Group 1: Market Trends - The cyclical sectors, including basic chemicals, petroleum and petrochemicals, and building materials, have seen significant gains, with increases exceeding 3% as of January 20 [1] - On January 21, cyclical sectors continued to rise, with non-ferrous metals up over 1%, and steel, automotive, petroleum and petrochemicals, and basic chemicals all recording positive performance [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission's deputy director indicated a commitment to implement a policy "combination punch" to promote reasonable price recovery [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - According to institutional forecasts, 10 stocks in cyclical sectors are expected to see net profits increase tenfold by 2026, with Zhongzi Technology leading at a projected net profit growth of over 51 times this year [2] - Zhongzi Technology specializes in the research, production, and sales of new materials and renewable energy, and is one of the few major domestic manufacturers in the environmental catalyst field [2] - Tianyin Holdings is projected to have a net profit growth exceeding 42 times this year, benefiting from the AI replacement trend and national subsidies [3] - Delong Laser is expected to see a net profit growth of 36 times this year, focusing on high-end industrial precision laser processing equipment [4] Group 3: Company Performance - Zhongzi Technology has a total market value of 514.07 billion, with a 30% increase in January [3] - Tianyin Holdings has a total market value of 425.40 billion, with a decline of 3.57% in January [3] - Delong Laser has a total market value of 360 billion, with an 18.18% increase in January [4] - Ganfeng Lithium, a leading lithium producer, is projected to have a net profit growth of 551.85% this year, with a market value of 136.69 billion and an 8.09% increase in January [7]

石化ETF（159731）及其联接基金（017855/017856）紧密跟踪中证石化产业指数，从申万一级行业分 布来看，基础化工行业占比为59.23%，石油石化行业占比为32.60%，随着供给侧坚持去产能和"反内 卷"，同时坚持扩大内需，化工行业周期将加速反转。 截至10:46，石化ETF（159731）跌0.29%，持仓股中，东方盛虹、卫星化学、联泓新科等涨幅居前。从 资金净流入方面来看，石化ETF连续12个交易日获得资金净流入，合计"吸金"5.34亿元。石化ETF最新 份额达8.13亿份，最新规模8.32亿元，均创成立以来新高。 金融街证券首席经济学家张一表示，针对"2026年'十五五'开局之年最看好的产业"这一问题，最看好化 工产业。张一指出，首先化工产业是中国竞争格局最好的行业，既有中石化等央企主导，也有地方国资 和优秀民营企业参与，同时还有大量海外化工巨头向中国转移产能。其次，该产业是对"Know- How"（技术诀窍）要求最高的产业之一，经过二十多年的城镇化和工业化发展，中国化工产业在成本 和效率上已形成极强的国际竞争力。此外，当前化工产业估值相对合理，且可能正处在投资周期的底 部。 每日经济新闻 ...

融资担保比例提高后，交易型资金如何反应？ ——资金行为研究双周报（2026/01/09-2026/1/22） 证券研究报告/策略定期报告 2026 年 01 月 23 日 分析师：徐驰 执业证书编号：S0740519080003 Email：xuchi@zts.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0740522050001 Email：wangyj09@zts.com.cn 1、《A H 股市场周度观察（1 月第 2 周）》2026-01-17 2、《从春节到两会，市场轮动的节奏 将如何演绎？》2026-01-17 3、《开年市场新高后或如何演绎？》 2026-01-11 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 报告摘要 分析师：王永健 市场资金流向概览：机构流出动能阶段性收敛，市场共识重新凝聚。1 月 12 日后机构 资金流出一度加速，但于 20 日后趋于收敛；散户资金对全 A 及创业板的流入在高位 后亦于 14 日起斜率放缓。全 A 与创业板资金加速度在 13 日及 21 日前后出现剧烈波 动，显示存量博弈依然活跃。截至 1 月 22 日，三大指数散户与机构净流入率差额显 著收窄并向零轴收敛，市场进入力量均衡期。 相 ...

Group 1 - A total of 717 companies have announced their annual performance forecasts for 2025, with 232 companies expecting profit increases, accounting for 32.36% [1] - Among the companies forecasting profit increases, 136 expect a net profit growth of over 100%, while 119 anticipate growth between 50% and 100% [1] - The highest expected net profit growth is from Huisheng Biological, with a median increase of 1355.24%, followed by Southern Precision Engineering at 1273.50% and Shanghai Yizhong at 831.86% [1] Group 2 - The average increase in stock prices for companies expecting profit growth has been 13.25% this year, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [2] - The stock with the highest increase is Jinhaitong, which has risen by 88.03% year-to-date, followed by Baiwei Storage and Zhongtai Co., which have increased by 63.60% and 58.73% respectively [2] - Among the companies with declining stock prices, Penghui Energy has seen the largest drop at 15.67%, with Hongyuan Green Energy and Defu Technology also experiencing significant declines of 13.77% and 12.82% respectively [2] Group 3 - The list of companies expecting significant profit increases includes Huisheng Biological (1355.24%), Southern Precision Engineering (1273.50%), and Shanghai Yizhong (831.86%) [3][4] - Other notable companies with high expected profit growth include Jin'an Guoji (763.47%), Zhongtai Co. (677.22%), and Southern Power Source (667.73%) [3][4] - The sectors with the most companies expecting profit growth include electronics, basic chemicals, and pharmaceutical biology, with 20, 19, and 15 companies respectively [1]

