截至2025年12月26日收盘，品渥食品(300892)报收于31.75元，下跌1.34%，换手率4.48%，成交量2.89万 手，成交额9226.72万元。 董秘最新回复 投资者： 请问贵公司作为A股"进口食品第一股"，目前公司进口业务占比多少，人民币的持续升值，对 公司的业务有何影响，进口成本降低是否能有效改善公司利润？ 投资者： 董秘您好，公司专注于进口食品品牌运营，请问人民币升值是否会对公司产生积极影响？谢 谢。 董秘： 投资者您好，公司主要产品为国外进口，人民币升值会降低产品采购的单价，对公司有正面影 响。公司的进口产品采购主要以欧元、新西兰元、美元计价。感谢您对本公司的关注。 当日关注点 董秘： 投资者您好，公司主要产品为国外进口，人民币升值会降低产品采购的单价，对公司的业绩有 正面影响，公司国外采购占比90%以上，具体数据已在定期报告中披露。感谢您对本公司的关注。 投资者： 你好，公司主营进口食品的运营，人民币升值是不是对公司有比较大的利好影响？ 董秘： 投资者您好，公司主要产品为国外进口，人民币升值会降低产品采购的单价，对公司有正面影 响。公司的进口产品采购主要以欧元、新西兰元、美元计价。感谢 ...

Group 1 - The "Village Sugar Festival" will feature over 70 events across Chengdu, utilizing a multi-level collaborative model that integrates local cultural and industrial resources [1] - The festival will be organized in a tiered system involving city-level, district-level, town-level, and village-level events, with specific locations chosen based on local characteristics [1] - Various districts will host their own "Village Sugar Festivals," including unique offerings such as shopping, food experiences, and cultural activities [1] Group 2 - The recent autumn "Village Sugar Festival" activities in 14 districts generated over 200 million yuan in consumer spending during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holiday [2]

景顺长城研究部基金经理 创金合信消费主题基金经理 随着经济产业变革与消费群体迭代，公募基金在消费领域的投资方法论正经历一场静默而深刻的重塑。 近日，在证券时报举办的"攻守之道：新消费'高波动'背后的定价逻辑重构"主题沙龙上，来自长城基 金、景顺长城基金、创金合信基金的基金经理在主题演讲环节一致认为，传统的、以白马龙头为核心的 投资框架已难以充分捕捉当前市场的结构性机遇，取而代之的是对细分新需求的深度挖掘。 他们特别指出，Z世代(1995～2009年间出生人群)的崛起，不仅带动了国潮、悦己、体验式消费等新兴 赛道的蓬勃发展，其独特的价值观念与消费习惯——更注重情绪价值、社交属性与可持续性——正在从 根本上重构消费产业的增长逻辑。因此，告别路径依赖，系统性地理解和投资于由新人群驱动的新需 求、新模式与新品牌，已成为把握未来消费投资机会的关键所在。 消费分层影响细分产业紧抓新生代需求 长城基金国际业务部副总经理、基金经理曲少杰认为，消费行业已告别传统增长模式，进入物质消费理 性化、精神消费奢侈化的双轨新常态。这一变化并非简单的消费降级，而是消费分层的凸显。考虑到Z 世代的消费潜力巨大，未来消费领域的布局应聚焦这一群 ...

