从其他指标来看，《保障中小企业款项支付条例》实施以来，工业企业整体回款效率得到提升。6月末 企业应收账款平均回收期为69.8天，较5月末有所缩短。 （文章来源：证券时报） 7月27日，国家统计局数据显示，6月份，规模以上工业企业利润同比下降4.3%，降幅较5月份明显收 窄。从累计看，1～6月份规模以上工业企业实现利润总额同比下降1.8%。分析认为，虽然工业企业盈 利能力仍偏弱，但下半年有望边际修复。 装备制造业对规模以上工业利润支撑作用突出。于卫宁介绍，装备制造业利润由5月份下降2.9%转为增 长9.6%，拉动全部规模以上工业利润增长3.8个百分点。 数据显示，6月份规模以上工业企业实现利润总额同比降幅较5月份收窄4.8个百分点；营业收入同比增 长1.0%，增速与5月份持平。国家统计局工业司统计师于卫宁表示，工业企业营收持续增长，为企业盈 利恢复创造有利条件。 6月份，制造业利润改善明显，由5月份下降4.1%转为增长1.4%。具有"三化"（高端化、智能化、绿色 化）特征的制造业行业表现亮眼。具体来看：高端装备制造行业中的电子专用材料制造、飞机制造、海 洋工程装备制造等行业利润同比分别增长68.1%、19.0% ...

国家统计局7月15日发布的最新数据显示，初步核算，今年上半年国内生产总值(GDP)为660536亿元， 按不变价格计算，同比增长5.3%。 从增速看，西藏、甘肃、湖北等20个省份上半年GDP同比增速高于全国水平(5.3%)，西藏以7.2%的同比 增速位列第一。贵州、天津上半年GDP同比增速与全国水平持平。上海、黑龙江、重庆等9个省份低于 全国水平。 "已公布数据的多数省份上半年经济增速超越其年初制定的全年增速目标，印证了全国经济上半年的良 好表现。"中航证券首席经济学家董忠云在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示，上半年经济增速高于全 年目标的省份，主要受益于高技术制造业、装备制造业产业升级及促消费政策，例如江苏、山东、江 西。 值得一提的是，中部地区交出的经济"半年报"较为亮眼。除山西上半年GDP同比增速为3.8%外，湖北 (6.2%)、河南(5.7%)、湖南(5.6%)、江西(5.6%)、安徽(5.6%)增速均跑赢"全国线"，且均高于各自年初设 定的全年经济目标。山西上半年GDP同比增速虽低于"全国线"，但较2024年上半年(1.9%)同比增速亦有 较大提高。 从总量看，广东上半年GDP以68725.4亿元位列 ...

Core Viewpoint - In June, China's industrial enterprises showed signs of profit recovery, particularly in new momentum industries like equipment manufacturing, signaling a positive trend in the real economy [1][2]. Group 1: Profit and Revenue Trends - In June, the total profit of large-scale industrial enterprises in China reached 715.58 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.3%, but the decline narrowed significantly by 4.8 percentage points compared to May [1]. - The revenue of large-scale industrial enterprises grew by 1.0% year-on-year in June, maintaining the same growth rate as in May [1]. - For the first half of the year, revenue increased by 2.5% year-on-year, while profits decreased by 1.8%, indicating a widening decline compared to the first five months but a narrowing decline compared to the end of 2024 [1]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Profitability - The overall decline in profits for large-scale industrial enterprises has been attributed to external environmental shocks, ongoing elimination of outdated capacity, low Producer Price Index (PPI), and insufficient domestic demand [2]. - The average accounts receivable collection period for large-scale industrial enterprises was 69.8 days at the end of June, a decrease of 0.7 days from the end of May, indicating improved cash flow [2]. Group 3: Policy Impact and Sector Performance - The implementation of the "Regulations on Payment of Funds to Small and Medium-sized Enterprises" since June 1 has improved overall collection efficiency for industrial enterprises, particularly benefiting private enterprises [3]. - In June, the profit growth rate for large-scale manufacturing enterprises shifted from a decline of 4.1% in May to an increase of 1.4%, driven by policies supporting equipment manufacturing and high-tech industries [3]. - Profits in the equipment manufacturing sector increased by 9.6% year-on-year in June, contributing significantly to the overall profit growth of large-scale industrial enterprises [3]. Group 4: Industry Trends and Future Outlook - The manufacturing sector is advancing towards high-end, intelligent, and green production, with significant profit increases in high-end equipment manufacturing and green manufacturing sectors [4]. - The profit growth rates for specific industries, such as electronic materials and lithium-ion battery manufacturing, reached 68.1% and 72.8% respectively in June [4]. - Looking ahead, the recovery of industrial enterprise profits is expected to continue, supported by domestic demand expansion and regulatory policies aimed at stabilizing market competition [5].

