Core Points - The International Telecommunication Union's Radiocommunication Sector (ITU-R) held the sixth meeting of Working Party 5D (WP5D) from October 7 to 16 in Geneva, Switzerland, as part of the research cycle for the 2027 World Radiocommunication Conference (WRC-27) [1] - A drafting group for 6G channel models was established during this meeting, with Professor Zhang Jianhua from Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications appointed as the group leader, contributing to the research on key technical indicators for 6G communication [1] Summary by Categories Industry Developments - The meeting is significant for the ongoing research related to the upcoming WRC-27, indicating a structured approach towards future wireless communication standards [1] - The establishment of the 6G channel model drafting group highlights the industry's focus on advancing 6G technology and its critical parameters [1] Key Personnel - Professor Zhang Jianhua's leadership in the drafting group underscores the role of Chinese expertise in shaping global telecommunications standards, particularly in the context of 6G [1]

Core Insights - Hardware remains the cornerstone of the consumer technology ecosystem in the Middle East and Africa, with smartphones and personal computers being essential for connectivity, streaming, gaming, and transactions [1] - Revenue from hardware is projected to grow from $32.9 billion in 2020 to approximately $41.9 billion by 2027, while media and entertainment spending is expected to nearly double from $18 billion to $36 billion during the same period [1] - The trend of bundling services with devices is becoming increasingly significant, particularly in affluent markets like Saudi Arabia and the UAE, where manufacturers are repositioning devices as experience platforms driven by services [3][6] Hardware and Services Growth - The average revenue per user (ARPU) in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) exceeds $20, creating opportunities for service bundling and raising user expectations [1] - By Q2 2025, the Middle East and Africa will account for only 14% of global telecom operators' partnerships with OTT providers, despite a predominance of mobile users [1] - The MENA region's online video market is expected to grow over fivefold by 2029, reaching $8.4 billion, highlighting the need for a shift from subsidy-driven models to sustainable subscription systems [9][15] Ecosystem Collaboration - Telecom operators and retailers play a crucial role as enablers in the ecosystem, using multi-layered service bundles to prevent ARPU decline and reduce churn [8] - Bundled packages, such as those combining Netflix, Anghami Plus, and iCloud storage with flagship devices, provide significant profit margins in high ARPU markets [8] - Retailers are transitioning from hardware sellers to integral parts of the service ecosystem, collaborating with streaming or software providers to enhance value at sales touchpoints [12] User Experience and Market Dynamics - The focus of marketing is shifting from specifications to user experience, exemplified by collaborations like Samsung's foldable phones bundled with streaming services [11] - The competitive landscape in the Middle East and Africa is intense, with many bundles starting as subsidized offers, which can lead to a perception of services as non-essential if not properly converted into sustainable subscriptions [9][15] - The collaboration between manufacturers, telecom operators, and service providers is essential for expanding market scale and achieving long-term value [10][15]

Core Insights - The consumer technology market in the Middle East and Africa (MEA) is shifting from hardware to services, with media and entertainment spending expected to reach $36 billion by 2027, driven by ecosystem collaboration [1][12][16] - Hardware remains foundational, with revenue projected to grow from $32.9 billion in 2020 to approximately $41.9 billion by 2027, while media and entertainment spending is expected to nearly double from $18 billion to $36 billion during the same period [1][12] Market Trends - In some global markets, service revenue has already surpassed device sales, with the GCC market showing an average ARPU exceeding $20, creating space for bundled service models [2][12] - As of Q2 2025, MEA accounts for only 14% of global telecom operators' partnerships with OTT providers, despite a mobile user dominance [2][12] Ecosystem Collaboration - Ecosystem collaboration is leading the shift from product to experience, with manufacturers repositioning devices as service-driven "experience platforms" [4][12] - Bundled offerings, such as Samsung's foldable phones with Netflix, enhance user experience and create strategic opportunities for content providers [4][12] Bundled Service Models - The cost-sharing structure of bundled services varies by partnership type, with telecom-led collaborations typically having operators bear most costs [8][12] - Bundled packages enhance user retention for operators and provide differentiation for manufacturers while expanding reach for service providers [8][12] Role of Telecom Operators and Retailers - Telecom operators and retailers act as enablers in the ecosystem, using multi-layered service bundles to prevent ARPU decline and reduce churn [9][12] - Bundled packages in high ARPU markets offer significant profit margins, enhancing customer retention compared to standalone service purchases [9][12] Consumer Benefits - Bundled packages lower overall usage costs and provide better value compared to purchasing services separately, with convenience and cultural relevance being key factors [9][12] Market Dynamics - The MENA online video market is projected to grow over fivefold to $8.4 billion by 2029, necessitating a shift from subsidy-driven models to sustainable subscription systems [12][16] - The collaboration between manufacturers, telecom operators, and content providers is crucial for capturing long-term value in the evolving market landscape [13][16] Strategic Recommendations - Manufacturers should shift marketing focus from specifications to user experience, while telecom operators expand bundled offerings to mid-tier markets [16][17] - Retailers need to transition from hardware sales to becoming integral parts of the service ecosystem, leveraging partnerships with streaming or software providers [16][17] - Content providers should prioritize collaborations with telecom operators and manufacturers to achieve scale in a fragmented market [16][17]