主会场活动主题为"扩消费、促产业"，现场设古镇市集，汇聚150余家本土企业展销好物，电竞打卡、亲子游乐等互动及文娱节目同步开展。 ▲活动现场 "这个青梅酒有很清新的梅果香味，入口柔和，细品又有层次丰富的回甘，我很喜欢。"游客王先生向记者展示刚买的西岭雪山青梅酒。在村糖会的青梅酒品 鉴专场围了数圈游客，冰青、西岭雪山等大邑本地青梅酒品牌广受欢迎，品尝后购买的不在少数。 "我们把大邑青梅相关企业组织起来，集中在村糖会进行展览展销，特设品鉴环节，让所有游客都能品尝到中国国家地理标志产品—䢺江青梅酒。"大邑县经 科信局相关负责人介绍，除青梅酒，还有青梅果脯、青梅饮料等特色产品，且在市场上反响良好，已远销东南亚、美国等海外地区、国家。日前，大邑县青 梅产业协会成立，未来也将着力推动青梅产业正式迈向组织化、协同化发展，助力"小青梅"成长为"大产业"。 ▲活动现场 12月28日，成都大邑"逛村糖·赶大集"扩消费促产业系列活动启动仪式在安仁古镇景区举行，大邑县制造业产业推介及机会清单同时发布。记者在现场了解 到，本次系列活动在安仁古镇设主会场，在西岭镇、晋原街道等多地设有分会场，冰雪、民俗等多元市集陆续开启，共同营造热闹迎新 ...

Group 1 - The article highlights that among 360 industry/theme ETFs, 39 reached new highs in December, with established sectors like telecommunications and non-ferrous metals reflecting North American AI infrastructure and resource logic, while new sectors like commercial aerospace are gaining attention during market fluctuations [2] - The focus is on structural opportunities in a volatile market, with sectors like chemicals, engineering machinery, and new energy being prioritized due to their long-term ROE potential, alongside emerging themes like commercial aerospace [3] - The article emphasizes the importance of the RMB appreciation trend and its implications for investment strategies, particularly in brokerage and insurance sectors [3] Group 2 - The article discusses favorable conditions for the spring market rally, driven by liquidity and investor expectations, with a focus on the A500 ETF and potential market fluctuations at year-end and early next year [4] - It notes that the RMB's recent strength, driven by corporate settlement demand and a favorable external environment, could lead to a capital market rally, benefiting sectors reliant on imported materials and those with significant foreign currency liabilities [6] - The article identifies new investment themes emerging in the commodity market and manufacturing sectors, particularly in AI and global manufacturing recovery, recommending investments in industrial resources and equipment exports [8] Group 3 - The article indicates that the A-share market has entered a cross-year rally phase, supported by optimistic institutional investor sentiment and favorable policy expectations [9] - It suggests that the spring market is likely to exhibit structural characteristics with rapid sector rotation, encouraging investors to adopt a low-buying strategy [13][14] - The article highlights the potential for a continued upward trend in the market leading up to the Spring Festival, with a focus on technology themes and non-bank financial sectors [15]

Core Insights - The new CEO, Wei Hongcheng, faces significant challenges as both of the company's core businesses, instant noodles and beverages, experienced revenue declines in the first half of 2025 [1][11] - Despite a 20.5% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, total revenue decreased by 2.7% in the same period [1][11] Group 1: Leadership Transition - Wei Hongcheng, born in 1982, is the son of the founder and has a master's degree from Waseda University and an MBA from Harvard Business School [2][12] - He has held various positions within the company since 2015, most recently as Executive Director responsible for beverage operations [2][12] - Wei Hongcheng's annual salary reached 9.37 million RMB, a 25% increase from the previous year, surpassing the former CEO's salary by 233.4% [2][13] Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's total revenue was 806.51 billion RMB, with a slight year-on-year growth of 0.3% [3][13] - The beverage segment, which Wei Hongcheng oversees, generated 516.21 billion RMB, reflecting a 1.3% increase [3][13] - The company has consistently returned significant cash dividends to shareholders, with a total of 37.4 billion RMB in cash dividends for 2024 [5][15] Group 3: Business Challenges - The instant noodle business saw revenues of 287.93 billion RMB in 2023 and 284.14 billion RMB in 2024, with declines of 2.84% and 1.31% respectively [6][16] - The beverage segment's revenue in the first half of 2025 was 263.59 billion RMB, down 2.6%, with tea product sales decreasing by 6.3% [6][16] - The company's market share in the instant noodle sector dropped from 36% in 2020 to 31% in 2024 [6][16] Group 4: Market Dynamics - Competitors like Nongfu Spring have increased their market share in the ready-to-drink tea segment from 5% in 2021 