Core Insights - The overall performance of large-scale industrial enterprises in China showed a slight increase in revenue but a decline in profits during the first half of 2023, indicating a mixed economic environment [2][3]. Revenue and Profit Performance - From January to June, large-scale industrial enterprises achieved operating income of 66.78 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.5% [2]. - The total profit for the same period was 34.365 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 1.8% when adjusted for comparable figures [2]. Monthly Trends - In June, the operating income of large-scale industrial enterprises continued to grow, with a year-on-year increase of 1% [6]. - Profit decline in June was recorded at 4.3%, which is a narrowing of the decline by 4.8 percentage points compared to May [5][6]. Sector Analysis - The equipment manufacturing sector showed significant growth, with operating income increasing by 7% in June and profits turning from a decline of 2.9% in May to a growth of 9.6% [7][8]. - The automotive industry experienced a remarkable profit increase of 96.8%, driven by promotional activities and investment returns [8]. Policy Impact - Government policies have played a crucial role in improving industry profits, with support for new categories and subsidies leading to notable profit improvements in related sectors [9]. - The expansion of domestic demand and anti-competitive measures are expected to further enhance profit recovery in the industrial sector [10]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the overall performance of industrial enterprises is likely to recover in the third quarter of 2023, supported by favorable policies and improved market conditions [12].

Profit Trends - In the first half of 2025, industrial enterprises achieved a total profit of CNY 34,365.0 billion, a year-on-year decline of 1.8% compared to a previous decline of 1.1%[1] - Operating revenue reached CNY 66.78 trillion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.5%, slightly down from 2.7%[1] - In June, profits decreased by 4.3% year-on-year, an improvement from the previous decline of 9.1%[1] Production and Pricing - Industrial production accelerated, with June's industrial added value growing by 6.8% year-on-year, driven by strong export performance and domestic demand during the 618 shopping festival[1] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 3.6% year-on-year in June, continuing to exert pressure on profit recovery[1] - Profit margins for the first half of 2025 recorded 5.15%, a decrease of 0.26 percentage points year-on-year, despite a slight increase of 0.18 percentage points month-on-month[1] Inventory and Receivables - Finished goods inventory reached CNY 6.60 trillion, with a year-on-year growth of 3.1%, indicating a slowdown in nominal inventory growth[1] - The average accounts receivable collection period decreased to 69.8 days in June, the first drop below 70 days in 2025, although it still increased by 3.6 days year-on-year[1] Sector Performance - Equipment manufacturing profits grew by 9.6% in June, reversing a previous decline of 2.9% in May, contributing 3.8 percentage points to overall industrial profit growth[2] - The "two new" policies positively impacted profits in sectors like medical equipment and consumer goods, with significant profit increases of 160.0% for smart drones and 97.2% for computers[2] - However, downstream consumer goods manufacturing sectors such as furniture and textiles experienced negative profit growth[2]

Group 1 - In the first half of 2023, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size in China was 34,365.0 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.8%, while operating revenue reached 667,800.0 billion yuan, an increase of 2.5% [1] - In June 2023, the operating revenue of industrial enterprises above designated size grew by 1.0% year-on-year, maintaining the same growth rate as May, while total profit was 7,155.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.3%, with the decline narrowing by 4.8 percentage points compared to May [1] - The overall decline in industrial enterprise profits in the first half of 2023 was less severe than in 2024, indicating the effectiveness of a series of stable growth policies, particularly in the manufacturing sector, which saw profits shift from a decline of 4.1% in May to a growth of 1.4% [1] Group 2 - Within the manufacturing sector, the equipment manufacturing industry experienced rapid growth in both revenue and profit, contributing 3.8 percentage points to the overall profit growth of industrial enterprises above designated size [2] - In June 2023, the equipment manufacturing industry saw a year-on-year revenue increase of 7.0%, accelerating by 0.3 percentage points from May, and profits shifted from a decline of 2.9% in May to a growth of 9.6% [2] - The automotive industry, driven by promotional activities and increased investment returns from key enterprises, reported a remarkable profit growth of 96.8% [2] Group 3 - The implementation of the "two new" and "two heavy" policies has led to rapid profit growth in industries such as electronics, home appliances, and kitchenware [3] - In June 2023, specific sectors like medical instruments, printing and packaging machinery, and general components manufacturing saw significant profit increases, with smart drones and computer manufacturing experiencing profit growth of 160.0% and 97.2%, respectively [3] - Looking ahead to the third quarter, it is anticipated that the recovery of industrial enterprise profits will be supported by the progress in US-China trade negotiations and the introduction of domestic "anti-involution" policies, alongside a rebound in prices of commodities like coking coal and steel [3]