Core Insights - The Chinese government is initiating a "millisecond computing" network construction project to enhance the urban computing network by 2027, aiming for high efficiency and quality in computing services [1][2] Group 1: Network Infrastructure Development - The initiative focuses on building a high-capacity, low-latency computing network within urban areas, targeting interconnection delays of less than 1 millisecond between computing centers and less than 10 milliseconds from terminals to computing applications [2][3] - By 2027, the goal is to achieve a 50% deployment rate of high-speed optical transmission systems (400Gbps and above) and a 50% deployment rate of all-optical cross-connect devices at key sites [2] Group 2: Technological Innovation and Integration - The action plan encourages local regions to conduct network technology validation and pilot projects, emphasizing the development of key technologies such as all-optical high-speed lossless transmission and intelligent operation of computing networks [2][3] - The initiative aims to create a "national computing network" that facilitates low-latency and efficient data flow between cities and computing centers [2] Group 3: Application in Key Industries - The project will promote the integration of computing networks into critical sectors such as manufacturing, finance, transportation, healthcare, education, and entertainment, encouraging telecom companies to offer customized computing network services [3][4] - By 2027, the coverage rate of urban computing centers with a 1 millisecond latency will reach 70%, establishing a sustainable foundation for computing network access [3][4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Weaker than the market" investment rating for the U.S. stock market [1] Core Insights - The U.S. stock market shows initial signs of recovery, with the S&P 500 rising by 1.6% and the Nasdaq by 2.1% [3] - Among 22 sectors, 20 experienced capital inflows, with significant inflows into semiconductor products and equipment (+$46.6 billion) and automotive and automotive parts (+$22.5 billion) [4] - Earnings expectations for the S&P 500 constituents have been adjusted upward by 0.4%, with notable increases in banking (+1.7%) and semiconductor products and equipment (+1.0%) [5] Summary by Sections Price Trends - The S&P 500 increased by 1.6%, while the Nasdaq rose by 2.1% [3] - The automotive and automotive parts sector saw the highest increase at +6.1%, followed by media and entertainment (+4.0%) and food and staples retailing (+3.6%) [3] Capital Flows - Estimated capital inflow for S&P 500 constituents was +$91.7 billion this week, up from +$12.5 billion the previous week [4] - The semiconductor products and equipment sector led with a capital inflow of +$46.6 billion [4] Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for the S&P 500 has been raised by 0.4% this week [5] - The banking sector saw the largest upward revision in earnings expectations at +1.7% [5]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The overall outlook for China in 2025 is that the real GDP growth rate of the asset side will run smoothly, fluctuating narrowly between 4 - 5%. The liability side will see the debt growth rate of the real - sector decline and approach the nominal economic growth rate. The monetary policy will coordinate with the fiscal policy, maintaining an overall neutral and oscillating stance [21]. - The stock - bond performance shows that the risk preference has declined, funds tend to flow into long - term bonds and value - style equities. The equity style is dominated by value, and the stock - bond ratio favors bonds. The long - term bond yield has decreased, and the short - term bond yield has increased [6][22]. - In the contraction cycle, the stock - bond ratio favors equities to a limited extent, and the value style is more likely to be dominant. A + H dividend portfolios and A - share portfolios are recommended, mainly concentrated in industries such as banking, telecommunications, petroleum and petrochemicals, and transportation [10][25]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 National Balance Sheet Analysis - **Liability Side**: In September 2025, the debt growth rate of the real sector was 8.9%, in line with expectations. It is expected to drop to around 8.7% in October, and further to around 8.5% by the end of the year. The financial sector's capital is still tight, and risk preference has declined, with funds flowing into long - term bonds and value - style equities [1][17]. - **Fiscal Policy**: Last week, the net reduction of government bonds was 238 billion yuan, higher than the planned 69.1 billion yuan. Next week, the net increase of government bonds is planned to be 133.3 billion yuan. The government