证券日报网讯光力科技（300480）9月18日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，截至2025年9月10日，公 司总股东人数约为2.5万户。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve marks the beginning of a new easing cycle, but the underlying logic differs significantly from last year's cuts, leading to potential risks alongside opportunities [2][4]. Group 1: Differences in Rate Cuts - The current rate cut is categorized as a "recessionary cut," aimed at addressing a deteriorating job market and persistent inflation, contrasting with last year's "preventive cut" which was initiated under stable economic conditions [4][7]. - Recent non-farm payroll data has been significantly revised downward, indicating a rapid deterioration in the U.S. job market [6]. - The U.S. economy is facing stagflation, with inflation remaining far from the 2% target, complicating the effectiveness of the rate cut [7]. Group 2: Global Response and Economic Context - Unlike last year, other countries are not under significant exchange rate pressure and have already adjusted their rates, limiting the global stimulus effect of the Fed's rate cut this year [9]. - The European Central Bank has already cut rates in June and is not expected to follow the Fed's lead immediately, indicating a lack of synchronized global monetary policy [9]. Group 3: China's Economic Strategy - China's economic stimulus approach has shifted from broad-based measures to targeted support, focusing on innovation and consumption rather than indiscriminate easing [10][12]. - Initiatives include encouraging small tech firms to go public and providing consumer loan subsidies to boost domestic demand, reflecting a more strategic economic policy [12]. - The current low-interest-rate environment limits further rate cuts, making it challenging to replicate last year's broad-based economic benefits [12].

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut marks the end of a prolonged period of monetary policy stagnation, raising questions about market reactions and investment strategies moving forward [1][2]. Group 1: Market Reactions to Fed's Rate Cut - Investors are speculating on how the market will respond to the restart of the easing cycle, with some betting on further gains in risk assets [1]. - Société Générale has increased its recommended equity allocation from 44% to 50% while reducing cash holdings from 10% to 5%, indicating a bullish outlook on risk assets [1]. - Historical data shows that U.S. equities typically deliver strong returns immediately following the first rate cut and continue to perform well over the next 12 to 24 months [1]. Group 2: Sector Rotation and Investment Strategies - The Fed's rate cut is expected to drive sector rotation, with funds moving from defensive sectors like utilities and healthcare to high-risk growth sectors such as technology and consumer discretionary [3]. - In the early stages of a rate cut cycle, defensive sectors tend to perform better, but as the policy effects materialize, growth and cyclical sectors are likely to take the lead [3]. - High-growth sectors, particularly communication services and consumer discretionary, have shown significant gains this year, with increases of 27.4% and 17.6% respectively [3]. Group 3: Small-Cap Stocks as Beneficiaries - Small-cap stocks are gaining attention as potential beneficiaries of the Fed's rate cut, with the Russell 2000 index rising nearly 10.5% this quarter, outperforming major large-cap indices [4]. - Small-cap stocks, which are sensitive to interest rate changes, still have upside potential despite recent rebounds, as their valuations remain relatively low compared to large-cap stocks [4]. - The future performance of small-cap stocks is contingent on the Fed's signaling regarding further rate cuts, which could support their upward momentum [4][5].

来源：滚动播报 周三美股三大指数涨跌不一，纳指跌0.33%，标普500指数跌0.19%，道指涨0.48%。大型科技股多数下 跌，特斯拉涨超1%，苹果、微软微涨，谷歌、Meta小幅下跌，亚马逊、甲骨文、英特尔跌超1%，英伟 达跌超2%。 ...

Group 1 - The stock of Fengcai Technology (688279) closed at 263.52 CNY on September 17, reaching the daily limit with a trading volume of 1.291 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 9.42% [1][2] - The stock was listed on the trading board due to a price increase of 15% at the close of the day [1] - The top five trading departments accounted for a total transaction of 639 million CNY, with a net selling of 53.07 million CNY [1] Group 2 - The main capital inflow for the stock was 92.07 million CNY for the day [2] - The largest buying department was the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, with a purchase amount of 119.15 million CNY [2] - The largest selling department was Guotai Junan Securities, with a selling amount of 136.99 million CNY [2]

智通财经APP获悉，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普再次推动取消企业季度性质的业绩披露模式，而是以半年 时间为标准来发布业绩报告——这一倡议在其2016年开始的第一个总统任期内无果而终，如今在白宫很 大程度掌控美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管政策议程的背景下，特朗普此举最终在1-2年内成功的机会非 常大。 但是此消息传出之后，不少华尔街分析人士担心，美国上市公司披露财报的频率降低将削弱问责效力， 并且极有可能大幅增加股市波动性，他们普遍认为更高频率披露更多信息总是优于更低频率的更少信 息。 上述规则的改变可以由美国证券交易委员会(SEC)直接作出，也可以通过美国国会修改。从法律程序来 看，本次季度财报制度的重大变动可能并不需要美国国会支持，只需在SEC获得多数票即可。目前， SEC中的共和党人员占3-1优势，还有一个席位空缺。 特朗普再次推动取消季度报告，这一次成功概率很高 尽管一些散户或者大型机构投资者可能会大举反对，但部分分析师表示，他们预计SEC最终将在2027年 或者之间转向这种欧洲传统模式的业绩披露制度，即要求公司仅每六个月报告一次业绩，尽管苹果、英 伟达等美国大型科技公司可能仍会选择维持当前的季度制度来配合 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting and the high market expectations for a rate cut, with a strong focus on the debate over the extent of the cut, whether it will be 25 basis points or 50 basis points [1][2][3]. Group 1: Federal Reserve Rate Cut Expectations - The probability of a 25 basis point cut is at 95.9%, while a 50 basis point cut stands at 4.1% according to CME FedWatch [1]. - Market expectations indicate a 73.8% chance of a cumulative 50 basis point cut by October [1]. - The article highlights the political pressure from President Trump for a more aggressive rate cut, adding uncertainty to the Fed's decision [1][3]. Group 2: Economic Indicators and Analysis - Recent economic data shows a rise in the unemployment rate to 4.3%, the highest in nearly four years, and a downward revision of 911,000 in projected non-farm jobs for 2024-2025, indicating a weak labor market [3]. - Inflation remains a concern, with August CPI at 2.9% and core CPI at 3.1%, still above the Fed's 2% target, although inflationary pressures are easing [3]. Group 3: Market Reactions and Asset Performance - Following the anticipation of a rate cut, U.S. Treasury yields have decreased, with the 10-year yield dropping by 2.87 basis points to 4.0356% [5]. - Gold prices have surged, with COMEX futures reaching a high of $3728.4 per ounce, and London spot gold hitting a record $3690 per ounce [5]. - Historical data suggests that during previous rate cut cycles, U.S. equities, particularly in interest-sensitive sectors, tend to perform well [5][9]. Group 4: Emerging Markets and Currency Implications - Emerging markets are expected to see capital inflows as a result of a weaker dollar and improved global liquidity, particularly benefiting Asian stocks and sovereign debt [6][8]. - The article notes that the Chinese central bank may have limited room for rate cuts but could still implement measures like lowering LPR and MLF rates to support the A-share market [8]. - The Chinese yuan is expected to remain stable, with potential for appreciation due to the anticipated decline in the dollar index and supportive domestic policies [9].