Group 1 - A total of 654 stocks have been newly added to the fund's heavy holdings list, with 12 stocks having a new holding ratio exceeding 3% [1] - Among the newly added stocks, 362 are from the Shanghai and Shenzhen main boards, 186 from the ChiNext, 60 from the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, and 45 from the Beijing Stock Exchange [1] - The sectors with the highest number of newly added stocks include machinery equipment, basic chemicals, and electronics, with 83, 65, and 63 stocks respectively [1] Group 2 - The stock with the highest new holding ratio is Bai'ao Saitou, which was included in 53 fund heavy holdings with a total holding of 7.7342 million shares, accounting for 21.55% of its circulating shares [2] - Li Tong Technology follows with 11 funds holding a total of 10.4283 million shares, representing 12.60% of its circulating shares [2] - Other notable stocks with high holding ratios include Xingtu Measurement and Control, Chaojie Co., Ltd., and Dafeng Industrial, with holding ratios of 10.03%, 7.36%, and 4.84% respectively [2] Group 3 - Stocks with high new holdings have seen an average increase of 58.85% since the fourth quarter of last year, with notable gainers including Chaojie Co., Ltd. (285.08%), Qianyan Biology-U (80.32%), and Lixing Co., Ltd. (77.77%) [3] - Bai'ao Saitou is expected to report a net profit increase of 303.57%, with a median net profit forecast of 135 million yuan [3] - The stocks with the highest number of funds holding them include Biobetter-U with 72 funds, Bai'ao Saitou with 53 funds, and Xingtu Measurement and Control with 30 funds [2][3]

融资担保比例提高后，交易型资金如何反应？ ——资金行为研究双周报（2026/01/09-2026/1/22） 证券研究报告/策略定期报告 2026 年 01 月 23 日 分析师：徐驰 执业证书编号：S0740519080003 Email：xuchi@zts.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0740522050001 Email：wangyj09@zts.com.cn 1、《A H 股市场周度观察（1 月第 2 周）》2026-01-17 2、《从春节到两会，市场轮动的节奏 将如何演绎？》2026-01-17 3、《开年市场新高后或如何演绎？》 2026-01-11 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 策略定期报告 报告摘要 分析师：王永健 市场资金流向概览：机构流出动能阶段性收敛，市场共识重新凝聚。1 月 12 日后机构 资金流出一度加速，但于 20 日后趋于收敛；散户资金对全 A 及创业板的流入在高位 后亦于 14 日起斜率放缓。全 A 与创业板资金加速度在 13 日及 21 日前后出现剧烈波 动，显示存量博弈依然活跃。截至 1 月 22 日，三大指数散户与机构净流入率差额显 著收窄并向零轴收敛，市场进入力 ...

（文章来源：证券时报网） 福莱新材股价创出历史新高，截至9:32，该股上涨1.10%，股价报44.99元，成交量266.54万股，成交金 额1.22亿元，换手率0.97%，该股最新A股总市值达126.07亿元，该股A股流通市值124.26亿元。 公司发布的三季报数据显示，前三季度公司共实现营业收入20.97亿元，同比增长18.09%，实现净利润 6460.00万元，同比下降7.83%，基本每股收益为0.2300元，加权平均净资产收益率4.28%。（数据宝） 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，福莱新材所属的基础化工行业，目前整体涨幅为0.31%，行业内，目前股价 上涨的有223只，涨幅居前的有七彩化学、隆华新材、键邦股份等，涨幅分别为8.69%、6.87%、 6.40%。股价下跌的有182只，跌幅居前的有中毅达、红墙股份、红宝丽等，跌幅分别为3.72%、 3.59%、3.30%。 公司1月22日在交易所互动平台披露，截至最新（1月20日）股东户数为27000户，较上期（1月10日）减 少1800户，环比下降6.25%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - A total of 138 companies listed on the ChiNext board have released their performance forecasts for 2025, with 68 companies expecting profit increases, representing 49.28% of the total [1]. Group 1: Performance Forecasts - Among the 138 companies, 68 are expected to increase profits, 16 are expected to make profits, and the total number of companies with positive forecasts is 60.87% [1]. - Companies forecasting profit decreases include 17 with expected losses, 24 with expected losses, and 10 with reduced losses [1]. - The median profit increase for 42 companies is expected to exceed 100%, while 19 companies anticipate profit increases between 50% and 100% [1]. Group 2: Top Performers - The company with the highest expected profit increase is Huisheng Biological, with a median profit increase forecast of 1355.24% [1]. - Other notable companies include Zhongtai Co., with a forecasted profit increase of 677.22%, and Hekang New Energy, with a forecasted increase of 507.03% [1]. - The industries with the most companies expecting profit increases include basic chemicals, power equipment, and machinery, with 7, 5, and 4 companies respectively [1]. Group 3: Market Performance - Stocks expected to double their profits have seen an average increase of 13.21% this year, with Zhongtai Co., Dazhu CNC, and Wankai New Materials leading with increases of 58.73%, 47.18%, and 41.10% respectively [2]. - Recent performance over the last five days shows significant gains for companies like Zhongrong Electric, Dazhu CNC, and Zhongtai Co., with increases of 27.52%, 24.78%, and 22.98% respectively [2]. Group 4: Detailed Company Data - A detailed list of companies with expected profit increases includes: - Huisheng Biological (1355.24% increase, latest price 26.91, YTD change 29.81%) [2] - Zhongtai Co. (677.22% increase, latest price 35.27, YTD change 58.73%) [2] - Hekang New Energy (507.03% increase, latest price 7.17, YTD change 20.50%) [2] - Other companies with significant expected profit increases include Changxin Bochuang, Hualv Biological, and Chenguang Biological, with increases of 378.70%, 341.78%, and 301.38% respectively [2].