to 12% in 2024 [7][17] - The company has introduced new products in the herbal beverage category but faces stiff competition from established brands [7][17] - The number of distributors decreased by 3,409 in the first half of 2025, indicating challenges in maintaining distribution channels [9][19] Group 5: Pricing Strategy - The company has raised prices on key products, which has affected consumer purchasing decisions and led some to switch to competitors [8][18] - The price of 1L iced tea increased from 4 RMB to 5 RMB, impacting price-sensitive consumers [8][18] - The total liabilities of the company reached 398.82 billion RMB, with a debt ratio of 71.28%, indicating financial pressure [9][19]

策略周报 康波的轮回：2026 繁荣的起点 策略周末谈（1228） 核心结论 1、康波的轮回：康波萧条期，往往是追赶国的繁荣期 我们在 8.31《看向新高》中指出，2018 年中国人均 GDP 突破 1 万美元，正式 步入工业化成熟期：中国制造业强劲的对外出口能力，赚取大量的国民财富，带 来内需消费景气回升。这也是 19-21 年 A 股"核心资产牛市"的基础。 我们在 12.21《康波的年轮：2026 与 1978》中再次提示，当前的中国类似 1978 年的日本，也将迎来繁荣的起点：工业增加值和对外出口占全球份额持续高位， 贸易顺差和人均工资增长额也将继续高位扩张。 2、繁荣的梗阻：22-24 年中国实体部门的现金流量表和资产负债表受损 2019 年以来，全球进入康波萧条期，工业化成熟期的中国事实上迎来了追赶国 的繁荣期。但这种繁荣在 2022 年-2024 年遭遇梗阻—— （1）现金流量表：2022-24 年，美联储激进加息导致中美利差严重倒挂、人民 币贬值，大量的跨境资本外流，国民财富悬挂海外。与此同时，制造业产能过剩 引发的"内卷"，进一步损害了实体部门的自由现金流。 （2）资产负债表：20 年 8 ...

New Products - Mengniu launched "Frozen Pear Flavor Yogurt" which uses French imported dual-strain fermentation, suitable for various scenarios like breakfast and outdoor activities [8] - Shuanghui and Tmall Supermarket introduced "Spicy Beef Strips" with ≥90% beef content and ≥27g protein per 100g [8] - Bawang Tea Ji launched the "Return to Yunnan" series with three flavors, using a blend of 65% Menghai Pu'er and 35% Mengku Ice Island ripe Pu'er [11] - Heytea collaborated with Pop Mart to introduce a new product line featuring custom star-shaped drinks and themed stores [11] - Watsons launched a limited edition "Biquan Sweet Apricot Jasmine Green Tea" using high-quality apricot puree [12] Industry Events - McDonald's opened its first stores in Ningxia and Qinghai, completing its presence in all provincial-level administrative regions in China [16] - Anta officially joined Taobao Flash Sale, with plans to cover over 4,000 stores by 2026 [18] - JD Health and Ganhe Group signed a strategic cooperation agreement to enhance supply chain efficiency and user health management [18] Investment Trends - Zhongyan Alkali Industry received a strategic investment of 3.92 billion RMB for green mining expansion [22] - Safilo acquired 25% of Inspecs Group for £21.7 million [22] - Qianjue Technology completed a Pre-A++ round financing of nearly 100 million RMB for technology development [22] - Sequoia China acquired a controlling stake in Golden Goose [22] Food Industry Developments - Mixue Ice City opened its first flagship store in Hangzhou, featuring a wide range of drinks and cultural products [28] - Haidilao introduced a small portion menu with prices starting from 3.8 RMB [28] - Mengniu launched "Soft Milk" using EHT enzyme hydrolysis technology for better nutrient absorption [28] - Nestlé completed the sale of its remaining 40% stake in Herta Foods to Casa Tarradelas [32]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - The short - term stock index may fluctuate, but the trend remains unchanged, and it is expected to attack the previous high. The shock digestion since November has entered the end, and from December to January of the next year, it is likely to enter the window period of cross - year layout. The market is expected to show a shock climb again. The mid - term view of being bullish on the stock index remains unchanged. It is recommended to layout and go long on the spring market of the stock index. In terms of operation, hold mid - term long positions and continue to add positions opportunistically; hold call options. [13] Summary by Directory 1. Weekly Views and Strategies Fundamental Views - Last week, the broader market continued to rebound and continuously stood above the 60 - day moving average. The four major indexes all rose, with the small - and medium - cap indexes leading the gains. Most of the style indexes rose, with the growth and cyclical style indexes leading the gains, and only the consumer style index falling. Most of the Shenwan industries rose, with the non - ferrous metals, military, electrical equipment, and electronics sectors leading the gains, while the