debt growth rate in September 2025 was 14.5%, expected to drop to around 13.6% in October and around 13.0% by the end of the year [2][18]. - **Monetary Policy**: Last week, the average weekly trading volume of funds increased, the price decreased, and the term spread narrowed significantly. The one - year Treasury yield rose to 1.44% at the weekend, and its lower limit is estimated to be around 1.3%. The term spread between the ten - year and one - year Treasury bonds narrowed to 38 basis points. The future yield fluctuation ranges of the ten - year and thirty - year Treasury bonds are estimated to be around 1.6% - 1.9% and 1.8% - 2.3% respectively [3][19]. - **Asset Side**: The physical volume data in August continued to weaken compared to July. The annual real economic growth target for 2025 is around 5%, and the nominal economic growth target is around 4.9%. It remains to be seen whether 5% will become the central target for China's nominal economic growth in the next 1 - 2 years [5][20]. 3.2 Stock - Bond Ratio and Stock - Bond Style - **Overall Outlook**: In 2025, China's asset side real GDP growth will be stable, and the liability side's real - sector debt growth rate will decline. The stock - bond ratio favors bonds, and the equity style is dominated by value. The recommended allocation is 60% for the Shanghai Composite 50 Index, 20% for the CSI 1000 Index, and 20% for the 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF [21][25]. - **Market Performance**: Last week, the risk preference declined, funds flowed into long - term bonds and value - style equities. The ten - year Treasury yield decreased by 2 basis points to 1.82%, the one - year Treasury yield increased by 7 basis points to 1.44%, and the 30 - year Treasury yield decreased by 8 basis points to 2.20%. The broad - based rotation strategy outperformed the CSI 300 Index by 1.51 percentage points last week [6][22]. 3.3 Industry Recommendation - **Industry Performance Review**: This week, the A - share market declined with shrinking trading volume. Among the Shenwan primary industries, banking, coal, food and beverage, transportation, and textile and apparel had the largest increases, while electronics, media, automobiles, communications, and machinery had the largest declines [30]. - **Industry Crowding and Trading Volume**: As of October 17, the top five crowded industries were electronics, power equipment, non - ferrous metals, computers, and machinery. The industries with the largest increase in crowding this week were pharmaceutical biology, transportation, coal, banking, and commercial retail. The overall average daily trading volume of A - shares decreased this week. Industries such as steel, coal, transportation, banking, and beauty care had the highest year - on - year trading volume growth [33][34]. - **Industry Valuation and Earnings**: Among the Shenwan primary industries this week, banking, coal, food and beverage, transportation, and textile and apparel had the largest increases in PE (TTM), while electronics, media, communications, basic chemicals, and machinery had the smallest increases. Industries with high 2024 full - year earnings forecasts and relatively low current valuations compared to history include banking, insurance, petroleum and petrochemicals, transportation, traditional Chinese medicine, pharmaceutical biology, beauty care, and consumer electronics [38][39]. - **Industry Prosperity**: Externally, the global manufacturing PMI declined in September, the CCFI index decreased, and the port cargo throughput declined. South Korea's export growth rate decreased in early October. Domestically, the second - hand housing price decreased last week, and the quantity indicators showed mixed trends. The highway truck traffic volume increased, the ten - industry fitted capacity utilization rate declined from September to October, the automobile trading volume was at a relatively high level in the same period of history, the new - housing trading volume was at a historical low, and the second - hand housing trading volume declined seasonally [43]. - **Public Offering Market Review**: In the second week of October (October 13 - 17), most active public - offering equity funds underperformed the CSI 300. As of October 17, the net asset value of active public - offering equity funds was 4.04 trillion yuan, slightly higher than 3.66 trillion yuan in Q4 2024 [59]. - **Industry Recommendation**: In the contraction cycle, the stock - bond ratio favors equities to a limited extent, and the value style is more likely to be dominant. Recommended A + H dividend portfolios and A - share portfolios mainly include 20 stocks each, concentrated in industries such as banking, telecommunications, petroleum and petrochemicals, and transportation [10][63].