Group 1 - The article discusses the recent release of quarterly reports for A-share and H-share listed companies, focusing on their profitability trends and recovery in earnings growth for the first half of 2025 [1][10] - A-share companies are required to disclose four periodic reports annually: quarterly, semi-annual, and annual reports, while H-share companies have more flexible reporting timelines [4][5] - The article emphasizes the importance of monitoring earnings growth as a key driver for market performance, summarizing that stock index returns are derived from valuation, earnings, and dividends [11] Group 2 - The profitability trends of various indices are analyzed, including the performance of broad-based indices, strategy indices, and industry/theme indices [13][39] - The overall profitability of A-shares, represented by the CSI All Share Index, showed a decline in 2024 but rebounded with a 4.46% growth in Q1 2025 and 2.19% in Q2 2025 [20] - The CSI 300 index, representing large-cap stocks, demonstrated stable earnings growth, with a consistent positive net profit over the past five years, although growth rates have been lower during the economic downturn [22][24] Group 3 - The CSI 500 index, representing mid-cap stocks, experienced significant fluctuations in profitability, with a notable recovery in 2025, showing 6.51% growth in Q1 and 3.6% in Q2 [26] - The CSI 1000 index, representing small-cap stocks, had a dramatic 68.02% growth in 2021 but faced declines in 2023-2024, recovering to 16.13% growth in Q1 2025, though slowing to 0.44% in Q2 [29][33] - The ChiNext Index, representing growth-oriented stocks, showed a strong 30.79% growth in Q1 2025, with a decrease to 13.39% in Q2 [33] Group 4 - The Hang Seng Index demonstrated stable earnings growth, with a 16.32% increase in Q1 2025, but a significant drop to 0.14% in Q2 [35] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (H-shares) also showed stable profitability, recovering after declines in 2020 and 2021, with consistent growth in 2022-2025 [37] - The article highlights the performance of various strategy indices, such as the CSI Dividend Index, which showed stable growth in profitability from 2022 to 2025 [42]

Group 1 - The U.S. stock market is experiencing a rally, with the Nasdaq 100 index recently achieving its longest winning streak in over a year, having risen for five consecutive months [1] - Morgan Stanley warns that the anticipated interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve may dampen investor enthusiasm, as the market has already priced in a quarter-point cut [3] - The S&P 500 index has been in a period of low volatility, with daily fluctuations averaging less than 0.9%, marking the longest calm period in two years, yet it continues to reach new highs [3] Group 2 - The market's reaction to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will depend on various scenarios, including the perceived dovishness of the Fed's guidance and any indications of economic slowdown [4] - Historical data shows that the S&P 500 index typically declines in September, but it has risen in past instances when the Fed cut rates without an economic contraction [6] - The potential for the stock market to continue reaching new highs post-rate cut hinges on improved economic data, sustained dovish signals from the Fed, and strong corporate earnings, particularly in the tech sector [8]

美联储，传来大消息！ 就在刚刚，美国参议院以48票对47票的微弱优势，通过对斯蒂芬·米兰出任美联储理事会成员的提名。米兰将参与9月16日 开始为期两天的美联储会议。据悉，米兰曾在特朗普第一任总统任期内担任美国财政部经济政策高级顾问，并拥有哈佛 大学经济学专业的博士学位。 圣路易斯联邦储备银行前总裁布拉德表示，他上周与财政部长贝森特就出任美联储主席一职进行了交流，并表示他对这 一职位非常感兴趣。 据CME"美联储观察"最新消息，美联储本周降息25个基点的概率为95.9%，降息50个基点的概率为4.1%。美联储10月累 计降息25个基点的概率为23.1%，累计降息50个基点的概率为73.8%，累计降息75个基点的概率为3.1%。 此外，当地时间15日，特朗普在社交平台发帖威胁称，将在必要时宣布美国全国进入紧急状态，并对华盛顿特区进行全 面联邦管制。 美联储大消息 北京时间16日早上，特朗普提名的美联储理事候选人米兰在美国参议院获得确认任命的足够票数。米兰的美联储理事提 名获参议院及时确认，可以赶上本周的利率会议。 此前，美国参议院将投票确认白宫经济顾问委员会主席米兰加入美联储。米兰将保留他的白宫工作，但在美联储期 ...