tourism, banking, coal, and food and beverage sectors led the losses. [8][18][21] - In November 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49.2%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month; the non - manufacturing PMI was 49.5%, down 0.7 percentage points from the previous month. The supply and demand sides of the manufacturing PMI rebounded slightly in November, with the new export orders rebounding by a relatively large 1.7%, which is related to the mitigation of Sino - US tariffs; the ex - factory price and the purchase price of raw materials rebounded again after two months of decline. [8][36] - The growth rate of medium - and long - term credit has been falling continuously for 30 months to 5.89% as of November 2025, and continues to decline. [8][47] - The Politburo set the tone for the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize, and boost the capital market; the State Council issued the new Nine - Article Guidelines to strongly support investor returns; the central bank created two new types of monetary policy tools; the implementation plan for promoting the entry of medium - and long - term funds into the market was officially released, which is expected to add 800 billion yuan of long - term funds to the A - share market annually. [8][55] - The A - share performance showed signs of stabilization in the first quarter, declined in the second quarter, and continued to stabilize and rebound in the third quarter. The performance of the four major indexes rebounded again in the third quarter of 2025. [8][73][77] - The Shanghai Composite Index's valuation is 16.5341, with an upper - limit value of 15.66, and it is at the 87.09th percentile since 2010, at a relatively high level since 2010. However, as performance rises, the valuation will decline. The ChiNext valuation is at a relatively low level. [10][90][92] - In terms of margin trading, the net inflow in 2024 was 274.8 billion yuan; as of December 25, 2025, the net inflow in 2025 was 674.3 billion yuan, and the net inflow in the first five trading days was 45.9 billion yuan. The scale of private securities investment funds increased by 1.7946 trillion yuan this year, and the total scale is currently 7.0076 trillion yuan. The newly registered scale this year is 386 billion yuan. The market value of A - shares held by insurance funds increased by 552.4 billion yuan in the third quarter of 2025, with a month - on - month increase of 18.00%. As of September 30, 2025, the newly established share of stock - type funds was 323.3 billion, and that of hybrid funds was 103.6 billion. The net inflow of index funds in 2025 was 104.9 billion yuan, while the net outflow of active equity funds was 444.9 billion yuan. From April 7 to December 19, 2025, the ETF scale increased by 176.3 billion yuan, and last week it increased by 47.3 billion yuan. As of December 19, the net inflow of ETF funds this year was 79.3 billion yuan. [11][97][101] Strategy Views and Outlook - The broader market fluctuated and rose for eight consecutive days last Friday, with a dive during the session and the trading volume increased to more than 2 trillion yuan, remaining above the 60 - day moving average. The market sentiment declined, and there may be short - term fluctuations, but the trend remains unchanged, and it is expected to attack the previous high. It is recommended to layout and go long on the spring market of the stock index. In terms of operation, hold mid - term long positions and continue to add positions opportunistically; hold call options. [13] 2. Index Industry Trend Review - Last week, the broader market continued to rebound and continuously stood above the 60 - day moving average. The four major indexes all rose, with the small - and medium - cap indexes leading the gains. Most of the style indexes rose, with the growth and cyclical style indexes leading the gains, and only the consumer style index falling. Most of the Shenwan industries rose, with the non - ferrous metals, military, electrical equipment, and electronics sectors leading the gains, while the tourism, banking, coal, and food and beverage sectors led the losses. [8][18][21] 3. Main Contract and Basis Trend - The four major indexes continued to rebound. In terms of the basis, it started from the quarterly main contract and is at a relatively high