Core Insights - The global AI toy market is experiencing rapid growth, with major state-owned enterprises entering the sector [1] - The Palace Museum's AI toy, "Fudun," developed in collaboration with China Telecom's Tianyi IoT, represents a new paradigm of "AI + cultural creativity" [1] - The AI toy can interact intelligently, understand emotions, and provide cultural storytelling, enhancing the digital transformation of the cultural industry [1] Company Developments - Tianyi IoT, a subsidiary of China Telecom, is actively promoting the integration of AI and IoT technologies in various industries, particularly in cultural creativity [2] - The AI toy is equipped with a domestically developed RISC-V architecture cloud AI module, ensuring secure and reliable data processing [2] - The Tianyi IoT platform supports over a billion devices for online perception and intelligent control, enhancing the interactive capabilities of the AI toy [2]

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong Broadband Network (01310) has seen its shareholders deposit stocks into China International Capital Corporation Hong Kong Securities, with a market value of HKD 50.45 billion, representing 48.18% of the total [1] Group 1: Shareholder Actions - On October 16, shareholders of Hong Kong Broadband deposited stocks into China International Capital Corporation Hong Kong Securities, with a market value of HKD 50.45 billion [1] - The deposited shares account for 48.18% of the company's total market value [1] Group 2: Company Announcements - Hong Kong Broadband announced that it was informed by China Mobile Hong Kong Company Limited regarding the restoration of its public float according to Listing Rule 8.08(1) [1] - China Mobile Hong Kong has entered into a binding placement arrangement with the placement agent on September 19, 2025, agreeing to sell and the placement agent agreeing to place 47.925 million existing shares to independent third-party subscribers [1] - The placement shares represent approximately 3.24% of the total issued shares of the company as of the announcement date [1]

Core Insights - Hong Kong Broadband Network (01310) shareholders deposited shares into China International Capital Corporation Hong Kong Securities, with a market value of HKD 50.45 billion, representing 48.18% of the total [1] Group 1: Shareholding and Market Activity - On October 16, Hong Kong Broadband Network's shareholders deposited shares into China International Capital Corporation Hong Kong Securities, with a total market value of HKD 50.45 billion [1] - The deposited shares account for 48.18% of the company's total market capitalization [1] Group 2: Corporate Actions - Hong Kong Broadband Network announced that it received notification from China Mobile Hong Kong Limited regarding the restoration of public shareholding under Listing Rule 8.08(1) [1] - China Mobile Hong Kong has entered into a binding placement arrangement with the placement agent on September 19, 2025, agreeing to sell 47.925 million existing shares of the company [1] - The placement shares represent approximately 3.24% of the total issued shares of Hong Kong Broadband Network as of the announcement date [1]

Core Insights - EDGE Group has formed a strategic partnership with du Group to enhance data security for telecommunications and financial data in the UAE [1] - The collaboration involves integrating KATIM Gateway network encryption devices into national telecom infrastructure, ensuring secure data flow for financial institutions [1] - This initiative supports connectivity with the Central Bank of the UAE (CBUAE) [1] Group 1 - EDGE Group is a leading advanced technology and defense company in the UAE [1] - du Group is a prominent telecommunications and digital services provider in the UAE [1] - The partnership aims to bolster the security of financial data within the UAE [1] Group 2 - The KATIM Gateway network encryption devices will be embedded in the national telecom infrastructure [1] - The collaboration is expected to provide secure data flow for financial institutions operating in the UAE [1] - The initiative aligns with the regulatory requirements set by the Central Bank of the UAE [1]