Market Performance - The basic chemical index increased by 0.90% from January 10 to January 16, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which decreased by 0.57%, by 1.47 percentage points, ranking 8th among all sectors [1][2] - The top-performing sub-industries included rubber additives (5.80%), synthetic resins (4.90%), potassium fertilizers (4.85%), textile chemicals (3.03%), and carbon black (2.91%) [1][2] Chemical Price Trends - The top five products with the highest weekly price increases were liquid chlorine (133.33%), industrial-grade lithium carbonate (12.69%), battery-grade lithium carbonate (12.33%), propylene oxide (8.86%), and coal tar (Shanxi Dongyi) (8.53%) [3] - The top five products with the largest weekly price declines were hydrochloric acid (Jiangsu) (-25.00%), concentrated nitric acid (Jinhe Industry) (-8.82%), crude phenol (-7.97%), hydrochloric acid (Shandong) (-7.69%), and hydrogen peroxide (-6.25%) [3] Industry Dynamics - Some refrigerant companies announced profit growth forecasts for 2025, with Sanmei Co. expecting a net profit of 1.99 to 2.15 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 155.66% to 176.11%, and Yonghe Co. forecasting a net profit of 530 to 630 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 110.87% to 150.66% [4] - The competitive landscape for third-generation refrigerants (HFCs) is expected to continue improving, with price increases being a major factor for profit growth [4] - As of January 16, the market prices for mainstream third-generation refrigerants R32, R125, and R134a in East China were 62,500, 48,000, and 56,000 yuan per ton, respectively, with increases of 0%, 7%, and 7% since Q4 2025, and year-to-date increases of 44%, 22%, and 37% [4] Investment Recommendations - Current investment focus areas include the refrigerant sector, with recommendations for Jinshi Resources, Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., and Yonghe Co. [6] - The chemical fiber sector is also highlighted, with suggested companies including Huafeng Chemical, Xin Fengming, and Taihe New Materials [6] - Other recommended companies include Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, Luxi Chemical, and Baofeng Energy [6] - The tire sector recommendations include Sailun Tire, Senqilin, and Linglong Tire [6] - In the agricultural chemicals sector, recommended companies are Yara International, Salt Lake Co., Xingfa Group, Yuntianhua, and Yangnong Chemical [6] - High-quality growth targets include Blue Sky Technology, Shengquan Group, and Shandong Heda [6] - The basic chemical industry maintains an "overweight" rating [6]

2025年基金四季报1月22日披露完毕。 天相投顾数据显示，截至2025年年底，全市场公募基金资产净值（含估算基金）合计超过37.64万亿 元，规模续创历史新高。主动权益基金前十大重仓股分别为中际旭创、新易盛、宁德时代、腾讯控股、 紫金矿业、阿里巴巴-W、寒武纪-U、立讯精密、贵州茅台、东山精密。 2025年四季度，尽管A股市场整体呈现震荡态势，但是指数基金规模的持续增长为A股市场带来源源不 断的增量资金。权益类基金整体维持较高仓位，部分基金在四季度继续加仓。 从仓位分布看，据兴业证券统计，主动权益基金2025年四季度末的仓位虽然比三季度末下降，但仍处于 历史第二高水平。 分行业看，据国信证券统计，在2025年四季报披露的持仓中，主动权益基金加仓居前的三个行业为有色 金属、基础化工、非银金融，分别加仓1.22、1.13、0.81个百分点；计算机、传媒、国防军工行业减仓 居前，分别减仓1.34、0.98、0.75个百分点。 去年四季度，基金加仓大周期板块，权重仅次于科技类板块。 多位基金经理表示，展望2026年，对资本市场整体环境保持相对乐观判断。基金经理对科技产业与大周 期板块的配置仍有分歧。 鹏华基金基金经 ...