level. In terms of the arbitrage of each main contract, IC/IF and IC/IH fluctuated and stabilized, IH/IF stabilized; IM/IF and IM/IH fluctuated weakly; IM/IC fluctuated and declined. [25][30] 4. Policy and Economy Economy - In November 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49.2%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month; the non - manufacturing PMI was 49.5%, down 0.7 percentage points from the previous month. The supply and demand sides of the manufacturing PMI rebounded slightly in November, with the new export orders rebounding by a relatively large 1.7%, which is related to the mitigation of Sino - US tariffs; the ex - factory price and the purchase price of raw materials rebounded again after two months of decline. [36] - Generally, PPI leads the inventory cycle. PPI bottomed out and rebounded in June 2023, weakened after two months, and the decline has been narrowing continuously since March 2024. The decline of PPI has been narrowing again since November 2025. In October, the operating revenue of industrial enterprises fell to 1.8%, the inventory continued to rise to 3.7%, demand declined, and there was passive inventory replenishment. [39] - China's social financing scale in November was 2488.5 billion yuan, an increase of 152.8 billion yuan compared with the same period last year. Among them, new RMB loans were 405.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 117 billion yuan compared with the same period last year, mainly due to a decrease of 206.3 billion yuan in household loans. Government bonds were 1204.1 billion yuan, a decrease of 106 billion yuan compared with the same period last year. [42] - The growth rate of medium - and long - term credit has been falling continuously for 30 months to 5.89% as of November 2025, and continues to decline. [47] Policy - New Nine - Article Guidelines: It aims to improve the overall quality of listed companies from the source and promote listed companies to pay more attention to rewarding shareholders. [51] - Implementation Plan for Promoting the Entry of Medium - and Long - Term Funds into the Market: It includes measures such as increasing the actual investment ratio, extending the assessment period, and forming a joint force to implement incremental policies, which is expected to bring a large amount of long - term funds into the A - share market. [54] - The Politburo set the tone for the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize, and boost the capital market, including measures to boost the capital market, promote the entry of medium - and long - term funds, support mergers and acquisitions of listed companies, and promote the stable development of the real estate market. [55] - The central bank created new monetary policy tools, including a swap facility for securities, funds, and insurance companies and a stock repurchase and increase re - loan, and carried out MLF operations and reverse repurchase operations, and adjusted relevant interest rates. [58] - A large - scale debt - resolution measure was announced, which will directly increase 10 trillion yuan of local debt - resolution funds and significantly reduce the local debt - resolution pressure. [59] - Accelerate the construction of first - class investment banks and investment institutions to better promote the high - quality development of the capital market, including implementing differentiated supervision for different types of securities companies. [60] - The 14th Five - Year Plan: It is a crucial five - year period with multiple strategic goals to be achieved. It involves aspects such as the international trade pattern, Sino - US relations, supply - chain reconstruction, and domestic economic development. [63] - The US mid - term elections: The policy environment in the next year will be more favorable for risk assets. The mid - term election schedule and expected fiscal support are also mentioned. [64][66] 5. Revenue and Net Profit of Each Index - The A - share performance showed signs of stabilization in the first quarter, declined in the second quarter, and continued to stabilize and rebound in the third quarter. The performance of the four major indexes rebounded again in the third quarter of 2025. [73][77] 6. Valuation - The Shanghai Composite Index's valuation is 16.5341, with an upper - limit value of 