - However, the unemployment rate for this age group also increased from 11.0% to 11.5%, reflecting heightened employment pressure among young individuals [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the Tokyo stock market rebounded due to expectations of progress in trade negotiations between China and the United States following a phone call between the two leaders on June 5 [1] - The Nikkei 225 index rose by 187.12 points, closing at 37,741.61 points, with a gain of 0.50%, while the Tokyo Stock Exchange Price Index increased by 12.86 points, closing at 2,769.33 points, with a gain of 0.47% [1] - The market sentiment was supported by the confirmation of a second round of ministerial talks on tariffs and an agreement on mutual visits between the leaders of China and the U.S. [1] Group 2 - On June 6, all sectors in the Tokyo Stock Exchange, except for three (Aquaculture and Agriculture, Glass and Ceramics Products, and Fiber Products), experienced gains, with steel, construction, and machinery sectors leading the increases [2] - The weakening of the yen against the dollar during the trading hours also provided support to the stock market [1] - Despite the overall positive movement, the Tokyo stock market showed limited enthusiasm for aggressive buying due to weak U.S. employment data released on June 5, which led to declines in major U.S. stock indices [1]

Core Points - The newly implemented "Residential Project Standards" aims to enhance housing quality rather than just focusing on size or cost, emphasizing good design, construction, materials, and services [1] - The standards, effective from May 1, 2023, are seen as a baseline requirement for constructing "good houses" and are expected to support the transformation of the construction and real estate industries [1] Group 1 - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development highlights that building "good houses" addresses pain points in living conditions and should vary by region, size, and price [1] - The implementation of the standards is crucial for standardization activities, with a focus on training and guiding relevant personnel to familiarize themselves with the new regulations [2] - The Ministry plans to support local adaptations of the standards and ensure compliance through supervision and management, including penalties for violations [2] Group 2 - The standards provide opportunities for the application of new technologies, products, and materials, which can stimulate domestic demand and consumption [1] - The Ministry will oversee the implementation of the standards, ensuring that all parties involved in construction adhere to the regulations [2] - Regular checks will be conducted to ensure that project designs, construction, and materials meet the established standards, with a focus on accountability [2]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights a significant slowdown in U.S. hiring, with the private sector adding only 37,000 jobs in May, the lowest level in over two years, indicating weakened labor demand [1][2] - The report shows that the goods-producing sector lost 2,000 jobs, with notable declines in natural resources and mining (5,000 jobs lost) and manufacturing (3,000 jobs lost), while construction added 6,000 jobs [1][2] - In the services sector, leisure and hospitality added 38,000 jobs, and financial activities increased by 20,000, but professional and business services decreased by 17,000, and education and health services dropped by 13,000, contributing to the overall decline [2] Group 2 - Year-over-year wage growth for retained employees was 4.5%, while job switchers saw a 7% increase, indicating stable wage levels [3] - Recent economic data presents mixed signals regarding the job market, with job openings increasing unexpectedly in April, but surveys indicating a decline in hiring intentions [3] - Federal Reserve officials express optimism about the economy but voice concerns over uncertainties related to inflation and employment impacts from tariff policies [3] Group 3 - Following the release of the ADP employment data, President Trump urged Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell to lower interest rates to stimulate economic growth [4] - The stock market reacted negatively, with major U.S. stock index futures dropping sharply in pre-market trading [5]

Core Insights - In May, U.S. private sector created only 37,000 new jobs, significantly below expectations and marking the smallest increase in over two years, attributed to trade policies making companies hesitant in hiring [1][3] - The majority of new jobs in May came from the service sector, particularly leisure and hospitality, while manufacturing and natural resources/mining saw job losses [1] - The report indicates a potential weakening labor market amid increasing economic uncertainty as employers reduce hiring [3] Employment Data Summary - In May, construction employment increased by 6,000, down from 16,000 in April; manufacturing jobs decreased by 3,000, following a 4,000 increase in April; trade/transportation/utilities jobs fell by 4,000, after a 21,000 increase in April; financial services added 20,000 jobs, consistent with April; professional/business services saw a decrease of 17,000 jobs, compared to a 2,000 decrease in April [1] - Year-over-year wage growth for construction workers was 4.6% in May, down from 4.7% in April; manufacturing wage growth remained at 4.6%; trade/transportation/utilities wage growth was 4.2%, down from 4.3%; financial services wage growth increased to 5.2% from 5.1%; professional/business services wage growth decreased to 4.2% from 4.3% [2]

Group 1 - The ADP report indicates that U.S. private sector job growth slowed to a near standstill in May, with only 37,000 jobs added, the lowest level in over two years, and significantly below the market forecast of 110,000 [1][3] - The report shows a mixed picture in the labor market, with the goods-producing sector losing 2,000 jobs, while the construction industry added 6,000 jobs, partially offsetting losses in other areas [3][4] - In the services sector, leisure and hospitality added 38,000 jobs, while professional/business services and education/health services saw declines, contributing to the overall slowdown in job growth [3][5] Group 2 - The annual salary growth rate for retained employees is 4.5%, while for those who switch jobs, it is 7%, indicating a strong wage growth environment despite the slowdown in job creation [3][5] - Market sentiment remains mixed, with some economists expressing concerns about the limited hiring and low turnover rates, suggesting that the labor market may not sustain its current state for long [5][6] - Federal Reserve officials maintain an optimistic view of the economy, but there are rising concerns about the potential impact of trade policies on inflation and employment [5][6]