Group 1: Industrial Profit Trends - In the first half of 2025, the total profit of industrial enterprises reached CNY 34,365.0 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.8%[2] - The profit growth rate slowed down, with June showing a 4.3% year-on-year decline, narrowing the drop by 4.8 percentage points compared to May[2] - The revenue profit margin for industrial enterprises was 5.15%, which is 0.22 percentage points lower than the same period last year[2] Group 2: Price and Demand Dynamics - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for June 2025 decreased by 3.6% year-on-year and 0.4% month-on-month, significantly impacting profit growth[2] - Effective demand remains insufficient, and industrial product prices are low, which continues to drag on profit recovery[3] - The industrial capacity utilization rate in Q2 2025 was 74.0%, slightly down by 0.1 percentage points from Q1, indicating a low position that hinders cost reduction[2] Group 3: Policy Impact and Sector Performance - The "Two New" policies are showing continued support for profit recovery, particularly benefiting the equipment manufacturing sector[3] - In June, the equipment manufacturing sector's revenue grew by 7.0% year-on-year, with profits increasing by 9.6%, contributing 3.8 percentage points to overall industrial profit growth[4] - High-end equipment manufacturing sectors, such as electronic materials and aircraft manufacturing, saw profit increases of 68.1% and 19.0% respectively[4] Group 4: Inventory and Market Conditions - As of June 2025, the inventory of finished products for industrial enterprises increased by 3.1% year-on-year, reflecting a flattening inventory cycle[9] - The current inventory-to-sales ratio remains high, indicating a willingness among enterprises to reduce inventory despite ongoing pressures[9] - The MPI industrial inventory forward index suggests that the inventory cycle will continue to exhibit a flattening characteristic throughout 2025[9]

Group 1 - In June, the revenue of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 1.0% year-on-year, maintaining the same growth rate as in May [1] - The total profit of these enterprises reached 715.58 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline narrowing by 4.8 percentage points compared to May [1] - The manufacturing sector showed significant improvement, with profits turning from a decline in May to a growth of 1.4% in June [3] Group 2 - The equipment manufacturing industry played a crucial role, with June revenue increasing by 7.0% year-on-year, accelerating by 0.3 percentage points compared to May [3] - Profits in the equipment manufacturing sector grew by 9.6%, contributing to a 3.8% increase in total industrial profits [3] - High-end, intelligent, and green manufacturing is advancing, with industries such as electronic materials, smart consumer devices, and lithium-ion batteries seeing profit increases of 68.1%, 40.9%, and 72.8% respectively [5] Group 3 - The "Two New" policies continue to show positive effects, leading to significant profit improvements in related industries [7] - In June, industries such as medical instruments and general components manufacturing experienced rapid profit growth due to large-scale equipment updates [7] - From January to June, the cumulative revenue of industrial enterprises above designated size grew by 2.5% [7]

Core Viewpoint - In June, the profits of industrial enterprises above designated size decreased by 4.3% year-on-year, but the decline narrowed significantly compared to May, indicating a potential recovery in profitability driven by revenue growth and supportive policies [1][3]. Group 1: Profit Trends - In June, the total profit of industrial enterprises reached 715.58 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 4.3%, which is a reduction of 4.8 percentage points from May [3]. - The revenue of industrial enterprises continued to grow, with a 1.0% year-on-year increase in June, maintaining the same growth rate as in May. Cumulatively, from January to June, revenue grew by 2.5% [4]. Group 2: Industry Contributions - The equipment manufacturing industry played a significant role in supporting the overall profit growth of industrial enterprises, contributing 3.8 percentage points to the total profit increase in June, with its revenue growing by 7.0% year-on-year [6][8]. - Among the eight sectors in equipment manufacturing, four sectors reported profit growth, with the automotive sector experiencing a remarkable profit increase of 96.8% due to promotional activities and investment returns [7][8]. Group 3: Policy Impact - The "Two New" policy, which promotes large-scale equipment updates and the replacement of old consumer goods, has shown significant effects, leading to notable profit improvements in related industries [11][12]. - The implementation of the "Two New" policy is expected to support around 300 billion yuan in special bonds to stimulate effective investment and consumer demand [12][14].

Group 1 - In June, profits of China's industrial enterprises above designated size decreased by 4.3% year-on-year, a reduction in decline by 4.8 percentage points compared to May [1] - The manufacturing sector showed significant improvement, with profits shifting from a 4.1% decline in May to a 1.4% increase in June [1] - Cumulatively, from January to June, profits of industrial enterprises above designated size fell by 1.8% year-on-year [1] Group 2 - In June, the operating income of industrial enterprises increased by 1.0% year-on-year, maintaining the same growth rate as in May, which supports profit recovery [1] - The equipment manufacturing sector's operating income grew by 7.0% year-on-year, accelerating by 0.3 percentage points from May, with profits turning from a 2.9% decline in May to a 9.6% increase in June [1] - The automotive industry saw a remarkable profit increase of 96.8% due to promotional activities and investment returns from key enterprises [1] Group 3 - Profits in high-end, intelligent, and green manufacturing sectors grew rapidly in June, with electronic special materials manufacturing, aircraft manufacturing, and marine engineering equipment manufacturing seeing profit increases of 68.1%, 19.0%, and 17.8% respectively [2] - The lithium-ion battery manufacturing and biomass energy generation sectors reported profit increases of 72.8% and 24.5% respectively [2] - The smart unmanned aerial vehicle manufacturing and computer assembly manufacturing sectors experienced profit growth of 160.0% and 97.2% respectively, driven by the effectiveness of the consumption upgrade policy [2]