15.66, and it is at the 87.09th percentile since 2010, at a relatively high level since 2010. However, as performance rises, the valuation will decline. The ChiNext valuation is at a relatively low level. [10][90][92] 7. Federal Reserve Interest Rate - Not provided in the given content 8. Capital Flow - In terms of margin trading, the net inflow in 2024 was 274.8 billion yuan; as of December 25, 2025, the net inflow in 2025 was 674.3 billion yuan, and the net inflow in the first five trading days was 45.9 billion yuan. [97] - The scale of private securities investment funds increased by 1.7946 trillion yuan this year, and the total scale is currently 7.0076 trillion yuan. The newly registered scale this year is 386 billion yuan. [101] - The market value of A - shares held by insurance funds increased by 552.4 billion yuan in the third quarter of 2025, with a month - on - month increase of 18.00%, and the market value of A - shares held by insurance funds increased by 1.193 trillion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with an increase of 758.4 billion yuan after deducting the scale growth. [103][104] - The market value of the national team increased by 4 billion in the third quarter, with little change, while the CSI 300 index rose by 17.9%. The mid - and long - term A - share market value increased by nearly 90 billion in the third quarter, and the market value of A - shares held by mid - and long - term A - share investment entities increased by 1.8145 trillion in the first three quarters of 2025. [106][108] - From April 7 to December 19, 2025, the ETF scale increased by 204 billion yuan; last week, the ETF scale continued to increase by 27.7 billion yuan. As of December 26, the net inflow of ETF funds this year was 107 billion yuan. [111] - As of September 30, 2025, the newly established share of stock - type funds was 323.3 billion, and that of hybrid funds was 103.6 billion. [117] - In October 2025, the deposits of non - bank financial institutions increased by 1.8574 trillion yuan again, and the total deposits of non - bank financial institutions increased by 6.6688 trillion yuan this year. Overall, funds are flowing from the banking system to non - bank channels such as the capital market and wealth management products. [121] - As of last weekend, the IPO financing in 2023 was 356.5 billion yuan; in 2024, it was 67.3 billion yuan; in 2025, it was 125.3 billion yuan. [129] - Last week, the net reduction of major shareholders in the secondary market was 14.2 billion yuan, at a relatively high level. [134] - The unlocking volume in the first half of 2026 is relatively small. [138] 9. Technical Analysis - The daily - line trend charts of the Shanghai 50 Index, CSI 300 Index, CSI 500 Index, and CSI 1000 Index are provided, showing the price trends of these indexes from December 26, 2024, to December 23, 2025. [142][144][146][148]

Core Viewpoint - The new investment theme for 2026 is emerging in the commodity market, real industry chain, and foreign exchange market, characterized by a scenario where investment exceeds consumption, leading to increased physical consumption across manufacturing sectors and extended trading ranges for bulk commodities, with China's manufacturing advantages becoming more evident and reflected in the foreign exchange market [1] Group 1: Investment Opportunities - Focus on AI investments and industrial resource products that resonate with the global manufacturing recovery, including copper, aluminum, tin, lithium, crude oil, and oil transportation [1] - Attention to China's equipment export chain, which has global comparative advantages and is confirmed at the cycle bottom, including power grid equipment, energy storage, lithium batteries, photovoltaics, engineering machinery, and commercial vehicles, as well as domestic manufacturing sectors showing signs of bottom reversal, such as chemicals (dyeing, coal chemicals, pesticides, polyurethane, titanium dioxide) and wafer manufacturing [1] - Capture the recovery in inbound tourism and the increase in residents' income, leading to a rebound in consumption in sectors like aviation, hotels, duty-free shops, and food and beverages [1] - Benefit from the expansion of the capital market and the bottoming out of long-term asset returns in non-bank sectors, including insurance and brokerage firms [1]